Projectors and linear estimation in general linear models

The paper gives a self-contained account of minimum disper­sion linear unbiased estimation of the expectation vector in a linear model with the dispersion matrix belonging to some, rather arbitrary, set of nonnegative definite matrices. The approach to linear estimation in general linear models recommended here is a direct generalization of some ideas and results presented by Rao (1973, 19 74) for the case of a general Gauss-Markov model

A new insight into the nature of some estimation problems originaly arising in the context of a general Gauss-Markov model as well as the correspondence of results known in the literature to those obtained in the present paper for general linear models are also given. As preliminary results the theory of projectors defined by Rao (1973) is extended.     

Adaptive estimation for varying coefficient models with nonstationary covariates

In this paper, the adaptive estimation for varying coefficient models proposed by Chen, Wang, and Yao (2015 Chen, Y., Q. Wang, and W. Yao. 2015. Adaptive estimation for varying coefficient models. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 137:17–31.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is extended to allowing for nonstationary covariates. The asymptotic properties of the estimator are obtained, showing different convergence rates for the integrated covariates and stationary covariates. The nonparametric estimator of the functional coefficient with integrated covariates has a faster convergence rate than the estimator with stationary covariates, and its asymptotic distribution is mixed normal. Moreover, the adaptive estimation is more efficient than the least square estimation for non normal errors. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate our theoretical results.     

Complete consistency for the estimator of nonparametric regression models based on extended negatively dependent errors

In this paper, we provide some exponential inequalities for extended negatively dependent (END) random variables. By using these exponential inequalities and the truncated method, we investigate the complete consistency for the estimator of nonparametric regression model based on END errors. As an application, the complete consistency for the nearest neighbour estimator is obtained.     

Nonlinear regression models with general distortion measurement errors

This paper considers nonlinear regression models when neither the response variable nor the covariates can be directly observed, but are measured with both multiplicative and additive distortion measurement errors. We propose conditional variance and conditional mean calibration estimation methods for the unobserved variables, then a nonlinear least squares estimator is proposed. For the hypothesis testing of parameter, a restricted estimator under the null hypothesis and a test statistic are proposed. The asymptotic properties for the estimator and test statistic are established. Lastly, a residual-based empirical process test statistic marked by proper functions of the regressors is proposed for the model checking problem. We further suggest a bootstrap procedure to calculate critical values. Simulation studies demonstrate the performance of the proposed procedure and a real example is analysed to illustrate its practical usage.     

Fast bandwidth selection for estimation of the pair correlation function

ABSTRACT

Kernel estimation is a popular approach to estimation of the pair correlation function which is a fundamental spatial point process characteristic. Least squares cross validation was suggested by Guan [A least-squares cross-validation bandwidth selection approach in pair correlation function estimations. Statist Probab Lett. 2007;77(18):1722–1729] as a data-driven approach to select the kernel bandwidth. The method can, however, be computationally demanding for large point pattern data sets. We suggest a modified least squares cross validation approach that is asymptotically equivalent to the one proposed by Guan but is computationally much faster.     

Variable selection and estimation for high-dimensional spatial autoregressive models

Spatial regression models are important tools for many scientific disciplines including economics, business, and social science. In this article, we investigate postmodel selection estimators that apply least squares estimation to the model selected by penalized estimation in high-dimensional regression models with spatial autoregressive errors. We show that by separating the model selection and estimation process, the postmodel selection estimator performs at least as well as the simultaneous variable selection and estimation method in terms of the rate of convergence. Moreover, under perfect model selection, the ℓ₂ rate of convergence is the oracle rate of $\sqrt{s/n}$, compared with the convergence rate of $\text{◂√▸}\sqrt{s\log p/n}$ in the general case. Here, n is the sample size and p, s are the model dimension and number of significant covariates, respectively. We further provide the convergence rate of the estimation error in the form of $\sup$ norm, and ideally the rate can reach as fast as $\text{◂√▸}\sqrt{\log s/n}$.     

ON AN APPROXIMATE OPTIMALITY CRITERION FOR THE DESIGN OF FIELD EXPERIMENTS UNDER SPATIAL DEPENDENCE

The design of large‐scale field trials where the residuals are correlated has been of recent interest, in large part because of advances in statistical and computational methods of analysis. The construction of designs for correlated data has typically used A‐optimality and is computationally intensive. This involves calculating the inverse of the information matrix for treatments under the supervision of an optimization strategy that explores the design space. We propose an approximation to A‐optimality, using nearest‐neighbour balance, that is less computationally demanding and can achieve at least 95% efficiency relative to A‐optimality in many practical situations.     

A robust and efficient estimation method for nonparametric models with jump points

Nonparametric models with jump points have been considered by many researchers. However, most existing methods based on least squares or likelihood are sensitive when there are outliers or the error distribution is heavy tailed. In this article, a local piecewise-modal method is proposed to estimate the regression function with jump points in nonparametric models, and a piecewise-modal EM algorithm is introduced to estimate the proposed estimator. Under some regular conditions, the large-sample theory is established for the proposed estimators. Several simulations are presented to evaluate the performances of the proposed method, which shows that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the local piecewise-polynomial regression estimator in the presence of outliers or heavy tail error distribution. What is more, the proposed procedure is asymptotically equivalent to the local piecewise-polynomial regression estimator under the assumption that the error distribution is a Gaussian distribution. The proposed method is further illustrated via the sea-level pressures.     

Efficient estimation of variance components in nonparametric mixed-effects models with large samples

Linear mixed-effects (LME) regression models are a popular approach for analyzing correlated data. Nonparametric extensions of the LME regression model have been proposed, but the heavy computational cost makes these extensions impractical for analyzing large samples. In particular, simultaneous estimation of the variance components and smoothing parameters poses a computational challenge when working with large samples. To overcome this computational burden, we propose a two-stage estimation procedure for fitting nonparametric mixed-effects regression models. Our results reveal that, compared to currently popular approaches, our two-stage approach produces more accurate estimates that can be computed in a fraction of the time.     

Corrected local polynomial estimation in varying‐coefficient models with measurement errors

The authors study a varying‐coefficient regression model in which some of the covariates are measured with additive errors. They find that the usual local linear estimator (LLE) of the coefficient functions is biased and that the usual correction for attenuation fails to work. They propose a corrected LLE and show that it is consistent and asymptotically normal, and they also construct a consistent estimator for the model error variance. They then extend the generalized likelihood technique to develop a goodness of fit test for the model. They evaluate these various procedures through simulation studies and use them to analyze data from the Framingham Heart Study.     

Efficient Inference for Longitudinal Data Varying‐coefficient Regression Models

Informative identification of the within‐subject correlation is essential in longitudinal studies in order to forecast the trajectory of each subject and improve the validity of inferences. In this paper, we fit this correlation structure by employing a time adaptive autoregressive error process. Such a process can automatically accommodate irregular and possibly subject‐specific observations. Based on the fitted correlation structure, we propose an efficient two‐stage estimator of the unknown coefficient functions by using a local polynomial approximation. This procedure does not involve within‐subject covariance matrices and hence circumvents the instability of calculating their inverses. The asymptotic normality of resulting estimators is established. Numerical experiments were conducted to check the finite sample performance of our method and an example of an application involving a set of medical data is also illustrated.     

Efficient improved estimation of the parameters in two seemingly unrelated regression models

For a system of two seemingly unrelated regression equations, this paper proposes a two-stage covariance improved estimator of the regression coefficients. The new estimator is shown to uniformly dominate the present estimators in terms of generalized mean square error criterion. In addition, we also propose the exact generalized mean square error of new estimator.     

Non-parametric Quantile Regression with Censored Data

Abstract.  Censored regression models have received a great deal of attention in both the theoretical and applied statistics literature. Here, we consider a model in which the response variable is censored but not the covariates. We propose a new estimator of the conditional quantiles based on the local linear method, and give an algorithm for its numerical implementation. We study its asymptotic properties and evaluate its performance on simulated data sets.     

Efficient estimation in partially linear single‐index models for longitudinal data

In this paper, we consider the estimation of both the parameters and the nonparametric link function in partially linear single‐index models for longitudinal data that may be unbalanced. In particular, a new three‐stage approach is proposed to estimate the nonparametric link function using marginal kernel regression and the parametric components with generalized estimating equations. The resulting estimators properly account for the within‐subject correlation. We show that the parameter estimators are asymptotically semiparametrically efficient. We also show that the asymptotic variance of the link function estimator is minimized when the working error covariance matrices are correctly specified. The new estimators are more efficient than estimators in the existing literature. These asymptotic results are obtained without assuming normality. The finite‐sample performance of the proposed method is demonstrated by simulation studies. In addition, two real‐data examples are analyzed to illustrate the methodology.     

Tests for random time effects and spatial error correlation in panel regression models

We consider a panel model with spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity across time. Various Lagrange multiplier and likelihood ratio test statistics are developed for testing time effects and spatial effects, jointly, marginally or conditionally. Limiting null distributions of the tests are derived. Size and power performances of the proposed tests are compared by a Monte-Carlo experiment.     

A fully nonparametric diagnostic test for homogeneity of variances

The authors propose a new nonparametric diagnostic test for checking the constancy of the conditional variance function σ²(x) in the regression model Y_i = m(x_i) + σ(x_i)?_i, i = 1,…, m. Their test, which does not assume a known parametric form for the conditional mean function m(x), is inspired by a recent asymptotic theory in the analysis of variance when the number of factor levels is large. The authors demonstrate through simulations the good finite‐sample properties of the test and illustrate its use in a study on the effect of drug utilization on health care costs.     

Minimax designs for approximately linear models with AR(1) errors

We obtain designs for linear regression models under two main departures from the classical assumptions: (1) the response is taken to be only approximately linear, and (2) the errors are not assumed to be independent, but to instead follow a first-order autoregressive process. These designs have the property that they minimize (a modification of) the maximum integrated mean squared error of the estimated response, with the maximum taken over a class of departures from strict linearity and over all autoregression parameters ρ,|ρ,| < 1, of fixed sign. Specific methods of implementation are discussed. We find that an asymptotically optimal procedure for AR(1) models consists of choosing points from that design measure which is optimal for uncorrelated errors, and then implementing them in an appropriate order.