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Ziegelmeyer Anthony Broihanne Marie-Hélène Koessler Frédéric 《Journal of Risk and Uncertainty》2004,28(2):165-186
This paper investigates parimutuel betting in the laboratory. Our experimental design relies on a simple sequential betting game where equilibrium strategies are characterized according to objective probabilities, the number of bettors, and publicly observable odds. The empirically well-documented phenomenon referred to as the favorite-longshot bias is observed in two of our three treatments. We offer a theoretical explanation of the subjects' behavior which relies on rank-dependent expected utility and pessimistic expectations about future bets. 相似文献