Characterization of distributions by conditional expectation of generalized order statistics

In this work, general forms of many well-known continuous probability distributions are characterized by conditional expectation of some functions of generalized order statistics. These results are the generalization of the characterization results based on conditional expectation of the functions of order statistics given by Khan and Abu-Salih (1989).     

HEAVY-TAILED-DISTRIBUTED THRESHOLD STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS IN FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

To capture mean and variance asymmetries and time‐varying volatility in financial time series, we generalize the threshold stochastic volatility (THSV) model and incorporate a heavy‐tailed error distribution. Unlike existing stochastic volatility models, this model simultaneously accounts for uncertainty in the unobserved threshold value and in the time‐delay parameter. Self‐exciting and exogenous threshold variables are considered to investigate the impact of a number of market news variables on volatility changes. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate all unknown parameters and latent variables. A simulation experiment demonstrates good estimation performance for reasonable sample sizes. In a study of two international financial market indices, we consider two variants of the generalized THSV model, with US market news as the threshold variable. Finally, we compare models using Bayesian forecasting in a value‐at‐risk (VaR) study. The results show that our proposed model can generate more accurate VaR forecasts than can standard models.     

ROBUST ESTIMATION AND HYPOTHESIS TESTS FOR FIRST-ORDER THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS

Results of Petrucelli & Woolford (1984) for a first-order threshold autoregressive model are considered from a robust point of view. Robust estimators of the threshold parameters of the model are obtained and their asymptotic normality is proved. Testing the equality of the threshold parameters is considered using the robust analogues of Wald and score test statistics. Limiting distributions of these statistics are given under both null and alternative hypotheses.     

RECURRENCE RELATIONS FOR SINGLE AND PRODUCT MOMENTS OF GENERALIZED ORDER STATISTICS FROM PARETO,GENERALIZED PARETO,AND BURR DISTRIBUTIONS

We give recurrence relations for single and product moments of generalized order statistics under the concept of Kamps from Pareto, generalized Pareto and Burr distributions. The results include as particular cases the above relations for moments of k–th record values.     

LIMIT THEOREMS FOR PROPORTIONS OF OBSERVATIONS FALLING INTO RANDOM REGIONS DETERMINED BY ORDER STATISTICS

In this paper, we study asymptotic behavior of proportions of sample observations that fall into random regions determined by a given Borel set and an order statistic. We show that these proportions converge almost surely to some population quantities as the sample size increases to infinity. We derive our results for independent and identically distributed observations from an arbitrary cumulative distribution function, in particular, we allow samples drawn from discontinuous laws. We also give extensions of these results to the case of randomly indexed samples with some dependence between observations.     

QUANTILES OF SUMS AND EXPECTED VALUES OF ORDERED SUMS

Watson & Gordon (1986) investigated the relationship between the quantiles of a sum of independent continuous random variables and the sum of the individual quantiles. In this note some further results are obtained. Also corresponding relationships are developed for the expected values of the order statistics of a sum, and for the sum of the expected values of the individual order statistics.     

Nonparametric confidence intervals for quantiles and quantile intervals from inversely sampled record breaking data in a multi-sample plan

There are a number of situations in which an observation is retained only if it is a record value, which include studies in industrial quality control experiments, destructive stress testing, meteorology, hydrology, seismology, athletic events and mining. When the number of records is fixed in advance, the data are referred to as inversely sampled record-breaking data. In this paper, we study the problems of constructing the nonparametric confidence intervals for quantiles and quantile intervals of the parent distribution based on record data. For a single record-breaking sample, the confidence coefficients of the confidence intervals for the pth quantile cannot exceed p and 1?p, on the basis of upper and lower records, respectively; hence, replication is required. So, we develop the procedure based on k independent record-breaking samples. Various cases have been studied and in each case, the optimal k and the exact nonparametric confidence intervals are obtained, and exact expressions for the confidence coefficients of these confidence intervals are derived. Finally, the results are illustrated by numerical computations.     

Asymptotic distributions of order statistics and record values arising from the class of beta-generated distributions

In this paper, we show that both the class of beta-generated distributions G_F and its base distribution F belong to the same domain of maximal (or minimal or upper record value or lower record value) attraction. Moreover, it is shown that the weak convergence of any non-extreme order statistic (central or intermediate order statistic), based on a base distribution F, to a non-degenerate limit type implies the weak convergence of G_F to a non-degenerate limit type. The relations between the two limit types are deduced.     

Reliability properties of record values from non-identically distributed random variables

In reliability theory, order statistics and record values are used for statistical modelling. The r-th order statistic in a sample of size n represents the life—length of a (n?r+l)-out-of-n system, and record values are used in shock models. In recent years, reliability properties of order statistics and record values have been investigated. The two models are included in Pfeifer's concept of record values from non-identically distributed random variables. Here, some results on the transmission of distributional properties, such as increasing failure rate, are shown for such records, which contain the results for order statistics and ordinary record values as particular cases.     

ASYMPTOTIC AND SMALL SAMPLE STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF RANDOM FRAILTY VARIANCE ESTIMATES FOR SHARED GAMMA FRAILTY MODELS

This paper concerns maximum likelihood estimation for the semiparametric shared gamma frailty model; that is the Cox proportional hazards model with the hazard function multiplied by a gamma random variable with mean 1 and variance θ. A hybrid ML-EM algorithm is applied to 26 400 simulated samples of 400 to 8000 observations with Weibull hazards. The hybrid algorithm is much faster than the standard EM algorithm, faster than standard direct maximum likelihood (ML, Newton Raphson) for large samples, and gives almost identical results to the penalised likelihood method in S-PLUS 2000. When the true value θ₀ of θ is zero, the estimates of θ are asymptotically distributed as a 50–50 mixture between a point mass at zero and a normal random variable on the positive axis. When θ₀ > 0, the asymptotic distribution is normal. However, for small samples, simulations suggest that the estimates of θ are approximately distributed as an x ? (100 ? x)% mixture, 0 ≤ x ≤ 50, between a point mass at zero and a normal random variable on the positive axis even for θ₀ > 0. In light of this, p-values and confidence intervals need to be adjusted accordingly. We indicate an approximate method for carrying out the adjustment.     

CAUSAL GRAPHICAL MODELS IN SYSTEMS GENETICS: A UNIFIED FRAMEWORK FOR JOINT INFERENCE OF CAUSAL NETWORK AND GENETIC ARCHITECTURE FOR CORRELATED PHENOTYPES

Causal inference approaches in systems genetics exploit quantitative trait loci (QTL) genotypes to infer causal relationships among phenotypes. The genetic architecture of each phenotype may be complex, and poorly estimated genetic architectures may compromise the inference of causal relationships among phenotypes. Existing methods assume QTLs are known or inferred without regard to the phenotype network structure. In this paper we develop a QTL-driven phenotype network method (QTLnet) to jointly infer a causal phenotype network and associated genetic architecture for sets of correlated phenotypes. Randomization of alleles during meiosis and the unidirectional influence of genotype on phenotype allow the inference of QTLs causal to phenotypes. Causal relationships among phenotypes can be inferred using these QTL nodes, enabling us to distinguish among phenotype networks that would otherwise be distribution equivalent. We jointly model phenotypes and QTLs using homogeneous conditional Gaussian regression models, and we derive a graphical criterion for distribution equivalence. We validate the QTLnet approach in a simulation study. Finally, we illustrate with simulated data and a real example how QTLnet can be used to infer both direct and indirect effects of QTLs and phenotypes that co-map to a genomic region.     

THE MEDIAN ESTIMATE OF THE AUTOREGRESSIVE LOCATION PARAMETER

ABSTRACT

The concept of generalized order statistics was introduced by Kamps (1995 Kamps , U. ( 1995 ) A Concept of Generalized Order Statistics . Germany : B. G. Teubner Stuttgart [Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) to unify several concepts that have been used in statistics such as order statistics, record values, and sequential order statistics. Estimation of the parameters of the Burr type XII distribution are obtained based on generalized order statistics. The maximum likelihood and Bayes methods of estimation are used for this purposes. The Bayes estimates are derived by using the approximation form of Lindley (1980 Lindley , D. V. ( 1980 ). Approximate Bayesian methods . J. Trabajos de Estadistica 31 : 223 – 237 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]). Estimation based on upper records from the Burr model is obtained and compared by using Monte Carlo simulation study. Our results are specialized to the results of AL-Hussaini and Jaheen (1992 AL-Hussaini , E. K. , Jaheen , Z. F. ( 1992 ). Bayesian estimation of the parameters, reliability and failure rate functions of the Burr type XII failure model . J. Statist. Comput. Simul. 41 : 31 – 40 .[Taylor &; Francis Online] , [Google Scholar]) which are based on ordinary order statistics.     

BAHADUR EFFICIENCY OF LIKELIHOOD RATIO AND RELATED TESTS IN NONREGULAR MODELS

Consider the model of k populations whose densities are nonreg-ular in the sense that they involve one or two unknown truncation parameters. In this paper a unified treatment of the problem of Bahadur efficiency of the likelihood ratio test for such a model is presented. The Bahadur efficiency of a certain test based on the union-intersection principle is also studied. Some of these results are then extended to a larger class of nonregular densities.     

Bayesian prediction of order statistics based on k-record values from exponential distribution

Bayesian prediction of order statistics as well as the mean of a future sample based on observed record values from an exponential distribution are discussed. Several Bayesian prediction intervals and point predictors are derived. Finally, some numerical computations are presented for illustrating all the proposed inferential procedures.     

RECENTERED AND RESCALED INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATION OF TOBIT AND PROBIT MODELS WITH ERRORS IN VARIABLES

Since Durbin (1954) and Sargan (1958), instrumental variable (IV) method has long been one of the most popular procedures among economists and other social scientists to handle linear models with errors-in-variables. A direct application of this method to nonlinear errors-in-variables models, however, fails to yield consistent estimators.

This article restricts attention to Tobit and Probit models and shows that simple recentering and rescaling of the observed dependent variable may restore consistency of the standard IV estimator if the true dependent variable and the IV's are jointly normally distributed. Although the required condition seems rarely to be satisfied by real data, our Monte Carlo experiment suggests that the proposed estimator may be quite robust to the possible deviation from normality.     

ALLOCATION OF REMOTELY SENSED DATA USING MARKOV MODELS FOR IMAGE DATA AND PIXEL LABELS

For remotely sensed data, this paper reviews the Bayesian approach to the allocation of picture elements (pixels) to groups. Group labels are assumed a priori to be spatially correlated and, conditional on the labels, the image data are also assumed to be spatially correlated. The models considered have the property that the posterior distribution of the pixel labels given the image data inherits conditional independence constraints. Two allocation algorithms which exploit this fad are discussed. These algorithms are based on maximising the posterior distribution, and involve the use of neighbouring image and label data to update the label of any given pixel. The effect of spatial correlation in the image data on allocation performance is examined.     

APPLICATIONS OF ROBUST ESTIMATION FOR VARIANCE COMPONENTS MODELS:THE DETECTION OF MAJOR GENE EFFECTS IN FINGER RIDGE COUNTS IN NORMAL AND FRAGILE X FAMILIES

A diagnostic technique is proposed to detect major gene effects and other systematic departures from a model for the trait means in the presence of outliers. The technique is based on the examination of residuals from fitting variance components models to quantitative pedigree data using robust statistical procedures. The approach is demonstrated using the total ridge count and ridge count of the middle finger from 54 extended families affected with the Fragile X syndrome, and a sample of 217 normal pedigrees.     

Recurrence relations for single and product moments of k-th record values from pareto,generalized pareto and burr distributions

In this note we give recurrence relations satisfied by single and product momenrs of k-th upper-record values from the Pareto, generalized Pareto and Burr distributions. From these relations one can obtain all the single and product moments of all k-th record values and at the same time all record values ( k=1). Moreover, we see that the single and product moment of all k-th record values from these distributions can be exprrssed in terms of the moments of the minimal statistic of a k-sample from the exponential distribution may be deduced by letting the shape parameter deptend to 0. At the end we give characterizations of the three distributions considered. These results generalize, among other things, those given by Balakrishnan and Abuamllah (1994).     

LOSS OF INFORMATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE ORDER STATISTICS AND RELATED ESTIMATORS IN THE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION CASE

Fisher (1934) derived the loss of information of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the location parameter in the case of the double exponential distribution. Takeuchi & Akahira (1976) showed that the MLE is not second order asymptotically efficient. This paper extends these results by obtaining the (asymptotic) losses of information of order statistics and related estimators, and by comparing them via their asymptotic distributions up to the second order.