A Two-Stage Estimator of the Dependence Parameter for the Clayton-Oakes Model

This paper describes the properties of a two-stage estimator of the dependence parameter in the Clayton-Oakes multivariate failure time model. The parameter is estimated from a likelihood function in which the marginal hazard functions are replaced by estimates. The method extends the approach of Shih and Louis (1995) and Genest, Ghoudi and Rivest (1995) to allow the marginal hazard for failure times to follow a stratified Cox (1972) model. The method is computationally simple and under mild regularity conditions produces a consistent, asymptotically normal estimator.     

Quantile Regression for Location‐Scale Time Series Models with Conditional Heteroscedasticity

This paper considers quantile regression for a wide class of time series models including autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) models with asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity errors. The classical mean‐variance models are reinterpreted as conditional location‐scale models so that the quantile regression method can be naturally geared into the considered models. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the quantile regression estimator is established in location‐scale time series models under mild conditions. In the application of this result to ARMA‐generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models, more primitive conditions are deduced to obtain the asymptotic properties. For illustration, a simulation study and a real data analysis are provided.     

NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION FOR COMPETING RISKS

This paper considers the estimation of the ratio of two scale parameters when the data are censored. It emphasises characteristics of the asymptotic variance under censoring from a practical point of view. The estimator proposed by Padgett & Wei (1982) for the two-sample scale model is extended to the competing risks model. Asymptotic properties of the estimator are studied via its influence function. The use of influence functions permits a unified treatment of both models. Examples show and illustrate that under both models the variance can become infinite under some circumstances.     

Generalized M-estimation for the accelerated failure time model

The accelerated failure time (AFT) model is an important regression tool to study the association between failure time and covariates. In this paper, we propose a robust weighted generalized M (GM) estimation for the AFT model with right-censored data by appropriately using the Kaplan–Meier weights in the GM–type objective function to estimate the regression coefficients and scale parameter simultaneously. This estimation method is computationally simple and can be implemented with existing software. Asymptotic properties including the root-n consistency and asymptotic normality are established for the resulting estimator under suitable conditions. We further show that the method can be readily extended to handle a class of nonlinear AFT models. Simulation results demonstrate satisfactory finite sample performance of the proposed estimator. The practical utility of the method is illustrated by a real data example.     

Nonstationary nonlinear quantile regression

This study examines estimation and inference based on quantile regression for parametric nonlinear models with an integrated time series covariate. We first derive the limiting distribution of the nonlinear quantile regression estimator and then consider testing for parameter restrictions, when the regression function is specified as an asymptotically homogeneous function. We also study linear-in-parameter regression models when the regression function is given by integrable regression functions as well as asymptotically homogeneous regression functions. We, furthermore, propose a fully modified estimator to reduce the bias in the original estimator under a certain set of conditions. Finally, simulation studies show that the estimators behave well, especially when the regression error term has a fat-tailed distribution.     

Simultaneous equivariant estimation of the parameters of matrix scale and matrix location-scale models

Eaton and Olkin (1987) discussed the problem of best equivariant estimator of the matrix scale parameter with respect to different scalar loss functions. Edwin Prabakaran and Chandrasekar (1994) developed simultaneous equivariant estimation approach and illustrated the method with examples. The problems considered in this paper are simultaneous equivariant estimation of the parameters of (i) a matrix scale model and (ii) a multivariate location-scale model. By considering matrix loss function (Klebanov, Linnik and Ruhin, 1971) a characterization of matrix minimum risk equivariant (MMRE) estimator of the matrix parameter is obtained in each case. Illustrative examples are provided in which MMRE estimators are obtained with respect to two matrix loss functions.     

Nonlinear semiparametric autoregressive model with finite mixtures of scale mixtures of skew normal innovations

We propose data generating structures which can be represented as the nonlinear autoregressive models with single and finite mixtures of scale mixtures of skew normal innovations. This class of models covers symmetric/asymmetric and light/heavy-tailed distributions, so provide a useful generalization of the symmetrical nonlinear autoregressive models. As semiparametric and nonparametric curve estimation are the approaches for exploring the structure of a nonlinear time series data set, in this article the semiparametric estimator for estimating the nonlinear function of the model is investigated based on the conditional least square method and nonparametric kernel approach. Also, an Expectation–Maximization-type algorithm to perform the maximum likelihood (ML) inference of unknown parameters of the model is proposed. Furthermore, some strong and weak consistency of the semiparametric estimator in this class of models are presented. Finally, to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed model, some simulation studies and an application to real data set are considered.     

Accelerated Recurrence Time Models

Abstract.  For the analysis with recurrent events, we propose a generalization of the accelerated failure time model to allow for evolving covariate effects. These so-called accelerated recurrence time models postulate that the time to expected recurrence frequency, upon transformation, is a linear function of covariates with frequency-dependent coefficients. This modelling strategy shares the same spirit as quantile regression. An estimation and inference procedure is developed by generalizing the celebrated Powell's ( J. Econometrics 25, 1984, 303; J. Econometrics 32, 1986, 143) estimator for censored quantile regression. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. An algorithm is devised to attain good computational efficiency. Simulations demonstrate that this proposal performs well under practical settings. This methodology is illustrated in an application to the well-known bladder cancer study.     

A class of high-breakdown scale estimators based on subranges

We consider a new class of scale estimators with 50% breakdown point. The estimators are defined as order statistics of certain subranges. They all have a finite-sample breakdown point of [n/2]/n, which is the best possible value. (Here, [...] denotes the integer part.) One estimator in this class has the same influence function as the median absolute deviation and the least median of squares (LMS) scale estimator (i.e., the length of the shortest half), but its finite-sample efficiency is higher. If we consider the standard deviation of a subsample instead of its range, we obtain a different class of 50% breakdown estimators. This class contains the least trimmed squares (LTS) scale estimator. Simulation shows that the LTS scale estimator is nearly unbiased, so it does not need a small-sample correction factor. Surprisingly, the efficiency of the LTS scale estimator is less than that of the LMS scale estimator.     

Performance and Prediction for Varying Survival Time Scales

The Cox proportional hazards model is widely used for analyzing associations between risk factors and occurrences of events. One of the essential requirements of defining Cox proportional hazards model is the choice of a unique and well-defined time scale. Two time scales are generally used in epidemiological studies: time-on-study and chronological age. The former is the most frequently used time scale, both in clinical studies and longitudinal observation studies. However, there is no general consensus on which time scale is the most appropriate for a given question or study. In this article, we address the question of robustness of the results using one time scale when the other is actually the correct one. We use three criteria to measure the performances of these models through simulations: magnitude of the bias of the regression coefficients, mean square errors, and the measure of overall predictive discrimination of the models. We conclude that the time-on-study models are more robust to misspecification of the underlying time scale.     

Estimation of firm-specific technological bias, technical change and total factor productivity growth: a dual approach

This paper deals with modeling firm-specific technical change (TC), and technological biases (inputs and scale) in estimating total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Several dual parametric econometric models are used for this purpose. We examine robustness of TFP growth and TC among competing models. These models include the traditional time trend (TT) model and the general index (GI) model. The TT and the GI models are generalized to accommodate firm-specific TC and technological bias (in inputs and output). Both nested and non-nested tests are used to select the appropriate models. Firm-level panel data from the Japanese chemical industry during 1968- 1987 is used as an application.     

Estimation of firm-specific technological bias,technical change and total factor productivity growth: a dual approach

This paper deals with modeling firm-specific technical change (TC), and technological biases (inputs and scale) in estimating total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Several dual parametric econometric models are used for this purpose. We examine robustness of TFP growth and TC among competing models. These models include the traditional time trend (TT) model and the general index (GI) model. The TT and the GI models are generalized to accommodate firm-specific TC and technological bias (in inputs and output). Both nested and non-nested tests are used to select the appropriate models. Firm-level panel data from the Japanese chemical industry during 1968- 1987 is used as an application.     

THREE-WAY STRATIFICATION SAMPLING DESIGN WHEN ONE OF THE STRATIFYING VARIABLES IS TIME

Bryant, Hartley & Jessen (1960) presented a two‐way stratification sampling design when the sample size n is less than the number of strata. Their design was extended to a three‐way stratification case by Chaudhary & Kumar (1988) , but this design does not take into account serial correlation, which might be present as a result of the presence of a time variable. In this paper, a new sampling procedure is presented for three‐way stratification when one of the stratifying variables is time. The purpose of such a design is to take into account serial correlation. The variance of the unweighted estimator of the population mean with respect to a super population model is used as the basis for comparison. Simulation results show that the suggested design is more efficient than the Chaudhary & Kumar (1988) design.     

Indirect inference for fractional time series models

In this paper we present an indirect estimation procedure for (ARFIMA) fractional time series models.The estimation method is based on an ‘incorrect’criterion which does not directly provide a consistent estimator of the parameters of interest,but leads to correct inference by using simulations.

The main steps are the following. First,we consider an auxiliary model which can be easily estimated.Specifically,we choose the finite lag Autoregressive model.Then, this is estimated on the observations and simulated values drawn from the ARFIMA model associated with a given value of the parameters of interest.Finally,the latter is calibrated in order to obtain close values of the two estimators of the auxiliary parameters.

In this article,we describe the estimation procedure and compare the performance of the indirect estimator with some alternative estimators based on the likelihood function by a Monte Carlo study.     

Estimation of population coefficient of variation in simple and stratified random sampling under two-phase sampling scheme when using two auxiliary variables

We propose an improved class of exponential ratio type estimators for coefficient of variation (CV) of a finite population in simple and stratified random sampling using two auxiliary variables under two-phase sampling scheme. We examine the properties of the proposed estimators based on first order of approximation. The proposed class of estimators is more efficient than the usual sample CV estimator, ratio estimator, exponential ratio estimator, usual difference estimator and modified difference type estimator. We also use real data sets for numerical comparisons.     

Estimation in Singular Linear Models with Stochastic Linear Restrictions

This article generalizes the ordinary mixed estimator (OME) in theory, and obtains the estimator of the unknown regression parameters in singular linear models with stochastic linear restrictions: singular mixed estimator (SME). We also give some properties of SME obtained in this article, and prove that it is superior to unrestricted least squared estimator (LSE) in singular linear models in the sense of the covariance matrix and generalized mean square error (GMSE). After that, we also have a discussion about the two-stage estimator of SME. The result we give in this article could be regarded as generalizations of both OME and unrestricted LSE at the same time.     

Estimating the common hazard rate of several exponential distributions

Abstract

In the present communication, we consider the estimation of the common hazard rate of several exponential distributions with unknown and unequal location parameters with a common scale parameter under a general class of bowl-shaped scale invariant loss functions. We have shown that the best affine equivariant estimator (BAEE) is inadmissible by deriving a non smooth improved estimator. Further, we have obtained a smooth estimator which improves upon the BAEE. As an application, we have obtained explicit expressions of improved estimators for special loss functions. Finally, a simulation study is carried out for numerically comparing the risk performance of various estimators.     

Partially adaptive estimation of nonlinear models via a normal mixture

This paper extends the partially adaptive method Phillips (1994) provided for linear models to nonlinear models. Asymptotic results are established under conditions general enough they cover both cross-sectional and time series applications. The sampling efficiency of the new estimator is illustrated in a small Monte Carlo study in which the parameters of an autoregressive moving average are estimated. The study indicates that, for non-normal distributions, the new estimator improves on the nonlinear least squares estimator in terms of efficiency.     

Choice of Parametric Accelerated Life and Proportional Hazards Models for Survival Data: Asymptotic Results

We discuss the impact of misspecifying fully parametric proportional hazards and accelerated life models. For the uncensored case, misspecified accelerated life models give asymptotically unbiased estimates of covariate effect, but the shape and scale parameters depend on the misspecification. The covariate, shape and scale parameters differ in the censored case. Parametric proportional hazards models do not have a sound justification for general use: estimates from misspecified models can be very biased, and misleading results for the shape of the hazard function can arise. Misspecified survival functions are more biased at the extremes than the centre. Asymptotic and first order results are compared. If a model is misspecified, the size of Wald tests will be underestimated. Use of the sandwich estimator of standard error gives tests of the correct size, but misspecification leads to a loss of power. Accelerated life models are more robust to misspecification because of their log-linear form. In preliminary data analysis, practitioners should investigate proportional hazards and accelerated life models; software is readily available for several such models.     

Partially adaptive estimation of nonlinear models via a normal mixture

This paper extends the partially adaptive method Phillips (1994) provided for linear models to nonlinear models. Asymptotic results are established under conditions general enough they cover both cross-sectional and time series applications. The sampling efficiency of the new estimator is illustrated in a small Monte Carlo study in which the parameters of an autoregressive moving average are estimated. The study indicates that, for non-normal distributions, the new estimator improves on the nonlinear least squares estimator in terms of efficiency.