Rationalizing branch banking

Large organizations and particularly organizations with the complex structure of branch banking, require time to change. The author does not suggest that there are any clear answers to the strategic planning problems facing branch banking. Today's advanced technology provides new tools to respond to change and progress. To do this accurate assessment of market segments, an effective internal management structure, efficient management and a level and quality of staff to use the new technology are required. This, in turn, will demand new recruitment and training methods.     

Flexibility in manufacturing systems

Considerable interest is now being shown in the concept of flexible manufacturing systems. This paper reviews the early experience of a number of UK users and examines the range of choice now opening up for firms engaged in batch manufacturing operations. Although the potential benefits of flexible manufacturing (such as reduced lead times or inventory levels) are significant, achieving these in practice depends on successfully resolving a number of problem issues. In particular, the question of integration—both technological (hardware/software) and organisational—needs to be addressed. The paper discusses progress made in the firms studied in dealing with these issues and identifies a number of dimensions along which other organisations considering the implementation of flexible manufacturing systems will need to adapt.     

The state of private sector strategic planning in Canada

This paper examines Canadian strategic planning expertise from a number of different aspects. It evaluates the relative sophistication of Canadian and American management consultants and points out that the U.S. expertise is still particularly good and preferred. It is perhaps a pertinent comment that the view of many is that ‘The U.S. people have … defined their products in such a way as clients can use them’. Analysis of the stimuli for strategic planning is an appropriate focus, particularly since it concludes that it is rare that a visionary cheif executive is responsible! Most companies appear to pursue strategic planning through fear rather than enlightenment. The quality of input to the planning process varies widely, with extrapolation from the past a major preoccupation. There appears to be a lack of environmental analysis. The author analyses a number of important issues and concludes that a bolder embrace of strategic planning would serve Canadian management well in responding to the extensive challenge facing their country's economy in the next 10 years.     

A multivariate analysis of the financial characteristics of foreign and domestic banks in the UK

For the banking sector in the EU, the UK is one of the most important countries, since over a quarter of all banking assets in the EU are held in the UK and it is the largest single international banking centre, accounting for 20% of the world's cross-border lending. The UK banking sector has traditionally been one of the most open and it is characterized by a rapidly increasing foreign bank presence. Foreign banks account for 55% of the total assets of the UK banking sector. The objective of this paper is to investigate the performance of the banking sector in the UK focusing on the performance of the domestic banks as opposed to the performance of the foreign banks operating in the UK. For this purpose, a multivariate analysis is performed to identify the existing differences between the financial characteristics of domestic and foreign banks, considering profitability, liquidity, risk and efficiency factors. The data sample covers 26 domestic and 32 foreign banks operating in the UK over the period 1998–2001.     

基于信号博弈的中外资银行信贷竞争行为分析

在银行业全面开放及贷款利率市场化条件下,异,对中外资银行信贷舍约竞争行为的影响。结果表明：本文利用信号博弈模型,讨论了信息差异及经营成本差1）中资银行的竞争优势是老借款人。2）外资银行提供分离合约时,在中资银行的新借款人市场上将出现“柠檬效应”;外资银行提供混同合约时,中资银行将失去所有新借款人。     

A survey on bank branch efficiency and performance research with data envelopment analysis

The banking industry has been the object of DEA analyses by a significant number of researchers and probably is the most heavily studied of all business sectors. Various DEA models have been applied in performance assessing problems, and the banks' complex production processes have further motivated the extension and improvement of DEA techniques. This paper surveys 80 published DEA applications in 24 countries/areas that specifically focus on bank branches. Key issues related to the design of DEA models in these studies are discussed. Much advice is included on how to design future experiments and studies in this domain. A number of areas where further research could be fruitful are suggested.     

存款保险制度、影子银行与银行系统性风险

为了防范系统性银行危机的发生,我国于2015年推出了存款保险制度,该制度能否有效降低我国银行系统性风险是关乎金融稳定的重要现实问题.以我国存款保险制度的实施为契机,本文基于16家上市银行2010年第四季度~2017年第二季度的面板数据,首先,将金融机构间的关联网络和金融机构市值纳入到系统性金融风险的测度中,进而探讨我国存款保险制度对银行系统性风险的影响及其作用渠道.结果表明存款保险制度的实施显著提高了其他商业银行(中、农、工、建以外的商业银行)的系统性风险;存款保险制度主要通过影子银行渠道增加其他商业银行的系统性风险.本文的研究对于我国强化影子银行的宏观审慎管理、引入基于银行系统性风险的差别存款保险费率设计和完善系统重要性金融机构的评定,具有一定的借鉴意义.     

Evaluating alternative approaches to strategic planning

The question which, unfortunately, often goes unanswered, is whether a company's process of corporate planning is optimal. Furthermore, even if they wished to answer such a question there is little in the literature which can provide them with a direct, and explicit evaluative model. This paper examines the development of planning and the many different contributors towards its theoretical underpinning. Whilst recognizing that planning is a field which is a ‘semantic's jungle’ the authors carefully pick their way through the mine-field of misunderstanding and misquotation and clearly establish a base-line for evaluation and indeed propose a detailed methodology. It is hoped that this paper will be a fore-runner of many which will assist the executive in his important evaluative role concerning alternative planning approaches.     

银行股权关联、银行业竞争与民营企业融资约束

本文以公司参股银行为视角,在行为金融理论、企业组织理论与信贷融资理论相融合的分析框架下,构建基于异质预期的信贷配置模型,探讨了银行股权关联和银行业竞争影响民营企业融资约束的传导机理。以A股民营企业2006~2013年的数据为例,运用Heckman两阶段回归等方法,我们发现:参股银行和提高银行业竞争性均能显著缓解民营企业的融资约束,参股比例越高该效应越强,且两者在缓解融资约束方面存在替代关系。但进一步的分析显示,银行股权关联对资本配置的影响具有两面性:即银行股权关联所带来的融资优势能够减少因资金短缺导致的投资不足,但代理问题的存在也可能导致银行股权关联被部分异化,使其对于资本配置的正向作用减弱甚至被异化为利益寻租的工具。上述结论既丰富了委托代理理论与公司财务理论的相关研究成果,也有助于我们深入理解银行股权关联的"正面效果"和"负面效果"。     

Strategic planning for research and development

This paper examines the need for and the difficulties in implementing strategies for planning the research and development activities of a company. The author does not accept that research planning reduces creativity, though he is of the view that planning's exclusive concentration on economic aspects of a company's activities, such as turnover or profit, can lead to erroneous decisions in the research and development field. This paper outlines a number of specific and explicit research strategies which can be followed, and relates them to the company's strategic objectives. Furthermore, the author explicitly categorizes different types of research and comments upon the relevance of strategic planning to each.     

Environmental scanning—Does it help the chief executive?

Firms must correctly identify and analyze the nature of their strategic environments, their strategic oppurtunities and problems, and, formulate the precise strategy sets for corporate strategy for accomplishing the chosen organizational objectives and goals. This articles reports on a survey. Chief executives of industrial corporations provided their insights and experience (see Appendix I) and the findings are analyzed for the implications for other practising chief executives. The nature of environment which is strategic to a particular firm has considerable influence upon the firm's choice of strategies. The correct understanding of this influence is critical to the firm's organizational effectiveness. Only after a correct understanding can the chief executive formulate the precise mix of strategies and meld them in the strategy sets of the corporate strategy.The major findings indicate that the levels of difficulty experienced in accomplishing firm's objectives and goals depend upon the perceived nature of complexity, unpredictability and dynamism of the firm's strategic environments. The levels of clarity on strategic issues also depend upon these same attributes of environments. The formulation of strategy sets of corporate strategy are indicative of the ways by which the chief executive and his management team expect the firm to achieve its major objectives and goals by monitoring the strategy sets to keep in tune with the changing realities of the firm's strategic environments. General management, marketing and finance, were the vital group strategies, followed by production and research and development. External relations, personnel and procurement were the least important strategies. Firms operating in simple and stable environments experienced the least difficulty in achieving corporate goals, while firms in dynamic and complex environments experienced the greatest difficulty.     

Total factor productivity and shareholder returns in banking

This paper examines shareholder value drivers in European banking focusing on the efficiency and productivity features of individual banks. In particular, we analyse the value relevance of bank cost efficiency and total factor productivity (TFP) (in all its components, including technological change, pure technical efficiency change and scale efficiency change) to see how these influence shareholder value creation in European banking. The paper focuses on the French, German, Italian and U.K. banking systems over the period 1995–2002 and includes both listed and non-listed banks. We find that TFP changes best explain variations in shareholder value (measured by market-adjusted returns, MAR, for listed banks and by the ratio of EVA_bkg to invested capital at time t−1 for non-listed banks). In both samples, we also find that technological change seems to be the most important component of TFP influencing shareholder value creation in European banking.     

Sound branch cash management for less: A low-cost forecasting algorithm under uncertain demand

This paper deals with cash management for bank branches, under the assumption that branches have a role to play in the improvement of global bank institution performance. In the current scenario of unprecedented pressure amongst banks to keep costs under control, our contribution is the design of a sound and low-cost algorithm to optimize branch cash holdings using software implementation in SageMath. It is accompanied by data processing based on 60,000 real banking records. This is the first academic paper to run such an extensive database at branch level.We find that our algorithm by and large performs well when forecasting the cash amounts that the branch might require from the central hub to satisfy all branch necessities, avoiding the generation of either surplus or shortage of cash. It is also extremely easy to implement in daily branching practice, leading to an overall reduction in operating costs. In addition, our algorithm may be easily adjusted as required and be tailor-made to the special requirements of each banking institution.     

A Review of the Contemporary Transfer Pricing Literature with Recommendations for Future Research

A transfer price is a value placed on the goods or services which are traded between divisions of an organization. This paper attempts to make the subject of transfer pricing accessible to researchers and others interested in managerial problems so that a very real managerial problem can be studied in a broader managerial context. The not insubstantial literature that has grown up in the transfer pricing area is reviewed and, in particular, a critical evaluation of recent writings in the field is provided. It is shown that little which is unequivocal is known about transfer pricing and that the choices made by managers with regard to transfer pricing are little understood, both with regard to the factors which drive choice and the differences between choice in practice and theoretical interpretations. It is suggested that progress in the area will require a richer understanding of the realities confronting practising managers. Research by means of field studies, particularly case studies, is recommended to provide this. A series of hypotheses and issues, representing the dilemmas facing managers, is provided as a theoretical grounding for such research.     

论货币政策和金融监管分立的有效性前提

目前 ,在中国央行和银监会是否应该就货币政策和金融监管各司其职的探讨正在逐渐深入 ,将金融监管职能从中央银行分离出去的理论依据主要有两个 ,一是认为中央银行既负责货币政策的制定和执行 ,又负责金融监管 ,会造成较为严重的角色冲突。二是认为中央银行既负责宏观的货币政策的制定和执行 ,又因金融监管涉及大量微观的和具体的活动 ,直接制约了金融监管的专业化 (王君 ,2001)。此外 ,虽然银行监管原本是央行的传统职能 ,但近年来国际趋势是将职能逐步从央行分离出来 ,另组一个独立的超级统一监管机构 ,负责银行、证券和保险三大金融领域的监管。这可能是国内一些学者倾向于央行银监会分立模式的3种理由。本文从货币政策和金融监管分合的理论假说和制度变迁背景方面对上述理由进行了分析 ,指出监管职能或机构的变动主要是为实施独立有效的银行监管 ,金融监管政策的完整性和监管水平的提升 ,并不全在于架构的调整 ,缺乏监管理念更新的单纯机构变更永远是相对次要的     

双渠道风险传染下银行系统稳定性分析

随着金融危机的频率和范围的不断扩大,银行系统性风险的研究越来越受到重视。针对银行业系统性风险,构建银行同业拆借（直接传染渠道）、银行共同持有资产（间接传染渠道）的双渠道风险传染网络模型。该模型引入了宏观经济波动带来的投资风险,并允许银行通过贬值出售资产来弥补流动性,这更真实地反映了银行系统的操作规则。研究结果表明,在各种经济因素波动情况下,平均储蓄量、储蓄的波动幅度、投资的收益率、存款准备金率以及储蓄利率等对银行系统稳定性的有较大影响,并进行了定量分析。该研究为定量研究宏观经济波动下银行系统性风险问题提供了方案,并为决策者和监管部门防范银行系统性风险提供了参考。     

基于银行-资产双边网络模型的系统性风险及投资策略研究

受近几年的国际金融危机及金融全球化的影响,对金融系统的系统性风险的研究已成为国内外学者的关注热点。考虑到当前基于"银行-资产-银行"间接传播渠道的相关研究相对匮乏,本文基于银行-资产双边网络模型来分析银行系统性风险。首先,使用中国47家上市银行2018年的资产负债表数据构建了中国银行系统的双边网络模型,研究分析各类资产遭受冲击时外部冲击、降价出售效应及银行所持有的各类资产占银行总资产的比例对银行系统性风险的影响。然后,引入系统性冲击方式,通过设置具有不同属性的两大类资产并生成四种冲击事件来构建银行的投资策略模型,从资产视角探讨银行最优的投资策略。研究发现,外部冲击与降价出售效应这两个产生系统性风险的影响因素在一定区间值时会产生叠加效应,使银行系统性风险急剧增加;五种资产类中,贷款类资产对外部冲击最敏感;分析发现在各类资产冲击下都未倒闭的所有银行的资产组合具有一定的相似性;进一步研究发现银行系统中存在着最优的资产组合,使得银行在稳定的同时能获取最大收益,并且资产负债比越大的银行其风险承受能力越强,从而可以选择更激进的投资策略来追求高收益。     

Conflicts between public and private opinion

The opportunities for research in the 1980s will be much affected by changes in society. In particular, by a clash between two powerful forces—the producer bureaucracy and the new individualism. It will be a clash of values and opinions; and research will be needed to measure them.However, there are dangers in the way that opinion research will be used, and especially in the way that it will be publicized. The protagonists in the arguments on many social issues are likely to make increasing use of published ‘research events’— that is, over-simplified and superficial figures on public opinion, designed mainly to appeal to the media's need for simple and dramatic news, and thence to affect public policies.In fact, the evidence is very strong that there is a genuine difference between people's private opinions and their public opinions. But the requirements of media contests will tend to force research methods to concentrate heavily on public opinions. The danger is not so much that this would distort social policies (though it might) as that it could damage the reputation of market research in general—especially if, as is likely, the findings of one group's ‘research events’ appeared to be directly opposed to those of another's.One important challenge of the 1980s will be to identify these risks and do something to guard against them. Five simple guidelines are suggested which I hope can contribute to a joint campaign to educate in the proper use and presentation of opinion research.     

Do performance and environmental conditions act as barriers for cross-border banking in Europe?

This paper attempts to analyse whether banking technology and environmental conditions act as barriers for the entry of foreign banks in each European banking industry. We evaluate how the efficiency score of a representative commercial bank of a given European country changes if it decides to move abroad. To carry out this analysis, we use a sample of 700 banks belonging to 11 European countries. Countries are paired and each couple is studied by using four DEA production frontiers. These frontiers allow us to measure the technological and environmental gaps between the two countries considered and, based on them, to predict the new efficiency score of the representative bank of a country that decides to operate in a different country. The results indicate, as expected, that being technologically advanced appears to be a significant deterrent to foreign competition, and that adverse environmental conditions constitute a real barrier for cross-border banking activity. Additionally, the results suggest that host-nation banking performance is a good safeguard against cross-border competition.     

Strategic issues for the Trustee Savings Banks

Since the mid-1970s, the TSB Group has changed from a group of 73 savings banks offering basic deposit services to one of the U.K.'s leading financial service groups. The object of this article is to outline the background to the U.K. savings bank movement, the TSB Group's strategy in the period 1976–1984 and current business issues. The article is divided into four sections: The Background to the U.K. Savings Bank Movement; TSB in Transition 1976–1984; The TSB Group Reconstruction; TSB in the 1980s and 1990s.