Quantile-based Chernoff distance for truncated random variables

Several probability distributions such as power-Pareto distribution (see Gilchrist 2000 Gilchrist, W. 2000. Statistical modelling with quantile functions. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar] and Hankin and Lee 2006 Hankin, R. K. S., and A. Lee. 2006. A new family of non-negative distributions. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics 48:67–78.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), various forms of lambda distributions (see Ramberg and Schmeiser 1974 Ramberg, J. S., and B. W. Schmeiser. 1974. An appropriate method for generating asymmetric random variables. Communications of the ACM 17:78–82.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] and Freimer et al. 1988 Freimer, M., S. Mudholkar, G. Kollia, and C. T. Lin. 1988. A study of the generalized lambda family. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 17:3547–67.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Govindarajulu distribution (see Nair, Sankaran, and Vineshkumar 2012 Nair, U. N., P. G. Sankaran, and B. Vineshkumar. 2012. The Govindarajulu distribution: some properties and applications. Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 41:4391–406.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), etc., do not have manageable distribution functions, though they have tractable quantile functions. Hence, analytical study of the properties of Chernoff distance of two random variables associated with these distributions via traditional distribution function-based tool becomes difficult. To make this simple, in this paper, we introduce quantile-based Chernoff distance for (left or right) truncated random variables and study its various properties. Some useful bounds as well as characterization results are obtained.     

On Fitting Transformation Model to Survey Data

In this article, we consider fitting a semiparametric linear model to survey data with censored observations. The specific goal of the paper is to extend the methods of Cheng et al. (1995 Cheng, S.C., Wei, L.J., Ying, Z. (1995). Analysis of transformation models with censored data. Biometrika 82(4):835–845.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Chen et al. (2002 Chen, K., Jin, Z. Ying, Z. (2002). Semiparametric analysis of transformation models with censored data. Biometrika 89:659–668.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the case when the sample has been drawn from a population using a complex sampling design. Similar to the approach of Lin (2000 Lin, D.Y. (2000). On fitting Cox’s proportional hazards models to survey data. Biometrika 87:37–47.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), we regard the survey population as a random sample from an infinite universe and accounts for this randomness in the statistical inference. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed estimators.     

An adaptive multivariate CUSUM control chart for signaling a range of location shifts

ABSTRACT

In this work, we proposed an adaptive multivariate cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistical process control chart for signaling a range of location shifts. This method was based on the multivariate CUSUM control chart proposed by Pignatiello and Runger (1990 Pignatiello, J.J., Runger, G.C. (1990). Comparisons of multivariate CUSUM charts. J. Qual. Technol. 22(3):173–186.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), but we adopted the adaptive approach similar to that discussed by Dai et al. (2011 Dai, Y., Luo, Y., Li, Z., Wang, Z. (2011). A new adaptive CUSUM control chart for detecting the multivariate process mean. Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int. 27(7):877–884.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which was based on a different CUSUM method introduced by Crosier (1988 Crosier, R.B. (1988). Multivariate generalizations of cumulative sum quality-control schemes. Technometrics 30(3):291–303.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The reference value in this proposed procedure was changed adaptively in each run, with the current mean shift estimated by exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic. By specifying the minimal magnitude of the mean shift, our proposed control chart achieved a good overall performance for detecting a range of shifts rather than a single value. We compared our adaptive multivariate CUSUM method with that of Dai et al. (2001 Dai, Y., Luo, Y., Li, Z., Wang, Z. (2011). A new adaptive CUSUM control chart for detecting the multivariate process mean. Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int. 27(7):877–884.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and the non adaptive versions of these two methods, by evaluating both the steady state and zero state average run length (ARL) values. The detection efficiency of our method showed improvements over the comparative methods when the location shift is unknown but falls within an expected range.     

Generalized linear regression models incorporating original outcome distributions

ABSTRACT

In this article, we propose an approach for incorporating continuous and discrete original outcome distributions into the usual exponential family regression models. The new approach is an extension of the works of Suissa (1991 Suissa, S. (1991). Binary methods for continuous outcomes: A parametric alternative. J. Clin. Epidemiol. 44:241–248.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Suissa and Blais (1995 Suissa, S., Blais, L. (1995). Binary regression with continuous outcomes. Stat. Med. 14:247–255.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which present methods to estimate the risk of an event defined in a sample subspace of an original continuous outcome variable. Simulation studies are presented in order to illustrate the performance of the developed methodology. Real data sets are analyzed by using the proposed models.     

A Comparison of Procedures for Controlling the False Discovery Rate in the Presence of Small Variance Genes: A Simulation Study

The Significance Analysis of Microarrays (SAM; Tusher et al., 2001 Tusher , V. G. , Tibshirani , R. , Chu , G. ( 2001 ). Significance analysis of microarrys applied to the ionizing radiation response . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98 : 5116 – 5121 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) method is widely used in analyzing gene expression data while controlling the FDR by using resampling-based procedure in the microarray setting. One of the main components of the SAM procedure is the adjustment of the test statistic. The introduction of the fudge factor to the test statistic aims at deflating the large value of test statistics due to the small standard error of gene-expression. Lin et al. (2008 Lin , D. , Shkedy , Z. , Burzykowski , T. , Göhlmann , H. W. H. , De Bondt , A. , Perera , T. , Geerts , T. , Bijnens , L. ( 2008 ). Significance analysis of microarray (SAM) for comparisons of several treatments with one control . Biometric Journal, MCP 50 ( 5 ): 801 – 823 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) pointed out that the fudge factor does not effectively improve the power and the control of the FDR as compared to the SAM procedure without the fudge factor in the presence of small variance genes. Motivated by the simulation results presented in Lin et al. (2008 Lin , D. , Shkedy , Z. , Burzykowski , T. , Göhlmann , H. W. H. , De Bondt , A. , Perera , T. , Geerts , T. , Bijnens , L. ( 2008 ). Significance analysis of microarray (SAM) for comparisons of several treatments with one control . Biometric Journal, MCP 50 ( 5 ): 801 – 823 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), in this article, we extend our study to compare several methods for choosing the fudge factor in the modified t-type test statistics and use simulation studies to investigate the power and the control of the FDR of the considered methods.     

A Modification of a Percentile Estimation Procedure Based on Generalized Polya Urns

Adaptive designs find an important application in the estimation of unknown percentiles for an underlying dose-response curve. A nonparametric adaptive design was suggested by Mugno et al. (2004 Mugno, R.A., Zhus, W., Rosenberger, W.F. (2004). Adaptive urn designs for estimating several percentiles of a dose-response curve. Statist. Med. 23(13):2137–2150.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to simultaneously estimate multiple percentiles of an unknown dose-response curve via generalized Polya urns. In this article, we examine the properties of the design proposed by Mugno et al. (2004 Mugno, R.A., Zhus, W., Rosenberger, W.F. (2004). Adaptive urn designs for estimating several percentiles of a dose-response curve. Statist. Med. 23(13):2137–2150.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) when delays in observing responses are encountered. Using simulations, we evaluate a modification of the design under varying group sizes. Our results demonstrate unbiased estimation with minimal loss in efficiency when compared to the original compound urn design.     

Equivalent Conditions of Complete Moment Convergence of Weighted Sums for ϕ-Mixing Sequence of Random Variables

In this article, the complete moment convergence of weighted sums for ?-mixing sequence of random variables is investigated. By applying moment inequality and truncation methods, the equivalent conditions of complete moment convergence of weighted sums for ?-mixing sequence of random variables are established. These results promote and improve the corresponding results obtained by Li et al. (1995 Li, D.L., Rao, M.B., Jiang, T.F., Wang, X.C. (1995). Complete convergence and almost sure convergence of weighted sums of random variables. J. Theoret. Probab. 8:49–76.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Gut (1993 Gut, A. (1993). Complete convergence and Cesàro summation for i.i.d. random variables. Probab. Theory Related Fields 97:169–178.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) from i.i.d. to ?-mixing setting. Moreover, we obtain the complete moment convergence of moving average processes based on ?-mixing random variables, which extends the result of Kim et al. (2008 Kim, T.S., Ko, M.H. (2008). Complete moment convergence of moving average processes under dependence assumptions. Statist. Probab. Lett. 78:839–846.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in the sense that it does not require a specific mixing rate.     

A Strong Limit Theorem for Weighted Sums of Negatively Dependent Random Variables

In this article, we establish a new complete convergence theorem for weighted sums of negatively dependent random variables. As corollaries, many results on the almost sure convergence and complete convergence for weighted sums of negatively dependent random variables are obtained. In particular, the results of Jing and Liang (2008 Jing, B.Y., Liang, H.Y. (2008). Strong limit theorems for weighted sums of negatively associated random variables. J. Theor. Probab. 21:890–909.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Sung (2012 Sung, S.H. (2012). Complete convergence for weighted sums of negatively dependent random variables. Stat. Pap. 53:73–82.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Wu (2010) can be obtained.     

On General Continuous Triangular and Two-sided Power Distributions

In this article, we directly introduce the continuous version of the general discrete triangular distributions (Kokonendji and Zocchi, 2010 Kokonendji, C.C., Zocchi, S.S. (2010). Extensions of discrete triangular distribution and boundary bias in kernel estimation for discrete functions. Statist. Probab. Lett. 80:1655–1662.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). It is bounded and, in general, unimodal with pike. It contains thus a very useful class of two-sided power distributions (van Dorp and Kotz, 2002a Van Dorp, J.R., Kotz, S. (2002a). A novel extension of the triangular distribution and its parameter estimation. Statistician 51:1–17. [Google Scholar],b Van Dorp, J.R., Kotz, S. (2002b). The standard two-sided power distribution and its properties; with applications in financial engineering. Amer. Statistician 56:90–99.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], 2003 Van Dorp, J.R., Kotz, S. (2003). Generalization of two-sided power distributions and their convolution. Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 32:1703–1723.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Moments, particular cases, limit distributions, and relations between parameters are straightforwardly derived.     

The Identification of Potential Longitudinal Biomarkers and Measurements of Effectiveness for Biomarkers as Surrogates in Multivariate Survival Data

A proposed method based on frailty models is used to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a multivariate survival. This method is an extention of earlier models by Wulfsohn and Tsiatis (1997 Wulfsohn , M. S. , Tsiatis , A. A. ( 1997 ). A joint model for survival and longitudinal data measured with error . Biometrics 53 ( 1 ): 330 – 339 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Song et al. (2002 Song , X. , Davidian , M. , Tsiatis , A. A. ( 2002 ). A Semiparametric likelihood approach to joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data . Biometrics 58 ( 4 ): 742 – 753 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). In this article, similar to Henderson et al. (2002 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. J. , Dobson , A. ( 2002 ). Identification and efficacy of longitudinal markers for survival . Biostatistics 3 ( 1 ): 33 – 50 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), a joint likelihood function combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the multivariate survival times. We use simulations to explore how the number of individuals, the number of time points per individual and the functional form of the random effects from the longitudianl biomarkers influence the power to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the multivariate survival time. The proposed method is illustrate by using the gastric cancer data.     

Alternative Approximations to Value-At-Risk: A Comparison

This article compares three value-at-risk (VaR) approximation methods suggested in the literature: Cornish and Fisher (1937 Cornish, E.A., Fisher, R.A. (1937). Moments and cumulants in the specification of distributions. Revue de l’Institut International de Statistique 5:307–320.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Sillitto (1969 Sillitto, G.P. (1969). Derivation of approximants to the inverse distribution function of a continuous univariate population from the order statistics of a sample. Biometrika 56:641–650.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Liu (2010 Liu, W.-H. (2010). Estimation and testing of portfolio value-at-risk based on L-comoment matrices. Journal of Futures Markets 30:897–908.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Simulation results are obtained for three families of distributions: student-t, skewed-normal, and skewed-t. We recommend the Sillitto approximation as the best method to evaluate the VaR when the financial return has an unknown, skewed, and heavy-tailed distribution.     

Inferences on partial linear models with right censored data by empirical likelihood

ABSTRACT

This article considers inference for partial linear models with right censored data. We use empirical likelihood based on the Buckley and James (1979 Buckley, J., James, I. (1979). Linear regression with censored data. Biometrika 66:429–436.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) estimating equation to derive the confidence region for the regression parameter. We introduce an adjusted empirical likelihood ratio statistic for the parameter of interest and show that its limiting distribution is standard chi-square. A simulation is carried out to compare our method with the synthetic data approach in Wang and Li (2002 Wang, Q.-H., Li, G. (2002). Empirical Likelihood Semiparametric Regression Analysis under Random Censorship. J. Multivariate Anal. 83:469–486.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]).     

Convergence of weighted sums for sequences of pairwise NQD random variables

ABSTRACT

The authors discuss the convergence for weighted sums of pairwise negatively quadrant dependent (NQD) random variables and obtain some new results which extend and improve the result of Bai and Cheng (2000) Bai, Z.D., Cheng, P.E. (2000). Marcinkiewicz strong laws for linear statistics. Stat. Probab. Lett. 46:105–112.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]. In addition, we relax some restrictions of the conditions in their result. Some new methods are used in this article which differ from that of Bai and Cheng (2000) Bai, Z.D., Cheng, P.E. (2000). Marcinkiewicz strong laws for linear statistics. Stat. Probab. Lett. 46:105–112.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar].     

Group Variable Selection with Oracle Property by Weight-Fused Adaptive Elastic Net Model for Strongly Correlated Data

This paper is the generalization of weight-fused elastic net (Fu and Xu, 2012 Fu, G., Xu, Q. (2012). Grouping variable selection by weight fused elastic net for multi-collinear data. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 41(2):205–221.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which performs group variable selection by combining weight-fused LASSO(wfLasso) and elastic net (Zou and Hastie, 2005 Zou, H., Hastie, T. (2005). Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 67(2):301–320.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) penalties. In this study, the elastic net penalty is replaced by adaptive elastic net penalty (AdaEnet) (Zou and Zhang, 2009 Zou, H., Zhang, H. (2009). On the adaptive elastic-net with a diverging number of parameters. Annals of Statistics 37(4):1733–1751.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and a new group variable selection algorithm with oracle property (Fan and Li, 2001 Fan, J., Li, R. (2001). Variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its oracle properties. Journal of the American Statistical Association 96(456):1348–1360.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Zou, 2006 Zou, H. (2006). The adaptive lasso and its oracle properties. Journal of the American Statistical Association 101(476):1418–1429.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is obtained.     

A new lifetime model with different types of failure rate

A new class of lifetime distributions, which can exhibit with upside-down bathtub-shaped, bathtub-shaped, decreasing, and increasing failure rates, is introduced. The new distribution is constructed by compounding generalized Weibull and logarithmic distributions, leading to improvement on the lifetime distribution considered in Dimitrakopoulou et al. (2007 Dimitrakopoulou, T., K. Adamidis, and S. Loukas. 2007. A lifetime distribution with an upside-down bathtub-shaped hazard function. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 56:308–11.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) by having no restriction on the shape parameter and extending the result studied by Tahmasbi and Rezaei (2008 Tahmasbi, R., and S. Rezaei. 2008. A two-parameter lifetime distribution with decreasing failure rate. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 52:3889–901.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in the general form. The proposed model includes the exponential–logarithmic and Weibull–logarithmic distributions as special cases. Various statistical properties of the proposed class are discussed. Furthermore, estimation via the maximum likelihood method and the Fisher information matrix are discussed. Applications to real data demonstrate that the new class of distributions is more flexible than other recently proposed classes.     

Combined estimating function for random coefficient models with correlated errors

ABSTRACT

Estimating functionshave been shown to be convenient to study inference for non linear time series models. Recently, Thavaneswaran et al. (2012 Thavaneswaran, A., Liang, Y., Frank, J. (2012). Inference for random coefficient volatility models. Stat. Probab. Lett. 82(12):2086–2090.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) used combined estimating functions to study inference for random coefficient autoregressive (RCA) models with generalized autoregressive heteroscedasticity errors. While most RCA modeling assumes that the random term and the error are independent, Chandra and Taniguchi (2001 Chandra, S.A., Taniguchi, M. (2001). Estimating functions for nonlinear time series models. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math 53(1):125–141.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) studied inference for RCA models with correlated errors using linear estimating functions. In this paper, we derive the quadratic estimating functions for the joint estimation of the conditional mean, variance, and correlation parameters of the RCA models with correlated errors.     

Heavy traffic analysis of roving server networks

This article studies the heavy-traffic (HT) behavior of queueing networks with a single roving server. External customers arrive at the queues according to independent renewal processes and after completing service, a customer either leaves the system or is routed to another queue. This type of customer routing in queueing networks arises very naturally in many application areas (in production systems, computer- and communication networks, maintenance, etc.). In these networks, the single most important characteristic of the system performance is oftentimes the path time, i.e., the total time spent in the system by an arbitrary customer traversing a specific path. The current article presents the first HT asymptotic for the path-time distribution in queueing networks with a roving server under general renewal arrivals. In particular, we provide a strong conjecture for the system’s behavior under HT extending the conjecture of Coffman et al.^{[8 Coffman, Jr, E. G.; Puhalskii, A. A.; Reiman, M. I,. Polling systems with zero switchover times: A heavy-traffic averaging principle. Ann. App. Prob. 1995, 5(3), 681–719.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar],9 Coffman, Jr., E. G.; Puhalskii, A. A.; Reiman, M. I,. Polling systems in heavy-traffic: A Bessel process limit. Math. Oper. Res. 1998, 23, 257–304.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]]} to the roving server setting of the current article. By combining this result with novel light-traffic asymptotics, we derive an approximation of the mean path time for arbitrary values of the load and renewal arrivals. This approximation is not only highly accurate for a wide range of parameter settings, but is also exact in various limiting cases.     

Asymptotic normality of the local linear estimation of the conditional density for functional time-series data

This article focuses on the conditional density of a scalar response variable given a random variable taking values in a semimetric space. The local linear estimators of the conditional density and its derivative are considered. It is assumed that the observations form a stationary α-mixing sequence. Under some regularity conditions, the joint asymptotic normality of the estimators of the conditional density and its derivative is established. The result confirms the prospect in Rachdi et al. (2014 Rachdi, M., A. Laksaci, J. Demongeot, A. Abdali, and F. Madani. 2014. Theoretical and practical aspects of the quadratic error in the local linear estimation of the conditional density for functional data. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 73 :53–68.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and can be applied in time-series analysis to make predictions and build confidence intervals. The finite-sample behavior of the estimator is investigated by simulations as well.     

Testing for Random Effects in Growth Curve Models

Growth curve models (GCMs) are useful and Demidenko (2004 Demidenko, E. (2004). Mixed Models: Theory and Applications. New York: Wiley.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) considered the presence of random effects under the normal assumptions about random effects and random errors. It is also of interest to remove distribution assumptions to investigate the same problem. A difference-based test is constructed for GCMs, which can be regarded as an extension of Li and Zhu (2010 Li, Z.X., Zhu, L.X. (2010). On variance components in semiparametric mixed models for longitudinal data. Scand. J. Statist. 37:442–457.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar])’s method and a complement to Demidenko (2004 Demidenko, E. (2004). Mixed Models: Theory and Applications. New York: Wiley.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) where his test is exact in small samples. Without any distribution assumptions, our test derived for GCMs is asymptotically a standard normal. The power properties are also investigated. Besides, simulations are carried out to examine its performance.     

Asymptotics of improved generalized moment estimators for spatial autoregressive error models

Abstract

This article considers linear models with a spatial autoregressive error structure. Extending Arnold and Wied (2010) Arnold, M., Wied, D. (2010). Improved GMM estimation of the spatial autoregressive error model. Econ. Lett. 108:65–68.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], who develop an improved generalized method of moment (GMM) estimator for the parameters of the disturbance process to reduce the bias of existing estimation approaches, we establish the asymptotic normality of a new weighted version of this improved estimator and derive the efficient weighting matrix. We also show that this efficiently weighted GMM estimator is feasible as long as the regression matrix of the underlying linear model is non stochastic and illustrate the performance of the new estimator by a Monte Carlo simulation and an application to real data.