Evaluation of a method for setting confidence intervals on the common mean of two normal populations

Let X₁, , X₂, …, X be distributed N(µ, σ² _x), let Y₁, Y₂, …, Y"_n be distributed N(µ, σ² _y), and let X , X , … X_m, Y₁, Y₂, …, Y_n be mutually independent. In this paper a method for setting confidence intervals on the common mean µ is proposed and evaluated.     

Variances of UMVU Estimators for Means and Variances After Using a Normalizing Transformation

Suppose that the function f is of recursive type and the random variable X is normally distributed with mean μ and variance α². We set C = f(x). Neyman & Scott (1960) and Hoyle (1968) gave the UMVU estimators for the mean E(C) and for the variance Var(C) from independent and identically distributed random variables X₁,…, X_n(n ≧ 2) having a normal distribution with mean μ and variance σ², respectively. Shimizu & Iwase (1981) gave the variance of the UMVU estimator for E(C). In this paper, the variance of the UMVU estimator for Var(C) is given.     

On the asymptotic expectation and variance of the number of boundary crossings

Let X₁,X₂,… be independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables with mean μ, and let S_n = X₁ + … + X_n. For each λ > 0 and each n ≥ 1, let A_n be the interval [λn^Y, ∞), where γ > 1 is a constant. The number of times that S_n is in A_n is denoted by N. As λ tends to zero, the asymtotic behavior of N is studied. Specifically under suitable conditions, the expectation of N is shown to be (μλ^?1)^β + o(λ^?β/2 where β = 1/(γ-1) and the variance of N is shown to be (μλ^?1)^β(βμ¹)²σ² + o(λ^?β) where σ² is the variance of X_n.     

Confidence intervals for the largest mean from k correlated normal populations

Let X= (X₁,…, X_k)’ be a k-variate (k ≥ 2) normal random vector with unknown population mean vector μ = (μ₁ ,…, μ_k)’ and covariance matrix Σ of order k and let μ_[1] ≤ … ≤ μ_[k] be the ordered values of the μ ’ s. No prior knowledge of the pairing of the μ_[i] with the X_j. (or μ_[i] with the σ_j ²) is assumed for any i and j (1 ≤ i, j ≤ k). Based on a random sample of N independent vector observations on X, this paper considers both upper and lower (one-sided) and two-sided 100γ% (0 < γ < 1) confidence intervals for μ_[k] and μ_[1], the largest and the smallest mean, respectively, when Σ is known and when Σ is equal to σ²R with common unknown variance σ² > 0 and correlation matrix R known, respectively. An optimum two-sided confidence interval via finding the shortest length from this class is also considered. Necessary tables and computer program to actually apply these procedures are provided.     

A class of fixed-width confidence intervals for a ranked normal mean

Suppose that we are given k(≥ 2) independent and normally distributed populations π₁, …, π_k where π_i has unknown mean μ_i and unknown variance σ² _i (i = 1, …, k). Let μ_[i] (i = 1, …, k) denote the i^th smallest one of μ₁, …, μ_k. A two-stage procedure is used to construct lower and upper confidence intervals for μ_[i] and then use these to obtain a class of two-sided confidence intervals on μ_[i] with fixed width. For i = k, the interval given by Chen and Dudewicz (1976) is a special case. Comparison is made between the class of two-sided intervals and a symmetric interval proposed by Chen and Dudewicz (1976) for the largest mean, and it is found that for large values of k at least one of the former intervals requires a smaller total sample size. The tables needed to actually apply the procedure are provided.     

Sequential Fixed-Width Confidence Interval for a Function of the Parameters

Let X₁…, X_m and Y₁…, Y_n be two independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables with distribution functions F_x(.|θ) and F_y(. | φ) respectively. Let g(θ, φ) be a real-valued function of the unknown parameters θ and φ. The purpose of this paper is to suggest a sequential procedure which gives a fixed-width confidence interval for g(θ, φ) so that the coverage probability is approximately α (preas-signed). Certain asymptotic optimality properties of the sequential procedure are established. A Monte Carlo study is presented.     

Some competitors of the mood test for the two-sample scale problem

Let X_l,…,X_n (Y_l,…,Y_m) be a random sample from an absolutely continuous distribution with distribution function F(G).A class of distribution-free tests based on U-statistics is proposed for testing the equality of F and G against the alternative that X's are more dispersed then Y's. Let 2 ? C ? n and 2 ? d ? m be two fixed integers. Let ?_c,d(X_il,…,X_ic ; Y_jl,…,X_jd)=1(-1)when max as well as min of {X_il,…,X_ic ; Y_jl,…,Y_jd } are some X_i's (Y_j's)and zero oterwise. Let S_c,d be the U-statistic corresponding to ?_c,d.In case of equal sample sizes, S22 is equivalent to Mood's Statistic.Large values of S_c,d are significant and these tests are quite efficient     

A note on the completeness of the normal family with constant coefficient of variation

Suppose that Z₁ …Zⁿ are independent and normally distributed with common mean u and variance σ².When σ² = λμ²with given λ> 0, it is well known that the minimal sufficient statistic is not complete for μ if n ≥ 2. The question of completeness seems to be unresolved when n = 1. In this note, we consider this case and, by using the heat equation, establish the second moment completeness of the minimal sufficient statistic, a property which is weaker than completeness but stronger than bounded completeness. Finally, we apply this result to a linear calibration problem.     

Locally minimax tests for multiple correlations

Let X be a normally distributed p-dimensional column vector with mean μ and positive definite covariance matrix σ. and let X α, α = 1,…, N, be a random sample of size N from this distribution. Partition X as ( X ₁, X ₍₂₎', X '₍₃₎)', where X₁ is one-dimension, X₍₂₎ is p₂- dimensional, and so 1 + p₁ + p₂ = p. Let ρ₁ and ρ be the multiple correlation coefficients of X₁ with X₍₂₎ and with ( X '₍₂₎, X '₍₃₎)', respectively. Write ρ2/2 = ρ² - ρ2/1. We shall cosider the following two problems     

On the admissibility of c[Xbar] + d with respect to the linex loss function

Let X₁, …,X_n be a random sample from a normal distribution with mean θ and variance σ² The problem is to estimate θ with loss function L(θ,e) = v(e-θ) where v(x) = b(exp(ax)-ax-l) and where a, b are constants with b>0, a¦0. Zellner (1986), showed that [Xbar] ? σ²a/2n dominates [Xbar] and hence [Xbar] is inadmissible. The question of what values of c and d render c[Xbar]+ d admissible is studied here.     

The estimation of the number of balls put in a sequence of urns

Let X₁,…,X_2n be independent and identically distributed copies of the non-negative integer valued random variable X distributed according to the unknown frequency function f(x). A total of 2n disjoint sequences of urns, each consisting of k urns, are given. X_j balls are placed in urn sequence j (1 ≤ j ≤ 2n). Each ball is placed in an urn of a given sequence with a certain known probability independently of the other balls. The variables X₁,…,X_2n are not observed; rather we observe whether certain pairs of urns are both empty or not. Our object is to estimate the mean μ of the number of balls X. Two different kinds of estimators of μ are investigated. One of the estimators studied is a method of moments type estimator while the other is motivated by the maximum likelihood principle. These estimators are compared on the basis of their asymptotic mean squared error as k tends to infinity. An application of these results to a problem in genetics involved with estimating codon substitution rates is discussed.     

Nonparametric estimation of survival functions for incomplete observations when the life time distribution is proportionally related ot the censoring time distribution

Let X₁, X₂…,X_n be a random sample from [ILM0001] and let Y₁, …,Y_n be a random sample from [ILM0002]. Then instead of observing a complete sample X₁,…X_n, we can only observe the pairs Z_i. = min(X_i.,Y_i) and [ILM0003] In this paper, we consider estimation of survival function [ILM0004] when [ILM0005], where β is an unknown positive real number.

     

A remark on estimating the mean of a normal distribution with known coefficient of variation

Let X₁, X₂, …, X_n be iid N(μ, aμ²) (a>0) random variables with an unknown mean μ>0 and known coefficient of variation (CV) √a. The estimation of μ is revisited and it is shown that a modified version of an unbiased estimator of μ [cf. Khan RA. A note on estimating the mean of a normal distribution with known CV. J Am Stat Assoc. 1968;63:1039–1041] is more efficient. A certain linear minimum mean square estimator of Gleser and Healy [Estimating the mean of a normal distribution with known CV. J Am Stat Assoc. 1976;71:977–981] is also modified and improved. These improved estimators are being compared with the maximum likelihood estimator under squared-error loss function. Based on asymptotic consideration, a large sample confidence interval is also mentioned.     

Prediction intervals with a Dirichlet-process prior distribution

Let X₁, …,X_n, and Y₁, … Y_n be consecutive samples from a distribution function F which itself is randomly chosen according to the Ferguson (1973) Dirichlet-process prior distribution on the space of distribution functions. Typically, prediction intervals employ the observations X₁,…, X_n in the first sample in order to predict a specified function of the future sample Y₁, …, Y_n. Here one- and two-sided prediction intervals for at least q of N future observations are developed for the situation in which, in addition to the previous sample, there is prior information available. The information is specified via the parameter α of the Dirichlet process prior distribution.     

Estimating population size with truncated sampling

Let X₁, X₂,…,X_n be independent, indentically distributed random variables with density f(x,θ) with respect to a σ-finite measure μ. Let R be a measurable set in the sample space X. The value of X is observable if X ? (X?R) and not otherwise. The number J of observable X’s is binomial, N, Q, Q = 1?P(X ? R). On the basis of J observations, it is desired to estimate N and θ. Estimators considered are conditional and unconditional maximum likelihood and modified maximum likelihood using a prior weight function to modify the likelihood before maximizing. Asymptotic expansions are developed for the [Ncirc]’s of the form [Ncirc] = N + α√N + β + o_p(1), where α and β are random variables. All estimators have the same α, which has mean 0, variance σ² (a function of θ) and is asymptotically normal. Hence all are asymptotically equivalent by the usual limit distributional theory. The β’s differ and Eβ can be considered an “asymptotic bias”. Formulas are developed to compare the asymptotic biases of the various estimators. For a scale parameter family of absolutely continuous distributions with X = (0,∞) and R = (T,∞), special formuli are developed and a best estimator is found.     

A stochastic Newton-Raphson method

A stochastic approximation procedure of the Robbins-Monro type is considered. The original idea behind the Newton-Raphson method is used as follows. Given n approximations X₁,…, X_n with observations Y₁,…, Y_n, a least squares line is fitted to the points (X_m, Y_m),…, (X_n, Y_n) where m<n may depend on n. The (n+1)st approximation is taken to be the intersection of the least squares line with y=0. A variation of the resulting process is studied. It is shown that this process yields a strongly consistent sequence of estimates which is asymptotically normal with minimal asymptotic variance.     

Stochastic orderings related to ranking in an nth order record process

Let X₁, X₂, …, X_m be successive observations on m objects, numbered 1,2, …, m. If X₁ belongs to the n largest observations among X₁,X₂,…,X_i, object i is called a record, i = 1,2,…,m; n?1.In investigating the influence of the ranking of the objects on the expected number of records, a hierarchy of stochastic order relations between random variables arises.It is these order relations and their relationship with known stochastic orderings that are studied in this paper.     

ON TESTING AGAINST RESTRICTED ALTERNATIVES FOR THE VARIANCES OF GAUSSIAN MODELS

Let π₁,…,π_p be p independent normal populations with means μ₁…, μ_p and variances σ²₁,…, σ²_p respectively. Let X(n_i) be a simple random sample of size n_i from π_i, i = 1,…,p. Given the simple random samples X(n₁),…, X(n_p) from π₁,…,π_p respectively, a test has been proposed for testing the homogeneity of variances H₀: σ²₁=…σ²_p, against the restricted alternative, H₁: σ²₁≥…≥σ²_p, with at least one strict inequality. Some properties of the test are discussed and critical values are tabulated.     

Non-parametric estimation of an acceleration parameter

Let X₁,… X_m be a random sample of m failure times under normal conditions with the underlying distribution F(x) and Y₁,…,Y_n a random sample of n failure times under accelerated condititons with underlying distribution G(x);G(x)=1?[1?F(x)]^θ with θ being the unknown parameter under study.Define:U_ij=1 otherwise.The joint distribution of _ijdoes not involve the distribution F and thus can be used to estimate the acceleration parameter θ.The second approach for estimating θ is to use the ranks of the Y-observations in the combined X- and Y-samples.In this paper we establish that the rank of the Y-observations in the pooled sample form a sufficient statistic for the information contained in the U_ii 's about the parameter θ and that there does not exist an unbiassed estimator for the parameter θ.We also construct several estimators and confidence interavals for the parameter θ.     

Two-Sample Tests Based on the Integrated Empirical Process

Abstract

Let X ₁, …, X _m and Y ₁, …, Y _n be independent random variables, where X ₁, …, X _m are i.i.d. with continuous distribution function (df) F, and Y ₁, …, Y _n are i.i.d. with continuous df G. For testing the hypothesis H ₀: F = G, we introduce and study analogues of the celebrated Kolmogorov–Smirnov and one- and two-sided Cramér-von Mises statistics that are functionals of a suitably integrated two-sample empirical process. Furthermore, we characterize those distributions for which the new tests are locally Bahadur optimal within the setting of shift alternatives.