Group selection for processes with multiple quality characteristics

Evaluating and comparing process capabilities are important tasks of production management. Manufacturers should apply the process with the highest capability among competing processes. A process group selection method is developed to solve the process selection problem based on overall yields. The goal is to select the processes with the highest overall yield among I processes under multiple quality characteristics, I > 2. The proposed method uses Bonferroni adjustment to control the overall error rate of comparing multiple processes. The critical values and the required sample sizes for designated powers are provided for practical use.     

A method of unconstrained multiple comparisons with the best

There are three types of multiple comparisons: all-pairwise multiple comparisons (MCA), multiple comparisons with the best (MCB), and multiple comparisons with a control (MCC). There are also three levels of multiple comparisons inference: confidence sets, subset comparisons, test of homogeneity. In current practice, MCA procedures dominate. In correct attempts at more efficient comparisons, in the form of employing lower level MCA procedures for higher level inference, account for the most frequent abuses in multiple comparisons. A better strategy is to choose the correct type of inference at the level of inference desired. In particular, very often the simulataneous comparisons of each treatment with the best of the other treatments (MCB) suffice. Hsu (1984b) gave simultaneous confidence intervals for θ_i ? max_j≠iθ_j having the simple form [? (Y_i ?max_j≠i Y_j ? C) (Y_i?max_j≠i Y_j + C)⁺]. Those intervals were constrained, sothat even if a treatment is inferred to be the best, no positive bound on how much it is better thatn the rest is given, a somewhat undesirable property. In this article it is shown that by employing a slightly larger critical value, the nonpositivity constraint on the lower bound is removed.     

Group selection for production yield among k manufacturing lines

Producing qualified items or products is essential to meet the requirement preset by customers. Evaluation and selection of desired manufacturing lines become challenging tasks for decision makers. Production yield is one of the important factors in measuring production performance. The goal of this paper is to screen a group of manufacturing lines and identify the best one with the highest yield. For the production lines with extremely low fraction of defectives, the yield index, S_pk, is an efficient indicator for quality level. This paper considers the production selection problem by using S_pk to compare k (k>2) manufacturing lines. A subset is constructed to contain the production lines with the highest yield. A systematic approach of test order k compares selected pairs of manufacturing lines along with the Bonferroni method is proposed to solve this problem. Each pair of production yields is compared by taking ratio. The paper provides critical values and required sample sizes of the group selection procedure. An application example on evaluating four power inductor productions is presented to illustrate the practicality of the proposed approach.     

Estimating process capability index Cpk: classical approach versus Bayesian approach

Process capability index C_pk has been the most popular one used in the manufacturing industry dealing with problems of measuring reproduction capability of processes to enhance product development with very low fraction of defectives. In the manufacturing industry, lower confidence bound (LCB) estimates the minimum process capability providing pivotal information for quality engineers to monitoring the process and assessing process performance for quality assurance. The main objective of this paper is to compare and contrast the LCBs on C_pk using two approaches, Classical method and Bayesian method.     

Lower confidence bounds as precision measure for truncated processes

Process capability index C_p has been the most popular one used in the manufacturing industry to provide numerical measures on process precision. For normally distributed processes with automatic fully inspections, the inspected processes follow truncated normal distributions. In this article, we provide the formulae of moments used for the Edgeworth approximation on the precision measurement C_p for truncated normally distributed processes. Based on the developed moments, lower confidence bounds with various sample sizes and confidence levels are provided and tabulated. Consequently, practitioners can use lower confidence bounds to determine whether their manufacturing processes are capable of preset precision requirements.     

Estimating Process Capability Index C PM Using a Bootstrap Sequential Sampling Procedure

Construction of a confidence interval for process capability index C _PM is often based on a normal approximation with fixed sample size. In this article, we describe a different approach in constructing a fixed-width confidence interval for process capability index C _PM with a preassigned accuracy by using a combination of bootstrap and sequential sampling schemes. The optimal sample size required to achieve a preassigned confidence level is obtained using both two-stage and modified two-stage sequential procedures. The procedure developed is also validated using an extensive simulation study.     

A Primer on Visualizations for Comparing Populations,Including the Issue of Overlapping Confidence Intervals

In comparing a collection of K populations, it is common practice to display in one visualization confidence intervals for the corresponding population parameters θ₁, θ₂, …, θ_K. For a pair of confidence intervals that do (or do not) overlap, viewers of the visualization are cognitively compelled to declare that there is not (or there is) a statistically significant difference between the two corresponding population parameters. It is generally well known that the method of examining overlap of pairs of confidence intervals should not be used for formal hypothesis testing. However, use of a single visualization with overlapping and nonoverlapping confidence intervals leads many to draw such conclusions, despite the best efforts of statisticians toward preventing users from reaching such conclusions. In this article, we summarize some alternative visualizations from the literature that can be used to properly test equality between a pair of population parameters. We recommend that these visualizations be used with caution to avoid incorrect statistical inference. The methods presented require only that we have K sample estimates and their associated standard errors. We also assume that the sample estimators are independent, unbiased, and normally distributed.     

K-medoids inverse regression

Abstract

K-means inverse regression was developed as an easy-to-use dimension reduction procedure for multivariate regression. This approach is similar to the original sliced inverse regression method, with the exception that the slices are explicitly produced by a K-means clustering of the response vectors. In this article, we propose K-medoids clustering as an alternative clustering approach for slicing and compare its performance to K-means in a simulation study. Although the two methods often produce comparable results, K-medoids tends to yield better performance in the presence of outliers. In addition to isolation of outliers, K-medoids clustering also has the advantage of accommodating a broader range of dissimilarity measures, which could prove useful in other graphical regression applications where slicing is required.     

A comparison of methods forsing loss-based capability index

The process capability index C _pm, sometimes called the loss-based index, has been proposed to the manufacturing industry for measuring process reproduction capability. This index incorporates the variation of production items with respect to the target value and the specification limits preset in the factory. To estimate the loss-based index properly and accurately, certain frequentist and Bayesian perspectives have been proposed to obtain lower confidence bounds (LCBs) for providing minimum process capability. The LCBs not only provide critical information regarding process performance but are also used to determine whether an improvement was made in a capability index and by extension in reducing the fraction of non-conforming items. In this paper, under the assumption of normality, based on frequentist and Bayesian senses, several existing approaches for constructing LCBs of C _pm are presented. Depending on the statistical methods used, we then classify these existing approaches into three categories and compared them in terms of the coverage rates and the mean values of the LCBs via simulations. The relative advantages and disadvantages of these approaches are summarized with some highlights of the relevant findings.     

Assessing Profitability of a Newsboy-Type Product with Normally Distributed Demand Based on Multiple Samples

This article develops a new index “Achievable Capacity Index,” I _A , which can accurately measure the profitability of newsboy-type product with normally distributed demand. An unbiased and effective estimator of I _A is derived to estimate actual I _A as the parameters of distribution are unknown. Practically, the market information regarding demand is obtained from multiple samples rather than single sample. Therefore, we estimate and test I _A based on multiple samples. A hypothesis testing for examining whether the profitability meets designated requirement is presented. Critical values of the test are calculated to determine the evaluation results. Finally, a real case on the sales of donuts is presented to illustrate the applicability of our approach.     

THE CONVERGENCE RATE OF SEQUENTIAL FIXED-WIDTH CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR REGULAR FUNCTIONALS

Let X₁X₂,.be i.i.d. random variables and let U_n= (n r)^-1S?^(n,r) h (X_i1,., X_ir,) be a U-statistic with EU_n= v, v unknown. Assume that g(X₁) =E[h(X₁,.,X_r) - v |X₁]has a strictly positive variance s?². Further, let a be such that φ(a) - φ(-a) =α for fixed α, 0 < α < 1, where φ is the standard normal d.f., and let S²_n be the Jackknife estimator of n Var U_n. Consider the stopping times N(d)= min {n: S²_n: + n^-1≤²a^-2},d > 0, and a confidence interval for v of length 2d,of the form I_n,d= [U_n,-d, Un + d]. We assume that Var U_n is unknown, and hence, no fixed sample size method is available for finding a confidence interval for v of prescribed width 2d and prescribed coverage probability α Turning to a sequential procedure, let I_N(d),d be a sequence of sequential confidence intervals for v. The asymptotic consistency of this procedure, i.e. lim_{d → 0}P(v ∈ I_N(d),d)=α follows from Sproule (1969). In this paper, the rate at which |P(v ∈ I_N(d),d) converges to α is investigated. We obtain that |P(v ∈ I_N(d),d) - α| = 0 (d^{1/2-(1+k)/2(1+m)}), d → 0, where K = max {0,4 - m}, under the condition that E|h(X₁, X_r)|^m < ∞m > 2. This improves and extends recent results of Ghosh & DasGupta (1980) and Mukhopadhyay (1981).     

Multivariate statistics books are reviewed

Asymptotic inferences about a linear combination of K independent binomial proportions are very frequent in applied research. Nevertheless, until quite recently research had been focused almost exclusively on cases of K≤2 (particularly on cases of one proportion and the difference of two proportions). This article focuses on cases of K>2, which have recently begun to receive more attention due to their great practical interest. In order to make this inference, there are several procedures which have not been compared: the score method (S0) and the method proposed by Martín Andrés et al. (W3) for adjusted Wald (which is a generalization of the method proposed by Price and Bonett) on the one hand and, on the other hand, the method of Zou et al. (N0) based on the Wilson confidence interval (which is a generalization of the Newcombe method). The article describes a new procedure (P0) based on the classic Peskun method, modifies the previous methods giving them continuity correction (methods S0c, W3c, N0c and P0c, respectively) and, finally, a simulation is made to compare the eight aforementioned procedures (which are selected from a total of 32 possible methods). The conclusion reached is that the S0c method is the best, although for very small samples (n _i ≤10, ? i) the W3 method is better. The P0 method would be the optimal method if one needs a method which is almost never too liberal, but this entails using a method which is too conservative and which provides excessively wide CIs. The W3 and P0 methods have the additional advantage of being very easy to apply. A free programme which allows the application of the S0 and S0c methods (which are the most complex) can be obtained at http://www.ugr.es/local/bioest/Z_LINEAR_K.EXE.     

Reliable confidence intervals for assessing normal process incapability

This study aims to provide a reliable confidence interval for assessing the process incapability index [C_pp]. The concept of the generalized pivotal quantities is utilized for constructing the generalized confidence interval for [C_pp]. And, simulations are performed for demonstrating our proposed method and one existent method. The results show that the empirical confidences of these two methods are significantly affected by the degree of process departure. Therefore, we suggest the practitioners to select proper one for capability testing purpose based on the information of degree of process departure.     

Small‐sphere distributions for directional data with application to medical imaging

We propose novel parametric concentric multi‐unimodal small‐subsphere families of densities for p ? 1 ≥ 2‐dimensional spherical data. Their parameters describe a common axis for K small hypersubspheres, an array of K directional modes, one mode for each subsphere, and K pairs of concentrations parameters, each pair governing horizontal (within the subsphere) and vertical (orthogonal to the subsphere) concentrations. We introduce two kinds of distributions. In its one‐subsphere version, the first kind coincides with a special case of the Fisher–Bingham distribution, and the second kind is a novel adaption that models independent horizontal and vertical variations. In its multisubsphere version, the second kind allows for a correlation of horizontal variation over different subspheres. In medical imaging, the situation of p ? 1 = 2 occurs precisely in modeling the variation of a skeletally represented organ shape due to rotation, twisting, and bending. For both kinds, we provide new computationally feasible algorithms for simulation and estimation and propose several tests. To the best knowledge of the authors, our proposed models are the first to treat the variation of directional data along several concentric small hypersubspheres, concentrated near modes on each subsphere, let alone horizontal dependence. Using several simulations, we show that our methods are more powerful than a recent nonparametric method and ad hoc methods. Using data from medical imaging, we demonstrate the advantage of our method and infer on the dominating axis of rotation of the human knee joint at different walking phases.     

An asymptotic confidence interval for the process capability index Cpm

Abstract

The use of indices as an estimation tool of process capability is long-established among the statistical quality professionals. Numerous capability indices have been proposed in last few years. C_pm constitutes one of the most widely used capability indices and its estimation has attracted much interest. In this paper, we propose a new method for constructing an approximate confidence interval for the index C_pm. The proposed method is based on the asymptotic distribution of the index C_pm obtained by the Delta Method. Under some regularity conditions, the distribution of an estimator of the process capability index C_pm is asymptotically normal.     

CAPABILITY MEASURES FOR m-DEPENDENT STATIONARY PROCESSES

Process capability indices, providing numerical measures on process potential and process performance, have received substantial research attention. Most research assumes that the process is normally distributed and the process data are independent. In real-world applications such as chemical, soft drinks, or tobacco/cigaratte manufacturing processes, process data are often auto-correlated. In this paper, we consider the capability indices Cp, Cpk, Cpm, Cpmk for strictly m-dependent stationary processes. We investigate the statistical properties of their natural estimators. We derive the asymptotic distributions, and establish confidence intervals so that capability testing can be performed.     

On a Process Capability Index for Asymmetric Specifications

Abstract

Among the process capability indices considered in the literature C _pm is one of the most widely used, despite the fact that its performance often becomes unsatisfactory in the case of processes with asymmetric specifications, i.e., processes whose target value is not located at the midpoint of the specification area. In this article, a new index that is a variant of C _pm , is introduced and shown to overcome this deficiency. In particular, the proposed index performs satisfactorily for processes with symmetric or asymmetric specifications. Moreover, the article compares the suggested index with the existing indices for asymmetric specifications, investigates the distributional properties of its estimator under the assumption of normality and deals with the assessment of confidence intervals using three bootstrap methods. The coverage achieved by each of these methods is investigated via simulation.     

Sample size determination for the confidence interval of mean comparison adjusted by multiple covariates

The current method of determining sample size for confidence intervals does not accommodate multiple covariate adjustment. Under the normality assumption, the effect of multiple covariate adjustment on the standard error of the mean comparison is related to a Hotelling T ² statistic. Sample size can be calculated to obtain a desired probability of achieving a predetermined width in the confidence interval of the mean comparison with multiple covariate adjustment, given that the confidence interval includes the population parameter.     

Developing and designing of an efficient variables sampling system based on the process capability index

Process capability indices (PCIs) are extensively used in the manufacturing industries in order to confirm whether the manufactured products meet their specifications or not. PCIs can be used to judge the process precision, process accuracy, and the process performance. So developing of sampling plans based on PCIs is inevitable and those plans will be very much useful for maintaining and improving the product quality in the manufacturing industries. In view of this, we propose a variables sampling system based on the process capability index C_pmk, which takes into account of process yield and process loss, when the quality characteristic under study will have double specification limits. The proposed sampling system will be effective in compliance testing. The advantages of this system over the existing sampling plans are also discussed. In order to determine the optimal parameters, tables are also constructed by formulating the problem as a nonlinear programming in which the average sample number is minimized by satisfying the producer and consumer risks.     

Detection of multiple undocumented change-points using adaptive Lasso

The problem of detecting multiple undocumented change-points in a historical temperature sequence with simple linear trend is formulated by a linear model. We apply adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) to estimate the number and locations of change-points. Model selection criteria are used to choose the Lasso smoothing parameter. As adaptive Lasso may overestimate the number of change-points, we perform post-selection on change-points detected by adaptive Lasso using multivariate t simultaneous confidence intervals. Our method is demonstrated on the annual temperature data (year: 1902–2000) from Tuscaloosa, Alabama.