On boundary correction in kernel density estimation

It is well known now that kernel density estimators are not consistent when estimating a density near the finite end points of the support of the density to be estimated. This is due to boundary effects that occur in nonparametric curve estimation problems. A number of proposals have been made in the kernel density estimation context with some success. As of yet there appears to be no single dominating solution that corrects the boundary problem for all shapes of densities. In this paper, we propose a new general method of boundary correction for univariate kernel density estimation. The proposed method generates a class of boundary corrected estimators. They all possess desirable properties such as local adaptivity and non-negativity. In simulation, it is observed that the proposed method perform quite well when compared with other existing methods available in the literature for most shapes of densities, showing a very important robustness property of the method. The theory behind the new approach and the bias and variance of the proposed estimators are given. Results of a data analysis are also given.     

Robust quasi-randomization-based estimation with ensemble learning for missing data

Missing data analysis requires assumptions about an outcome model or a response probability model to adjust for potential bias due to nonresponse. Doubly robust (DR) estimators are consistent if at least one of the models is correctly specified. Multiply robust (MR) estimators extend DR estimators by allowing for multiple models for both the outcome and/or response probability models and are consistent if at least one of the multiple models is correctly specified. We propose a robust quasi-randomization-based model approach to bring more protection against model misspecification than the existing DR and MR estimators, where any multiple semiparametric, nonparametric or machine learning models can be used for the outcome variable. The proposed estimator achieves unbiasedness by using a subsampling Rao–Blackwell method, given cell-homogenous response, regardless of any working models for the outcome. An unbiased variance estimation formula is proposed, which does not use any replicate jackknife or bootstrap methods. A simulation study shows that our proposed method outperforms the existing multiply robust estimators.     

Estimators based on ranks for arma models

In this paper we introduce a new family of robust estimators for ARMA models. These estimators are defined by replacing the residual sample autocovariances in the least squares equations by autocovariances based on ranks. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators is provided. The efficiency and robustness properties of these estimators are studied. An adequate choice of the score functions gives estimators which have high efficiency under normality and robustness in the presence of outliers. The score functions can also be chosen so that the resulting estimators are asymptotically as efficient as the maximum likelihood estimators for a given distribution.     

A generalized reflection method of boundary correction in kernel density estimation

The kernel method of estimation of curves is now popular and widely used in statistical applications. Kernel estimators suffer from boundary effects, however, when the support of the function to be estimated has finite endpoints. Several solutions to this problem have already been proposed. Here the authors develop a new method of boundary correction for kernel density estimation. Their technique is a kind of generalized reflection involving transformed data. It generates a class of boundary corrected estimators having desirable properties such as local smoothness and nonnegativity. Simulations show that the proposed method performs quite well when compared with the existing methods for almost all shapes of densities. The authors present the theory behind this new methodology, and they determine the bias and variance of their estimators.     

A new method of imputation in survey sampling

In this paper, an alternative estimator of population mean in the presence of non-response has been suggested which comes in the form of Walsh's estimator. The estimator of mean obtained from the proposed technique remains better than the estimators obtained from ratio or mean methods of imputation. The mean-squared error (MSE) of the resultant estimator is less than that of the estimator obtained on the basis of ratio method of imputation for the optimum choice of parameters. An estimator for estimating a parameter involved in the process of new method of imputation has been discussed. A suggestion to form ‘warm deck’ method of imputation has been suggested. The MSE expressions for the proposed estimators have been derived analytically and compared empirically. The work has been extended to the case of multi-auxiliary information to be used for imputation. Numerical illustrations are also provided.     

C337. Misspecified location and scale. 11. independence of and s2

A hierarchical Bayesian approach to the problem of estimating the largest normal mean is considered. Calculation of the posterior mean and the posterior variance involves, at worst, 3-dimensional numerical integration, for which an efficient Monte Carlo method of evaluation is given. An example is presented to illustrate the methodology. In the two populations case, computation of the posterior estimates can be substantially simplified and in special cases can actually be performed using closed form solutions. A simulation study has been done to compare mean square errors of some hierarchical Bayesian estimators that are expressed in closed forms and several existing estimators of the larger mean.     

New calibration estimator in stratified sampling

This paper develops the theory of calibration estimation and proposes calibration approach alternative to existing calibration estimators for estimating population mean of the study variable using auxiliary variable in stratified sampling. The theory of new calibration estimation is given and optimum weights are derived. A simulation study is carried out to performance of the proposed calibration estimator with other existing calibration estimators. The results reveal that the proposed calibration estimators are more efficient than Tracy et al., Singh et al., Singh calibration estimators of the population mean.     

Improved two phase sampling exponential ratio and product type estimators for population mean of study character in the presence of non response

Improved two phase sampling exponential ratio and product type estimators for population mean using known coefficient of variation of study character in the presence of non response have been proposed and their properties are studied under large sample approximation. The proposed estimators are compared with the other existing estimators by using the MSE criterion and the conditions under which the proposed estimators perform better are obtained. An empirical study is also given to judge the performance of the proposed estimators. At the end, simulation studies have been carried out to verify the superiority to the proposed estimators.     

A comparison of some robust,adaptive, and partially adaptive estimators of regression models

Numerous estimation techniques for regression models have been proposed. These procedures differ in how sample information is used in the estimation procedure. The efficiency of least squares (OLS) estimators implicity assumes normally distributed residuals and is very sensitive to departures from normality, particularly to "outliers" and thick-tailed distributions. Lead absolute deviation (LAD) estimators are less sensitive to outliers and are optimal for laplace random disturbances, but not for normal errors. This paper reports monte carlo comparisons of OLS,LAD, two robust estimators discussed by huber, three partially adaptiveestimators, newey's generalized method of moments estimator, and an adaptive maximum likelihood estimator based on a normal kernal studied by manski. This paper is the first to compare the relative performance of some adaptive robust estimators (partially adaptive and adaptive procedures) with some common nonadaptive robust estimators. The partially adaptive estimators are based on three flxible parametric distributions for the errors. These include the power exponential (Box-Tiao) and generalized t distributions, as well as a distribution for the errors, which is not necessarily symmetric. The adaptive procedures are "fully iterative" rather than one step estimators. The adaptive estimators have desirable large sample properties, but these properties do not necessarily carry over to the small sample case.

The monte carlo comparisons of the alternative estimators are based on four different specifications for the error distribution: a normal, a mixture of normals (or variance-contaminated normal), a bimodal mixture of normals, and a lognormal. Five hundred samples of 50 are used. The adaptive and partially adaptive estimators perform very well relative to the other estimation procedures considered, and preliminary results suggest that in some important cases they can perform much better than OLS with 50 to 80% reductions in standard errors.

     

Estimating and testing effect size from an arbitrary population

In this article, we develop inference tools for an effect size parameter in a paired experiment. A class of estimators is defined that includes natural, shrinkage and shrinkage preliminary test estimators. The shrinkage and preliminary test methods incorporate uncertain prior information on the parameter. This information may be available in the form of a realistic guess on the basis of the experimenter’s knowledge and experience, which can be incorporated into the estimation process to increase the efficiency of the estimator. Asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are investigated both analytically and computationally. A simulation study is also conducted to assess the performance of the estimators for moderate and large samples. For illustration purposes, the method is applied to a data set.     

Estimation of parameters of the gped

Janardan (1973) introduced the generalized Polya-Eggenberger distribution as a limiting form of the generalized Markov-Polya distribution (GMPD), Ja¬nardan (1998) derived GPED formally by means of Lagrange's expansion and discussed its various properties systematically. Here, a new urn model is pro¬vided for the GPED. Moment estimators of the parameters are given in closed form. Maximum hkelihood estimators are also given. Some apphcations are provided.     

Bayes and admissibility properties of estimators in truncated parameter spaces

For the problem of estimating a parameter θ when θ is known to lie in a closed, convex subset D of R^k, conditions are given under which estimators δ of θ cannot be Bayes estimators, as well as conditions under which δ is inadmissible. The estimators considered are so-called “boundary estimators”. Maximum-likelihood estimators in truncated parameter spaces are examples to which our results often apply. For the special case when k = 1 and D is compact, two classes of estimators dominating the inadmissible ones are constructed. Some examples are given.     

Parameter estimates and tests of fit for infinite mixther distrirutions

Al though mixtures form a rich class of probability models, they often present difficulties for statistical inference. Likelihood functions are sometimes unbounded at certain values of the parameters, and densities often have no closed form. These features complicate hoth maximum-likelihood estimation and tests of fit based on the empirical distribution function. New inferential methods using sample characteristic functions (Cfs) and moment generating functions (MGFs) seem well-suited to mixtures. since these transforms often take simple form/ This paper reports a simulation study of the properties of estimators and tests of fit based on CFs, MGFs, and sample moments when applied to three specific families of thick tailed mixture distributios.     

On the relative behavior of estimators of reliability/survivability

Based on a decomposition of mean absolute error, a twofold technique is introduced whereby a pairwise comparison of point estimators of reliability/survivability can be made. Given two such estimators, the method examines (a) the “odds” in favor of one of the estimators being closer to the true value than is the other and (b) each estimator’s average closeness to the true value not only when it is closer than is the other but also when it is not. Joint consideration of these concepts is shown to form a basis for determining which of the two estimators is preferred in a given situation. An application of the theory is made by comparing the maximum likelihood and minimum variance unbiased estimators of reliability/survivability in the exponential failure model.     

A new flexible hazard rate distribution: Application and estimation of its parameters

We introduce a new class of flexible hazard rate distributions which have constant, increasing, decreasing, and bathtub-shaped hazard function. This class of distributions obtained by compounding the power and exponential hazard rate functions, which is called the power-exponential hazard rate distribution and contains several important lifetime distributions. We obtain some distributional properties of the new family of distributions. The estimation of parameters is obtained by using the maximum likelihood and the Bayesian methods under squared error, linear-exponential, and Stein’s loss functions. Also, approximate confidence intervals and HPD credible intervals of parameters are presented. An application to real dataset is provided to show that the new hazard rate distribution has a better fit than the other existing hazard rate distributions and some four-parameter distributions. Finally , to compare the performance of proposed estimators and confidence intervals, an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted.     

The small sample performance of some limited information estimators of a dynamic structural equation with autocorrelated errors †

This paper examines the small sample properties of the following seven estimators of a dynamic structural equation with autocorrelated errors: (1) 2SLS; (2) Fair’s modification of Sargan’s 2SLS; (3) the Dhrymes, Berner and Cummins (1974) variant of 2SLS; (4) a modified Theil's (1958) generalized 2SLS; (5) three two-step estimators proposed by Hatanaka (1976). Our principal results are that for low degrees of autocorrelation 2SLS performs well whereas for high degrees of autocorrelation the Theil and Dhrymes estimators are best with two of Hatanaka’s estimators close behind. The Fair and the remaining Hatanaka estimator are always dominated by the others. This is of some practical interest because the Fair estimator is a standard option in some software packages.     

Local polynomial estimation of Poisson intensities in the presence of reporting delays

Summary.  The system for monitoring suicides in Hong Kong has considerable delays in reporting as the cause of death needs to be determined by a coroner's investigation. However, timely estimates of suicide rates are desirable to assist in the formulation of public health policies. This motivated us to develop a non-parametric procedure to estimate the intensity function of a Poisson process in the presence of reporting delays. We give closed form estimators of the Poisson intensity and the delay distribution, conduct simulation studies to evaluate the method proposed and derive their asymptotic properties. The method proposed is applied to estimate the intensity of suicide in Hong Kong.     

On the Local Polynomial Estimators of the Counting Process Intensity Function and its Derivatives

Abstract. We consider the properties of the local polynomial estimators of a counting process intensity function and its derivatives. By expressing the local polynomial estimators in a kernel smoothing form via effective kernels, we show that the bias and variance of the estimators at boundary points are of the same magnitude as at interior points and therefore the local polynomial estimators in the context of intensity estimation also enjoy the automatic boundary correction property as they do in other contexts such as regression. The asymptotically optimal bandwidths and optimal kernel functions are obtained through the asymptotic expressions of the mean square error of the estimators. For practical purpose, we suggest an effective and easy‐to‐calculate data‐driven bandwidth selector. Simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of the local polynomial estimators and the proposed bandwidth selector. The estimators and the bandwidth selector are applied to estimate the rate of aftershocks of the Sichuan earthquake and the rate of the Personal Emergency Link calls in Hong Kong.     

A location-invariant non-positive moment-type estimator of the extreme value index

This paper investigates a class of location invariant non-positive moment-type estimators of extreme value index, which is highly flexible due to the tuning parameter involved. Its asymptotic expansions and its optimal sample fraction in terms of minimal asymptotic mean square error are derived. A small scale Monte Carlo simulation turns out that the new estimators, with a suitable choice of the tuning parameter driven by the data itself, perform well compared to the known ones. Finally, the proposed estimators with a bootstrap optimal sample fraction are applied to an environmental data set.     

Two-Stage Estimation in Copula Models Used in Family Studies

In this paper register based family studies provide the motivation for studying a two-stage estimation procedure in copula models for multivariate failure time data. The asymptotic properties of the estimators in both parametric and semi-parametric models are derived, generalising the approach by Shih and Louis (Biometrics vol. 51, pp. 1384–1399, 1995b) and Glidden (Lifetime Data Analysis vol. 6, pp. 141–156, 2000). Because register based family studies often involve very large cohorts a method for analysing a sampled cohort is also derived together with the asymptotic properties of the estimators. The proposed methods are studied in simulations and the estimators are found to be highly efficient. Finally, the methods are applied to a study of mortality in twins.