Control Charts for the Generalized Variance Based on Its Predictive Distribution

This article develops a control chart for the generalized variance. A Bayesian approach is used to incorporate parameter uncertainty. Our approach has two stages, (i) construction of the control chart where we use a predictive distribution based on a Bayesian approach to derive the rejection region, and (ii) evaluation of the control chart where we use a sampling theory approach to examine the performance of the control chart under various hypothetical specifications for the data generation model.     

Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Charts for a Mean Based on Its Prediction Distribution

This article develops a control chart for a mean vector when it is monitored by a quadratic form in the exponentially weighted observation vector. A Bayesian approach is used to incorporate parameter uncertainty. We first use a Bayesian predictive distribution to construct the control chart, and we then use a sampling theory approach to evaluate it under various hypothetical specifications for the data generation model.     

Combined Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Charts for the Mean and Variance Based on the Predictive Distribution

This article develops combined exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts for the mean and variance of a normal distribution. A Bayesian approach is used to incorporate parameter uncertainty. We first use a Bayesian predictive distribution to construct the control chart, and we then use a sampling theory approach to evaluate it under various hypothetical specifications for the data generation model. Simulations are used to compare the proposed charts for different values of both the weighing constant for the exponentially weighted moving averages and for the size of the calibration sample that is used to estimate the in-statistical-control process parameters. We also examine the separate performance of the EWMA chart for the variance.     

Control Charts for the Variance and Coefficient of Variation Based on Their Predictive Distribution

This article develops a control chart for the variance of a normal distribution and, equivalently, the coefficient of variation of a log-normal distribution. A Bayesian approach is used to incorporate parameter uncertainty, and the control limits are obtained from the predictive distribution for the variance. We evaluate this control chart by examining its performance for various values of the process variance.     

Control Charts for the Mean and Variance based on Changepoint Methodology

This article develops a control chart for the mean and variance of a normal distribution based on changepoint methodology. A Bayesian approach is used to incorporate parameter uncertainty. The resulting control chart plots the probabilities of “no change” as samples become available at the monitoring stage. Average run length considerations are used to set the control limits. Simulations are used to compare the proposed chart with a more traditional Shewhart-type combined control chart for the mean and variance.     

IDENTIFYING THE OUT OF CONTROL VARIABLE IN A MULTIVARIATE CONTROL CHART

ABSTRACT

The identification of the out of control variable, or variables, after a multivariate control chart signals, is an appealing subject for many researchers in the last years. In this paper we propose a new method for approaching this problem based on principal components analysis. Theoretical control limits are derived and a detailed investigation of the properties and the limitations of the new method is given. A graphical technique which can be applied in some of these limiting situations is also provided.     

ON THE ECONOMIC DESIGN OF MULTIVARIATE CONTROL CHARTS

ABSTRACT

It is an increasingly common practice to monitor several related quality characteristics of a product or process using a multivariate control chart procedure. Several types of multivariate control charts, including Hotelling's χ ² and T ² control charts, have been developed in attempts to improve monitoring by using the correlation structure that exists between quality characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to summarize the assumptions made regarding the out-of-control process shift in the economic design of multivariate control charts and to address their consequences. We study the average run length (ARL) properties of the χ ² control chart using a numerical example and show that this chart can perform ineffectively under the assumed out-of-control conditions when designed using the economic approach. Following Healy,[1] Healy, J.D. 1987. A Note on the Multivariate CUSUM Procedures. Technometrics, 29: 409–412. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] we offer an alternative procedure that has improved ARL properties and overall performance. These results can be important to researchers and practitioners who are interested in using the economic design of multivariate control procedures.     

THE MONTE CARLO EVALUATION OF ORTHANT PROBABILITIES FOR MULTIVARIATE NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS

The calculation of multivariate normal orthant probabilities is practically impossible when the number of variates is greater than five or six, except in very special cases. A transformation of the integral is obtained which enables quite accurate Monte Carlo estimates to be obtained for a fairly high number of dimensions, particularly if control variates are used.     

CHARACTERIZATIONS OF SHIFT-INVARIANT DISTRIBUTIONS BASED ON SUMMATION MODULO ONE

Let X₁Y_1,…, Y_n be independent random variables. We characterize the distributions of X and Y_j satisfying the equation {X+Y₁++Y_n}=_dX, where {Z} denotes the fractional part of a random variable Z. In the case of full generality, either X is uniformly distributed on [0,1), or Y_j has.a shifted lattice distribution and X is shift-invariant. We also give a characterization of shift-invariant distributions. Finally, we consider some special cases of this equation.     

A GOODNESS OF FIT TEST BASED ON THE LINKED LINE CHART1

In this paper, we propose a graphical representation of data and a test statistic based on it for testing the goodness of fit of a completely specified null distribution. The graph is constructed as a linked line chart given by vectors which reflect the pattern of order statistics. The test statistic is defined as an area defined by our chart and its asymptotic distribution is derived under the null hypothesis. Computer simulations performed to study the power properties of our chart indicate that the test is powerful for scale alternatives. Furthermore, it is shown that our test is closely related to the Watson test.     

EXACT INFERENCE IN FOUR-PARAMETER GENERALIZED GAMMA DISTRIBUTIONS

The paper considers Bayesian analysis of the generalized four-parameter gamma distribution. Estimation of parameters using classical techniques is associated with important technical problems while Bayesian methods are not currently available for such distributions. Posterior inference is performed using numerical methods organized around Gibbs sampling. Predictive distributions and reliability can be estimated routinely using the proposed methods.     

THE WRAPPED t FAMILY OF CIRCULAR DISTRIBUTIONS

This paper considers the three‐parameter family of symmetric unimodal distributions obtained by wrapping the location‐scale extension of Student's t distribution onto the unit circle. The family contains the wrapped normal and wrapped Cauchy distributions as special cases, and can be used to closely approximate the von Mises distribution. In general, the density of the family can only be represented in terms of an infinite summation, but its trigonometric moments are relatively simple expressions involving modified Bessel functions. Point estimation of the parameters is considered, and likelihood‐based methods are used to fit the family of distributions in an illustrative analysis of cross‐bed measurements. The use of the family as a means of approximating the von Mises distribution is investigated in detail, and new efficient algorithms are proposed for the generation of approximate pseudo‐random von Mises variates.     

A MATRIX VARIATE GENERALIZATION OF THE POWER EXPONENTIAL FAMILY OF DISTRIBUTIONS

ABSTRACT

This paper proposes a matrix variate generalization of the power exponential distribution family, which can be useful in generalizing statistical procedures in multivariate analysis and in designing robust alternatives to them. An example is added to show an application of the generalization.     

ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTIONS OF MATCHED-PARIS PERMUTATIO STATISTICS BASED ON DISTANCE MEASURES

A technique for deriving asymptotic distributions of matched-pairs permutation statistics based on distance measures is discussed and applied to four specific examples recently considered by Mielke & Berry (1982).     

CHARACTERISATIONS OF SOME INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS BASED ON MULTIPLICATIVE DAMAGE MODELS

This paper characterises the Pareto and scaled beta distributions within the context of multiplicative damage and generating models. The results obtained allow the destructive or generating mechanism to have more general distributions on (0,1) than the beta(e, l) distribution considered by several authors, thus generalising some recent results. Errors in earlier work are mentioned.     

ON CHARACTERIZING DISTRIBUTIONS VIA LINEARITY OF REGRESSION FOR ORDER STATISTICS

Let X₁X_n be a random sample from an absolutely continuous distribution with the corresponding order statistics X_1:n≤X_2:n≤X_n:n. A complete solution of the problem, posed in 1967 by T. Ferguson, of determining the distribution by linearity of regression of X_k+2:n with respect to X_k:n is given. The only possible distributions are of the exponential, power and Pareto type. A linear regression relation for exponents of order statistics is also considered.     

Designing of a control chart using belief statistic for exponential distribution

A new control chart is proposed by using the belief statistic for the exponential distribution. The structure of the proposed control chart is given to measure the average run length for the shifted process. The comparison of the proposed chart is given with the existing charts in terms of the average run lengths, which shows the outperformance of the proposed chart. The performance of the proposed control chart is also discussed with the help of simulated data.     

Run-Length Distribution for Control Charts with Runs and Scans Rules

Abstract

In order to increase the power of the classical Shewhart control charts for detecting small shift, several supplementary rules based on runs and scans were introduced by the Western Electric Company in 1956 Western Electric Company. 1956. Statistical Quality Control Handbook  [Google Scholar]. In this article we introduce a new method for computing the run-length distribution for a Shewhart chart with runs and scans rules. Our method yields an exact expression for the run-length generating function. We can then use either one of two techniques for extracting the probability function. One leads to recursive formulas and the other to non-recursive formulas. We investigate the performance of some popular runs and scans rules and show that the run-length distribution is highly skewed. Comparing the entire distributions of different rules, rather than simply the widely-used expectations (ARLs), leads to important new conclusions on the advantages of applying each of these rules vs. using a simple chart. Finally, we introduce a Web application that incorporates these theoretical results into a simple and practical tool that can be used by practitioners.     

ESTIMATING THE ANGLE BETWEEN THE MEAN DIRECTIONS OF TWO SPHERICAL DISTRIBUTIONS

This paper considers the problem of calculating a confidence interval for the angular difference between the mean directions of two spherical random variables with rotationally symmetric unimodal distributions. For large sample sizes, it is shown that the asymptotic distribution of 1 – cos α, where α is the sample angular difference, is approximately exponential if the true difference is zero, and approximately normal for a ‘large’ true difference; a scaled beta approximation is determined for the general case. For small sample sizes, a bootstrap approach is recommended. The results are applied to two sets of palaeomagnetic data.     

Double moving average–EWMA control chart for exponentially distributed quality

A control chart is an ever-popular tool for monitoring the production process. The early detection of a process shift, if any, is the desire of the quality control personnel. In this article, an effective alternative control charting procedure has been developed for the monitoring of exponentially distributed quality characteristic using the double moving average combined with EWMA statistic. The performance of the proposed control chart is examined for different combinations of the shift constant, the EWMA smoothing parameter, the moving average span, and the target in-control average run lengths. It has been observed that the proposed control chart is more efficient in the detection of process shifts as compared to control chart suggested by Khoo and Wang for the same purpose. The proposed control chart is illustrated for practical usage with the help of a synthetic and a real dataset.