A comparison of biased regression estimators using a pitman nearness criterion

Biased regression estimators have traditionally benn studied using the Mean Square Error (MSE) criterion. Usually these comparisons have been based on the sum of the MSE's of each of the individual parameters, i.e., a scaler valued measure that is the trace of the MSE matrix. However, since this summed MSE does not consider the covariance structure of the estimators, we propose the use of a Pitman Measure of Closeness (PMC) criterion (Keating and Gupta, 1984; Keating and Mason, 1985). In this paper we consider two versions of PMC. One of these compares the estimates and the other compares the resultant predicted values for 12 different regression estimators. These estimators represent three classes of estimators, namely, ridge, shrunken, and principal component estimators. The comparisons of these estimators using the PMC criteria are contrasted with the usual MSE criteria as well as the prediction mean square error. Included in the estimators is a relatively new estimator termed the generalized principal component estimator proposed by Jolliffe. This estimator has previously received little attention in the literature.     

Alternative estimators in logistic regression when the data are collinear

Logistic regression using conditional maximum likelihood estimation has recently gained widespread use. Many of the applications of logistic regression have been in situations in which the independent variables are collinear. It is shown that collinearity among the independent variables seriously effects the conditional maximum likelihood estimator in that the variance of this estimator is inflated in much the same way that collinearity inflates the variance of the least squares estimator in multiple regression. Drawing on the similarities between multiple and logistic regression several alternative estimators, which reduce the effect of the collinearity and are easy to obtain in practice, are suggested and compared in a simulation study.     

New biased estimators under the LINEX loss function

In this paper, using the asymmetric LINEX loss function we derive the risk function of the generalized Liu estimator and almost unbiased generalized Liu estimator. We also examine the risk performance of the feasible generalized Liu estimator and feasible almost unbiased generalized Liu estimator when the LINEX loss function is used.     

Comparisons of the alternative biased estimators for the distributed lag models

The finite distributed lag models include highly correlated variables as well as lagged and unlagged values of the same variables. Some problems are faced for this model when applying the ordinary least squares (OLS) method or econometric models such as Almon and Koyck models. The primary aim of this study is to compare performances of alternative estimators to the OLS estimator defined by combining the Almon estimator with some estimators using Almon (1965) data. A simulation study with different model parameters is performed and the estimators are compared according to the root mean square error (RMSE) and prediction mean square error (PMSE).     

Fractional principal components regression: a general approach to biased estimators

Several biased estimators have been proposed as alternatives to the least squares estimator when multicollinearity is present in the multiple linear regression model. The ridge estimator and the principal components estimator are two techniques that have been proposed for such problems. In this paper the class of fractional principal component estimators is developed for the multiple linear regression model. This class contains many of the biased estimators commonly used to combat multicollinearity. In the fractional principal components framework, two new estimation techniques are introduced. The theoretical performances of the new estimators are evaluated and their small sample properties are compared via simulation with the ridge, generalized ridge and principal components estimators     

A simulation study of five biased estimators for straight line regression

Five biased estimators of the slope in straight line regression are considered. For each, the estimate of the “bias parameter”, k, is a function of N, the number of observations, and [rcirc]² , the square of the least squares estimate of the standardized slope, β. The estimators include that of Farebrother, the ridge estimator of Hoerl, Kennard, and Baldwin, Vinod's shrunken estimators., and a new modification of one of the latter. Properties of the estimators are studied for 13 combinations of N and 3. Results of simulation experiments provide empirical evidence concerning the values of means and variances of the biased estimators of the slope and estimates of the “bias parameter”, the mean square errors of the estimators, and the frequency of improvement relative to least squares. Adjustments to degrees of freedom in the biased regression analysis of variance table are also considered. An extension of the new modification to the case of p> 1 independent variables is presented in an Appendix.     

An example of ridge regression difficulties

A simple consumption function is used to illustrate two fundamental difficulties with ridge regression and similarly motivated procedures. The first is the ambiguity of multicollinearity measures for judging the data's “ill-conditioning”. The second is the sensitivity of the estimates to the arbitrary normalization of the model. Neither of these poses a problem for least squares or Bayesian estimates. The logical restructuring of ridge procedures to avoid these difficulties leads to a more explicitly Bayesian approach.     

On the restricted almost unbiased estimators in linear regression

In this paper, the restricted almost unbiased ridge regression estimator and restricted almost unbiased Liu estimator are introduced for the vector of parameters in a multiple linear regression model with linear restrictions. The bias, variance matrices and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimators are derived and compared. It is shown that the proposed estimators will have smaller quadratic bias but larger variance than the corresponding competitors in literatures. However, they will respectively outperform the latter according to the MSE criterion under certain conditions. Finally, a simulation study and a numerical example are given to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

A new biased estimator based on ridge estimation

In this paper we introduce a new biased estimator for the vector of parameters in a linear regression model and discuss its properties. We show that our new biased estimator is superior, in the mean square error(mse) sense, to the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator, the ordinary ridge regression (ORR) estimator and the Liu estimator. We also compare the performance of our new biased estimator with two other special Liu-type estimators proposed in Liu (2003). We illustrate our findings with a numerical example based on the widely analysed dataset on Portland cement.     

On biased linear estimators in models with arbitrary rank

In this paper we define a class of biased linear estimators for the unknown parameters in linear models with arbitrary rank. The feature of our approach is to reduce the estimation problem in arbitrary rank models to the one in full-rank models. Some important properties are discussed. As special cases of our class, we extend to deficient-rank models six known biased linear estimators.     

Generalized mean squared error properties of regression estimators

Theobald (1974) compares Ordinary Least Squares and Ridge Regression estimators of regression parameters using a generalized mean squared error criterion. This paper presents the generalized mean squared error of a Principal Components Regression estimator and comparisons are made with each of the above estimators. In general the choice of which estimator to use depends on the magnitude and the orientation of the unknown parameter vector.     

New shrinkage-type estimators in a linear regression model when multicollinearity is severe

For the linear regression model y=Xβ+e with severe multicollinearity, we put forward three shrinkage-type estimators based on the ordinary least-squares estimator including two types of independent factor estimators and a seemingly convex combination. The simulation study shows that the new estimators are not good enough when multicollinearity is mild to moderate, but perform very well when multicollinearity is severe to very severe.     

Three estimators of the Mahalanobis distance in high-dimensional data

This paper treats the problem of estimating the Mahalanobis distance for the purpose of detecting outliers in high-dimensional data. Three ridge-type estimators are proposed and risk functions for deciding an appropriate value of the ridge coefficient are developed. It is argued that one of the ridge estimator has particularly tractable properties, which is demonstrated through outlier analysis of real and simulated data.     

Performance of some new preliminary test ridge regression estimators and their properties

The problem of estimation of the regression coefficients in a multiple regression model is considered under multicollinearity situation when it is suspected that the regression coefficients may be restricted to a subspace. We present the estimators of the regression coefficients combining the idea of preliminary test and ridge regression methodology. Accordingly, we consider three estimators, namely, the unrestricted ridge regression estimator (URRE), the restricted ridge regression estimator (RRRE), and finally, the preliminary test ridge regression estimator (PTRRE). The biases, variancematrices and mean square errors (mse) of the estimators are derived and compared with the usual estimators. Regions of optimality of the estimators are determined by studying the mse criterion. The conditions of superiority of the estimators over the traditional estimators as in Saleh and Han (1990) and Ali and Saleh (1991) have also been discussed.     

Optimal determination of the parameters of some biased estimators using genetic algorithm

In this paper, some new algorithms for estimating the biasing parameters of the ridge, Liu and two-parameter estimators are introduced with the help of genetic algorithm (GA). The proposed algorithms are based on minimizing some statistical measures such as mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute prediction error (MAPE). At the same time, the new algorithms allow one to keep the condition number and variance inflation factors to be less than or equal to ten by means of the GA. A numerical example is presented to show the utility of the new algorithms. In addition, an extensive Monte Carlo experiment is conducted. The numerical findings prove that the proposed algorithms enable to eliminate the problem of multicollinearity and minimize the MSE, MAE and MAPE.     

A distance based regression model for prediction with mixed data

A multiple regression method based on distance analysis and metric scaling is proposed and studied. This method allow us to predict a continuous response variable from several explanatory variables, is compatible with the general linear model and is found to be useful when the predictor variables are both continuous and categorical. Real data examples are given to illustrate the results obtained.     

Comparisons among regression estimators under the generalized mean square error criterion

It is not always prossible to establish a preference ordering among regression estimators in terms of the generalized mean square error criterion. In the paper, we determine when it is feasible to use this criteion to couduct comparisons among ordinary least squares, principal components, ridge regression, and shrunken least squares estimators.     

Minimum distance estimators in extreme value distributions

We define minimum distance estimators for the parameters of the extreme value distribution G_o based on the Cramer-von-Mises distance. These estimators are rather robust and consistent, but asymptotically less efficient than the maximum likelihood estimators which are not robust. A small simulation study for finite sample size show that under G_o the finite efficiency of the minimum distance estimators is rather similar to the maximum likelihood ones.     

Principal components regression estimator and a test for the restrictions

In this article, we introduce restricted principal components regression (RPCR) estimator by combining the approaches followed in obtaining the restricted least squares estimator and the principal components regression estimator. The performance of the RPCR estimator with respect to the matrix and the generalized mean square error are examined. We also suggest a testing procedure for linear restrictions in principal components regression by using singly and doubly non-central F distribution.