Moderate deviations for the moment estimators in Rayleigh distribution with two parameters

ABSTRACT

We study the moderate deviations of the moment estimators in Rayleigh distribution with two parameters. The moderate deviations are obtained by the delta method in large deviation principle.     

Moderate deviations for the total population arising from a nearly unstable sub-critical Galton-Watson process with immigration

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the moderate deviation of the nearly unstable sub-critical Galton-Waston process with immigration for the centered total population arising. We discuss the main influence factors for the form of moderate deviation in different stochastic processes. Moreover, we compute the exact rate function in every different situation of MDP.     

Moderate Deviation Principles for Empirical Covariance in the Neighbourhood of the Unit Root

In this paper, we consider the linear autoregressive model with varying coefficients θ_n∈[0,1). When θ_n tending to the unit root, the moderate deviation principle for empirical covariance is discussed, and as statistical applications, we provide the moderate deviation estimates of the least square and the Yule–Walker estimators of the parameter θ_n.     

Pareto-optimal reinsurance for both the insurer and the reinsurer with general premium principles

Abstract

In this paper, we study Pareto-optimal reinsurance policies from the perspectives of an insurer and a reinsurer, assuming reinsurance premium principles satisfy risk loading and stop-loss ordering preserving. By geometric approach, we determine the forms of the optimal policies among two classes of ceded loss functions, the class of increasing convex ceded loss functions and the class that the constraints on both ceded and retained loss functions are relaxed to increasing functions. Then we demonstrate the applicability of our results by giving the parameters of the optimal ceded loss functions under Dutch premium principle and Wang’s premium principle.     

The Discounted Large Deviation Principle for Autoregressive Processes

In this article, the discounted large deviation principle for autoregressive processes is obtained under the Bernstein condition.     

A class of small deviation theorems for the random variables associated with mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chains

ABSTRACT

In this article, we study a class of small deviation theorems for the random variables associated with mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chains. First, the definition of mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chain is introduced, then by applying the known results of the limit theorem for mth-order non homogeneous Markov chain, the small deviation theorem on the frequencies of occurrence of states for mth-order asymptotic circular Markov chains is established. Next, the strong law of large numbers and asymptotic equipartition property for this Markov chains are obtained. Finally, some results of mth-order nonhomogeneous Markov chains are given.     

Moderate Deviation for Parameter Estimation in the Rayleigh Diffusion Process

In this article, we study moderate deviation for parameter estimation in the Rayleigh diffusion process and obtain the moderate deviation principle of the maximum likelihood estimator with explicit rate function.     

Robust two-level regular fractional factorial designs

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce the concept of model quality for two-level regular fractional factorial designs. Under the effect hierarchy principle, this paper raises the definition of model quality and introduces robust model-number pattern (RP) to choose the optimal robust design. Some theoretical results on this optimality and comparisons with GMC and MEC criterion are given.     

Precise large deviations for aggregate claims

Abstract

In this article, we consider a non standard renewal risk model, in which the claim sizes form a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables; the inter-arrival times are negatively associated; and each pair of the claim size and its inter-arrival time follows negative association or arbitrary dependence structure. We establish some precise large-deviation formulas for the aggregate amount of claims in the heavy-tailed case.     

Contribution of maximum entropy principle in the field of queueing theory

ABSTRACT

In the literature of information theory, there exist many well known measures of entropy suitable for entropy optimization principles towards applications in different disciplines of science and technology. The object of this article is to develop a new generalized measure of entropy and to establish the relation between entropy and queueing theory. To fulfill our aim, we have made use of maximum entropy principle which provides the most uncertain probability distribution subject to some constraints expressed by mean values.     

Asymptotic ruin probabilities for a bidimensional risk model with heavy-tailed claims and non-stationary arrivals

Abstract

This article studies a bidimensional risk model, in which an insurer simultaneously confronts two kinds of claims sharing a common non-stationary arrival process. Assuming that the arrival process satisfies a large deviation principle and the claim-size distributions are heavy tailed, an asymptotic formula for the corresponding ruin probability of this bidimensional risk model is obtained.     

The effect of parameter estimation on phase II monitoring of poisson regression profiles

ABSTRACT

The effect of parameters estimation on profile monitoring methods has only been studied by a few researchers and only the assumption of a normal response variable has been tackled. However, in some practical situation, the normality assumption is violated and the response variable follows a discrete distribution such as Poisson. In this paper, we evaluate the effect of parameters estimation on the Phase II monitoring of Poisson regression profiles by considering two control charts, namely the Hotelling’s T² and the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) charts. Simulation studies in terms of the average run length (ARL) and the standard deviation of the run length (SDRL) are carried out to assess the effect of estimated parameters on the performance of Phase II monitoring approaches. The results reveal that both in-control and out-of-control performances of these charts are adversely affected when the regression parameters are estimated.     

Robust analogs to the coefficient of variation

The coefficient of variation (CV) is commonly used to measure relative dispersion. However, since it is based on the sample mean and standard deviation, outliers can adversely affect it. Additionally, for skewed distributions the mean and standard deviation may be difficult to interpret and, consequently, that may also be the case for the CV. Here we investigate the extent to which quantile-based measures of relative dispersion can provide appropriate summary information as an alternative to the CV. In particular, we investigate two measures, the first being the interquartile range (in lieu of the standard deviation), divided by the median (in lieu of the mean), and the second being the median absolute deviation, divided by the median, as robust estimators of relative dispersion. In addition to comparing the influence functions of the competing estimators and their asymptotic biases and variances, we compare interval estimators using simulation studies to assess coverage.     

Deviation of order p for estimators of the variance in first-order stochastic differential equation (SDE)

In this work, we consider a non-parametric estimator of the variance in one-dimensional diffusion models or, more generally, in Itô processes with a deterministic diffusion term and a general non-anticipative drift. The estimation is based on the quadratic variation of discrete time observations over a finite interval. In particular, a central limit theorem (CLT) is proved for the deviation in L ^p norm (p≥; 1) between the variance and this estimator. The method of the proof consists in writing the L ^p norm of the deviation, when the drift term is equal to zero, as a sum of 4-dependent random variables. The moments are then computed by means of a Gaussian approximation and a CLT for m-dependent random variables is applied. The convergence is stable in law, this allows the result for processes with general drifts to be obtained, by using Girsanov's formula.     

Large deviations for sum of UEND and φ-mixing random variables with heavy tails

Abstract

In this article, we obtain the large deviations for sum of non identically distributed random variables which are upper extended negative dependent and φ-mixing.     

Robust unit root tests with autoregressive errors

ABSTRACT

This article presents a new test for unit roots based on least absolute deviation estimation specially designed to work for time series with autoregressive errors. The methodology used is a bootstrap scheme based on estimating a model and then the innovations. The resampling part is performed under the null hypothesis and, as it is customary in bootstrap procedures, is automatic and does not rely on the calculation of any nuisance parameter. The validity of the procedure is established and the asymptotic distribution of the statistic proposed is proved to converge to the correct distribution. To analyze the performance of the test for finite samples, a Monte Carlo study is conducted showing a very good behavior in many different situations.     

Some Statistical Methods in Assessing Linear Relational Agreement: An Empirical Comparative Study

Although multiple indices were introduced in the area of agreement measurements, the only documented index for linear relational agreement, which is for interval scale data, is the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient. Despite its meaningfulness, the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient does not convey the practical information such as what proportion of observations is within a certain boundary of the target value. To address this need, based on the inverse regression, we proposed the adjusted mean squared deviation (AMSD), adjusted coverage probability (ACP), and adjusted total deviation index (ATDI) for the measurement of the relational agreement. They can serve as reasonable and practically meaningful measurements for relational agreement. Real life data are considered to illustrate the performance of the methods.