Conditional k-out-of-n systems with a cold standby component

ABSTRACT

In this article, we consider a k-out-of-n system with a cold standby component under the general condition that lth (0 < l ? n ? k + 1) component is working at time t. The survival function and mean residual life function of such system are derived. Some stochastic monotonic properties of the system lifetimes are presented as well. Numeric results are provided to illustrate the results. The main results obtained in this article complement and generalize related ones in Eryilmaz (2012 Eryilmaz, S. (2012). On the mean residual life of a k-out-of-n: G system with a single cold standby component. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 222:273–277.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]).     

Copula-based reliability analysis for a parallel system with a cold standby

The traditional reliability models cannot well reflect the effect of performance dependence of subsystems on the reliability of system, and neglect the problems of initial reliability and standby redundancy. In this paper, the reliability of a parallel system with active multicomponents and a single cold-standby unit has been investigated. The simultaneously working components are dependent and the dependence is expressed by a copula function. Based on the theories of conditional probability, the explicit expressions for the reliability and the MTTF of the system, in terms of the copula function and marginal lifetime distributions, are obtained. Let the copula function be the FGM copula and the marginal lifetime distribution be exponential distribution, a system with two parallel dependent units and a single cold-standby unit is taken as an example. The effect of different degrees of dependence among components on system reliability is analyzed, and the system reliability can be expressed as the linear combination of exponential reliability functions with different failure rates. For investigating how the degree of dependence affects the mean lifetime, furthermore, the parallel system with a single cold standby, comprising different number of active components, is also presented. The effectiveness of the modeling method is verified, and the method presented provides a theoretical basis for reliability design of engineering systems and physics of failure.     

Reliability of weighted k-out-of-n: G systems consisting of two types of components and a cold standby component

In this article, the influence of a cold standby component to the reliability of weighted k-out-of-n: G systems consisting of two different types of components is studied. Weighted k-out-of-n: G systems are generalization of k-out-of-n systems that has attracted substantial interest in reliability theory because of their various applications in engineering. A method based on residual lifetimes of mixed components is presented for computing reliability of weighted k-out-of-n: G systems with two types of components and a cold standby component. Reliability and mean time to failure of different structured systems have been computed. Moreover, obtained results are used for defining optimal system configurations that can minimize the overall system costs.     

On the survival time of a repairable duplex system sustained by a cold standby unit subjected to a priority rule

We analyze the survival time of a general duplex system sustained by a cold standby unit subjected to a priority rule. The analysis is based on advanced complex function theory (sectionally holomorphic functions). As an example, we consider Weibull–Gnedenko and Erlang distributions for failure and repair. Several graphs are displaying the survival function.     

A note on the mean residual life of a coherent system with a cold standby component

In this paper, we investigate the effect of a cold standby component on the mean residual life (MRL) of a system. When the system fails, a cold standby component is immediately put in operation. We particularly focus on the coherent systems in which, after putting the standby component into operation, the failure of the system is due to the next component failure. For these systems, we define MRL functions and obtain their explicit expressions. Also some stochastic ordering results are provided. Such systems include k-out-of-n systems. Hence, our results extend some results in literature.     

Approximation of the Bivariate Renewal Function

Recently, Kambo and his co-researchers (2012) proposed a method of approximation for evaluating the one-dimensional renewal function based on the first three moments. Their method is simple and elegant, which gives exact values for well-known distributions. In this article, we propose an analogous method for the evaluation of bivariate renewal function based on the first two moments of the variables and their joint moment. The proposed method yields exact results for certain widely used bivariate distributions like bivariate exponential distribution, bivariate Weibull distributions, and bivariate Pareto distributions. An illustrative example in the form of a two-dimensional warranty problem is considered and comparisons of our method are made with the results of other models.     

An algorithmic approach to non-homogeneous semi-markov processes

De Dominicis 1979 suggested a generalization of the notion of semi-Markov process by introducing a suitable definition of the transition kernel of the process and proved a theorm on the existence and uniqueness of the solution of integral equation describing the process evolution. In this paper a quite general algorithm useful for the resolution of the evolution equation is performed; in addition an application to an actuarial problem is presented.     

An alternative approach to minimize model inadequacy

In this article Bock's (1975) approach is used to fit a class of lower order polynomials to a higher order response function. For a wide class of conditions our fitted models offer greater protection, in some sense, against model inadequacies than the one fitted by Karson, Manson and Hader (1969). However, our approach is applicable to the situations where the assumption of normality about the distribution of the response variable is appropriate.     

An alternative approach to the analysis of longitudinal data via generalized estimating equations

The generalized estimating equations (GEE) introduced by Liang and Zeger (Biometrika 73 (1986) 13–22) have been widely used over the past decade to analyze longitudinal data. The method uses a generalized quasi-score function estimate for the regression coefficients, and moment estimates for the correlation parameters. Recently, Crowder (Biometrika 82 (1995) 407–410) has pointed out some pitfalls with the estimation of the correlation parameters in the GEE method. In this paper we present a new method for estimating the correlation parameters which overcomes those pitfalls. For some commonly assumed correlation structures, we obtain unique feasible estimates for the correlation parameters. Large sample properties of our estimates are also established.     

Applications of schur theory to reliability inference for k of n systems

The results of Hoeffding (1956), Pledger and Proschan (1971), Gleser (1975) and Boland and Proschan (1983) are used to obtain Buehler (1957) 1-α lower confidence limits for the reliability of k of n systems of independent components when the subsystem data have equal sample sizes and the observed failures satisfy certain conditions. To the best of our knowledge, for k ≠ 1 or n, this is the first time the exact optimal lower confidence limits for system reliability have been given. The observed failure vectors are a generalization of key test results for k of n systems, k ≠ n (Soms (1984) and Winterbottom (1974)). Two examples applying the above theory are also given.     

Number of appearances of events in random sequences: A new approach to non-overlapping runs

ABSTRACT

Distributions of non-overlapping runs in multistate systems are derived using a new generating function (GF) approach, which has been applied previously mainly to exact length runs. By utilizing this method, univariate and multivariate joint distributions of non-overlapping runs are derived in a unified way. The GF approach also leads naturally to the asymptotic Gaussian distributions, with the mean, variance, and covariance linear in the size of the system.     

An alternative approach for analysis of performance of one-sided cusum charts with variable sampling intervals

An alternative approach for analyzing performance of one-sided Cusum charts with variable sampling intervals (VSI) is proposed. In this approach, a Markov chain with some dummy states is used. By this approach some dynamic performance measures of the VSI Cusum charts, such as the distribution of time to signal and the average time to signal against a change-point, can be determined. Some numerical results are shown, and from these results the dynamic performance of VSI Cusum charts is discussed.     

Analysis of covariance as an alternative approach to the analysis of non-orthogonal lay-outs

Though the analysis of two, three, and four-way non-orthogonal lay-outs is available in literature, it involves tedious calculations, and experimenters refrain using higher-way non-orthogonal lay-outs where computer facilities are not available. This paper will show that the analysis of a n-way lay-out can be considered as the analysis of a (n-1) lay-out with covariance and this approach is expected to minimize the calculations when the analysis has to be carried through desk calculators.     

An alternative to the analysis of covariance for comparing randomized treatments

The problem of comparing mean responses for several treatments applied to a common population is considered. The analysis of co-variance ‘ANCOVA’ is frequently used to take advantage of covariate information in this setting, but in many cases ANCOVA's assumption of parallel regression functions precludes the use of ANCOVA. In this paper, an alternative method is developed which does not make this assumption     

Finding the PDF of the hypoexponential random variable using the Kad matrix similar to the general Vandermonde matrix

ABSTRACT

The sum of independent exponential random variables – the hypoexponential random variables – plays an important role of modeling in many domains. Khuong and Kong in (2006) Khuong, H.V., Kong, H.Y. (2006). General expression for pdf of a sum of independent exponential random variables. IEEE Commun. Lett. 10: 159–161.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] were concerned in evaluating the performance of some diversity scheme, which deals with the problem of finding the probability density function of this hypoexponential random variable. They considered a particular case of m independent exponential random variable, when l random variables have the same mean and m ? l remaining random variables of different means and they found a closed expression of its probability density function. In this paper, we consider the general case of the hypoexponential random variable when the means do not have to be distinct. We find a more simple and general closed expression of its probability density function than that of Khuong and Kong. This expression is obtained using a new defined matrix called the Kad matrix, which is similar to the general Vandermonde matrix. Eventually, we present an application illustrating our work.     

The achievable region approach to the optimal control of stochastic systems

The achievable region approach seeks solutions to stochastic optimization problems by characterizing the space of all possible performances (the achievable region) of the system of interest and optimizing the overall system-wide performance objective over this space. This is radically different from conventional formulations based on dynamic programming. The approach is explained with reference to a simple two-class queueing system. Powerful new methodologies due to the authors and co-workers are deployed to analyse a general multi-class queuing system with parallel servers and then to develop an approach to optimal load distribution across a network of interconnected stations. Finally, the approach is used for the first time to analyse a class of intensity control problems.     

An empirical analysis of the volatility of the Japanese stock price index: a non-parametric approach

This paper presents an empirical analysis of stochastic features of volatility in the Japanese stock price index, or TOPIX, using high-frequency data sampled every 5 min. The process of TOPIX is modeled by a stochastic differential equation with the time-homogeneous drift and diffusion coefficients. To avoid the risk of misspecification for the volatility function, which is defined by the squared diffusion coefficient, the local polynomial model is applied to the data, and then produced the estimates of the volatility function together with their confidence intervals. The result of the estimation suggests that the volatility function shows similar patterns for one period, but drastically changes for another.     

A wavelet-based approach to the analysis and modelling of financial time series exhibiting strong long-range dependence: the case of Southeast Europe

This paper demonstrates the utilization of wavelet-based tools for the analysis and prediction of financial time series exhibiting strong long-range dependence (LRD). Commonly emerging markets' stock returns are characterized by LRD. Therefore, we track the LRD evolvement for the return series of six Southeast European stock indices through the application of a wavelet-based semi-parametric method. We further engage the á trous wavelet transform in order to extract deeper knowledge on the returns term structure and utilize it for prediction purposes. In particular, a multiscale autoregressive (MAR) model is fitted and its out-of-sample forecast performance is benchmarked to that of ARMA. Additionally, a data-driven MAR feature selection procedure is outlined. We find that the wavelet-based method captures adequately LRD dynamics both in calm as well as in turmoil periods detecting the presence of transitional changes. At the same time, the MAR model handles with the complicated autocorrelation structure implied by the LRD in a parsimonious way achieving better performance.