经济新常态下产业园区的发展趋势

经济发展进入到一个新常态,向形态更高级、分工更复杂、结构更合理的阶段转换。在这个过程中,产业园区的发展可能就是形态更加高级,内部分工可能更加复杂,整个结构可能更加趋向合理和科学的发展方式。在经济新常态下,产业园区发展会出现一些新特点和新趋势:第一,从量的快速扩张向质的提升转变;第二,土地资源驱动园区发展模式的转换;第三,园区的产业链式和集群化的发展趋势;第四,产业园区要素与城区功能结合整合的趋势;第五,创新型科技园区加快建设和发展趋势;第六,生态化园区进一步发展趋势;第七,多样化园区融资体系探索和创新模式;第八,自由贸易园区的探索和发展。     

福建省科技资源配置的现状、问题及对策

利用翔实的统计数据和资料,从科技人力资源、财力资源、技术资源等方面分析了福建省科技资源配置的现状及存在的问题,并针对存在的问题提出了相应的对策和建议。     

在位相空间中求解外力含时的受迫量子谐振子

运用广义线性量子变换理论 ,在位相空间中通过算子的代数运算求解外力含时的受迫谐振子 ,给出了演化算子、演化算子矩阵元和波函数的表示式 .     

Spatial Variations in Church Burnings: The Social Ecology of Victimized Communities in the South*

Abstract In recent years, church burnings in the South have attracted a great deal of attention. Many commentators have charged that they are a product of strained race relations throughout the South, and particularly of severe racial tensions in Southern rural areas. In this study we evaluate these claims. We begin by mapping the spatial coordinates of recorded church burnings from 1990 to 1997, and find that church arsons indeed are concentrated in the South. Church burnings, however, are a more urban phenomenon than popular media accounts would suggest. Our analysis then explores the influence of contextual factors (population and locale, racial composition and inequality, so‐cioeconomic conditions, local religious ecology, and patterns of reported crime) on church burnings in counties located in the study region. Logistic regression models confirm that church arsons are most likely to occur in small metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) and non‐MSA counties containing a city of at least 10,000 residents. Church burnings also are especially likely in counties with a higher percentage of black residents, a larger number of churches relative to the rest of the state, and a higher arson rate. We conclude by discussing the implications of these findings for future research and public policy.     

罪与法——论卡夫卡小说的核心主题

该文认为 :罪与法是卡夫卡小说的核心主题 ,法的隐退是它的基本语境 ;卡夫卡世界是一个虚无主宰的世界 ,在此世界中 ,人被规定为绝对有罪 ;这种无罪之罪实质上就是异化 ,它正是卡夫卡最为关注的现代人生存的基本处境。     

对新课程实施中学生评价方法的哲学思考——标准化考试与档案袋评定的整合

评价既可能成为课程改革的动力 ,也可能成为其实施的障碍 ,它是课程改革成败的关键。为使基础教育课程改革达到预期目的 ,必须将评价改革作为课程改革的一个重要部分 ,探索出与新课程理念相一致的评价方法。目前国外较为流行的评价学生的方法是档案袋评定 ,这种评价理念与我国的新课程理念相一致 ,它强调学生参与 ,注重学生发展。然而档案袋评定能够作为标准化考试的替代评价法吗 ?笔者从不同哲学观进行分析 ,最后得到结论 :档案袋评定和标准化考试是看似对立、实质互补的两种评价方法 ,教师在实际评价中必须将两种方法结合运用     

我国西部地区生态环境存在的问题及对策

西部地区虽然经济欠发达,但在我国经济社会发展中占有重要位置。一方面西部地区是我国的重要能源基地,也是长江、澜沧江、黄河、黑河、珠江等大江大河的发源地和主要集水区;另一方面,西部地区野生动植物资源丰富,是我国许多珍稀野生动植物的主要栖息地。因此,西部地区的生态环境建设不仅对西部地区自身发     

浅析建筑市场监理运行现状与对策

文章透析了监理单位的外部管理现状 ,内部运行机制及监理业务的竞争环境 ,并提出了相应的对策与建议     

A Bayesian Adjustment for Covariate Misclassification with Correlated Binary Outcome Data

Estimated associations between an outcome variable and misclassified covariates tend to be biased when the methods of estimation that ignore the classification error are applied. Available methods to account for misclassification often require the use of a validation sample (i.e. a gold standard). In practice, however, such a gold standard may be unavailable or impractical. We propose a Bayesian approach to adjust for misclassification in a binary covariate in the random effect logistic model when a gold standard is not available. This Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach uses two imperfect measures of a dichotomous exposure under the assumptions of conditional independence and non-differential misclassification. A simulated numerical example and a real clinical example are given to illustrate the proposed approach. Our results suggest that the estimated log odds of inpatient care and the corresponding standard deviation are much larger in our proposed method compared with the models ignoring misclassification. Ignoring misclassification produces downwardly biased estimates and underestimate uncertainty.