Luck or cheating? A field experiment on honesty with children

We run an experiment to study the relationship between honesty, age and self-control. We focus on children aged between 5 and 15 as the literature suggests that self-control develops within such age range. We ask each child to toss a fair coin in private and to record the outcome (white or black) on a paper sheet. We only reward children who report white. Although we are unable to tell whether each child was honest or not, we speculate about the proportion of reported white outcomes. Children report the prize-winning outcome at rates statistically above 50% but below 100%. Moreover, the probability of cheating is uniform across groups based on child’s characteristics, in particular age. In a second treatment we explicitly tell children not to cheat. This request has a dampening effect on their tendency to over-report the prize-winning outcome, especially in girls. Furthermore, while this effect in boys is constant with age, in girls it tends to decrease with age.     

Asymmetric monitoring of multivariate data with nonlinear dynamics

We consider asymmetric change detection by generalizing the one-sided MEWMA control chart. In particular, we revise and extend the one-sided MEWMA algorithm to cope with mixed alternatives where some coordinates are allowed to increase and others may change in any direction. The motivating application is related to massive brake-disk production for the automotive industry. We consider monitoring of seven geometrical and dimensional parameters and show how the proposed method discriminates between geometrical deformation and dimensional shifts. As often happens in complex industrial processes, these data are nonlinear serially correlated. Therefore, we compute the thresholds of the one-sided MEWMA control charts using the semi-parametric stationary block bootstrap.     

To Farm or Not to Farm: Rural Dilemma in Russia and Ukraine

Abstract Employing primary data collected in the summer of 1991 in a representative survey of two farming areas in the territory of the republics of Russia and Ukraine, this study addresses the issue of the future involvement of collective and state-farm workers in private farming. Through the use of a LISREL model, it is argued that those who have been involved in small-scale private farming show no interest in expanding their farm operations or in buying or leasing additional land for farming. Moreover, it is maintained that those who intend to become farmers in privately owned and operated farms are more likely to be young, educated, and to some extent, ideologically committed to the free market system. A combination of structural constraints and a lack of knowledge regarding what to expect in the future can be viewed as possible explanations of the answers provided by respondents.     

WORKING "OVER-TIME":

This article examines the reasons working-class retirees give for their continued labor activity and discusses these in relation to the present socioeconomic situation. Through the use of primary qualitative data supplemented by others' empirical work, it is argued that working-class retirees engage in labor because they lack the economic resources to survive, desire to maintain their previous status, and experience threats to the status of their families and communities. Their experience differs from that commonly anticipated by society. Their labor is an important component of the U.S. economic recovery in recent years. Working-class retirees' labor involvement thus is not a solution, but a problem.     

Inducing a desired value of correlation between two point-scale variables: a two-step procedure using copulas

AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis - Focusing on point-scale random variables, i.e. variables whose support consists of the first m positive integers, we discuss how to build a joint...     

The effects of financial markets and social security on saving and fertility behaviour in Italy

The paper aims to ascertain the extent to which saving and fertility decisions are affected by the availability and attractiveness of market-based or state-provided alternatives to the family as a source of old-age support. Subordinately, the paper aims to bring evidence to bear on the assumption that fertility is endogenous and jointly determined with saving, and to test two alternative hypotheses about individual motivations. The saving and fertility implications of two alternative models of family choice — based one on the assumption of pure self-interest, the other on that of intergenerational altruism — are first derived theoretically. Saving and fertility equations are then estimated from Italian time-series data, using as explanatory variables the market rate of interest, the social security deficit, various measures of capital market accessibility and social security coverage, and a number of income and wage variables. Particularly worthy of note is the result that a fully-funded increase in social security coverage raises saving, while an increase in the social security deficit has the opposite effect. The empirical findings appear to support the assumption that fertility is endogenous and jointly determined with saving, and to favour the hypothesis that individual decisions are motivated by self-interest rather than intergenerational altruism. Some of the policy implications are briefly discussed in the concluding section.While retaining responsibility for any errors, the authors wish to thank Carlo Casarosa, Wolfram Richter, Ed Wolff and three anonymous referees for helpful comments. Financial support from MURST 40%, under national project Capitale, Capitale Umano, Sicurezza Sociale e Dinamiche Demografische Endogene, is gratefully acknowledged.     

Environmental and economic assessment for the optimal configuration of a sustainable solid waste collection system: a ‘kerbside’ case study

The article presents a case study concerning the improvement of the ‘kerbside’ waste collection system, now increasingly implemented in many Italian municipalities, as an alternative to traditional bring collection, with the aim of increasing the quality of waste collection and the collection rate, in order to reduce the final impact on the environment. A planning model for an integrated waste management system based on kerbside collection is presented. A heuristic procedure is also applied in order to obtain some admissible solutions of the real problem in reasonable computational time. The economic and environmental impacts are considered as significant elements for the evaluation and validation of the obtained solutions. Five alternative configurations of kerbside system, diverging in number of sub-area, synchrony of vehicles and directionality of the arcs, are compared in an economic point of view. Finally, Life-Cycle Assessment is used as a tool to compare the overall potential environmental impacts of the alternative of kerbside collection systems and also to compare the kerbside system with the traditional bring one. The different scenarios of kerbside system are comparable in terms of damage on the impact categories, while the bring system is the worst one, in terms of damage on human health, in the consumption of resources and also for the total damage score.     

Designing the venue logistics management operations for a World Exposition

World Expositions, due to their size and peculiar features, pose a number of logistics challenges. This paper aims at developing a design framework for the venue logistics management (VLM) operations to replenish food products to the event site, through a combination of qualitative and quantitative research approaches. First, an in-depth interview methodology, combined with the outcomes of a literature review, is adopted for defining the key variables for the tactical and operational set-up of the VLM system. Second, a quantitative approach is developed to define the necessary logistics resources. The framework is then applied to the case of Milan 2015 World Exposition. It is the first time that such a design framework for a World Exposition is presented: the originality of this research lies in the proposal of a systematic approach that adds to the experiential practices constituting the current body of knowledge on event logistics.