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1.
Extending the bifurcating autoregressive (BAR) process (cf. Cowan and Staudte, 1986 Cowan , R. , Staudte , R. G. ( 1986 ). The bifurcating autoregression model in cell lineage studies . Biometrics 42 : 769783 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) to multi-casting (multi-splitting) data, Hwang and Choi (2009 Hwang , S. Y. , Choi , M. S. ( 2009 ). Modeling and large sample estimation for multi-casting autoregression . Statist. Prob. Lett. 79 : 19431950 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) introduced multi-casting autoregression (MCAR, for short) defined on multi-casting tree structured data. This article is concerned with the case when the MCAR model is partially specified only through conditional mean and variance without directly imposing autoregressive (AR) structure. The resulting class of models will be referred to as P-MCAR (partially specified MCAR). The P-MCAR considerably enlarges the class of multi-casting models including (as special cases) MCAR, random coefficient MCAR, conditionally heteroscedastic multi-casting models and binomial-thinning processes. Moment structures for this broad P-MCAR class are investigated. Least squares (LS) estimation method is discussed and asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the generalized-LS over ordinary-LS is obtained in a closed form. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate results.  相似文献   

2.
We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964 Cormack , R. M. ( 1964 ). Estimates of survival from the sighting of marked animals . Biometrika 51 : 429438 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Jolly 1965 Jolly , G. M. ( 1965 ). Explicit estimates from capture-recapture data with both death and immigration stochastic model . Biometrika 52 : 225247 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Seber 1965 Seber , G. A. F. ( 1965 ). A note on the multiple recapture census . Biometrika 52 : 249259 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005 Boonstra , R. ( 2005 ). Equipped for life: the adaptive role of the stress axis in male mammals . Journal of Mammalogy 86 : 236247 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]).  相似文献   

3.
We introduce a score test to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a time to event outcome. This method is an extension of Henderson et al. (2000 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. , Dobson , A. ( 2000 ). Joint modelling of longitudinal measurements and event time data . Biostatistics 1 ( 4 ): 465480 .[Crossref], [PubMed] [Google Scholar], 2002 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. , Dobson , A. ( 2002 ). Identification and efficacy of longitudinal markers for survival . Biostatistics 3 ( 1 ): 3350 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). In this article, a score test is based on a joint likelihood function which combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the survival times. Henderson et al. (2000 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. , Dobson , A. ( 2000 ). Joint modelling of longitudinal measurements and event time data . Biostatistics 1 ( 4 ): 465480 .[Crossref], [PubMed] [Google Scholar], 2002 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. , Dobson , A. ( 2002 ). Identification and efficacy of longitudinal markers for survival . Biostatistics 3 ( 1 ): 3350 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) assumed that the same random effect exists in the longitudinal component and in the Cox model and then they can derive a score test to determine if a longitudinal biomarker is associated with time to an event. We extend this work and our score test is based on a joint likelihood function which allows other random effects to be present in the survival function.

Considering heterogeneous baseline hazards in individuals, we use simulations to explore how the factors can influence the power of a score test to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the survival time. These factors include the functional form of the random effects from the longitudinal biomarkers, in the different number of individuals, and time points per individual. We illustrate our method using a prothrombin index as a predictor of survival in liver cirrhosis patients.  相似文献   

4.
ABSTRACT

This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993 Nawata , K. ( 1993 ). A note on the estimation of models with sample-selection biases . Economics Letters 42 : 1524 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996 Leung , S. F. , Yu , S. ( 1996 ). On the choice between sample selection and two-part models . Journal of Econometrics 72 : 197229 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979 Heckman , J. J. ( 1979 ). Sample selection bias as a specification error . Econometrica 47 : 153161 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982 Melino , A. ( 1982 ). Testing for sample selection bias . Review of Economic Studies 49 : 151153 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power.  相似文献   

5.
Under Stein's loss, a class of improved estimators for the scale parameter of a mixture of exponential distribution with unknown location is constructed. The method is analogous to Maruyama's (1998 Maruyama , Y. ( 1998 ). Minimax estimators of a normal variance . Metrika 48 : 209214 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) construction for the variance of a normal distribution and also an extension of the result produced in Petropoulos and Kourouklis (2002 Petropoulos , C. , Kourouklis , S. ( 2002 ). A class of improved estimators for the scale parameter of an exponential distribution with unknown location . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 31 : 325335 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). Also, robustness properties are considered.  相似文献   

6.
Huang (2010 Huang , K. C. ( 2010 ). Unbiased estimators of mean, variance and sensitivity level for quantitative characteristics in finite population sampling . Metrika 71 : 341352 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) proposed an optional randomized response model using a linear combination scrambling which is a generalization of the multiplicative scrambling of Eichhorn and Hayre (1983 Eichhorn , B. H. , Hayre , L. S. ( 1983 ). Scrambled randomized response methods for obtaining sensitive quantitative data . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 7 : 307316 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2006, 2010). In this article, we discuss two main issues. (1) Can the Huang (2010 Huang , K. C. ( 2010 ). Unbiased estimators of mean, variance and sensitivity level for quantitative characteristics in finite population sampling . Metrika 71 : 341352 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) model be improved further by using a two-stage approach?; (2) Does the linear combination scrambling provide any benefit over the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2010 Gupta , S. N. , Shabbir , J. , Sehra , S. ( 2010 ). Mean and sensitivity estimation in optional randomized response models . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 140 : 28702874 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar])? We will note that the answer to the first question is “yes” but the answer to the second question is “no.”  相似文献   

7.
The complication in analyzing tumor data is that the tumors detected in a screening program tend to be slowly progressive tumors, which is the so-called length-biased sampling that is inherent in screening studies. Under the assumption that all subjects have the same tumor growth function, Ghosh (2008 Ghosh , D. ( 2008 ). Proportional hazards regression for cancer studies . Biometrics 64 : 141148 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) developed estimation procedures for proportional hazards model. In this article, by modeling growth function as a function of covariates, we demonstrate that Ghosh (2008 Ghosh , D. ( 2008 ). Proportional hazards regression for cancer studies . Biometrics 64 : 141148 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar])'s approach can be extended to the case when each subject has a specific growth function. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed estimators for the regression parameters in the proportional and additive hazards model.  相似文献   

8.
There have been many alternative strategies for implementing sampling survey on quantitative characteristic of sensitive issues by using randomized response (RR) technique. The efficiency of most of those strategies has been improved by choosing the suitable design parameters of model. However, the two different procedures with pre-assigned design parameter values cannot ensure that they possess the same protection degree to the respondents. Some earlier comparisons of those strategies are inadequate (as in Eichhorn and Hayre, 1983 Eichhorn , B. H. , Hayre , L. S. ( 1983 ). Scrambled randomized response methods for obtaining sensitive quantitative data . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 7 : 307316 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Gupta et al., 2002 Gupta , S. , Gupta , B. , Singh , S. ( 2002 ). Estimation of sensitivity level of personal interview survey questions . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 100 ( 2 ): 239247 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). Some literature contains a more comprehensive comparison based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the qualitative characteristic RR techniques (see Bhargava and Singh, 2002 Bhargava , M. , Singh , R. ( 2002 ). On the efficiency comparison of certain randomized response strategies . Metrika 55 : 191197 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Nayak, 1994 Nayak , T. K. ( 1994 ). On randomized response surveys for estimating a proportion . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 23 ( 11 ): 33033321 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Zaizai and Zankan, 2004 Zaizai , Y. , Zankan , N. ( 2004 ). A fair comparison of the randomized response strategies . Acta Mathematica Scientia 24A ( 3 ): 362368 . [Google Scholar]). As far as the comparisons are concerned that are based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the quantitative characteristic RR techniques, very few related studies have been found so far. The purpose of this article is to give a more adequate comparison among those earlier quantitative characteristic RR strategies. It is found that several important differences between the results obtained in this article and some known results exist. Therefore, these earlier RR strategies should be reevaluated.  相似文献   

9.
In this article, we propose a nonparametric method to test for symmetry in bivariate data. By using the extension of Fisher's exact treatment for 2 × 2 contingency tables proposed by Freeman and Halton (1951 Freeman , G. H. , Halton , J. H. ( 1951 ). Note on an exact treatment of contingency tables, goodness of fit and other problems of significance . Biometrika 38 : 141149 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), we can test the hypothesis of equal distribution for two samples of integer valued variables. Then, by counting the number of observations belonging to each cell of a symmetric, appropriately built grid, we can produce the two samples of integers required to use this test for equal distribution. The resulting test for symmetry is potentially extendible to higher dimensions. A simulation study is performed to compare with some known tests (Bowker, 1948 Bowker , A. H. ( 1948 ). A test for symmetry in contingency tables . Journal of the American Statistical Association 43 : 572574 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Hollander, 1971 Hollander , M. ( 1971 ). A nonparametric test for bivariate symmetry . Biometrika 58-1 : 203212 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; and its improvement given in Krampe and Kuhnt, 2007 Krampe , A. , Kuhnt , S. ( 2007 ). Bowker's test for symmetry and modifications within the algebraic framework . Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 51 : 41244142 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). Our proposal represents a competitive option as a test for symmetry.  相似文献   

10.
Double censoring arises when T represents an outcome variable that can only be accurately measured within a certain range, [L, U], where L and U are the left- and right-censoring variables, respectively. When L is always observed, we consider the empirical likelihood inference for linear transformation models, based on the martingale-type estimating equation proposed by Chen et al. (2002 Chen , K. , Jin , Z. , Ying , Z. ( 2002 ). Semiparametric analysis of transformation models with censored data . Biometrika 89 : 659668 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). It is demonstrated that both the approach of Lu and Liang (2006 Lu , W. , Liang , Y. ( 2006 ). Empirical likelihood inference for linear transformation models . Journal of Multivariate Analysis 97 : 15861599 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and that of Yu et al. (2011 Yu , W. , Sun , Y. , Zheng , M. ( 2011 ). Empirical likelihood method for linear transformation models . Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 63 : 331346 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) can be extended to doubly censored data. Simulation studies are conducted to investigate the performance of the empirical likelihood ratio methods.  相似文献   

11.
This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999 Pedroni , P. ( 1999 ). Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 61 : 653670 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar], 2004 Pedroni , P. ( 2004 ). Panel cointegration. Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis . Econometric Theory 20 : 597625 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Westerlund (2005 Westerlund , J. ( 2005 ). New simple tests for panel cointegration . Econometric Reviews 24 : 297316 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Larsson et al. (2001 Larsson , R. , Lyhagen , J. , Löthgren , M. ( 2001 ). Likelihood-based cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels . Econometrics Journal 4 : 109142 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), and Breitung (2005 Breitung , J. ( 2005 ). A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data . Econometric Reviews 24 : 151173 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999 Phillips , P. C. B. , Moon , H. R. ( 1999 ). Linear regression limit theory for nonstationary panel data . Econometrica 67 : 10571111 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Pedroni (2000 Pedroni , P. ( 2000 ). Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels . In: Baltagi , B. H. , ed. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels . Amsterdam : Elsevier , pp. 93130 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), Kao and Chiang (2000 Kao , C. , Chiang , M.-H. ( 2000 ). On the estimation and inference of a cointegrated regression in panel data . In: Baltagi , B. H. , ed. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels . Amsterdam : Elsevier , pp. 179222 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), Mark and Sul (2003 Mark , N. C. , Sul , D. ( 2003 ). Cointegration vector estimation by panel dynamic OLS and long-run money demand . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 65 : 655680 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Pedroni (2001 Pedroni , P. ( 2001 ). Purchasing power parity tests in cointegrated panels . Review of Economics and Statistics 83 : 13711375 . [Google Scholar]), and Breitung (2005 Breitung , J. ( 2005 ). A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data . Econometric Reviews 24 : 151173 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered.  相似文献   

12.
Gadre and Rattihalli [5 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2006. Modified group runs control charts to detect increases in fraction non-conforming and shifts in the process mean. Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput., 35: 225240. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]] have introduced the Modified Group Runs (MGR) control chart to identify the increases in fraction non-conforming and to detect shifts in the process mean. The MGR chart reduces the out-of-control average time-to-signal (ATS), as compared with most of the well-known control charts. In this article, we develop the Side Sensitive Modified Group Runs (SSMGR) chart to detect shifts in the process mean. With the help of numerical examples, it is illustrated that the SSMGR chart performs better than the Shewhart's chart, the synthetic chart [12 Wu, Z. and Spedding, T. A. 2000. A synthetic control chart for detecting small shifts in the process mean. J. Qual. Technol., 32: 3238. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], the Group Runs chart [4 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2004. A group runs control chart for detecting shifts in the process mean. Econ. Qual. Control, 19: 2943. [Crossref] [Google Scholar]], the Side Sensitive Group Runs chart [6 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2007. A side sensitive group runs control chart for detecting shifts in the process mean. Stat. Methods Appl., 16: 2737. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], as well as the MGR chart [5 Gadre, M. P. and Rattihalli, R. N. 2006. Modified group runs control charts to detect increases in fraction non-conforming and shifts in the process mean. Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput., 35: 225240. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]]. In some situations it is also superior to the Cumulative Sum chart p9 Page, E. S. 1954. Continuous inspection schemes. Biometrika, 41: 100114. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]] and the exponentially weighed moving average chart [10 Roberts, S. W. 1959. Control chart tests based on geometric moving averages. Technometrics, 1: 239250. [Taylor & Francis Online] [Google Scholar]]. In the steady state also, its performance is better than the above charts.  相似文献   

13.
For the first time, we provide a matrix formula for second-order covariances of maximum likelihood estimates in heteroskedastic generalized linear models, thus generalizing the results of Cordeiro (2004 Cordeiro , G. M. ( 2004 ). Second-order covariance matrix of maximum likelihood estimates in generalized linear models . Statist. Probab. Lett. 66 : 153160 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and Cordeiro et al. (2006 Cordeiro , G. M. , Barroso , L. P. , Botter , D. A. (2006). Covariance matrix formula for generalized linear models with unknown dispersion. Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 35:113120.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) related to the generalized linear models with known and unknown dispersion parameter, respectively. The covariance matrix formula does not involve cumulants of log-likelihood derivatives and can be easily obtained using simple matrix operations. We apply our main result to a simple model. Some simulations show that the second-order covariances can be quite pronounced in small to moderate samples. The usual covariances of the maximum likelihood estimates can be corrected by these second-order covariances.  相似文献   

14.
We propose a class of estimators for the population mean when there are missing data in the data set. Obtaining the mean square error equations of the proposed estimators, we show the conditions where the proposed estimators are more efficient than the sample mean, ratio-type estimators, and the estimators in Singh and Horn (2000 Singh , S. , Horn , S. ( 2000 ). Compromised imputation in survey sampling . Metrika 51 : 267276 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and Singh and Deo (2003 Singh , S. , Deo , B. (2003). Imputation by power transformation. Statist. Pap. 44:555579.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) in the case of missing data. These conditions are also supported by a numerical example.  相似文献   

15.
In this article, the modified procedure is proposed by simplifying the procedure of Tsai and Wu (2002 Tsai , H. T. , Wu , S. F. (2002). Sequential screening procedure based on individual misclassification error. IIE Trans. 34:10791085.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) by only weighing the screening variables once instead of weighting twice. The numerical comparison of the modified procedure with the old procedure shows that the total inspection cost of the modified procedure is very close to the old one. A theorem is derived to simplify the calculation of all desired probabilities and the expected costs when k-screening variables are allocated into r-stages. Finally, an example of investigating the cycles of failure of silver-zinc batteries is given to illustrate the modified screening procedure.  相似文献   

16.
We carried out a simulation study based on the methodology of Newcombe (1998 Newcombe , R. G. ( 1998 ). Interval estimation for the difference between independent proportions: comparison of eleven methods . Statist. Med. 17 : 873890 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) to compare tests for the difference of two binomial proportions by applying different continuity corrections on saddlepoint approximation to tail probabilities. In this article, we proposed a new continuity correction based on the least common multiple of two sample sizes. We evaluated that the best test should have the actual Type I error rates that are, on the whole, closest to α, but not exceeding α, where α is nominal level of significance.  相似文献   

17.
In this note, we show that the estimator and the following results given by Zhong and Yang (2007 Zhong , Z. , Yang , H. ( 2007 ). Ridge estimation to the restricted linear model . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 36 : 20992115 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) are the same with that of Groß (2003 Groß , J. ( 2003 ). Restricted ridge estimation . Statist. Probab. Lett. 65 : 5764 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]).  相似文献   

18.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(16-17):3198-3210
The randomized response (RR) technique with two decks of cards proposed by Odumade and Singh (2009 Odumade , O. , Singh , S. ( 2009 ). Efficient use of two deck of cards in randomized response sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 38 : 439446 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) can always be made more efficient than the RR techniques proposed by Warner (1965 Warner , S. L. ( 1965 ). Randomize response: A survey technique for eliminating evasive answer bias . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 60 : 6369 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Mangat and Singh (1990 Mangat , N. S. , Singh , R. ( 1990 ). An alternative randomized response procedure . Biometrika 77 : 349442 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), and Mangat (1994 Mangat , N. S. ( 1994 ). An improved randomized response strategy . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 56 : 9395 . [Google Scholar]) by adjusting the proportion of cards in the decks. The proposed method of Odumade and Singh (2009 Odumade , O. , Singh , S. ( 2009 ). Efficient use of two deck of cards in randomized response sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 38 : 439446 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) is limited to simple random sampling with replacement (SRSWR) sampling only. In this article, generalization of Odumade and Singh strategy is provided for complex survey designs and a wider class of estimators. The results of Odumade and Singh (2009 Odumade , O. , Singh , S. ( 2009 ). Efficient use of two deck of cards in randomized response sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 38 : 439446 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) can be derived from the proposed method as a special case.  相似文献   

19.
Multivariate skew-normal (SN) distributions (Azzalini and Dalla Valle, 1996 Azzalini , A. , Dalla Valle , A. ( 1996 ). The multivariate skew-normal distribution . Biometrika 83 : 715726 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) enjoy some of the useful properties of normal distributions, have nonlinear heteroscedastic predictors but lack the closure property of normal distributions (the sum of independent SN random variables is not SN). Recently, there has been a proliferation of classes of SN distributions with certain closure properties, one of the most promising being the closed skew-normal (CSN) distributions of González-Farías et al. (2004 González-Farías , G. , Dominguez-Molina , J. A. , Gupta , A. K. ( 2004 ). Additive properties of skew-normal random vectors . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 126 : 521534 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). We study the construction of stationary SN ARMA models for colored SN noise and show that their finite-dimensional distributions are skew-normal, seldom strictly stationary and their covariance functions differ from their normal ARMA counterparts in that they do not converge to zero for large lags. The situation is better for ARMA models driven by CSN noise, but at the additional cost of considerable computational complexity and a less explicit skewness parameter. In view of these results, the widespread use of such classes of SN distributions in the framework of ARMA models seem doubtful.  相似文献   

20.
This paper deals with Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models under a multivariate student-t distribution for the structural shocks. Based on the solution algorithm of Klein (2000) and the gamma-normal representation of the t-distribution, the TaRB-MH algorithm of Chib and Ramamurthy (2010 Chib , S. , Ramamurthy , S. ( 2010 ). Tailored randomized block MCMC methods with application to DSGE models . Journal of Econometrics 108 : 1938 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) is used to estimate the model. A technique for estimating the marginal likelihood of the DSGE student-t model is also provided. The methodologies are illustrated first with simulated data and then with the DSGE model of Ireland (2004 Ireland , P. N. ( 2004 ). Technology shocks in the new keynesian model . Review of Economics and Statistics 86 ( 4 ): 923936 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) where the results support the t-error model in relation to the Gaussian model.  相似文献   

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