MSE performance of the weighted average estimators consisting of shrinkage estimators when each individual regression coefficient is estimated

In this paper, we analytically derive the exact formula for the mean squared error (MSE) of two weighted average (WA) estimators for each individual regression coefficient. Further, we execute numerical evaluations to investigate small sample properties of the WA estimators, and compare the MSE performance of the WA estimators with the other shrinkage estimators and the usual OLS estimator. Our numerical results show that (1) the WA estimators have smaller MSE than the other shrinkage estimators and the OLS estimator over a wide region of parameter space; (2) the range where the relative MSE of the WA estimator is smaller than that of the OLS estimator gets narrower as the number of explanatory variables k increases.     

Minimax linear empirical bayes estimation of the binomial parameter

The minimax linear Empirical Bayes estimators for a binomial parameter are obtained, assuming some information about the moments of the prior. The form of these estimates is used to propose a criterion which may be helpful in determining whether Empirical Bayes estimation is Indicated for a given problem.     

MSE performance of the weighted average estimators consisting of shrinkage estimators

In this paper, we consider a regression model and propose estimators which are the weighted averages of two estimators among three estimators; the Stein-rule (SR), the minimum mean squared error (MMSE), and the adjusted minimum mean-squared error (AMMSE) estimators. It is shown that one of the proposed estimators has smaller mean-squared error (MSE) than the positive-part Stein-rule (PSR) estimator over a moderate region of parameter space when the number of the regression coefficients is small (i.e., 3), and its MSE performance is comparable to the PSR estimator even when the number of the regression coefficients is not so small.     

Reference prior bayes estimator for bivariate normal covariance matrix with risk comparison

The explicit form of the reference prior bayes estimator due to Yang and Ber-ger (1994) for bivariate normal covariance matrix under entropy loss is given in terms of Legendre polynomials when degrees of freedom is even and in terms of hypergeometric functions in general case. The finite series expression of the density function of the ratio of latent roots of bivariate Wishart matrix is obtained and the exact risk is compared with those of James-Stein minimax estimator and other orthogonally equivariant estimators. It is found numerically that the reference prior bayes estimator has the smallest risk among the class of equivariant estimators compared, when the ratio of the largest to the smallest population latent roots of covariance matrix lies in the middle of the interval [1, ∞]. It has larger risk than that of James-Stein minimax estimator when the ratio is large. Moreover it has larger risk than that of MLE when, for instance, degrees of freedom is 20 and the ratio lies between 4 and 8.     

On the bounded regret of empirical bayes estimators

Let (θ₁,x₁),…,(θ_n,x_n) be independent and identically distributed random vectors with E(xθ) = θ and Var(x|θ) = a + bθ + cθ². Let t_i be the linear Bayes estimator of θ_i and θ~_i be the linear empirical Bayes estimator of θ_i as proposed in Robbins (1983). When Ex and Var x are unknown to the statistician. The regret of using θ~_i instead of t_i because of ignorance of the mean and the variance is r_i = E(θ_i ? θ_i)² ?E(t_i ?θ_i)². Under appropriate conditions cumulative regret R_n = r₁+…r_n is shown to have a finite limit even when n tends to infinity. The limit can be explicitly computed in terms of a,b,c and the first four moments of x.     

Comparison of linex and quadratic bayes estimators foe the rayleigh distribution

In this paper, the Bayes estimators for the parameter, the reliability function, and failure rate function of the Rayleigh distribution are obtained when based on complete or type II censored samples. Some types of the linex loss function are used. Comparieons in terms of risks of those under linex loss and squared error loss function with Bayes estimators relative to squared error loss function are made, Numerical example and simulation example are included.     

Estimation of poisson means under weighted squared error loss

In estimating the means of several independent Poisson distributions, we show that the maximum likelihood estimator is inadmissible when general weighted squared error loss is the criterion. Using this result, we extend the known results on estimation of several Poisson means (Peng 1975, Hudson 1978) to the case where possibly more than one observation is taken from each Poisson distribution and the samples are not necessarily of the same size.     

A Note on the Comparison of the Stein Estimator and the James-Stein Estimator

The seminal work of Stein (1956 Stein, C. (1956). Inadmissibility of the usual estimator for the mean of a multivariate normal distribution. Proc. Third Berkeley Symp. Mathemat. Statist. Probab., University of California Press, 1:197–206. [Google Scholar]) showed that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the mean vector of a p-dimensional multivariate normal distribution is inadmissible under the squared error loss function when p ? 3 and proposed the Stein estimator that dominates the MLE. Later, James and Stein (1961 James, W., Stein, C. (1961). Estimation with quadratic loss. Proc. Fourth Berkeley Symp. Mathemat. Statist. Probab., University of California Press, 1:361–379. [Google Scholar]) proposed the James-Stein estimator for the same problem and received much more attention than the original Stein estimator. We re-examined the Stein estimator and conducted an analytic comparison with the James-Stein estimator. We found that the Stein estimator outperforms the James-Stein estimator under certain scenarios and derived the sufficient conditions.     

On robust empirical bayes analysis of means and variances from stratified samples

Ghosh and Lahiri (1987a,b) considered simultaneous estimation of several strata means and variances where each stratum contains a finite number of elements, under the assumption that the posterior expectation of any stratum mean is a linear function of the sample observations - the so called“posterior linearity” property. In this paper we extend their result by retaining the “posterior linearity“ property of each stratum mean but allowing the superpopulation model whose mean as well as the variance-covariance structure changes from stratum to stratum. The performance of the proposed empirical Bayes estimators are found to be satisfactory both in terms of “asymptotic optimality” (Robbins (1955)) and “relative savings loss” (Efron and Morris (1973)).     

Improved estimators for the common mean and ordered means of two normal distributions with ordered variances

We first consider the problem of estimating the common mean of two normal distributions with unknown ordered variances. We give a broad class of estimators which includes the estimators proposed by Nair (1982) and Elfessi et al. (1992) and show that the estimators stochastically dominate the estimators which do not take into account the order restriction on variances, including the one given by Graybill and Deal (1959). Then we propose a broad class of individual estimators of two ordered means when unknown variances are ordered. We show that in estimating the mean with larger variance, estimators which do not take into account the order restriction on variances are stochastically dominated by the proposed class of estimators which take into account both order restrictions. However, in estimating the mean with smaller variance, similar improvement is not possible even in terms of mean squared error. We also show a domination result in the simultaneous estimation problem of two ordered means. Further, improving upon the unbiased estimators of the two means is discussed.     

Proper Bayes minimax estimators of the normal mean matrix with common unknown variances

This paper addresses the problem of estimating a matrix of the normal means, where the variances are unknown but common. The approach to this problem is provided by a hierarchical Bayes modeling for which the first stage prior for the means is matrix-variate normal distribution with mean zero matrix and a covariance structure and the second stage prior for the covariance is similar to Jeffreys’ rule. The resulting hierarchical Bayes estimators relative to the quadratic loss function belong to a class of matricial shrinkage estimators. Certain conditions are obtained for admissibility and minimaxity of the hierarchical Bayes estimators.     

Inference for a change-point problem under an OU setting with unequal and unknown volatilities

An Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process is employed as a versatile model to capture the mean-reverting and stochastic evolution of many variables in various fields of applications including finance and economics. Within the OU setting, we develop a new estimation method to determine the unknown change-point location under the assumption that the volatilities before and after the change point in a time series are unequal. Our method hinges on the concept of a weighted least sum of squared errors approach and enhanced by a fusion of an iterative algorithm. The consistency of the change-point estimator is established. This article highlights a numerical implementation on simulated and observed financial market data demonstrating the significant flexibility and accuracy of our proposed modelling and estimation method. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 48: 62–78; 2020 © 2019 Statistical Society of Canada     

Noninformative priors for linear combinations of normal means with unequal variances

For normal populations with unequal variances, we develop matching priors and reference priors for a linear combination of the means. Here, we find three second-order matching priors: a highest posterior density (HPD) matching prior, a cumulative distribution function (CDF) matching prior, and a likelihood ratio (LR) matching prior. Furthermore, we show that the reference priors are all first-order matching priors, but that they do not satisfy the second-order matching criterion that establishes the symmetry and the unimodality of the posterior under the developed priors. The results of a simulation indicate that the second-order matching prior outperforms the reference priors in terms of matching the target coverage probabilities, in a frequentist sense. Finally, we compare the Bayesian credible intervals based on the developed priors with the confidence intervals derived from real data.     

The relative performances of improved ridge estimators and an empirical bayes estimator: some monte carlo results

The relative 'performances of improved ridge estimators and an empirical Bayes estimator are studied by means of Monte Carlo simulations. The empirical Bayes method is seen to perform consistently better in terms of smaller MSE and more accurate empirical coverage than any of the estimators considered here. A bootstrap method is proposed to obtain more reliable estimates of the MSE of ridge esimators. Some theorems on the bootstrap for the ridge estimators are also given and they are used to provide an analytical understanding of the proposed bootstrap procedure. Empirical coverages of the ridge estimators based on the proposed procedure are generally closer to the nominal coverage when compared to their earlier counterparts. In general, except for a few cases, these coverages are still less accurate than the empirical coverages of the empirical Bayes estimator.     

The exact mean squared error risks of preliminary test type estimators for the multivariate normal mean

The exact mean squared error risks of the preliminary test estimtor and the Sclove modified Stein rule estimator (Sclove, Morris and Radhakrishnan, 1972) for the multivariate normal mean are computed and their risks are compared with the risks of Stein estimators.     

PMSE dominance of the positive-part shrinkage estimator in a regression model with proxy variables

Consider a linear regression model with some relevant regressors are unobservable. In such a situation, we estimate the model by using the proxy variables as regressors or by simply omitting the relevant regressors. In this paper, we derive the explicit formula of predictive mean squared error (PMSE) of a general family of shrinkage estimators of regression coefficients. It is shown analytically that the positive-part shrinkage estimator dominates the ordinary shrinkage estimator even when proxy variables are used in place of the unobserved variables. Also, as an example, our result is applied to the double k-class estimator proposed by Ullah and Ullah (Double k-class estimators of coefficients in linear regression. Econometrica. 1978;46:705–722). Our numerical results show that the positive-part double k-class estimator with proxy variables has preferable PMSE performance.     

On the Bayes estimators of the parameters of size-biased generalized power series distributions

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we derive the Bayes estimators of functions of parameters of the size-biased generalized power series distribution under squared error loss function and weighted square error loss function. The results of size-biased GPSD are then used to obtain particular cases of the size-biased negative binomial, size-biased logarithmic series, and size-biased Poisson distributions. These estimators are better than the classical minimum variance unbiased estimators in the sense that they increase the range of the estimation. Finally, an example is provided to illustrate the results and a goodness of fit test is done using the maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators.     

Estimating the variance of a normal population by utilizing the information in a sample from a second related normal population

A class of estimators of the variance σ₁ ² of a normal population is introduced, by utilization the information in a sample from a second normal population with different mean and variance σ₂ ², under the restriction that σ₁ ²?≤?σ₂ ². Simulation results indicate that some members of this class are more efficient than the usual minimum variance unbiased estimator (MVUE) of σ₁ ², Stein estimator and Mehta and Gurland estimator. The case of known and unknown means are considered.     

Sequential shrinkage estimation of independent normal means with unkown variances

The Paper considers estimation of the p(> 3)-variate normal mean when the variance-covariance matrix is diagonal with unknown diagonal elements. A class of James-Stein estimators is developed, and is compared with the sample mean under an empirical minimax stopping rule. Asymptotic risk expansions are provided for both the sequential sample mean and the sequential James-Stein estimators. It is shown that the James-Stein estimators dominate the sample mean in a certain asymptotic sense.     

Comparison of the Stein and the usual estimators for the regression error variance under the Pitman nearness criterion when variables are omitted

This paper compares the Stein and the usual estimators of the error variance under the Pitman nearness (PN) criterion in a regression model which is mis-specified due to missing relevant explanatory variables. The exact expression of the PN-probability is derived and numerically evaluated. Contrary to the well-known result under mean squared errors (MSE), with the PN criterion the Stein variance estimator is uniformly dominated by the usual estimator when no relevant variables are excluded from the model. With an increased degree of model mis-specification, neither estimator strictly dominates the other. The authors are grateful to two anonymous referees for their valuable comments. Also, the first author is grateful to the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science for partial financial support.