试论中国孝文化与养老保障制度

中国养老保障制度的完善需要考虑中国传统孝文化的影响。而养老保障制度的建立也可以延续和弘扬孝文化。本文分析了二者相互的关系,提倡建立一种依托于“孝”为文化基础的符合中国国民性格的社会养老保障制度,在推动优秀孝文化的继承和发展的同时完善我国养老保障制度。     

Some New Regression Methods for Predictive and Construct Validation

Social Indicators Research -     

Statistical Security for Social Security

The financial viability of Social Security, the single largest U.S. government program, depends on accurate forecasts of the solvency of its intergenerational trust fund. We begin by detailing information necessary for replicating the Social Security Administration's (SSA's) forecasting procedures, which until now has been unavailable in the public domain. We then offer a way to improve the quality of these procedures via age- and sex-specific mortality forecasts. The most recent SSA mortality forecasts were based on the best available technology at the time, which was a combination of linear extrapolation and qualitative judgments. Unfortunately, linear extrapolation excludes known risk factors and is inconsistent with long-standing demographic patterns, such as the smoothness of age profiles. Modern statistical methods typically outperform even the best qualitative judgments in these contexts. We show how to use such methods, enabling researchers to forecast using far more information, such as the known risk factors of smoking and obesity and known demographic patterns. Including this extra information makes a substantial difference. For example, by improving only mortality forecasting methods, we predict three fewer years of net surplus, $730 billion less in Social Security Trust Funds, and program costs that are 0.66% greater for projected taxable payroll by 2031 compared with SSA projections. More important than specific numerical estimates are the advantages of transparency, replicability, reduction of uncertainty, and what may be the resulting lower vulnerability to the politicization of program forecasts. In addition, by offering with this article software and detailed replication information, we hope to marshal the efforts of the research community to include ever more informative inputs and to continue to reduce uncertainties in Social Security forecasts.     

Correction to: A Poset‑Generalizability Method for Human Development Indicators

Social Indicators Research -     

Socio-Economic Indicators for Performance Evaluation and Quality Assessment: Statistical Methods and Applications

Social Indicators Research -     

Social Services for Children At Risk: The Impact on the Quality of Life

Social Indicators Research -     

Call for Papers Special Issues of Social Indicators Research on the Quality of Life in Korea

Social Indicators Research -     

A Poset-Generalizability Method for Human Development Indicators

Social Indicators Research - The paper introduces a poset-generalizability perspective for analysing human development indicators. It suggests a new method for identifying admissibility of...     

Analyzing Customer Requirements to Select a Suitable Service Configuration Both for Users and for Company Provider

Social Indicators Research - The analysis of Customer Satisfaction is an important tool in planning business activities. It allows firms to identify which features and attributes are important for...     

Benefits for Older People from Government Subsidies for Healthcare in China: Is the Distribution Equitable?

Social Indicators Research - Population aging poses an unprecedented challenge in China. Barriers such as health insurance schemes, socio-economic status, social support, and family structure...     

A New Relative Importance Index of Evaluation for Conjoint Analysis: Some Findings for CRM Assistant

Social Indicators Research - ELECTUS is an Italian multi-centre research project with the aim of reinforcing the relationship between the academic world and business. Through this project, it is...     

A Recast Framework for Welfare Deservingness Perceptions

Social Indicators Research - Many important societal debates revolve around questions of deservingness, especially when it comes to debates related to inequality and social protection. It is...     

Parenthood and Quality of Life in Old Age: The Role of Individual Resources,the Welfare State and the Economy

Although the notion of ‘Social Europe’ can refer to different principles and policy options, most research narrows down attitudes towards Social Europe to a unidimensional construct. In this study, we instead propose a multi-dimensional approach, and contribute to the literature in three ways. First, we elaborate the notion of ‘Social Europe’ conceptually, and distinguish between the decision-making level for social policy, European social citizenship, harmonization, member-state solidarity and interpersonal solidarity. Second, analysing the 2014 Belgian National Election Study by means of confirmatory factor analysis we evidence that citizens indeed have distinct attitudes towards the policy principles and instruments of Social Europe. Although these attitudinal dimensions are interrelated, they cannot be reduced to a single Social Europe factor, meaning that citizens differentiate in their attitudes between various aspects of Social Europe. In addition, our research indicates that member-state solidarity is the primary aspect of Social Europe in public opinion, whereas the feature that has received most scholarly attention in empirical research to date—the preferred decision-making level for social policy—cannot be considered as a key component of attitudes towards Social Europe. Third, we investigate whether citizens with different educational levels conceptualize Social Europe similarly using multigroup confirmatory factor analysis. Results indicate that the attitudinal factor structure of Social Europe is largely equivalent among lower and higher-educated citizens.     

A Well-Being Indicator for the Italian Provinces

Social Indicators Research - In recent years, a significant number of papers has been published providing alternative measures of progress and well-being to Gross Domestic Product. Most of these...     

The Role of Visible Wealth for Deprivation

Social Indicators Research - Motivated by the lack of literature linking actual to perceived relative deprivation, this paper assesses the role of visibility in goods and assets vis-à-vis...     

A Conceptual Framework for Visualizing Composite Indicators

Social Indicators Research - Human development index (HDI) integrating greenness and fairness indicators is an important reference for global governance. This paper used the geometric method to...     

Education-Job Mismatch: Implications for Individual Earnings and Aggregate Output

Social Indicators Research - Based on the nationally representative micro-level dataset, the present paper investigates the prevalence of education-job mismatches and their effects on individual...     

Erratum to: Mapping the Regional Divide in Europe: A Measure for Assessing Quality of Government in 206 European Regions

Social Indicators Research -     

Kuznets Curve for the US: A Reconsideration Using Cosummability

Social Indicators Research - The relationship between income inequality and long-run economic growth has gained a growing attention in economic research for over decades. This study employed...     

The Role of Financial Fragility and Financial Control for Well-Being

Social Indicators Research - Financial fragility is recognized as a substantial issue for individual well-being. Various estimates show that between 46 and 59% of American adults are financially...