Migration,mobility and globaloney: metaphors and rhetoric in the sociology of globalization

Books reviewed in this article: John Urry, Sociology beyond societies: mobilities for the twenty‐first century, New York and London: Routledge Nikos Papastergiadis, The turbulence of migration: globalization, deterritorialization and hybridity Stephen Castles and Alastair Davidson, Citizenship and migration: globalization and the politics of belonging     

An Evaluation of the Rai and Van Ryzin Dose-Response Model in Teratology

The underlying assumptions of the Rai and Van Ryzin dose-response model for reproductive toxicological data are evaluated on the basis of existing experimental data. The model under consideration is unusual in its use of litter size to completely account for extra-binomial variation in the data by associating litter size with reproductive outcome. The experimental data show that controlling litter size is not sufficient to account for the litter-to-litter variability in responses. It is also shown that the two linear components of the Rai and Van Ryzin model are inappropriate. For the component which applies to the dam, the data suggest a strong nonlinearity, supported by rejection of the linear model via statistical hypothesis tests. In the component involving litter size, a relationship with dose is not apparent. The litter size parameters offer considerable potential for bias in estimation; bias which is at least partly masked by the model having good prediction characteristics due to the increased number of parameters. A simulation study is presented to illustrate how the Rai and Van Ryzin model can exaggerate litter size effects on the probability of response when the simulated data arise from a model involving a nonlinear dam component, common to this type of data, and no effect of litter size.     

Socioeconomic Risk in Development of Energy Systems

A soft mathematical model, taking stock of the stochastic and cooperative features of the economy of thinking in the decision making, is aggregated to unveil hidden connections between energy policy and the energy technology choices of an establishment. Starting from several assumptions on the nature of the collective decisional behavior, one obtains a probabilistic interpretation of the mechanism of penetration of energy technologies. The probability that the establishment bets on a certain technological profile is given as a solution to a Fokker-Planck equation accounting for the decision game. It provides a topological variety that accomodates possible states of the system and their trajectories, and indicates ways in which different attractors drive the technology choice in the space of the energy policy.
In this framework, a series of concepts (i.e., logistic evolution, resilience, stability, risks of disruption or crisis, energy security) can find in a natural way strikingly intuitive interpretations. Strategic games are possible on this ground, confirming facts of life and also showing predictive power. The complex and difficult to manage interdependence between energy policy and technology appears as a challenge to the long-term planning of alternative energy systems. To meet the challenge, preparedness for changes through a large freedom of choice on the technological options appears as a necessary complement to the faithful observance of the market drives, which stresses the importance of having available perceptive, coherent, reliable, and responsible mechanisms of decision making.     

Hong Kong Chinese explanations for wealth

This study set out to replicate and extend studies done on attributions for affluence in Western, industrialized countries to a country famous for its wealth and economic growth. Over 100 subjects in Hong Kong rated explanations for wealth according to importance. Results showed that overall the subjects tended to endorse individualistic explanations for wealth while negating the relative importance of societal or fatalistic factors. There were few sex or income effects no doubt due to the sample tested. A factor analysis revealed two clear factors: internal-external (individualistic-collectivistic). The results are discussed in terms of the unique position of Hong Kong.     

Inflation and the estimated sizes of notes

Thirty adults were asked in 1982 to estimate the size of various British notes (£1.00, £5.00, £10.00, £20.00) at a time when the inflation rate was approximately 15%. Although there were no differences in their estimation as function of their age, sex, income or use of credit cards they consistentlyunder-estimated the size of all notes. Furthermore they overestimated the size of the old pound note (withdrawn in 1979) and underestimated the size of the new pound note. These findings are attributable to the effects of inflation.     

What have you done for me lately? Charisma attenuates the decline in U.S. presidential approval over time

Using archival data for a sample of U.S. presidents, evidence was found for a honeymoon and hangover effect in approval ratings over time. That is, presidential approval tended to be high early in the president's term and decrease over time. The effect of time on approval persisted even when military and economic indicators were included as predictors of presidential approval. More importantly, the effect of time on approval was moderated by charisma, such that charismatic leaders better maintained their approval rating over time. We take this as evidence that the honeymoon/hangover effect on presidential approval is substantively meaningful from a psychological perspective.     

Technology selection in the absence of standardised materials and processes: a survey in the UK composite materials supply chain

Composite materials is an industry where technology selection has major consequences as there is not a standard manufacturing process, nor are there standardised materials with defined or proscribed properties for companies to select as multiple solutions are technically viable. This research aims to identify key factors for manufacturing technology selection in the UK composite materials supply chain. Literature review and managers’ opinions were used to identify 18 factors affecting manufacturing technology selection. This was followed by a survey comprising the multi-tier supply chain of the composite materials industry. The results of the survey show ‘on time deliveries/service level to customers’, ‘improve quality’ and ‘reduce cycle time’ received the highest average ratings. In this study a correlation analysis was performed to identify the underlying dependencies between the factors investigated. The identification and use of underlying dependencies rather than highest average provided a more comprehensive picture of the factors that affect technology selection in the composite materials industry. For this study, experts in composite materials were asked to comment on the findings of the survey and their value to the industry. The results presented may assist companies in the composite materials industry with technology selection decision-making processes.     

Packing <Emphasis Type="Bold">[1, Δ]</Emphasis>-factors in graphs of small degree

Given an undirected, connected graph G with maximum degree Δ, we introduce the concept of a [1, Δ]-factor k-packing in G, defined as a set of k edge-disjoint subgraphs of G such that every vertex of G has an incident edge in at least one subgraph. The problem of deciding whether a graph admits a [1,Δ]-factor k-packing is shown to be solvable in linear time for k = 2, but NP-complete for all k≥ 3. For k = 2, the optimisation problem of minimising the total number of edges of the subgraphs of the packing is NP-hard even when restricted to subcubic planar graphs, but can in general be approximated within a factor of by reduction to the Maximum 2-Edge-Colorable Subgraph problem. Finally, we discuss implications of the obtained results for the problem of fault-tolerant guarding of a grid, which provides the main motivation for research.