C472. The expected value of a conditional variance: An upper bound

The article derives Bartlett corrections for improving the chi-square approximation to the likelihood ratio statistics in a class of symmetric nonlinear regression models. This is a wide class of models which encompasses the t model and several other symmetric distributions with longer-than normal tails. In this paper we present, in matrix notation, Bartlett corrections to likelihood ratio statistics in nonlinear regression models with errors that follow a symmetric distribution. We generalize the results obtained by Ferrari, S. L. P. and Arellano-Valle, R. B. (1996). Modified likelihood ratio and score tests in linear regression models using the t distribution. Braz. J. Prob. Statist., 10, 15–33, who considered a t distribution for the errors, and by Ferrari, S. L. P. and Uribe-Opazo, M. A. (2001). Corrected likelihood ratio tests in a class of symmetric linear regression models. Braz. J. Prob. Statist., 15, 49–67, who considered a symmetric linear regression model. The formulae derived are simple enough to be used analytically to obtain several Bartlett corrections in a variety of important models. We also present simulation results comparing the sizes and powers of the usual likelihood ratio tests and their Bartlett corrected versions.     

Some Second-Order Asymptotics for Extreme Value Linear Regression Models

ABSTRACT

In this article we derive finite-sample corrections in matrix notation for likelihood ratio and score statistics in extreme-value linear regression models. We consider three corrected score tests that perform better than the usual score test. We also derive general formulae for second-order biases of maximum likelihood estimates of the linear parameters. Some simulations are performed to compare the likelihood ratio and score statistics with their modified versions and to illustrate the bias correction.     

On bootstrap testing inference in cure rate models

Survival models deal with the time until the occurrence of an event of interest. However, in some situations the event may not occur in part of the studied population. The fraction of the population that will never experience the event of interest is generally called cure rate. Models that consider this fact (cure rate models) have been extensively studied in the literature. Hypothesis testing on the parameters of these models can be performed based on likelihood ratio, gradient, score or Wald statistics. Critical values of these tests are obtained through approximations that are valid in large samples and may result in size distortion in small or moderate sample sizes. In this sense, this paper proposes bootstrap corrections to the four mentioned tests and bootstrap Bartlett correction for the likelihood ratio statistic in the Weibull promotion time model. Besides, we present an algorithm for bootstrap resampling when the data presents cure fraction and right censoring time (random and non-informative). Simulation studies are conducted to compare the finite sample performances of the corrected tests. The numerical evidence favours the corrected tests we propose. We also present an application in an actual data set.     

Bartlett corrections in beta regression models

We consider the issue of performing accurate small-sample testing inference in beta regression models, which are useful for modeling continuous variates that assume values in (0,1), such as rates and proportions. We derive the Bartlett correction to the likelihood ratio test statistic and also consider a bootstrap Bartlett correction. Using Monte Carlo simulations we compare the finite sample performances of the two corrected tests to that of the standard likelihood ratio test and also to its variant that employs Skovgaard's adjustment; the latter is already available in the literature. The numerical evidence favors the corrected tests we propose. We also present an empirical application.     

Bartlett-corrected tests for normal linear models when the error covariance matrix is nonscaiar

This paper provides Bartlett corrections to improve likelihood ratio tests for heteroskedastic normal linear models when the error covariance matrix is nonscaiar and depends on a set of unknown parameters. The Bartlett corrections are simple enough to be used algebraically to obtain several closed-form expressions in special cases. The corrections have also advantages for numerical purposes because they involve only simple operations on matrices and vectors.     

Test statistics arising from quasi likelihood: Bartlett adjustment and higher-order power

With reference to the quasi-likelihood arising from an unbiased estimating function, we consider a large class of test statistics which includes the likelihood ratio, Rao's score and Wald's statistics in particular. We study Bartlett adjustability and third-order power in a possibly non-iid setting and provide explicit formulae. Since the relevant Bartlett identities may not hold while working with a quasi-likelihood, our results can differ from those based on the usual likelihood. The prospects regarding posterior Bartlett adjustability have been briefly indicated.     

Corrected maximum likelihood estimators in heteroscedastic symmetric nonlinear models

In this article, we derive general matrix formulae for second-order biases of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in a class of heteroscedastic symmetric nonlinear regression models, thus generalizing some results in the literature. This class of regression models includes all symmetric continuous distributions, and has a wide range of practical applications in various fields such as engineering, biology, medicine and economics, among others. The variety of distributions with different kurtosis coefficients than the normal may give more flexibility in the choice of an appropriate distribution, particularly to accommodate outlying and influential observations. We derive a joint iterative process for estimating the mean and dispersion parameters. We also present simulation studies for the biases of the MLEs.     

New results on the likelihood ratio and score tests for the von Mises distribution

In this paper, we derive Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections [G.M. Cordeiro and S.L.P. Ferrari 1991, A modified score test statistic having chi-squared distribution to order n ^?1 , Biometrika 78 (1991), pp. 573–582] to improve the likelihood ratio and Rao's score statistics for testing the mean parameter and the concentration parameter in the von Mises distribution. Simple formulae are suggested for the corrections valid for small and large values of the concentration parameter that do not depend on the modified Bessel functions and can be useful in practical applications.     

On bartlett and bartlett-type corrections francisco cribari-neto

This paper reviews the literature on Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections. It focuses on the corrections to the likelihood ratio, score and Wald test statistics. Three different Bartlett-type corrections which are equivalent to order n-1, n being the sample size, are compared through simulation. One of the forms displayed superior behavior both in terms of size and power. We also use Monte Carlo simulation to examine the effect of independent variables and the impact of the number of nuisance parameters on the finite-sample behavior of some asymptotic econometric criteria in regression models.     

A Computer Program to Improve LR Tests for Generalized Linear Models

Generalized linear models enable the fitting of models to a wide range of data types. These models are based on exponential dispersion distributions. Improved likelihood ratio tests for these models were developed by Cordeiro (1983 Cordeiro , G. M. (1983). Improved likelihood ratio statistics for generalized linear models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B: Methodological 45:404–413. [Google Scholar])Cordeiro (1987 Cordeiro , G. M. ( 1987 ). On the corrections to the likelihood ratio statistics . Biometrika 74 : 265 – 274 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). We present a simple R program source for calculating Bartlett corrections to improve likelihood ratio tests in these models. The program was tested on some special models, confirming all of the previously reported numerical results for the Bartlett corrections.     

Performance of bartlett adjustment for certain likelihood ratio tests

The effectiveness of Bartlett adjustment, using one of several methods of deriving a Bartlett factor, in improving the chi-squared approximation to the distribution of the log likelihood ratio statistic is investigated by computer simulation in three situations of practical interest:tests of equality of exponential distributions, equality of normal distributions and equality of coefficients of variation of normal distributions.     

On bartlett and bartlett-type corrections francisco cribari-neto

This paper reviews the literature on Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections. It focuses on the corrections to the likelihood ratio, score and Wald test statistics. Three different Bartlett-type corrections which are equivalent to order n-1, n being the sample size, are compared through simulation. One of the forms displayed superior behavior both in terms of size and power. We also use Monte Carlo simulation to examine the effect of independent variables and the impact of the number of nuisance parameters on the finite-sample behavior of some asymptotic econometric criteria in regression models.     

Interval estimation for the scale parameter of the two-parameter exponential distribution based on time-censored data

This paper is concerned with developing procedures for construcing confidence intervals, which would hold approximately equal tail probabilities and coverage probabilities close to the normal, for the scale parameter θ of the two-parameter exponential lifetime model when the data are time censored. We use a conditional approach to eliminate the nuisance parameter and develop several procedures based on the conditional likelihood. The methods are (a) a method based on the likelihood ratio, (b) a method based on the skewness corrected score (Bartlett, Biometrika 40 (1953), 12–19), (c) a method based on an adjustment to the signed root likelihood ratio (Diciccio, Field et al., Biometrika 77 (1990), 77–95), and (d) a method based on parameter transformation to the normal approximation. The performances of these procedures are then compared, through simulations, with the usual likelihood based procedure. The skewness corrected score procedure performs best in terms of holding both equal tail probabilities and nominal coverage probabilities even for small samples.     

Sampled autocovariance and autocorrelation results for linear time processes

We derive an exact formula for the covariance between the sampled autocovariances at any two lags for a finite time series realisation from a general stationary autoregressive moving average process. We indicate, through one particular example, how this result can be used to deduce analogous formulae for any nonstationary model of the ARUMA class, a generalisation of the ARIMA models. Such formulae then allow us to obtain approximate expressions for the convariances between all pairs of serial correlations for finite realisations from the ARUMA model. We also note that, in the limit as the series length n → ∞, our results for the ARMA class retrieve those of Bartlett (1946). Finally, we investigate an improvement to the approximation that is obtained by applying Bartlett's general asymptotic formula to finite series realisations. That such an improvement should exist can immediately be seen by consideration of out results for the simplest case of a white noise process. However, we deduce the final improved approapproximation, for general models, in two ways - from (corrected) results due to Davies and Newbold (1980), and by an alternative approach to theirs.     

Improved Score Tests in Symmetric Linear Regression Models

The class of symmetric linear regression models has the normal linear regression model as a special case and includes several models that assume that the errors follow a symmetric distribution with longer-than-normal tails. An important member of this class is the t linear regression model, which is commonly used as an alternative to the usual normal regression model when the data contain extreme or outlying observations. In this article, we develop second-order asymptotic theory for score tests in this class of models. We obtain Bartlett-corrected score statistics for testing hypotheses on the regression and the dispersion parameters. The corrected statistics have chi-squared distributions with errors of order O(n ^?3/2), n being the sample size. The corrections represent an improvement over the corresponding original Rao's score statistics, which are chi-squared distributed up to errors of order O(n ^?1). Simulation results show that the corrected score tests perform much better than their uncorrected counterparts in samples of small or moderate size.     

The type I half-logistic family of distributions

We study general mathematical properties of a new class of continuous distributions with an extra positive parameter called the type I half-logistic family. We present some special models and investigate the asymptotics and shapes. The new density function can be expressed as a linear combination of exponentiated densities based on the same baseline distribution. We derive a power series for the quantile function. Explicit expressions for the ordinary and incomplete moments, quantile and generating functions, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, Shannon and Rényi entropies and order statistics are determined. We introduce a bivariate extension of the new family. We discuss the estimation of the model parameters by maximum likelihood and illustrate its potentiality by means of two applications to real data.     

Extension of some large deviation results for posterior distributions

We consider a family of statistical models with positive unknown parameter (which includes some well-known models for censored exponential data) and some statistical models for samples from stationary Gaussian processes. We prove large deviation results for posterior distributions and, in some cases, also for maximum likelihood estimators.