Nonparametric estimation of the shape function in a Gamma process for degradation data

The author considers estimation under a Gamma process model for degradation data. The setting for degradation data is one in which n independent units, each with a Gamma process with a common shape function and scale parameter, are observed at several possibly different times. Covariates can be incorporated into the model by taking the scale parameter as a function of the covariates. The author proposes using the maximum pseudo‐likelihood method to estimate the unknown parameters. The method requires usage of the Pool Adjacent Violators Algorithm. Asymptotic properties, including consistency, convergence rate and asymptotic distribution, are established. Simulation studies are conducted to validate the method and its application is illustrated by using bridge beams data and carbon‐film resistors data. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 37: 102‐118; 2009 © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada     

Nonparametric Estimation of the Average Availability

The average availability of a repairable system is the expected proportion of time that the system is operating in the interval [0, t]. The present article discusses the nonparametric estimation of the average availability when (i) the data on ‘n’ complete cycles of system operation are available, (ii) the data are subject to right censorship, and (iii) the process is observed upto a specified time ‘T’. In each case, a nonparametric confidence interval for the average availability is also constructed. Simulations are conducted to assess the performance of the estimators.     

Dynamic approach to linear statistical calibration with an application in microwave radiometry

The problem of statistical calibration of a measuring instrument can be framed both in a statistical context as well as in an engineering context. In the first, the problem is dealt with by distinguishing between the ‘classical’ approach and the ‘inverse’ regression approach. Both of these models are static models and are used to estimate exact measurements from measurements that are affected by error. In the engineering context, the variables of interest are considered to be taken at the time at which you observe it. The Bayesian time series analysis method of Dynamic Linear Models can be used to monitor the evolution of the measures, thus introducing a dynamic approach to statistical calibration. The research presented employs a new approach to performing statistical calibration. A simulation study in the context of microwave radiometry is conducted that compares the dynamic model to traditional static frequentist and Bayesian approaches. The focus of the study is to understand how well the dynamic statistical calibration method performs under various signal-to-noise ratios, r.     

Globally intensity-reweighted estimators for K- and pair correlation functions

We introduce new estimators of the inhomogeneous K-function and the pair correlation function of a spatial point process as well as the cross K-function and the cross pair correlation function of a bivariate spatial point process under the assumption of second-order intensity-reweighted stationarity. These estimators rely on a ‘global’ normalisation factor which depends on an aggregation of the intensity function, while the existing estimators depend ‘locally’ on the intensity function at the individual observed points. The advantages of our new global estimators over the existing local estimators are demonstrated by theoretical considerations and a simulation study.     

Diagnosis of Multivariate Control Chart Signal Based on Dummy Variable Regression Technique

Abstract

It is common to monitor several correlated quality characteristics using the Hotelling's T ² statistic. However, T ² confounds the location shift with scale shift and consequently it is often difficult to determine the factors responsible for out of control signal in terms of the process mean vector and/or process covariance matrix. In this paper, we propose a diagnostic procedure called ‘D-technique’ to detect the nature of shift. For this purpose, two sets of regression equations, each consisting of regression of a variable on the remaining variables, are used to characterize the ‘structure’ of the ‘in control’ process and that of ‘current’ process. To determine the sources responsible for an out of control state, it is shown that it is enough to compare these two structures using the dummy variable multiple regression equation. The proposed method is operationally simpler and computationally advantageous over existing diagnostic tools. The technique is illustrated with various examples.     

Residual life estimation based on bivariate non-stationary gamma degradation process

Due to the growing importance in maintenance scheduling, the issue of residual life (RL) estimation for some high reliable products based on degradation data has been studied quite extensively. However, most of the existing work only deals with one-dimensional degradation data, which may not be realistic in some cases. Here, an adaptive method of RL estimation is developed based on two-dimensional degradation data. It is assumed that a product has two performance characteristics (PCs) and that the degradation of each PC over time is governed by a non-stationary gamma degradation process. From a practical consideration, it is further assumed that these two PCs are dependent and that their dependency can be characterized by a copula function. As the likelihood function in such a situation is complicated and computationally quite intensive, a two-stage method is used to estimate the unknown parameters of the model. Once new degradation information of the product being monitored becomes available, random effects are first updated by using the Bayesian method. Following that, the RL at current time is estimated accordingly. As the degradation data information accumulates, the RL can be re-estimated in an adaptive manner. Finally, a numerical example about fatigue cracks is presented in order to illustrate the proposed model and the developed inferential method.     

Relation of modified power series distributions to lagrangian probability distributions

The class of Lagrangian probability distributions ‘LPD’, given by the expansion of a probability generating function f‘t’ under the transformation u = t/g‘t’ where g ‘t’ is also a p.g.f., has been substantially widened by removing the restriction that the defining functions g ‘t’ and f‘t’ be probability generating functions. The class of modified power series distributions defined by Gupta ‘1974’ has been shown to be a sub-class of the wider class of LPDs     

Interval robust design under contaminated and non normal data

Abstract

Robust parameter design (RPD) is an effective tool, which involves experimental design and strategic modeling to determine the optimal operating conditions of a system. The usual assumptions of RPD are that normally distributed experimental data and no contamination due to outliers. And generally the parameter uncertainties in response models are neglected. However, using normal theory modeling methods for a skewed data and ignoring parameter uncertainties can create a chain of degradation in optimization and production phases such that misleading fit, poor estimated optimal operating conditions, and poor quality products. This article presents a new approach based on confidence interval (CI) response modeling for the process mean. The proposed interval robust design makes the system median unbiased for the mean and uses midpoint of the interval as a measure of location performance response. As an alternative robust estimator for the process variance response modeling, using biweight midvariance is proposed which is both resistant and robust of efficiency where normality is not met. The results further show that the proposed interval robust design gives a robust solution to the skewed structure of the data and to contaminated data. The procedure and its advantages are illustrated using two experimental design studies.