计划生育利益导向政策对家庭发展的影响效应分析

我国计划生育利益导向政策可大致分为早期主要控制人口数量的利益导向政策和当前倾向于综合治理的利益导向政策两个时期。本文在回顾计划生育利益导向政策的演变历程的基础上,利用1991-2010年我国29个省的面板数据实证分析了计划生育利益导向政策对家庭发展的影响,研究发现,相比较于以控制人口数量为主的计划生育利益导向政策,倾向于综合治理的计划生育利益导向政策对生育水平的影响效应更强,并且更有利于家庭经济状况的改善。在倾向于综合治理的计划生育利益导向政策的实施下,家庭会调整发展策略,通过风险外部转移和加强人力资本投资等多种方式,缓冲由于子女数量减少导致的不确定风险增加。     

Correction to: The Impact of Agricultural Technologies on Poverty and Vulnerability of Smallholders in Ethiopia: A Panel Data Analysis

Social Indicators Research - The article The Impact of Agricultural Technologies on Poverty and Vulnerability of Smallholders in Ethiopia: A Panel Data Analysis, written by Wubneshe Dessalegn Biru,...     

户籍差异与婚姻质量——基于中国家庭动态追踪调查数据的实证分析

近年来,随着经济的发展,地理空间距离对个人择偶选择的限制,伴随劳动力资源流动范围的扩大而逐步减小。本文使用中国家庭动态跟踪调查(CFPS)2016年数据,研究了户籍差异对婚姻质量的影响,结果发现:首先,异地结合的夫妻幸福感更强;其次,户籍差异对婚姻幸福度的影响因户口类型、东中西部地区及收入阶层而呈现结构性差异,具体表现在:非农户口的个人,嫁娶异地配偶,幸福感会增强;东中西部比较而言,婚姻的互补性对中西部地区的幸福感比较显著;而收入阶层越高,地域户籍差异对家庭幸福感的影响则越大,验证了双方事业、精神的互补性对主观幸福效用的增量作用。最后,文本采用倾向得分匹配法(PSM)和工具变量法解决内生性问题,加强了地域户籍差异影响婚姻幸福度结论的稳健性。     

The Impact of Neighboring on Changes in Sense of Community Over Time: A Latent Transition Analysis

Sense of community (SOC) is associated with the quality of community life and the building of social capital. While its linkage to informal social behavior, such as neighboring, is inherent in discussions regarding theory, empirical evidence remains scarce. Moreover, the degree to which neighboring behavior influences SOC over time is largely unknown. Using a latent transition analysis, the effect of neighboring on SOC was investigated over a 5-year span from 2006 to 2011 among a sample of adults (n?=?165) in Arizona. Initially, a latent class analysis identified two SOC subgroups: Low SOC and High SOC. The likelihood of shifts in SOC class membership over 5 years was generally stable, with most individuals staying in the same group (82.3% Low SOC; 92.4% High SOC). Neighboring behavior and socio-demographic covariates impacted the likelihood that individuals changed classes, with 25.3% of Low SOC individuals transitioning to High SOC in 2011 and 55.4% of High SOC individuals moving to Low SOC in 2011. Specifically, having an income greater than $60,000 and visiting with neighbors lessened the likelihood of being in the Low SOC class in 2006; and length of residence and exchanging favors with neighbors lessened the likelihood of being in the Low SOC class in 2011. These findings have implications for both community design and community development practice. Design and development interventions that promote greater social interaction may help build and sustain SOC over time.

     

An Analysis of Student Satisfaction: Full-Time vs. Part-Time Students

This paper examines how full-time or part-time status affects students’ level of satisfaction with their degree programs. For our analysis, we obtained data from a survey of graduate students. The survey was conducted at a public university in Spain from 2001 to 2004. The decision to undertake paid employment while studying emerges as one of the key determinants of student satisfaction. In particular, our findings indicate that students who hold a part-time job while studying are more likely to express less satisfaction with their college experience.     

Cross-National Differences in the Association Between Parental Work Hours and Time with Children in Europe: A Multilevel Analysis

This study investigates cross-national differences in the association between parental work hours and parent–child interaction time and explains differences in this individual-level association on the basis of country characteristics. It extends prior research by testing the moderating effects of country characteristics through multilevel analyses and by considering the possibility of selection effects. The presumption was that parents employ strategies to protect family life from work encroachments and that these strategies are enhanced by reconciliation policies, stronger parenthood ideologies, access to part-time work and higher income levels. Multilevel analyses were based on a subset of 5.183 parents in 23 countries from the 2005 European Working Conditions Survey that was complemented with country-level data. The negative association between parental work hours and parent–child time indeed varied significantly across countries and was weaker in countries where formal child care coverage was higher, part-time work was less prevalent, and earnings were lower. The effects of part-time work and earnings mainly applied to mothers. These findings suggest that child care coverage limits the availability of children and that differences in parent–child time between parents who work short and long hours are more pronounced when part-time work is more accessible and affordable.     

中国老年人储蓄对家庭消费的影响 ——基于CHARLS面板数据的分析

在我国快速老龄化和居民储蓄率居高不下的背景下,结合老年人储蓄偏好和消费特点,构建家庭消费计量分析模型,文章利用CHARLS2011、2013、2015年微观跟踪调查数据,采用工具变量—随机效应模型划分年龄层次和消费类别逐级估计,重点考察老年人储蓄对其家庭消费的影响。研究表明,老年人储蓄水平越高,对家庭消费的促进能力就越强;分城乡来看,农村老年人储蓄对家庭消费的贡献更大;按年龄组别来看,中、低龄老年人储蓄对家庭消费的影响显著,高龄老年人储蓄对家庭消费的影响不显著;按消费类别看,老年人储蓄偏重于家庭基本生活、教育文化、健康等刚性消费支出,城镇和农村老年人储蓄对不同消费类别影响的差异主要表现在日常支出、医疗保健和耐用消费品等方面。此外,研究还发现,老年人拥有房产对家庭消费具有非常明显的提振作用,家庭收入和老年人借贷对家庭消费的贡献显著。     

家庭因素对性别工资差异的影响——基于CFPS数据的实证分析

随着职业性别隔离现象不断减少、男女受教育水平和教育收益率的逐步收敛,人力资本、职业和行业分布已经无法解释我国性别工资差异不断扩大的趋势。从家庭出发,考察婚姻、家务劳动分工和子女这些典型的家庭特征因素对性别工资差异的影响,运用2016年CFPS数据,在解决内生性问题的条件下,研究结果表明:婚姻通过增加女性家务劳动时间和子女间接影响女性工资,家务劳动时间和母亲身份对女性工资率具有显著的惩罚效应,女性平均每周承担家务劳动17小时,这导致其周工资率减少34%,子女降低母亲8.5%的周工资率;相对于未婚女性,已婚女性每周多做7小时家务,这降低了她们14%的周工资率。男性则存在婚姻溢价效应。Oaxaca分解也显示,家庭特征,尤其是家务劳动时间,是性别歧视之外导致性别工资差距的主要原因。本文按收入阶层的异质性分析表明,家庭特征可能引起低收入阶层更大的性别工资差异。本文的分析还显示,家务劳动对男性和女性具有门槛效应,且阈值位于10.5小时左右。     

农村地区分家时间研究：基于生命表的分析

利用2012年“陕西省农村婚姻家庭变动研究调查”数据,本文采用生命表的分析方法构建了儿子（女儿）初婚后离开父母（公婆）的分家生命表,对农村地区分家时间的变动态势、分家时间在不同维度的分布特征进行了定量分析。研究结果表明：分家时间集中在初婚后三年之内,且分家比例随着结婚年数的增加逐渐减少。父母做主的婚姻方式和较高的彩礼比重推迟了分家时间;分家时间随兄弟个数增加提前且分家比例增加。     

Overtime in Relation to Blood Pressure and Mood During Work, Leisure, and Night Time

This study examined the association between characteristics of the workplace and overtime. A sample of 117 women and 126 men were assessed over 24 hours of a working day by means of a computerized diary and ambulant monitoring of blood pressure. Of the total sample, 178 participants had a contractual weekly working time of 40 hours. Of these, 106 participants worked overtime (OT) and 72 worked regular time (RT). Contrary to expectations, a significant association was found between the amount of OT and the quality of task design (e.g., high decision latitude, high level of freedom). Men and women working OT had less leisure time, and men also reported less obligatory time (e.g., time for household, childcare etc.) than those working RT. Women, but not men, working OT had a higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure during work than those working RT. Significantly more participants in the group of men and women working OT were found to have a disturbed ability to recover and to display clinically relevant sleep disturbances than in the group working regular hours. Furthermore, working OT was associated with less positive affect after work (obligatory and leisure time) in men, and with more negative affect during work and before going to bed in men and women. The results imply the need for jobs that can be finished within regular working hours and that give employees opportunities for job control. Such jobs enable a balance to be found between work load and recovery and represent a prerequisite for occupational health and well-being.     

赋权“外来人口”以“计划生育公民待遇”——浙江省绍兴市人口计生综合改革中的探索和经验

一、问题的引出在急剧的社会转型过程中,我国人口计生事业面临的一大挑战是如何面对大量流动人口所提出的计划生育以及相关需求,为他们维护基本人权、服务生殖健康、实行计划生育是各级政府面临的共同话题。但是长期以来,流动人口计划生育的管理与服务始终是一个实践性强于理论性的问题,难点、盲点甚多,各地的探索还缺乏必要的经验总结和理论概括。但随着流动人口流动半径的扩大、流量的增加,这个问题的理论和政策涵义日见凸显。浙江省绍兴市时处经济社会发达、人口流动活跃的长三角,近年来在人口计生综合改革的过程中、在流动人口管理、服…     

家庭规模、技术进步与农业经济增长——基于省际面板数据的分析

计划生育政策的长期实施推动了农村家庭规模的小型化趋势.在农村人口大量向城市转移的背景下,家庭规模的小型化诱致了劳动节约型的技术进步,农村劳动力供给结构与需求的偏差导致了资本对劳动的强制性替代.两类存在一定差异的替代行为共同推动了农业生产效率的快速提升,加快传统农业向现代农业的转型步伐,促进了农业经济增长.     

分家模式与家庭规模的相关分析

本研究基于全国人口普查数据,建构了农村的分家模式,通过回归分析论证了分家模式与家庭规模之间的相关关系。进而阐述分家模式与家庭规模在历史变动、区域差异等两个维度上的内在关联。文章最后从市场消费、土地利用、能源消耗与碳排放等角度对其影响做简要归纳。     

Environmental Influences on Well-Being: A Dyadic Latent Panel Analysis of Spousal Similarity

This article uses dyadic latent panel analysis (DLPA) to examine environmental influences on well-being. DLPA requires longitudinal dyadic data. It decomposes the observed variance of both members of a dyad into a trait, state, and an error component. Furthermore, state variance is decomposed into initial and new state variance. Total observed similarity between members of a dyad is decomposed into trait similarity, initial state similarity, new state similarity, and error similarity. Dyadic similarity in new state variance reveals that both members of a dyad change in the same direction, which is a strong indication of environmental effects. DLPA is used to examine environmental influences on life satisfaction and domain satisfaction based on 22 annual assessments of married couples in the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (N’s = 607–740). The results show high similarity in new state variance for life satisfaction and objectively identical domains (household income, housing), and less similarity for objectively less similar domains (recreation, health). This finding provides strong evidence for environmental influences on well-being. In addition, the results show high trait similarity. The implications of the latter finding for interpretation of behavioral genetics studies of well-being are discussed.     

The Impact of Family Floating on the Employment Status of Floating Population and Their Family Members

Using the survey data collected by Center for Population and Development of Renmin University of China in 2009 at Chaoyang district of Beijing, Dongguan city of Guangdong province and Zhuji city of Zhejiang province, this paper analyzes the impact of family floating on employment status of floating population and their family members. This paper finds that family floating not only affects men but also women, and family floating has a greater impact on women. The likelyhood of employment and work time of men are affected by family floating, so do the likelyhood of employment and income of women.     

家庭流动对流动人口家庭成员就业状况的影响

文章利用中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心于2009年在北京朝阳区、广东东莞市和浙江诸暨市组织进行的流动人口调查数据,分析了家庭流动对流动人口家庭成员就业状况的影响。研究发现,家庭流动对男性和女性流动人口均有影响,对女性流动人口的影响更大,男性流动人口就业可能性和工作时间受到影响,而女性流动人口就业可能性和收入受到显著影响。     

家庭结构与未成年子女的福利--中国式的综合分析框架探讨

文章借鉴并修正了西方解释父母离婚对孩子影响的相关理论,提出中国式的综合分析模型。该框架强调子女的学业成绩对其福利的重要影响,将“家庭结构”概念扩大到“亲属支持”,把“家庭冲突”拓展为“父母素质”,并引入“社会人文环境”变量。研究结果显示,子女的学业成绩与其福利总水平具有最大的正相关,以学业成绩为中介变量的路径分析的综合模型,是符合中国实际和有效的;离婚后同居监护人是否称职对子女福利的直接影响比离婚前的夫妻冲突更为显著;亲属支持在一定程度上抵消了因家庭解体对子女福利所带来的负面影响。     

The Effect of a First Born Child on Work and Childcare Time Allocation: Pre-post Analysis of Australian Couples

This paper uses Australian data from a national representative sample of Australian couples having their first child. Using data from before and after the birth of the child on a range of variables, including economic resources, gender attitudes, workplace flexibility, and availability of non-parental childcare, we first model the factors are associated with the decision to remain in work or not after the birth of the first child. The main finding here is that childbirth has a major impact on mothers’ paid work-time, whereas for fathers it has very little impact. Factors that are related to a mother’s decision to remain in work or not include the absolute (but not relative) pay of each parent, the father’s workplace flexibility, and paid parental leave available to the mother. We then model the factors that govern, for those mothers remaining in paid work, how much paid work they undertake. We find that changing employers is related to mothers’ work hours, as are absolute post-birth salaries, as is the relative pay of each partner. As with the decision to work or not, the availability of paid parental leave to the mother is significantly related to the amount of work-time for those mothers that do continue to work. Similarly, the use of external childcare is positively associated with maternal work hours. Finally, we model the factors that determine childcare time allocation and find that for neither parent do pre-birth economic resources significantly affect childcare time, once a decision about basic work patterns has been made. Gender role attitudes affect childcare time decisions, unlike work time decisions.