Combining poisson means

The problem of estimating the Poisson mean is considered based on the two samples in the presence of uncertain prior information (not in the form of distribution) that two independent random samples taken from two possibly identical Poisson populations. The parameter of interest is λ₁ from population I. Three estimators, i.e. the unrestricted estimator, restricted estimator and preliminary test estimator are proposed. Their asymptotic mean squared errors are derived and compared; parameter regions have been found for which restricted and preliminary test estimators are always asymptotically more efficient than the classical estimator. The relative dominance picture of the estimators is presented. Maximum and minimum asymptotic efficiencies of the estimators relative to the classical estimator are tabulated. A max-min rule for the size of the preliminary test is also discussed. A Monte Carlo study is presented to compare the performance of the estimator with that of Kale and Bancroft (1967).     

Pooling reliability functions

In this article large sample pooling procedures for reliability functions of an exponential life testing model is considered. Asymptotic properties of shrinkage estimation procedure subsequent to preliminary tests are developed. It is shown that the proposed estimator possesses substantially snakker asymptotic mean squared error than the usual estimator in a region of the lparameter space. Relative efficiencies of the purposed estimators to the usual estimators are obtained and recommendations of the level of the preliminary tests are provided. Relative dominance picture of the estimators is presented. It is shown that the proposed estimator provides a wider dominance range over usual estimator than the usual preliminary test estimator. More importantly, the size of the preliminary test is meaningful. Simulation studies is also carried out to appraise the performance of the estimators when samples are small.     

Pooling means under uncertain prior information with application to discrete distributions

The problem of pooling means is considered based on two samples in presence of the uncertain prior information that these samples are taken from possibly identical populations. Two discrete models, Poisson and binomial are considered in particular. Three estimators, i.e. the unrestricted estimator, shrinkage restricted estimator and estimators based on preliminary test are proposed. Their asymptotic mean squared errors are derived and compared. It is demonstrated via asymptotic results that the range of the parameter space in which shrinkage preliminary test estimator dominates the unrestricted estimator is wider than that of the usual preliminary test estimator. A Monte Carlo study for Poisson model is presented to compare the performance of the estimators for small samples.     

On the mean squared error of nonparametric quantile estimators under random right-censorship

For randomly right-censored data, new asymptotic expressions for the mean squared errors of the product-limit quantile estimator and a kernel-type quantile estimator are presented in this paper. From these results a comparison of the two quantile estimators with respect to their mean squared errors is given.     

Asymptotic Theory for the Multiscale Wavelet Density Derivative Estimator

Abstract

In this paper we consider the wavelet-based estimation of density derivatives. The multiscale density derivative estimator is proposed which is constructed by using a number of scaling functions. Asymptotic theory is developed in which asymptotic expressions for the bias, the variance and the mean integrated squared error are included. In addition, asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is proved. Theoretical and numerical comparisons with the usual kernel-based estimators are also reported.     

Developing a restricted two-parameter Liu-type estimator: A comparison of restricted estimators in the binary logistic regression model

In the context of estimating regression coefficients of an ill-conditioned binary logistic regression model, we develop a new biased estimator having two parameters for estimating the regression vector parameter β when it is subjected to lie in the linear subspace restriction Hβ = h. The matrix mean squared error and mean squared error (MSE) functions of these newly defined estimators are derived. Moreover, a method to choose the two parameters is proposed. Then, the performance of the proposed estimator is compared to that of the restricted maximum likelihood estimator and some other existing estimators in the sense of MSE via a Monte Carlo simulation study. According to the simulation results, the performance of the estimators depends on the sample size, number of explanatory variables, and degree of correlation. The superiority region of our proposed estimator is identified based on the biasing parameters, numerically. It is concluded that the new estimator is superior to the others in most of the situations considered and it is recommended to the researchers.     

Nonparametric smooth estimation of the expected inactivity time function

The expected inactivity time (EIT) function (also known as the mean past lifetime function) is a well known reliability function which has application in many disciplines such as survival analysis, actuarial studies and forensic science, to name but a few. In this paper, we use a fixed design local polynomial fitting technique to obtain estimators for the EIT function when the lifetime random variable has an unknown distribution. It will be shown that the proposed estimators are asymptotically unbiased, consistent and also, when standardized, has an asymptotic normal distribution. An optimal bandwidth, which minimizes the AMISE (asymptotic mean integrated squared error) of the estimator, is derived. Numerical examples based on simulated samples from various lifetime distributions common in reliability studies will be presented to evaluate the performances of these estimators. Finally, three real life applications will also be presented to further illustrate the wide applicability of these estimators.     

Diagnostic Checking for GARCH-Type Models

The asymptotic distributions of squared and absolute residual autocorrelations for GARCH model estimated by M-estimators are derived. Two diagnostic tests are developed which can be used to check the adequacy of GARCH model fitted by using M-estimators. Simulation results show that the empirical sizes of both tests are close to the nominal size in most of the cases. The power of test based on absolute residual autocorrelation is found better than test based on squared residual autocorrelations. Our results reveal that there are estimators that can fit GARCH-type models better than the commonly used quasi-maximum likelihood estimator under non normal errors. An application to real data set is also presented.     

A New Kernel Distribution Function Estimator Based on a Non-parametric Transformation of the Data

Abstract.  A new kernel distribution function (df) estimator based on a non-parametric transformation of the data is proposed. It is shown that the asymptotic bias and mean squared error of the estimator are considerably smaller than that of the standard kernel df estimator. For the practical implementation of the new estimator a data-based choice of the bandwidth is proposed. Two possible areas of application are the non-parametric smoothed bootstrap and survival analysis. In the latter case new estimators for the survival function and the mean residual life function are derived.     

An effective approach to linear calibration estimation with its applications

Abstract

The availability of some extra information, along with the actual variable of interest, may be easily accessible in different practical situations. A sensible use of the additional source may help to improve the properties of statistical techniques. In this study, we focus on the estimators for calibration and intend to propose a setup where we reply only on first two moments instead of modeling the whole distributional shape. We have proposed an estimator for linear calibration problems and investigated it under normal and skewed environments. We have partitioned its mean squared error into intrinsic and estimation components. We have observed that the bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator are function of four dimensionless quantities. It is to be noticed that both the classical and the inverse estimators become the special cases of the proposed estimator. Moreover, the mean squared error of the proposed estimator and the exact mean squared error of the inverse estimator coincide. We have also observed that the proposed estimator performs quite well for skewed errors as well. The real data applications are also included in the study for practical considerations.     

Efficient estimation of the PDF and the CDF of the inverse Rayleigh distribution

In this paper, we consider the estimation of the probability density function and the cumulative distribution function of the inverse Rayleigh distribution. In this regard, the following estimators are considered: uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator, maximum likelihood (ML) estimator, percentile estimator, least squares estimator and weighted least squares estimator. To do so, analytical expressions are derived for the mean integrated squared error. As the result of simulation studies and real data applications indicate, when the sample size is not very small the ML estimator performs better than the others.     

Merging data from multiple sources: pretest and shrinkage perspectives

In this article, we have developed asymptotic theory for the simultaneous estimation of the k means of arbitrary populations under the common mean hypothesis and further assuming that corresponding population variances are unknown and unequal. The unrestricted estimator, the Graybill-Deal-type restricted estimator, the preliminary test, and the Stein-type shrinkage estimators are suggested. A large sample test statistic is also proposed as a pretest for testing the common mean hypothesis. Under the sequence of local alternatives and squared error loss, we have compared the asymptotic properties of the estimators by means of asymptotic distributional quadratic bias and risk. Comprehensive Monte-Carlo simulation experiments were conducted to study the relative risk performance of the estimators with reference to the unrestricted estimator in finite samples. Two real-data examples are also furnished to illustrate the application of the suggested estimation strategies.     

Wavelet estimation of density for censored data with censoring indicator missing at random

In this paper, we define the nonlinear wavelet estimator of density for the right censoring model with the censoring indicator missing at random (MAR), and develop its asymptotic expression for mean integrated squared error (MISE). Unlike for kernel estimator, the MISE expression of the estimator is not affected by the presence of discontinuities in the curve. Meanwhile, asymptotic normality of the estimator is established. The proposed estimator can reduce to the estimator defined by Li [Non-linear wavelet-based density estimators under random censorship. J Statist Plann Inference. 2003;117(1):35–58] when the censoring indicator MAR does not occur and a bandwidth in non-parametric estimation is close to zero. Also, we define another two nonlinear wavelet estimators of the density. A simulation is done to show the performance of the three proposed estimators.     

A BLUP Synthetic Versus an EBLUP Estimator: An Empirical Study of a Small Area Estimation Problem

Model-based estimators are becoming very popular in statistical offices because Governments require accurate estimates for small domains that were not planned when the study was designed, as their inclusion would have produced an increase in the cost of the study. The sample sizes in these domains are very small or even zero; consequently, traditional direct design-based estimators lead to unacceptably large standard errors. In this regard, model-based estimators that 'borrow information' from related areas by using auxiliary information are appropriate. This paper reviews, under the model-based approach, a BLUP synthetic and an EBLUP estimator. The goal is to obtain estimators of domain totals when there are several domains with very small sample sizes or without sampled units. We also provide detailed expressions of the mean squared error at different levels of aggregation. The results are illustrated with real data from the Basque Country Business Survey.     

Efficient estimation for time series following generalized linear models

In this paper, we consider James–Stein shrinkage and pretest estimation methods for time series following generalized linear models when it is conjectured that some of the regression parameters may be restricted to a subspace. Efficient estimation strategies are developed when there are many covariates in the model and some of them are not statistically significant. Statistical properties of the pretest and shrinkage estimation methods including asymptotic distributional bias and risk are developed. We investigate the relative performances of shrinkage and pretest estimators with respect to the unrestricted maximum partial likelihood estimator (MPLE). We show that the shrinkage estimators have a lower relative mean squared error as compared to the unrestricted MPLE when the number of significant covariates exceeds two. Monte Carlo simulation experiments were conducted for different combinations of inactive covariates and the performance of each estimator was evaluated in terms of its mean squared error. The practical benefits of the proposed methods are illustrated using two real data sets.     

Survival analysis for the missing censoring indicator model using kernel density estimation techniques

This article concerns asymptotic theory for a new estimator of a survival function in the missing censoring indicator model of random censorship. Specifically, the large sample results for an inverse probability-of-non-missingness weighted estimator of the cumulative hazard function, so far not available, are derived, including an almost sure representation with rate for a remainder term, and uniform strong consistency with rate of convergence. The estimator is based on a kernel estimate for the conditional probability of non-missingness of the censoring indicator. Expressions for its bias and variance, in turn leading to an expression for the mean squared error as a function of the bandwidth, are also obtained. The corresponding estimator of the survival function, whose weak convergence is derived, is asymptotically efficient. A numerical study, comparing the performances of the proposed and two other currently existing efficient estimators, is presented.     

Large sample behavior of the Bernstein copula estimator

Bernstein polynomial estimators have been used as smooth estimators for density functions and distribution functions. The idea of using them for copula estimation has been given in Sancetta and Satchell (2004). In the present paper we study the asymptotic properties of this estimator: almost sure consistency rates and asymptotic normality. We also obtain explicit expressions for the asymptotic bias and asymptotic variance and show the improvement of the asymptotic mean squared error compared to that of the classical empirical copula estimator. A small simulation study illustrates this superior behavior in small samples.     

Empirical bayes shrinkage estimation of reliability in the exponential distribution

In this paper we propose two empirical Bayes shrinkage estimators for the reliability of the exponential distribution and study their properties. Under the uniform prior distribution and the inverted gamma prior distribution these estimators are developed and compared with a preliminary test estimator and with a shrinkage testimator in terms of mean squared error. The proposed empirical Bayes shrinkage estimator under the inverted gamma prior distribution is shown to be preferable to the preliminary test estimator and the shrinkage testimator when the prior value of mean life is clsoe to the true mean life.     

Improved log‐linear model estimators of abundance in capture‐recapture experiments

The authors review log‐linear models for estimating the size of a closed population and propose a new log‐linear estimator for experiments having between animal heterogeneity and a behavioral response. They give a general formula for evaluating the asymptotic biases of estimators of abundance derived from log‐linear models. They propose simple frequency modifications for reducing these asymptotic biases and investigate the modifications in a Monte Carlo experiment which reveals that they reduce both the bias and the mean squared error of abundance estimators.     

Robust Mean Estimation Under a Possibly Incorrect Log-Normality Assumption

Nonparametric and parametric estimators are combined to minimize the mean squared error among their linear combinations. The combined estimator is consistent and for large sample sizes has a smaller mean squared error than the nonparametric estimator when the parametric assumption is violated. If the parametric assumption holds, the combined estimator has a smaller MSE than the parametric estimator. Our simulation examples focus on mean estimation when data may follow a lognormal distribution, or can be a mixture with an exponential or a uniform distribution. Motivating examples illustrate possible application areas.