One-sided tolerance limits for a normal population based on censored samples

A procedure for constructing one-sided tolerance limits for a normal distribution which are based on a censored sample is given. The factors necessary for the calculation of such limits are also given for several different sample sizes     

Estimation for the bivariate normal correlation coefficient using asymptotic expansions

Harley (1954) gave asymptotic expansions for the distributio function and for percentiles of the distribution of the bivariate normal sample correlation coefficient. To the stated order of approximation these expansions were incomplete in that contributions from some higher cumulants were not taken into account. In this article the completed expansions are given together with an asymptotic expansion yielding approximate confidence limits for the population correlation coefficient. Numerical comparisons indicate that asymptotic expansions are superior to other suggested approximate methods     

On confidence limits for the difference of two binomial parameters

In the present article we suggest two new methods for calculating approximate confidence limits for the differences of the two binomial parameters. Different methods for determining the confidence interval are compared.     

Confidence limits and prediction limits for a Weibull distribution based on the generalized variable approach

In this article, we consider the problems of constructing confidence interval for a Weibull mean and setting prediction limits for future samples. Specifically, we construct upper prediction limits that include at least l$l$ of m$m$ samples from a Weibull distribution at each of r$r$ locations. The methods are based on the concept of generalized variable approach. The procedures can be easily extended to the type II censored samples, and they can be used to find approximate inferential procedures for type I censored samples. The proposed methods are conceptually simple and easy to use. The results are illustrated using some practical examples.     

On the robust two wided tolerance limits based on MML estimators

Recently, Balakrishnan and Kocherlakota (1985) have proposed robust two sided tolerance limits based on the MML estimators. They have simulated the actual γ values attained by their procedure and the classical procedure based on [Xbar] and s. However, there seems to have been an error in their simulation. Here, we present the corrected table of the simulated values of γ which also reverses their recommendations.     

Shortest prediction intervals for the birnbaum-saunders distribution

Shortest prediction intervals for a future observation from the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution are obtained from both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. Comparisons are made with alternative intervals obtained via inversion. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to assess the approximate intervals.     

Bayesian and frequentist prediction limits for the Poisson distribution

Prediction limits for Poisson distribution are useful in real life when predicting the occurrences of some phenomena, for example, the number of infections from a disease per year among school children, or the number of hospitalizations per year among patients with cardiovascular disease. In order to allocate the right resources and to estimate the associated cost, one would want to know the worst (i.e., an upper limit) and the best (i.e., the lower limit) scenarios. Under the Poisson distribution, we construct the optimal frequentist and Bayesian prediction limits, and assess frequentist properties of the Bayesian prediction limits. We show that Bayesian upper prediction limit derived from uniform prior distribution and Bayesian lower prediction limit derived from modified Jeffreys non informative prior coincide with their respective frequentist limits. This is not the case for the Bayesian lower prediction limit derived from a uniform prior and the Bayesian upper prediction limit derived from a modified Jeffreys prior distribution. Furthermore, it is shown that not all Bayesian prediction limits derived from a proper prior can be interpreted in a frequentist context. Using a counterexample, we state a sufficient condition and show that Bayesian prediction limits derived from proper priors satisfying our condition cannot be interpreted in a frequentist context. Analysis of simulated data and data on Atlantic tropical storm occurrences are presented.     

Upper tolerance limit for the largest observation from censored samples

This paper deals with obtaining an upper tolerance limit for a largest observation X_(n) in an ordered sample of size n from a continuous distribution where the first m observations X₍₁₎ < X₍₂₎ < … < X_(m), l ≤ m < n, have been observed. A criterion of “goodness” of tolerance limit is developed, and a method is given to obtain the best tolerance limit. This method is applied to exponential and Pareto distributions.     

Binomial confidence limits adjusted for a confounding variable

A simple transformation of classical binomial confidence limits provides exact confidence limits in situations where a confounding variable is present. An example is the multiple-choice test, where a correct answer may represent either knowledge or guesswork, the latter being the confounding variable.     

Exact nonparametric confidence,prediction and tolerance intervals based on multi-sample Type-II right censored data

Exact nonparametric inference based on ordinary Type-II right censored samples has been extended here to the situation when there are multiple samples with Type-II censoring from a common continuous distribution. It is shown that marginally, the order statistics from the pooled sample are mixtures of the usual order statistics with multivariate hypergeometric weights. Relevant formulas are then derived for the construction of nonparametric confidence intervals for population quantiles, prediction intervals, and tolerance intervals in terms of these pooled order statistics. It is also shown that this pooled-sample approach assists in achieving higher confidence levels when estimating large quantiles as compared to a single Type-II censored sample with same number of observations from a sample of comparable size. We also present some examples to illustrate all the methods of inference developed here.     

Comparing confidence intervals for the logarithmic series distribution

It is assumed that a small random sample of fixed size n is drawn from a logarithmic series distribution with parameter θ and that it is desired to estimate θ by means of a two-sided confidence interval. In this note Crow's system of confidence intervals is compared, in shortness of intervals, with Clopper and Pearson's, and the corresponding randomized counterparts.     

Distribution-free confidence bounds for pr y< when fx and gy = fx-6 are continuous and symmetric

For and continuous and symmetric and differing at most by a shift parameter, distribution-free confidence intervals for are obtained by means of the Chebyshev inequality and an upper bound for the variance of the Mann-Whitney statistic. The (two-sided) intervals are reliable for small samples and about 20 to 30 per cent shorter than those obtained by Ury for and completely unknown for equal sample sizes, with larger savings otherwise. They are also shorter than the upper bounds obtained by Birnbaum and McCarty (1958) when the confidence coefficient does not exceed 0.95.     

On the construction of bayesian prediction limits for the weibull distribution

This paper is concerned with a BAYESian construction of the prediction limits for the Weibull distribution as an example of extreme value distributions. Thus, considering Weibull and Uniform distributions for the parameters, the predictive functions, which may lead to approximative evaluation of the prediction limits, is determined by using simulation methods     

On Properties of Percentile Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Period Using Periodogram

Periodic functions have many applications in astronomy. They can be used to model the magnitude of light intensity of the period variable stars that their brightness vary with time. Because the data related to the astronomical applications are commonly observed at the time points that are not regularly spaced, the use of the periodogram as a good tool for estimating period is highlighted. Our bootstrap inference about period is based on maximizing the periodogram and consists of percentile two-sided bootstrap confidence intervals construction for the true period. We also obtain their coverage levels theoretically, and discuss the benefit of double-bootstrap confidence intervals for the parameter by which the coverage levels are substantially improved. Precisely, we show that the coverage error of single-bootstrap confidence intervals is of order n ^?1, decreasing to order n ^?2 when applying double-bootstrap methods. The simulation study given here is a numerical assessment of the theoretical work.     

Distribution-free confidence intervals for quantiles and tolerance intervals in terms of k-records

In this paper, we consider the problem of determining non-parametric confidence intervals for quantiles when available data are in the form of k-records. Distribution-free confidence intervals as well as lower and upper confidence limits are derived for fixed quantiles of an arbitrary unknown distribution based on k-records of an independent and identically distributed sequence from that distribution. The construction of tolerance intervals and limits based on k-records is also discussed. An exact expression for the confidence coefficient of these intervals are derived. Some tables are also provided to assist in choosing the appropriate k-records for the construction of these confidence intervals and tolerance intervals. Some simulation results are presented to point out some of the features and properties of these intervals. Finally, the data, representing the records of the amount of annual rainfall in inches recorded at Los Angeles Civic Center, are used to illustrate all the results developed in this paper and also to demonstrate the improvements that they provide on those based on either the usual records or the current records.     

Confidence intervals for the length of a vector mean

Suppose we have a random sample of size n from a multivariate distribution with finite moments, for which a parametric form is not available. We wish to obtain a confidence interval (CI) for the length of its mean. The usual method is to Studentize. The resulting CIs are not exact. The error in their nominal levels is ～n ^?1/2 and ～n ^?1 in the one-sided and two-sided cases. We show how to reduce these errors to ～n ^?3/2 and ～n ^?2.     

Lower confidence bounds for percentiles of weibull and birnbaum-saunders distributions

Approximate lower confidence bounds on percentiles of the Weibull and the Birnbaum-Saunders distributions are investigated. Asymptotic lower confidence bounds based on Bonferroni's inequality and the Fisher information are discussed, and parametric bootstrap methods to provide better bounds are considered. Since the standard percentile bootstrap method typically does not perform well for confidence bounds on quantiles, several other bootstrap procedures are studied via extensive computer simulations. Results of the simulations indicate that the bootstrap methods generally give sharper lower bounds than the Bonferroni bounds but with coverages still near the nominal confidence level. Two illustrative examples are also presented, one for tensile strength of carbon micro-composite specimens and the other for cycles-to-failure data.