Inflated modified power series distributions with applications

In certain applications involving discrete data, it is sometimes found that X = 0 is observed with a frequency significantly higher than predicted by the assumed model. Zero inflated Poisson, binomial and negative binomial models have been employed in some clinical trials and in some regression analysis problems.

In this paper, we study the zero inflated modified power series distributions (IMPSD) which include among others the generalized Poisson and the generalized negative binomial distributions and hence the Poisson, binomial and negative binomial distributions. The structural properties along with the distribution of the sum of independent IMPSD variables are studied. The maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the model is examined and the variance-covariance matrix of the estimators is obtained. Finally, examples are presented for the generalized Poisson distribution to illustrate the results.     

Modified likelihood ratio statistics for inflated beta regressions

The class of inflated beta regression models generalizes that of beta regressions [S.L.P. Ferrari and F. Cribari-Neto, Beta regression for modelling rates and proportions, J. Appl. Stat. 31 (2004), pp. 799–815] by incorporating a discrete component that allows practitioners to model data on rates and proportions with observations that equal an interval limit. For instance, one can model responses that assume values in (0, 1]. The likelihood ratio test tends to be quite oversized (liberal, anticonservative) in inflated beta regressions estimated with a small number of observations. Indeed, our numerical results show that its null rejection rate can be almost twice the nominal level. It is thus important to develop alternative testing strategies. This paper develops small-sample adjustments to the likelihood ratio and signed likelihood ratio test statistics in inflated beta regression models. The adjustments do not require orthogonality between the parameters of interest and the nuisance parameters and are fairly simple since they only require first- and second-order log-likelihood cumulants. Simulation results show that the modified likelihood ratio tests deliver much accurate inference in small samples. An empirical application is presented and discussed.     

Bayesian estimation for non zero inflated modified power series distribution under linex and generalized entropy loss functions

Abstract

In this paper, we derive Bayesian estimators of the parameters of modified power series distributions inflated at any of a support point under linex and general entropy loss function. We assume that the prior information can be summarized by a uniform, Beta, two-sided power, Gamma or generalized Pareto distributions. The obtained results are demonstrated on the generalized Poisson and the generalized negative binomial distribution inflated at a given point.     

The power series distribution wite unknown truncation parameter: Two sample problem

The uniformly most powerful unbiased tests are formulated for the two sample problem of the power series distribution with unknown truncation parameter.     

Testing for two states in a hidden Markov model

The authors consider hidden Markov models (HMMs) whose latent process has m ≥ 2 states and whose state‐dependent distributions arise from a general one‐parameter family. They propose a test of the hypothesis m = 2. Their procedure is an extension to HMMs of the modified likelihood ratio statistic proposed by Chen, Chen & Kalbfleisch (2004) for testing two states in a finite mixture. The authors determine the asymptotic distribution of their test under the hypothesis m = 2 and investigate its finite‐sample properties in a simulation study. Their test is based on inference for the marginal mixture distribution of the HMM. In order to illustrate the additional difficulties due to the dependence structure of the HMM, they show how to test general regular hypotheses on the marginal mixture of HMMs via a quasi‐modified likelihood ratio. They also discuss two applications.     

Maximum log-likelihood ratio test for a change in three parameter Weibull distribution

Asymptotic behavior of a log-likelihood ratio statistic for testing a change in a three parameter Weibull distribution is studied. It is shown that if a shape parameter α>2$\alpha >2$ the law of iterated logarithm for maximum-likelihood estimators is still valid and the log-likelihood testing statistic is asymptotically distributed (after an appropriate normalization) according to a Gumbel distribution.     

Tests for Equality of Inflation Parameters of Two Zero-Inflated Power Series Distributions

In this article, we consider two independent zero-inflated power series distributions and provide likelihood ratio test for equality of inflation parameters of the same. As an illustration, testing equality of inflation parameters of two zero inflated Poisson distributions is provided. Further, simulation study to investigate power of likelihood ratio tests has been carried out.     

Testing homogeneity in a mixture of von mises distributions with a structural parameter

The modified likelihood ratio statistic can be used to test the homogeneity in a variety of mixture models. Here, the authors propose the use of the modified and the iterative modified likelihood ratio for testing homogeneity against a two‐component von Mises mixture with a structural parameter. They derive the limiting distributions of the test statistics and propose methods to improve the accuracy of the asymptotic approximation in finite samples. Their simulations show that the tests maintain their nominal level and that they have adequate power. Data on movements of turtles are used as an illustration     

Testing the homogeneity of several two‐parameter populations

The authors extend Fisher's method of combining two independent test statistics to test homogeneity of several two‐parameter populations. They explore two procedures combining asymptotically independent test statistics: the first pools two likelihood ratio statistics and the other, score test statistics. They then give specific results to test homogeneity of several normal, negative binomial or beta‐binomial populations. Their simulations provide evidence that in this context, Fisher's method performs generally well, even when the statistics to be combined are only asymptotically independent. They are led to recommend Fisher's test based on score statistics, since the latter have simple forms, are easy to calculate, and have uniformly good level properties.     

Testing the proportional odds model for interval-censored data

This paper discusses the goodness-of-fit test for the proportional odds model for K-sample interval-censored failure time data, which frequently occur in, for example, periodic follow-up survival studies. The proportional odds model has a feature that allows the ratio of two hazard functions to be monotonic and converge to one and provides an important tool for the modeling of survival data. To test the model, a procedure is proposed, which is a generalization of the method given in Dauxois and Kirmani [Dauxois JY, Kirmani SNUA (2003) Biometrika 90:913–922]. The asymptotic distribution of the procedure is established and its properties are evaluated by simulation studies     

On the one parameter unit-Lindley distribution and its associated regression model for proportion data

In this paper considering an appropriate transformation on the Lindley distribution, we propose the unit-Lindley distribution and investigate some of its statistical properties. An important fact associated with this new distribution is that it is possible to obtain the analytical expression for bias correction of the maximum likelihood estimator. Moreover, it belongs to the exponential family. This distribution allows us to incorporate covariates directly in the mean and consequently to quantify their influences on the average of the response variable. Finally, a practical application is presented to show that our model fits much better than the Beta regression.     

Estimations of the parameter of a Dirichlet distribution using residual allocation model representations and sampling properties

Estimating the parameter of a Dirichlet distribution is an interesting question since this distribution arises in many situations of applied probability. Classical procedures are based on sample of Dirichlet distribution. In this paper we exhibit five different estimators from only one observation. They are based either on residual allocation model decompositions or on sampling properties of Dirichlet distributions. Two ways are investigated: the first one uses fragments’ size and the second one uses size-biased permutations of a partition. Numerical computations based on simulations are supplied. The estimators are finally used to estimate birth probabilities per month.     

Generalized linear failure rate power series distribution

Abstract

In this article, we introduce a new class of lifetime distributions. This new class includes several previously known distributions such as those of Chahkandi and Ganjali (2009 Chahkandi, M., Ganjali, M. (2009). On some lifetime distributions with decreasing failure rate. Computat. Statist. Data Anal. 53:4433–4440.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Mahmoudi and Jafari (2012 Mahmoudi, E., Jafari, A.A. (2012). Generalized exponential power series distributions. Comput. Statist. Data Anal. 56(12):4047–4066.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Nadarajah et al. (2012 Nadarajah, S., Shahsanaei, F., Rezaei, S. (2012). A new four-parameter lifetime distribution. J. Statist. Computat. Simul.. ifirst, 1–16. [Google Scholar]). This new class of four-parameter distributions allows for flexible failure rate behavior. Indeed, the failure rate function here can be increasing, decreasing, bathtub-shaped or upside-down bathtub-shaped. Several distributional properties of the new class including moments, quantiles and order statistics are studied. An EM algorithm for computing the estimates of the parameters involved is proposed and some maximum entropy characterizations are discussed. Finally, to show the flexibility and potential of the new class of distributions, applications to two real data sets are provided.     

Testing for serial correlation in linear model with validation data

In this paper, we investigate the testing for serial correlation in a linear model with validation data, then we apply the empirical likelihood method to construct the test statistic and derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under null hypothesis. Simulation results show that our method performs well both in size and power with finite same size.     

Testing the equality of multinomial populations ordered by increasing convexity under the alternative

The authors derive the asymptotic null distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing equality of multinomial populations whose parameters are ordered by increasing convexity under the alternative. They also show how to compute critical values for the test.     

Estimations of a threshold parameter in cox regression

Therneau et al (1990) used martingale residual plots to study the threshold effect of some covariates in a proportional hazard regression model for survival data subject to right censoring. We show that the maximum partial likelihood estimate provides an asymptotically consistent estimator for the unknown threshold. This procedure is illustrated by applying it to a data set from a cohort of patients with B-lineage leukemia treated at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital.     

Estimation of the linear EV model with censored data

In this paper, a censored linear errors-in-variables model is investigated. The asymptotic normality of the unknown parameter's estimator is obtained. Two empirical log-likelihood ratio statistics for the unknown parameter in the model are suggested. It is proved that the proposed statistics are asymptotically chi-squared under some mild conditions, and hence can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameter of interest. Finite sample performance of the proposed method is illustrated in a simulation study.     

Testing for parameter constancy in the time series direction in panel data models

We propose tests for parameter constancy in the time series direction in panel data models. We construct a locally best invariant test based on Tanaka [Time series analysis: nonstationary and noninvertible distribution theory. New York: Wiley; 1996] and an asymptotically point optimal test based on Elliott and Müller [Efficient tests for general persistent time variation in regression coefficients. Rev Econ Stud. 2006;73:907–940]. We derive the limiting distributions of the test statistics as T→∞ while N is fixed, and calculate the critical values by applying numerical integration and response surface regression. Simulation results show that the proposed tests perform well if we apply them appropriately.     

Testing homogeneity in a multivariate mixture model

Testing homogeneity is a fundamental problem in finite mixture models. It has been investigated by many researchers and most of the existing works have focused on the univariate case. In this article, the authors extend the use of the EM‐test for testing homogeneity to multivariate mixture models. They show that the EM‐test statistic asymptotically has the same distribution as a certain transformation of a single multivariate normal vector. On the basis of this result, they suggest a resampling procedure to approximate the P‐value of the EM‐test. Simulation studies show that the EM‐test has accurate type I errors and adequate power, and is more powerful and computationally efficient than the bootstrap likelihood ratio test. Two real data sets are analysed to illustrate the application of our theoretical results. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 39: 218–238; 2011 © 2011 Statistical Society of Canada