Regularized Posteriors in Linear Ill‐Posed Inverse Problems

Abstract. We study the Bayesian solution of a linear inverse problem in a separable Hilbert space setting with Gaussian prior and noise distribution. Our contribution is to propose a new Bayes estimator which is a linear and continuous estimator on the whole space and is stronger than the mean of the exact Gaussian posterior distribution which is only defined as a measurable linear transformation. Our estimator is the mean of a slightly modified posterior distribution called regularized posterior distribution. Frequentist consistency of our estimator and of the regularized posterior distribution is proved. A Monte Carlo study and an application to real data confirm good small‐sample properties of our procedure.     

A New Regression Model: Modal Linear Regression

The mode of a distribution provides an important summary of data and is often estimated on the basis of some non‐parametric kernel density estimator. This article develops a new data analysis tool called modal linear regression in order to explore high‐dimensional data. Modal linear regression models the conditional mode of a response Y given a set of predictors x as a linear function of x . Modal linear regression differs from standard linear regression in that standard linear regression models the conditional mean (as opposed to mode) of Y as a linear function of x . We propose an expectation–maximization algorithm in order to estimate the regression coefficients of modal linear regression. We also provide asymptotic properties for the proposed estimator without the symmetric assumption of the error density. Our empirical studies with simulated data and real data demonstrate that the proposed modal regression gives shorter predictive intervals than mean linear regression, median linear regression and MM‐estimators.     

Robust difference-based outlier detection

Abstract

In this paper, we propose an outlier-detection approach that uses the properties of an intercept estimator in a difference-based regression model (DBRM) that we first introduce. This DBRM uses multiple linear regression, and invented it to detect outliers in a multiple linear regression. Our outlier-detection approach uses only the intercept; it does not require estimates for the other parameters in the DBRM. In this paper, we first employed a difference-based intercept estimator to study the outlier-detection problem in a multiple regression model. We compared our approach with several existing methods in a simulation study and the results suggest that our approach outperformed the others. We also demonstrated the advantage of our approach using a real data application. Our approach can extend to nonparametric regression models for outliers detection.     

An Optimal Semiparametric Method for Two‐group Classification

In the classical discriminant analysis, when two multivariate normal distributions with equal variance–covariance matrices are assumed for two groups, the classical linear discriminant function is optimal with respect to maximizing the standardized difference between the means of two groups. However, for a typical case‐control study, the distributional assumption for the case group often needs to be relaxed in practice. Komori et al. (Generalized t ‐statistic for two‐group classification. Biometrics 2015, 71: 404–416) proposed the generalized t ‐statistic to obtain a linear discriminant function, which allows for heterogeneity of case group. Their procedure has an optimality property in the class of consideration. We perform a further study of the problem and show that additional improvement is achievable. The approach we propose does not require a parametric distributional assumption on the case group. We further show that the new estimator is efficient, in that no further improvement is possible to construct the linear discriminant function more efficiently. We conduct simulation studies and real data examples to illustrate the finite sample performance and the gain that it produces in comparison with existing methods.     

Variable selection in the high-dimensional continuous generalized linear model with current status data

In survival studies, current status data are frequently encountered when some individuals in a study are not successively observed. This paper considers the problem of simultaneous variable selection and parameter estimation in the high-dimensional continuous generalized linear model with current status data. We apply the penalized likelihood procedure with the smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty to select significant variables and estimate the corresponding regression coefficients. With a proper choice of tuning parameters, the resulting estimator is shown to be a root n/p_n-consistent estimator under some mild conditions. In addition, we show that the resulting estimator has the same asymptotic distribution as the estimator obtained when the true model is known. The finite sample behavior of the proposed estimator is evaluated through simulation studies and a real example.     

On distribution function estimation with partially rank-ordered set samples: estimating mercury level in fish using length frequency data

We study the non-parametric estimation of a continuous distribution function F based on the partially rank-ordered set (PROS) sampling design. A PROS sampling design first selects a random sample from the underlying population and uses judgement ranking to rank them into partially ordered sets, without measuring the variable of interest. The final measurements are then obtained from one of the partially ordered sets. Considering an imperfect PROS sampling procedure, we first develop the empirical distribution function (EDF) estimator of F and study its theoretical properties. Then, we consider the problem of estimating F, where the underlying distribution is assumed to be symmetric. We also find a unique admissible estimator of F within the class of nondecreasing step functions with jumps at observed values and show the inadmissibility of the EDF. In addition, we introduce a smooth estimator of F and discuss its theoretical properties. Finally, we expand on various numerical illustrations of our results via several simulation studies and a real data application and show the advantages of PROS estimates over their counterparts under the simple random and ranked set sampling designs.     

Goodness-of-fit test based on correcting moments of modified entropy estimator

In this paper, we first propose a new estimator of entropy for continuous random variables. Our estimator is obtained by correcting the coefficients of Vasicek's [A test for normality based on sample entropy, J. R. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 38 (1976), pp. 54–59] entropy estimator. We prove the consistency of our estimator. Monte Carlo studies show that our estimator is better than the entropy estimators proposed by Vasicek, Ebrahimi et al. [Two measures of sample entropy, Stat. Probab. Lett. 20 (1994), pp. 225–234] and Correa [A new estimator of entropy, Commun. Stat. Theory Methods 24 (1995), pp. 2439–2449] in terms of root mean square error. We then derive the non-parametric distribution function corresponding to our proposed entropy estimator as a piece-wise uniform distribution. We also introduce goodness-of-fit tests for testing exponentiality and normality based on the said distribution and compare its performance with their leading competitors.     

Central Limit Theorems of Local Polynomial Threshold Estimator for Diffusion Processes with Jumps

Central limit theorems play an important role in the study of statistical inference for stochastic processes. However, when the non‐parametric local polynomial threshold estimator, especially local linear case, is employed to estimate the diffusion coefficients of diffusion processes, the adaptive and predictable structure of the estimator conditionally on the σ ‐field generated by diffusion processes is destroyed, so the classical central limit theorem for martingale difference sequences cannot work. In high‐frequency data, we proved the central limit theorems of local polynomial threshold estimators for the volatility function in diffusion processes with jumps by Jacod's stable convergence theorem. We believe that our proof procedure for local polynomial threshold estimators provides a new method in this field, especially in the local linear case.     

Adaptive wavelet estimation of a function from an m-dependent process with possibly unbounded m

The estimation of a multivariate function from a stationary m-dependent process is investigated, with a special focus on the case where m is large or unbounded. We develop an adaptive estimator based on wavelet methods. Under flexible assumptions on the nonparametric model, we prove the good performances of our estimator by determining sharp rates of convergence under two kinds of errors: the pointwise mean squared error and the mean integrated squared error. We illustrate our theoretical result by considering the multivariate density estimation problem, the derivatives density estimation problem, the density estimation problem in a GARCH-type model and the multivariate regression function estimation problem. The performance of proposed estimator has been shown by a numerical study for a simulated and real data sets.     

PMSE dominance of the positive-part shrinkage estimator in a regression model with proxy variables

Consider a linear regression model with some relevant regressors are unobservable. In such a situation, we estimate the model by using the proxy variables as regressors or by simply omitting the relevant regressors. In this paper, we derive the explicit formula of predictive mean squared error (PMSE) of a general family of shrinkage estimators of regression coefficients. It is shown analytically that the positive-part shrinkage estimator dominates the ordinary shrinkage estimator even when proxy variables are used in place of the unobserved variables. Also, as an example, our result is applied to the double k-class estimator proposed by Ullah and Ullah (Double k-class estimators of coefficients in linear regression. Econometrica. 1978;46:705–722). Our numerical results show that the positive-part double k-class estimator with proxy variables has preferable PMSE performance.     

Empirical Bayes sequential estimation of a finite population mean

In this article, we consider the Bayes and empirical Bayes problem of the current population mean of a finite population when the sample data is available from other similar (m-1) finite populations. We investigate a general class of linear estimators and obtain the optimal linear Bayes estimator of the finite population mean under a squared error loss function that considered the cost of sampling. The optimal linear Bayes estimator and the sample size are obtained as a function of the parameters of the prior distribution. The corresponding empirical Bayes estimates are obtained by replacing the unknown hyperparameters with their respective consistent estimates. A Monte Carlo study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed empirical Bayes procedure.     

Kernel estimation of regression function gradient

Abstract

This paper is focused on kernel estimation of the gradient of a multivariate regression function. Despite the importance of this topic, the progress in this area is rather slow. Our aim is to construct a gradient estimator using the idea of local linear estimator for a regression function. The quality of this estimator is expressed in terms of the Mean Integrated Square Error. We focus on a choice of bandwidth matrix. Further, we present some data-driven methods for its choice and develop a new approach. The performance of presented methods is illustrated using a simulation study and real data example.     

Laplace Error Penalty‐based Variable Selection in High Dimension

We propose the Laplace Error Penalty (LEP) function for variable selection in high‐dimensional regression. Unlike penalty functions using piecewise splines construction, the LEP is constructed as an exponential function with two tuning parameters and is infinitely differentiable everywhere except at the origin. With this construction, the LEP‐based procedure acquires extra flexibility in variable selection, admits a unified derivative formula in optimization and is able to approximate the L₀ penalty as close as possible. We show that the LEP procedure can identify relevant predictors in exponentially high‐dimensional regression with normal errors. We also establish the oracle property for the LEP estimator. Although not being convex, the LEP yields a convex penalized least squares function under mild conditions if p is no greater than n. A coordinate descent majorization‐minimization algorithm is introduced to implement the LEP procedure. In simulations and a real data analysis, the LEP methodology performs favorably among competitive procedures.     

An Asymptotic Linear Representation for the Breslow Estimator

We provide an asymptotic linear representation for the Breslow estimator of the baseline cumulative hazard function in the Cox model. Our representation consists of an average of independent random variables and a term involving the difference between the maximum partial likelihood estimator and the underlying regression parameter. The order of the remainder term is arbitrarily close to n ^?1.     

A stochastic restricted k–d class estimator

In this paper, we introduce a stochastic restricted k–d class estimator for the vector of parameters in a linear model when additional linear restrictions on the parameter vector are assumed to hold. The stochastic restricted k–d class estimator is a generalization of the ordinary mixed estimator and the k–d class estimator. We show that our new biased estimator is superior in the mean squared error matrix sense to the k–d class estimator [S. Sakall?o?lu and S. Kaçiranlar, A new biased estimator based on ridge estimation, Statist. Papers 49 (2008), pp. 669–689] and the stochastic restricted Liu estimator [H. Yang and J.W. Xu, An alternative stochastic restricted Liu estimator in linear regression, Statist. Papers 50 (2009), pp. 639–647]. Finally, a numerical example is given to show the theoretical results.     

Simultaneous robust estimation of location and scale parameters: A minimum-distance approach

Simultaneous robust estimates of location and scale parameters are derived from minimizing a minimum-distance criterion function. The criterion function measures the squared distance between the pth power (p > 0) of the empirical distribution function and the pth power of the imperfectly determined model distribution function over the real line. We show that the estimator is uniquely defined, is asymptotically bivariate normal and for p > 0.3 has positive breakdown. If the scale parameter is known, when p = 0.9 the asymptotic variance (1.0436) of the location estimator for the normal model is smaller than the asymptotic variance of the Hodges-Lehmann (HL)estimator (1.0472). Efficiencies with respect to HL and maximum-likelihood estimators (MLE) are 1.0034 and 0.9582, respectively. Similarly, if the location parameter is known, when p = 0.97 the asymptotic variance (0.6158) of the scale estimator is minimum. The efficiency with respect to the MLE is 0.8119. We show that the estimator can tolerate more corrupted observations at oo than at – for p < 1, and vice versa for p > 1.     

Model averaging by jackknife criterion for varying-coefficient partially linear models

Abstract

This paper is concerned with model averaging procedure for varying-coefficient partially linear models. We proposed a jackknife model averaging method that involves minimizing a leave-one-out cross-validation criterion, and developed a computational shortcut to optimize the cross-validation criterion for weight choice. The resulting model average estimator is shown to be asymptotically optimal in terms of achieving the smallest possible squared error. The simulation studies have provided evidence of the superiority of the proposed procedures. Our approach is further applied to a real data.     

Hard thresholding regression

In this paper, we propose the hard thresholding regression (HTR) for estimating high‐dimensional sparse linear regression models. HTR uses a two‐stage convex algorithm to approximate the ?₀‐penalized regression: The first stage calculates a coarse initial estimator, and the second stage identifies the oracle estimator by borrowing information from the first one. Theoretically, the HTR estimator achieves the strong oracle property over a wide range of regularization parameters. Numerical examples and a real data example lend further support to our proposed methodology.     

Sparse conformal predictors

Conformal predictors, introduced by Vovk et al. (Algorithmic Learning in a Random World, Springer, New York, 2005), serve to build prediction intervals by exploiting a notion of conformity of the new data point with previously observed data. We propose a novel method for constructing prediction intervals for the response variable in multivariate linear models. The main emphasis is on sparse linear models, where only few of the covariates have significant influence on the response variable even if the total number of covariates is very large. Our approach is based on combining the principle of conformal prediction with the ℓ ₁ penalized least squares estimator (LASSO). The resulting confidence set depends on a parameter ε>0 and has a coverage probability larger than or equal to 1−ε. The numerical experiments reported in the paper show that the length of the confidence set is small. Furthermore, as a by-product of the proposed approach, we provide a data-driven procedure for choosing the LASSO penalty. The selection power of the method is illustrated on simulated and real data.     

Non‐parametric Copula Estimation Under Bivariate Censoring

In this paper, we consider non‐parametric copula inference under bivariate censoring. Based on an estimator of the joint cumulative distribution function, we define a discrete and two smooth estimators of the copula. The construction that we propose is valid for a large range of estimators of the distribution function and therefore for a large range of bivariate censoring frameworks. Under some conditions on the tails of the distributions, the weak convergence of the corresponding copula processes is obtained in l^∞([0,1]²). We derive the uniform convergence rates of the copula density estimators deduced from our smooth copula estimators. Investigation of the practical behaviour of these estimators is performed through a simulation study and two real data applications, corresponding to different censoring settings. We use our non‐parametric estimators to define a goodness‐of‐fit procedure for parametric copula models. A new bootstrap scheme is proposed to compute the critical values.