Scalable spatio‐temporal Bayesian analysis of high‐dimensional electroencephalography data

We present a scalable Bayesian modelling approach for identifying brain regions that respond to a certain stimulus and use them to classify subjects. More specifically, we deal with multi‐subject electroencephalography (EEG) data with a binary response distinguishing between alcoholic and control groups. The covariates are matrix‐variate with measurements taken from each subject at different locations across multiple time points. EEG data have a complex structure with both spatial and temporal attributes. We use a divide‐and‐conquer strategy and build separate local models, that is, one model at each time point. We employ Bayesian variable selection approaches using a structured continuous spike‐and‐slab prior to identify the locations that respond to a certain stimulus. We incorporate the spatio‐temporal structure through a Kronecker product of the spatial and temporal correlation matrices. We develop a highly scalable estimation algorithm, using likelihood approximation, to deal with large number of parameters in the model. Variable selection is done via clustering of the locations based on their duration of activation. We use scoring rules to evaluate the prediction performance. Simulation studies demonstrate the efficiency of our scalable algorithm in terms of estimation and fast computation. We present results using our scalable approach on a case study of multi‐subject EEG data.     

A Bayesian predictive approach to determining the number of components in a mixture distribution

This paper describes a Bayesian approach to mixture modelling and a method based on predictive distribution to determine the number of components in the mixtures. The implementation is done through the use of the Gibbs sampler. The method is described through the mixtures of normal and gamma distributions. Analysis is presented in one simulated and one real data example. The Bayesian results are then compared with the likelihood approach for the two examples.     

Bootstrap confidence intervals of generalized process capability index Cpyk for Lindley and power Lindley distributions

One of the indicators for evaluating the capability of a process is the process capability index. In this article, bootstrap confidence intervals of the generalized process capability index (GPCI) proposed by Maiti et al. are studied through simulation, when the underlying distributions are Lindley and Power Lindley distributions. The maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the parameters of the models. Three bootstrap confidence intervals namely, standard bootstrap (SB), percentile bootstrap (PB), and bias-corrected percentile bootstrap (BCPB) are considered for obtaining confidence intervals of GPCI. A Monte Carlo simulation has been used to investigate the estimated coverage probabilities and average width of the bootstrap confidence intervals. Simulation results show that the estimated coverage probabilities of the percentile bootstrap confidence interval and the bias-corrected percentile bootstrap confidence interval get closer to the nominal confidence level than those of the standard bootstrap confidence interval. Finally, three real datasets are analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

Multivariate process capability a bayesian perspective

In this paper an attempt has been made to examine the multivariate versions of the common process capability indices (PCI's) denoted by C_p and C_pk . Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are used to generate sampling distributions for the various PCI's from where inference is performed. Some Bayesian model checking techniques are developed and implemented to examine how well our model fits the data. Finally the methods are exemplified on a historical aircraft data set collected by the Pratt and Whitney Company.     

Bayesian Estimation of Stochastic Frontier Models with Multivariate Skew t Error Terms

The study of proportions is a common topic in many fields of study. The standard beta distribution or the inflated beta distribution may be a reasonable choice to fit a proportion in most situations. However, they do not fit well variables that do not assume values in the open interval (0, c), 0 < c < 1. For these variables, the authors introduce the truncated inflated beta distribution (TBEINF). This proposed distribution is a mixture of the beta distribution bounded in the open interval (c, 1) and the trinomial distribution. The authors present the moments of the distribution, its scoring vector, and Fisher information matrix, and discuss estimation of its parameters. The properties of the suggested estimators are studied using Monte Carlo simulation. In addition, the authors present an application of the TBEINF distribution for unemployment insurance data.     

Estimation and prediction of Marshall–Olkin extended exponential distribution under progressively type-II censored data

In this paper, we consider Marshall–Olkin extended exponential (MOEE) distribution which is capable of modelling various shapes of failure rates and aging criteria. The purpose of this paper is three fold. First, we derive the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters and the observed the Fisher information matrix from progressively type-II censored data. Next, the Bayes estimates are evaluated by applying Lindley’s approximation method and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method under the squared error loss function. We have performed a simulation study in order to compare the proposed Bayes estimators with the maximum likelihood estimators. We also compute 95% asymptotic confidence interval and symmetric credible interval along with the coverage probability. Third, we consider one-sample and two-sample prediction problems based on the observed sample and provide appropriate predictive intervals under classical as well as Bayesian framework. Finally, we analyse a real data set to illustrate the results derived.     

A new generalization of the gamma distribution with application to negatively skewed survival data

We propose a three-parameter distribution referred to as the reflected- shifted-truncated gamma (RSTG) distribution to model negatively skewed data. Various properties of the proposed distribution are derived. The estimation of the model parameters is approached by maximum likelihood methods and the observed information matrix is derived. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods of estimation for both small and large samples. Using information theoretic criteria, we compare the RSTG distribution to the exponential, generalized F, generalized gamma, Gompertz, log-logistic, lognormal, Rayleigh, and Weibull distributions in three negatively skewed real datasets.     

ON THE ESTIMATION OF TOTAL WEIGHT IN CHEMICAL BALANCE WEXGHING DESIGNS1

This paper is concerned with the problem of estimation of total weight in a chemical balance weighing design. Some results regarding the estimability of the total weight are obtained and a lower bound for the variance of the estimated total weight is given. Finally, a series of weighing designs estimating the total weight in an ‘optimum’ manner is reported.