下岗向失业保险并轨要与失业统计口径同步

目前学术界有关失业率的统计口径基本上有三种观点 ,即高失业率估计法、中等失业率估计法、低失业率估计法。而低失业率估计法一直是我国政府采用并以此为依据来制定政策的方法。实证分析表明 ,这种失业率估计方法适应不了下岗向失业保险并轨的客观形势。因此 ,必须在并轨过程中对其进行相应调整     

下岗之后

下岗之后国家统计局人口就业司职工下岗是国有企业深化改革过程中出现的新情况，下岗人员是指因企业经营等原因离开工作岗位但与企业还保留名义上的劳动关系的职工。企业对下岗人员所给的待遇是不同的。有的企业按月发给下岗人员一定量的生活补贴；有的企业仅发给一次性的...     

下岗—— 一个必须正视的问题

下岗——一个必须正视的问题□宋长青大量下岗人员的出现是当前引人注目的新情况，于是对于统计部门来说，准确统计下岗人员的数量也就成为一项重要的工作了。今年初，国家统计局与劳动部就下岗人员的定义作出了明确的规定，即由于用人单位生产和经营状况等原因，已经离开...     

下岗女职工存在的问题和对策建议

下岗女职工存在的问题和对策建议广东女子中专方红在我国企业体制转变和经济结构调整中，许多国有和集体企业职工陆续下岗失业，其女职工更多，成为我国世纪末社会问题之一。为什么女职工下岗更多？女职工下岗失业后的境况如何，并引发哪些社会问题？我们组织校毕业班学生...     

对下岗职工基本情况统计方法的几点建议

下岗,是当前社会广泛议论的一个热门话题,妇孺皆知,它涉及千家万户.市委、市府领导及社会各界对此都高度重视.但下岗职工、下岗待工人员究竟有多少,他们之间的关系如何,社会上却众说不一.由于下岗现象有其深刻社会经济背景,下岗职工和下岗待工人员究竟如何定义,书本上找不到现成规范的答案,各有关部门只能根据各自的理解进行统计,统计口径不尽一致.一项统计方法制度的执行过程同时也是完善过程,在统计实践中.我们遇到一些问题亟需在统计方法中进行完善.以下就下岗职工基本情况统计方法谈几点建议.     

下岗

罗盛下岗了。罗盛做梦也想不到自己会下岗。他十八岁进酒厂学徒，一干就是三十年。他开初还以为看花了眼，便揉揉眼，没错，红纸黑字的，罗盛两个字那么醒目，字大得触目惊心，让他有点头晕目眩。他的眼一涩，视线模糊了。罗盛勾下头退出喧闹的人群。唉，树老当柴烧，人老没用处。人家再用不着你了，就一脚踢开你。泪水就从眼眶里溢出来，在脸上刷刷地淌，罗盛想不流泪，但忍不住。此时，厂长来了，罗盛忙拭去脸上的泪水，朝厂长笑了笑。厂长问，下岗名单看到了？罗盛点点头，厂长深深地叹口气，唉，都是我这做厂长的没用。其实，我心里怎么…     

特殊时期、特殊现象、特殊方法——对下岗及下岗人员统计的理论思考

特殊时期、特殊现象、特殊方法——对下岗及下岗人员统计的理论思考□宋长青江泽民同志在十五大报告中要求我们要“着眼于对实际问题的理论思考”。目前的劳动统计工作中就遇到了一个实际问题——下岗人员统计问题。国家统计局对此已确定了一些统计方法。本文试对下岗人员...     

国有企业职工下岗失业的原因及对策

就业是民生之本。扩大就业，促进国有企业下岗失业人员再就业是我党一项长期的战略任务和重大的政治任务。做好下岗失业人员再就业工作，事关下岗失业人员的切身利益，事关国家的长治久安；因此，我们一定要充分认识就业和再就业工作的极端重要性，切实履行好自己的工作职责，把关系下岗失业人员的根本利益维护好，实现好、发展好。     

论劳动力结构的重组和素质的提高——谈职工下岗与再就业

在我国进行产业结构调整和企业进行产品结构调整的过程中，要求对劳动力进行优化组合，重新配置。这样，在计划经济体制下客观存在着的国有企业富余人员问题就明显地暴露出来，出现了大批职工下岗。在经济体制改革中，一部分职工下岗失业是不可避免的；国家在实施再就业过程中，面临一系列困难，再就业工程是艰巨的。因此，国有企业下岗职工转变就业观念就显得尤为重要。要用改革的眼光看待职工下岗，用改革的方法解决职工再就业     

收入、报酬与工资

近年来,由于工资统计数据的 准确性受到挑战,有的同志提出可否用职工收入统计替代工资统计。笔者认为这是一个十分重要的问题,它首先涉及到职工收入与工资的统计内涵和统计口径,有必要作一个较全面的分析。 我认为,收入、报酬与工资这三项统计指标,涵义口径不同,性质作用不同,资料取得的方式也不同,是不能相互替代的。 一、涵义口径不同 从统计的口径范围来看,居民的一切货币或实物所得都是其收入。因此口径范围最大,它包括劳动收入、经营收入、资产收入、接受赠与收入等,还可以包括非法收入、“灰色收入”与“黑色收入”等。 …     

新时期我国扩大内需的难点与潜力分析

始于 1998年的以积极财政政策和稳健货币政策为主的一系列扩大内需的方针政策 ,对于抵御亚洲金融危机以及世界经济增速减慢的不利影响 ,确保国民经济 7%预期增长目标的实现发挥了重要的作用。但由于结构性矛盾和体制性障碍等问题的存在 ,严重制约着内需的增长 ,目前经济回升的基础仍不稳固。　　一、问题和症结当前影响内需扩大的主要障碍 ,集中体现在以下几个方面 :(一 )农民收入增长缓慢 ,农村市场启动乏力农民收入增长减缓是从 2 0世纪 80年代中期开始的 ,剔除价格因素的影响 ,实际平均增速从 1979～ 1984年16 5 %降为 1985～ 2 0 0 1年…     

Estimating the number of factors to include in a high-dimensional multivariate bilinear model

We present two new statistics for estimating the number of factors underlying in a multivariate system. One of the two new methods, the original NUMFACT, has been used in high profile environmental studies. The two new methods are first explained from a geometrical viewpoint. We then present an algebraic development and asymptotic cutoff points. Next we present a simulation study that shows that for skewed data the new methods are typically superior to traditional methods and for normally distributed data the new methods are competitive to the best of the traditional methods. We finally show how the methods compare by using two environmental data sets.     

以制度创新扩大国内需求

内需不足始终是困扰经济发展的重要因素之一 ,需求不足 ,物价持续低迷 ,导致企业开工不足 ,企业缺少好的投资项目 ,通货紧缩的阴影时隐时显 ,企业下岗失业问题不断加剧 ,国债发行额无法减少 ,积极的财政政策难以淡出。实践证明 :现行的财政和货币政策有一定局限性 ,应把制度创新纳入其中 ,采取标本兼治措施 ,以尽快摆脱内需不足的困境。　　一、表现形式1 消费需求减弱。 2 0 0 2年 1～ 9月 ,全国消费品零售总额比 2 0 0 1年同期增长 9 8% ,增幅比 2 0 0 1年同期减少1 5个百分点 ,消费需求的回落是显著的。城市增长9 8% ,农村增长 6 8% ,农…     

A Bayesian Non-parametric Comparison of Two Treatments

In this paper we present a Bayesian non-parametric analysis of survival time data, involving information from two types of treatment. We present an easy to compute Bayes factor comparing two model assumptions: no treatment difference and treatment difference and use this to model summaries for each of the two treatments, in particular predictive distributions.     

Small populations of the north: their problems and how to solve them

The authors examine the present conditions of 26 small, isolated populations living in the north of Russia. The total size of the population under consideration is 181,600, according to the 1989 Soviet census. The conclusion is that these populations are under severe threat of extinction and that there is no consensus about how to resolve their present predicament.     

Some Matrix Norm Kantorovich Inequalities and Their Applications

In this article, we first present four matrix norm Kantorovich-type inequalities involving non negative definite matrix. Then, based on these inequalities, we propose four new efficiency criteria and present their lower bounds to make efficiency comparisons between the ordinary least squares estimator and the best linear unbiased estimator in a singular linear model.     

Estimation of trade-offs with capture-recapture models: A case study on the lesser snow goose

Trade-offs between traits such as fecundity or survival are fundamental to much of our understanding of the evolution of life histories. There has been much renewed interest and controversy concerning methods for estimating trade-offs, in the wild or in captivity, and with or without experimental manipulations. In this paper, we assess the general question of the utility of modern capture-recapture methods as a robust tool for estimating trade-offs in natural populations. We present results from analyses of two forms of trade-offs: the cost of present reproduction on future survival and the cost of present reproduction on the probability of breeding in the future. We apply the methods to data from a long-term study of a snow goose population, and generally discuss the advantages and potential problems with various approaches.     

Statistics in Latin America

Statistics is a relatively new discipline in Latin America. At present only sparse information is available about the state of the statistical profession in Latin America. We present and summarize the available information about the job market; training, education, and research; professional societies and their activities; and so forth. We also share our hopes, concerns, and suggestions for the future.     

Renyi's entropy for residual lifetime distribution

In the present paper, we introduce and study Renyi's information measure (entropy) for residual lifetime distributions. It is shown that the proposed measure uniquely determines the distribution. We present characterizations for some lifetime models. Further, we define two new classes of life distributions based on this measure. Various properties of these classes are also given.     

Using administrative lists to estimate census omissions

"We present a method for estimating omission rates from censuses. Our method is based on the merger of administrative lists, sampling from these lists, and matching against census rolls. We describe the method, present the results of a test in New York City...in 1980, and evalute the results. We compare our proposed method to other procedures for estimating omission rates."