The exact mean squared error risks of preliminary test type estimators for the multivariate normal mean

The exact mean squared error risks of the preliminary test estimtor and the Sclove modified Stein rule estimator (Sclove, Morris and Radhakrishnan, 1972) for the multivariate normal mean are computed and their risks are compared with the risks of Stein estimators.     

Missing data in linear models with correlated errors

One common method for analyzing data in experimental designs when observations are missing was devised by Yates (1933), who developed his procedure based upon a suggestion by R. A. Fisher. Considering a linear model with independent, equi-variate errors, Yates substituted algebraic values for the missing data and then minimized the error sum of squares with respect to both the unknown parameters and the algebraic values. Yates showed that this procedure yielded the correct error sum of squares and a positively biased hypothesis sum of squares.

Others have elaborated on this technique. Chakrabarti (1962) gave a formal proof of Fisher's rule that produced a way to simplify the calculations of the auxiliary values to be used in place of the missing observations. Kshirsagar (1971) proved that the hypothesis sum of squares based on these values was biased, and developed an easy way to compute that bias. Sclove     

Estimating the intensity function of a power law process at the current time: time truncated case

The power law process, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with intensity function µ(t) = (β/θ)(t/θ) , is frequently used to model the occurence of events in time. Often, an important quantity is the value of the intensity function at the current time, that is, the time when data collection is ceased. In this article, the problem of estimating this quantity is addressed when the data are time truncated, that is, when data collection is stopped at a predetermined time T. The class of multiples of the conditional MLE is suggested, and some members are analyzed. In addition, the class of estimators formed by first performing a preliminary test of significance on the parameter β is analyzed. Expressions for the bias and MSE of these estimators are derived and evaluated for several values of the parameters     

The analysis of transition times in multistate stochastic processes using proportional hazard regression models

Extensions to Cox's proportional hazards regression model (Cox, 1972) for the analysis of survival data are considered for a more general multistate framework. This framework allows several transient disease states between initial entry state and death as well as incorporating possible competing causes of death. Methods for parameter and function estimation within this extension are presented and applied to the analysis of data from the Stanford Heart Transplantation Program (Crowley and Hu,1977).     

A fourier integral density estimate: a Monte Carlo study

Davis (1977) proposed the use of a kernel density estimate which is the sample characteristic function integrated over (-A(n) , A(n)), where A(n) is chosen to minimize the mean integrated square error of the estimate. The scalar, A(n), is determined by the sample size and the population characteristic function. This paper investigates, in a Monte Carlo study, the mean integrated square error obtained under a procedure suggested by Davis (1977) for estimating A(n) when the population characteristic function is unknown.     

Intergenerational fertility changes

Intergenerational changes in fertility in Poland are analyzed using data from a 1977 sample survey of 38,600 women. The author notes that total fertility declined from 4.4 to 2.5 within the space of two generations. An analysis of fertility is presented by various characteristics of females, including age group, education, duration of marriage, and economic status.     

JACKKNIFING THE GENERAL LINEAR MODEL

The aim of this paper is to investigate the problems of estimating a smooth function of the parameters in a general linear model and to clarify some of the points raised by Hinkley (1977) in connection with this problem. An example of the type of problem at hand is that of estimating the maximum (or minimum) mean value in a quadratic regression model. The estimator based on the least squares estimator of the parameters in the linear model is compared to the jackknife estimator and the weighted jackknife estimator proposed by Hinkley (1977). The asymptotic properties of the estimators are examined and their small sample properties are compared through simulation studies.     

中国工业产值与利润波动的周期特征比较及协整分析

文章利用统计学中的周期分析方法和现代计量经济学中的协整分析方法,研究了1977-2003年间我国工业利润和工业产值的周期波动问题,得出了尽管二者的周期波动各有其自身的特点,但二者之间存在着显著的长期动态均衡关系和短期误差修正机制的结论,并认为工业产值指标和工业利润指标各有所长, 应该配合使用。     

A REVIEW OF BOUNDS FOR THE EFFICIENCY FACTOR OF BLOCK DESIGNS

This paper draws together bounds for the efficiency factor of block designs, starting with the papers of Conniffe & Stone (1974) and Williams & Patterson (1977). By extending the methods of Jarrett (1983), firstly to cover supercomplete block designs and then to cover resolvable designs, a set of bounds is obtained which provides the best current bounds for any block design with equal replication and equal block size, including resolvable designs and two-replicate resolvable designs as special cases. The bounds given for non-resolvable designs apply strictly only to designs which are either regular-graph (John & Mitchell, 1977) or whose duals are regular-graph. It is conjectured (John & Williams, 1982) that they are in fact global bounds. Similar qualifications apply to the bounds for resolvable designs.     

Motivation with regard to attitudes toward procreation among married women

The results of a sample survey on attitudes toward reproduction in Poland are presented in this two-part article. The survey, which was conducted by the Central Statistical Office in 1977, covered 9,799 women up to age 45. The women surveyed are divided into three main groups, consisting of those with positive, conditional, and negative attitudes toward having more children. The attitudes and characteristics of the women are analyzed.     

Some results on simultaneous confidence intervals for monotone contrasts in one-way anova model

The one-way ANOVA model with common variance is considered. Simultaneous confidence Intervals (SCI) for monotone contrasts in the means are derived and compared to alternative intervals gene¬rated by Williams (1977)     

Another response to professor neyman

This note is merely an additional response (cf. Mielke, 1978) to a number of statements recently made by Neyman (1977, 1980).     

Estimation in a truncated bivariate poisson distribution using the EM algorithm

An EM algorithm (Dempster et al., 1977) is derived for the estimation of parameters of the truncated bivariate Poisson distribution with zeros rnissing from both margins. The observed inforrnation matrix is obtained and a numerical exarnple is given where the convergence of the EM algorithm is accelerated by the methods of Louis (1982) and conjugate gradients (Jamshidian antl Jennrich, 1993).     

A further note on a theorem on the difference of the generalized inverses of two nonnegative definite matrices

Andrews and Phillips (1986) gave a simplified proof for the result that established the nonnegative definiteness of the difference of the Moore-Penrose inverses of two nonoegative definite matrices, a result originally due to Milliken and Akdeniz (1977), The purpose of this paper is to offer a simple proof for a generalization of this result,     

A CONDITIONAL DERIVATION OF RESIDUAL MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD

Patterson & Thompson (1971) introduced residual maximum likelihood estimation in the case of unbalanced incomplete block designs. Harville (1974) and Cooper & Thompson (1977) give alternative derivations of the likelihood function. The purpose of this note is to provide another derivation of the likelihood function which may be useful in teaching.     

A mail survey design for sensitive character without using randomization device

In the present study, we develop theory for Takahasi and Sakasegawa's (1977) suggest ion and propose a new randomized response model suitable for mail surveys. The proposed model based estimator is unbiased and is always more efficient than the estimator based on Takahasi and Sakasegawa model.     

Joint Integrated Importance Measure for Multi-State Transition Systems

Joint reliability importance (JRI) evaluates the interaction of two components in contributing to the system reliability in a system. Traditional JRI measures mainly concern the change of the system reliability caused by the interactive change of the reliabilities of the two components and seldom consider the probability distributions, transition rates of the object component states, and system performance. This article extends the JRI concept of two components from multi-state systems to multi-state transition systems and mainly focuses on the joint integrated importance measure (JIIM) which considers the transition rates of component states. Firstly, the concept and physical meaning of JIIM in binary systems are described. Secondly, the JIIM for deterioration process (JIIMDP) and the JIIM for maintenance process (JIIMMP) in multi-state systems are studied respectively. The corresponding characteristics of JIIMDP and JIIMMP for series and parallel systems are also analyzed. Finally, an application to an offshore electrical power generation system is given to demonstrate the proposed JIIM.     

Optimum spring balance weighing designs for estimating the total weight

The problem of estimation of the total weight or objects using a spring balance weighing design has been deait with in this paper Based on a theorem by Dey and Gupta (1977) giving a lower bound for the variance of the estimated total weight, a necessary and sufficient condition for this lower bound to be attained is obtained. A few special cases where the lower bound is attained are enumerated.