Combined Shewhart–EWMA control charts with estimated parameters

Shewhart and EWMA control charts can be suitably combined to obtain a simple monitoring scheme sensitive to both large and small shifts in the process mean. So far, the performance of the combined Shewhart–EWMA (CSEWMA) has been investigated under the assumption that the process parameters are known. However, parameters are often estimated from reference Phase I samples. Since chart performances may be even largely affected by estimation errors, we study the behaviour of the CSEWMA with estimated parameters in both in- and out-of-control situations. Comparisons with standard Shewhart and EWMA charts are presented. Recommendations are given for Phase I sample size requirements necessary to achieve desired in-control performance.     

Runs rules schemes for monitoring process variability

To increase the sensitivity of Shewhart control charts in detecting small process shifts sensitizing rules based on runs and scans are often used in practice. Shewhart control charts supplemented with runs rules for detecting shifts in process variance have not received as much attention as their counterparts for detecting shifts in process mean. In this article, we examine the performance of simple runs rules schemes for monitoring increases and/or decreases in process variance based on the sample standard deviation. We introduce one-sided S charts that overcome the weakness of high false-alarm rates when runs rules are added to a Shewhart control chart. The average run length performance and design aspects of the charts are studied thoroughly. The performance of associated two-sided control schemes is investigated as well.     

Nonparametric quality control charts based on the sign statistic

Nonparametric control chart are presented for the problem of detecting changes in the process median (or mean), or changes in the process variability when samples are taken at regular time intervals. The proposed procedures are based on sign-test statistics computed for each sample, and are used in Shewhart and cumulative sum control charts. When the process is in control the run length distributions for the proposed nonparametric control charts do not depend on the distribution of the observations. An additional advantage of the non-parametric control charts is that the variance of the process does not need to be established in order to set up a control chart for the mean. Comparisons with the corresponding parametric control charts are presented. It is also shown that curtailed sampling plans can considerably reduce the expected number of observations used in the Shewhart control schemes based on the sign statistic.     

One-sided synthetic control charts for monitoring the multivariate coefficient of variation

Shewhart's type control charts for monitoring the Multivariate Coefficient of Variation (MCV) have recently been proposed in order to monitor the relative variability compared with the mean. These approaches are known to be rather slow in the detection of small or moderate process shifts. In this paper, in order to improve the detection efficiency, two one-sided Synthetic charts for the MCV are proposed. A Markov chain method is used to evaluate the statistical performance of the proposed charts. Furthermore, computational experiments reveal that the proposed control charts outperform the Shewhart MCV control chart in terms of the average run length to detect an out-of-control state. Finally, the implementation of the proposed chart is illustrated with an example using steel sleeves data.     

A Nonparametric Synthetic Control Chart Using Sign Statistic

This article presents a synthetic control chart for detection of shifts in the process median. The synthetic chart is a combination of sign chart and conforming run-length chart. The performance evaluation of the proposed chart indicates that the synthetic chart has a higher power of detecting shifts in process median than the Shewhart charts based on sign statistic as well as the classical Shewhart X-bar chart for various symmetric distributions. The improvement is significant for shifts of moderate to large shifts in the median. The robustness studies of the proposed synthetic control chart against outliers indicate that the proposed synthetic control chart is robust against contamination by outliers.     

Variable sampling intervals for multiparameter shewhart charts

This paper considers the problem of using control charts to simultaneously monitor more than one parameter with emphasis on simultaneously monitoring the mean and variance. Fixed sampling interval control charts are modified to use variable sampling intervals depending on what is being observed from the data. Two basic strategies are investigated. One strategy uses separate control charts for each parameter, A second strategy uses a proposed single combined statistic which is sensitive to shifts in both the mean and variance. Each procedure is compared to corresponding fixed interval procedures. It is seen that for both strategies the variable sampling interval approach is substantially more efficient than fixed interval procedures.     

Evaluation of control charts under linear trend

The performance of several control charting schemes is studied when the process mean changes as a linear trend. The control charts considered include the Shewhart chart, the Shewhart chart supplemented with runs rules, the cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart, the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart, and a generalized control chart.     

Adjusted-loss-function charts with variable sample sizes and sampling intervals

Recent research has shown that the control charts with adaptive features are quicker than the traditional static Shewhart charts in detecting process shifts. This article presents the design and implementation of a control chart based on Adjusted Loss Function (AL) with Variable Sample Sizes and Sampling Intervals (VSSI). This single chart (called the VSSI AL chart) is able to monitor the process shifts in mean and variance simultaneously. Our studies show that the VSSI AL chart is not only easier to design and implement than the VSSI X¯ & S (or X¯ & R) charts, but is also 10% more effective than the latter in detecting the process shifts from an overall viewpoint.     

Improved R and s control charts for monitoring the process variance

The Shewhart R control chart and s control chart are widely used to monitor shifts in the process spread. One fact is that the distributions of the range and sample standard deviation are highly skewed. Therefore, the R chart and s chart neither provide an in-control average run length (ARL) of approximately 370 nor guarantee the desired type I error of 0.0027. Another disadvantage of these two charts is their failure in detecting an improvement in the process variability. In order to overcome these shortcomings, we propose the improved R chart (IRC) and s chart (ISC) with accurate approximation of the control limits by using cumulative distribution functions of the sample range and standard deviation. Simulation studies show that the IRC and ISC perform very well. We also compare the type II error risks and ARLs of the IRC and ISC and found that the s chart is generally more efficient than the R chart. Examples are given to illustrate the use of the developed charts.     

The Continuous Run Sum Chart

The run sum chart is an effective two-sided chart that can be used to monitor for process changes. It is known that it is more sensible than the Shewhart chart with runs rules and its performance improves as the number of regions increases. However, as the number of regions increses the resulting chart has more parameters to be defined and its design becomes more involved. In this article, we introduce a one-parameter run sum chart. This chart accumulates scores equal to the subgroup means and signals when the cummulative sum exceeds a limit value. A fast initial response feature is proposed and its run length distribution function is found by a set of recursive relations. We compare this chart with other charts suggested in the literature and find it competitive with the CUSUM, the FIR CUSUM, and the combined Shewhart FIR CUSUM schemes.     

The effect of Phase I sample size on the run length performance of control charts for autocorrelated data

Traditional control charts assume independence of observations obtained from the monitored process. However, if the observations are autocorrelated, these charts often do not perform as intended by the design requirements. Recently, several control charts have been proposed to deal with autocorrelated observations. The residual chart, modified Shewhart chart, EWMAST chart, and ARMA chart are such charts widely used for monitoring the occurrence of assignable causes in a process when the process exhibits inherent autocorrelation. Besides autocorrelation, one other issue is the unknown values of true process parameters to be used in the control chart design, which are often estimated from a reference sample of in-control observations. Performances of the above-mentioned control charts for autocorrelated processes are significantly affected by the sample size used in a Phase I study to estimate the control chart parameters. In this study, we investigate the effect of Phase I sample size on the run length performance of these four charts for monitoring the changes in the mean of an autocorrelated process, namely an AR(1) process. A discussion of the practical implications of the results and suggestions on the sample size requirements for effective process monitoring are provided.     

The effect of autocorrelation on the retrospective X-chart

Quality control chart interpretation is usually based on the assumption that successive observations are independent over time. In this article we show the effect of autocorrelation on the retrospective Shewhart chart for individuals, often referred to as the X-chart, with the control limits based on moving ranges. It is shown that the presence of positive first lag autocorrelation results in an increased number of false alarms from the control chart. Negative first lag autocorrelation can result in unnecessarily wide control limits such that significant shifts in the process mean may go undetected. We use first-order autoregressive and first-order moving average models in our simulation of small samples of autocorrelated data.     

A new approach for monitoring process variance

ABSTRACT

Control charts are effective tools for signal detection in both manufacturing processes and service processes. Much service data come from a process with variables having non-normal or unknown distributions. The commonly used Shewhart variable control charts, which depend heavily on the normality assumption, should not be properly used in such circumstances. In this paper, we propose a new variance chart based on a simple statistic to monitor process variance shifts. We explore the sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic and calculate the average run lengths (ARLs) of the proposed variance chart. Furthermore, an arcsine transformed exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart is proposed because the ARLs of this modified chart are more intuitive and reasonable than those of the variance chart. We compare the out-of-control variance detection performance of the proposed variance chart with that of the non-parametric Mood variance (NP-M) chart with runs rules, developed by Zombade and Ghute [Nonparametric control chart for variability using runs rules. Experiment. 2014;24(4):1683–1691], and the nonparametric likelihood ratio-based distribution-free exponential weighted moving average (NLE) chart and the combination of traditional exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) mean and EWMA variance (CEW) control chart proposed by Zou and Tsung [Likelihood ratio-based distribution-free EWMA control charts. J Qual Technol. 2010;42(2):174–196] by considering cases in which the critical quality characteristic has a normal, a double exponential or a uniform distribution. Comparison results showed that the proposed chart performs better than the NP-M with runs rules, and the NLE and CEW control charts. A numerical example of service times with a right-skewed distribution from a service system of a bank branch in Taiwan is used to illustrate the application of the proposed variance chart and of the arcsine transformed EWMA chart and to compare them with three existing variance (or standard deviation) charts. The proposed charts show better detection performance than those three existing variance charts in monitoring and detecting shifts in the process variance.     

A double exponentially weigiited moving average control procedure with variable sampling intervals

Shewhart, cumulative sum (CUSUM), and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control procedures with variable sampling intervals (VSI) have been investigated in recent years for detecting shifts in the process mean. Such procedures have been shown to be more efficient when compared with the corresponding fixed sampling interval (FSI) charts with respect to the average time to signal (ATS) when the average run length (ARL) values of both types of procedures are held equal. Frequent switching between the different sampling intervals can be a complicating factor in the application of control charts with variable sampling intervals. In this article, we propose using a double exponentially weighted moving average control procedure with variable sampling intervals (VSI-DEWMA) for detecting shifts in the process mean. It is shown that the proposed VSI-DEWMA control procedure is more efficient when compared with the corresponding fixed sampling interval FSI-DEWMA chart with respect to the average time to signal (ATS) when the average run length (ARL) values of both types of procedures are held equal. It is also shown that the VSI-DEWMA procedure reduces the average number of switches between the sampling intervals and has similar ATS properties as compared to the VSI-EMTMA control procedure     

An Improved Distribution-free EWMA Mean Chart

Control charts are effective tools for signal detection in both manufacturing processes and service processes. Much service data come from a process with variables having nonnormal or unknown distributions. The commonly used Shewhart variable control charts, which depend heavily on the normality assumption, should not be properly used here. In this article, we propose an improved asymmetric EWMA mean chart based on a simple statistic to monitor process mean shift. We explored the sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic and calculated the average run lengths of the proposed asymmetric EWMA mean chart. We recommend the proposed improved asymmetric EWMA mean chart because the average run lengths of the modified charts are more accurate and reasonable than those of the five existed mean charts. A numerical example of service times with a right skewed distribution from a service system of a bank branch is used to illustrate the application of the improved asymmetric EWMA mean chart and to compare it with the five existing mean charts. The proposed chart showed better detection performance than those of the five existing mean charts in monitoring and detecting shifts in the process mean.     

Design of adaptive s control charts

The Shewhart s chart has been widely used to monitor the standard deviation of a process. However, the main disadvantage of an s chart is its slowness to signal small increases in the variability. In this paper, ideas of adaptive control charts are extended to the Shewhart s chart for improving the efficiency in signalling increases in the standard deviation. A Markov chain model is applied to evaluate its performances and compares its performances with combined double sampling and variable sampling intervals s chart, variable parameters (VP) R chart, exponentially weighted moving average and Cusum charts. The statistical performances show that the VP s chart is more sensitive to increases in standard deviation.     

Robustness of the EWMA and the combined X¯–EWMA control charts with variable sampling intervals to non-normality

The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts with variable sampling intervals (VSIs) have been shown to be substantially quicker than the fixed sampling intervals (FSI) EWMA control charts in detecting process mean shifts. The usual assumption for designing a control chart is that the data or measurements are normally distributed. However, this assumption may not be true for some processes. In the present paper, the performances of the EWMA and combined X¯–EWMA control charts with VSIs are evaluated under non-normality. It is shown that adding the VSI feature to the EWMA control charts results in very substantial decreases in the expected time to detect shifts in process mean under both normality and non-normality. However, the combined X¯–EWMA chart has its false alarm rate and its detection ability is affected if the process data are not normally distributed.     

A mean deviation-based approach to monitor process variability

The study proposes a Shewhart-type control chart, namely an MD chart, based on average absolute deviations taken from the median, for monitoring changes (especially moderate and large changes – a major concern of Shewhart control charts) in process dispersion assuming normality of the quality characteristic to be monitored. The design structure of the proposed MD chart is developed and its comparison is made with those of two well-known dispersion control charts, namely the R and S charts. Using power curves as a performance measure, it has been observed that the design structure of the proposed MD chart is more powerful than that of the R chart and is very close competitor to that of the S chart, in terms of discriminatory power for detecting shifts in the process dispersion. The non-normality effect is also examined on design structures of the three charts, and it has been observed that the design structure of the proposed MD chart is least affected by departure from normality.     

A Multivariate Adaptive Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart

A multivariate extension of the adaptive exponentially weighted moving average (AEWMA) control chart is proposed. The new multivariate scheme can detect small and large shifts in the process mean vector effectively. The proposed scheme can be viewed as a smooth combination of a multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) chart and a Shewhart χ²-chart. The optimal design of the proposed chart is given according to a pre-specified in-control average run length and two shift sizes; a small and large shift each measured in terms of the non centrality parameter. The signal resistance of the newly proposed multivariate chart is also given. Comparisons among the new chart, the MEWMA chart, and the combined Shewhart-MEWMA (S-MEWMA) chart in terms of the standard and worst-case average run length profiles are presented. In addition, the three charts are compared with respect to their worst-case signal resistance values. The proposed chart gives somewhat better worst-case ARL and signal resistance values than the competing charts. It also gives better standard ARL performance especially for moderate and large shifts. The effectiveness of our proposed chart is illustrated through an example with simulated data set.     

Economic design of VSI X̄ control chart with correlated non-normal data under multiple assignable causes

It has been recently revealed that the Shewhart control charts with variable sampling interval (VSI) perform better than the traditional Shewhart chart with the fixed sampling interval in detecting shifts in the process. In most of these research works, the normality and independency of the process data or measurements are assumed and that the process is subjected to only one assignable cause. While, in practice, these assumptions usually do not hold, some recent studies are focused on working with only one or two of these violations. In this paper, the situation in which the process data are correlated and follow a non-normal distribution and that there is multiplicity of assignable causes in the process is considered. For this case, a cost model for the economic design of the VSI X? control chart is developed, where the Burr distribution is employed to represent the non-normal distribution of the process data. To obtain the optimal values of the design parameters, a genetic algorithm is employed in which the response surface methodology is applied. A numerical example is presented to show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed methodology. Sensitivity analysis is also carried out to evaluate the effects of cost and input parameters on the performance of the chart.