全文获取类型
收费全文 | 12480篇 |
免费 | 89篇 |
国内免费 | 15篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 1636篇 |
劳动科学 | 2篇 |
民族学 | 133篇 |
人口学 | 2461篇 |
丛书文集 | 426篇 |
理论方法论 | 628篇 |
综合类 | 1342篇 |
社会学 | 4661篇 |
统计学 | 1295篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 9篇 |
2022年 | 20篇 |
2021年 | 41篇 |
2020年 | 30篇 |
2019年 | 24篇 |
2018年 | 1690篇 |
2017年 | 1710篇 |
2016年 | 1111篇 |
2015年 | 98篇 |
2014年 | 101篇 |
2013年 | 185篇 |
2012年 | 430篇 |
2011年 | 1281篇 |
2010年 | 1180篇 |
2009年 | 920篇 |
2008年 | 951篇 |
2007年 | 1151篇 |
2006年 | 163篇 |
2005年 | 359篇 |
2004年 | 320篇 |
2003年 | 279篇 |
2002年 | 166篇 |
2001年 | 96篇 |
2000年 | 51篇 |
1999年 | 36篇 |
1998年 | 22篇 |
1997年 | 13篇 |
1996年 | 46篇 |
1995年 | 16篇 |
1994年 | 10篇 |
1993年 | 11篇 |
1992年 | 9篇 |
1991年 | 11篇 |
1990年 | 3篇 |
1989年 | 4篇 |
1988年 | 11篇 |
1987年 | 3篇 |
1986年 | 2篇 |
1985年 | 3篇 |
1984年 | 5篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 3篇 |
1981年 | 2篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
941.
Much research shows that breastfeeding provides short- and long-term health benefits for both mothers and their children. However, few studies have yet investigated the factors which may promote or inhibit breastfeeding practices in Japan. To fill this research gap, this paper uses data newly gathered in 2012 on breastfeeding initiation and duration for each child of each mother, which enable us to estimate mother fixed-effects models that control for unobserved differences among mothers. Compared to mothers who leave their jobs after childbirth, mothers who return to work within a year after childbirth do not significantly differ in breastfeeding initiation but have a breastfeeding duration which is shorter by 1.654 months. On the other hand, when fathers work under a flextime system after childbirth, breastfeeding initiation is higher, and the duration is longer by 4.418 months. Therefore, letting fathers work under a flextime system would help promote breastfeeding practices in Japan. 相似文献
942.
"高铁经济"的发展对区域经济与社会发展具有重要的带动作用与战略意义,高铁枢纽及其周边地区也将成为城市发展新引擎。对其功能定位与产业发展则是高铁枢纽地区开发建设的前提与成功与否的关键因素之一。以广州南站枢纽地区为例,以区域竞合发展的视角,剖析南站地区发展面临的阶段困境,探索基于新一轮国家对外开放战略与地区合作升级机遇的背景下,南站地区如何利用高铁枢纽和区位优势,对接不同层面的战略需求来清晰定位其功能,并对产业发展路径与空间布局提出相应的合理化建议。 相似文献
943.
944.
Maria Vaz-Patto Belén Bueno Óscar Ribeiro Laetitia Teixeira Rosa Marina Afonso 《European review of aging and physical activity》2017,14(1):9
Background
Centenarians are a growing population in Europe and present significant variability in motor and cognitive functions. The aim of our study was to characterize health status, as well as cognitive and motor functions in a group of Portuguese centenarians. In addition, our study also aimed at analyzing the relationship between cognitive functions and the burden of diseases affecting the elderly.Methods
Fifty-two centenarians were evaluated using the Mini-Mental State Examination, short version. Walking-related parameters (velocity and time spent in the 3 m walk test), grip strength and number of age-related illnesses were also measured. The relationship between cognitive scores and time spent in the three metre walk test, velocity, grip strength and number of diseases was analysed.Results
Cognitive scores showed a positive correlation with both handgrip strength and time spent in the three metre walk. In contrast, no association was found between cognitive scores and the presence/absence of disease, walking velocity or number of diseases present.Conclusions
These results suggest that in centenarians, cognitive functions may be related with motor functions.945.
Yuichiro Nishida Keitaro Tanaka Megumi Hara Noriko Hirao Hiroaki Tanaka Takuro Tobina Masaharu Ikeda Hiroshi Yamato Masanori Ohta 《European review of aging and physical activity》2017,14(1):7
Background
A low urine pH is a characteristic metabolic feature of metabolic syndrome and type 2 diabetes. The purpose of the current study was to investigate the effects of a 12-week home-based bench step exercise on the urine pH status of elderly female subjects.Methods
The current study is a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in which 59 postmenopausal female subjects were randomized to either the exercise group (n?=?29) or the control group (n?=?30). The subjects in the exercise group were instructed to perform home-based exercises using a bench step at the anaerobic threshold (AT), with a goal of performing ≥140 min/week at home for 12 weeks. The subjects in the control group were instructed to not change their normal lifestyle. Urine was collected after overnight fasting, and the urine pH was measured using a urinary test strip. The inter-group-differences at baseline and the pre-post changes within groups were assessed using the Mann-Whitney U test and Wilcoxon’s signed-rank test, respectively. Additionally, the difference in the post-intervention urine pH levels of the two groups, adjusted for the pre-intervention values (the estimated effect size) and the precision (95% confidence intervals) were investigated using an analysis of covariance.Results
The pre-post comparison of the urine pH data using Wilcoxon’s signed-rank test showed a significant increase in the urine pH levels of the exercise group (p?<?0.05); there was no significant change in the urine pH levels of the control group. However, the estimated effect size (0.15) was small and the confidence interval straddled 0 (?0.25–0.55).Conclusions
Based on the results of the current secondary analysis of an RCT, we could not clearly conclude that exercise has a beneficial effect on the urine pH. Further well-designed RCTs should be conducted to determine whether aerobic exercise is truly able to ameliorate urine acidification.Trial registration
The study was retrospectively registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN) as “Effect of step exercise on aerobic fitness and progression of atherosclerosis in the elderly” under the registration number UMIN 000026743 (the date of registration: March 28, 2017).946.
Unified Inference for Sparse and Dense Longitudinal Data in Time‐varying Coefficient Models
下载免费PDF全文
![点击此处可从《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》网站下载免费的PDF全文](/ch/ext_images/free.gif)
Time‐varying coefficient models are widely used in longitudinal data analysis. These models allow the effects of predictors on response to vary over time. In this article, we consider a mixed‐effects time‐varying coefficient model to account for the within subject correlation for longitudinal data. We show that when kernel smoothing is used to estimate the smooth functions in time‐varying coefficient models for sparse or dense longitudinal data, the asymptotic results of these two situations are essentially different. Therefore, a subjective choice between the sparse and dense cases might lead to erroneous conclusions for statistical inference. In order to solve this problem, we establish a unified self‐normalized central limit theorem, based on which a unified inference is proposed without deciding whether the data are sparse or dense. The effectiveness of the proposed unified inference is demonstrated through a simulation study and an analysis of Baltimore MACS data. 相似文献
947.
Generalised linear models are frequently used in modeling the relationship of the response variable from the general exponential family with a set of predictor variables, where a linear combination of predictors is linked to the mean of the response variable. We propose a penalised spline (P-spline) estimation for generalised partially linear single-index models, which extend the generalised linear models to include nonlinear effect for some predictors. The proposed models can allow flexible dependence on some predictors while overcome the “curse of dimensionality”. We investigate the P-spline profile likelihood estimation using the readily available R package mgcv, leading to straightforward computation. Simulation studies are considered under various link functions. In addition, we examine different choices of smoothing parameters. Simulation results and real data applications show effectiveness of the proposed approach. Finally, some large sample properties are established. 相似文献
948.
In 1952, von Neumann introduced the rejection method for random variate generation. We revisit this algorithm when we have a source of perfect bits at our disposal. In this random bit model, there are universal lower bounds for generating a random variate with a given density to within an accuracy \(\epsilon \) derived by Knuth and Yao, and refined by the authors. In general, von Neumann’s method fails in this model. We propose a modification that insures proper behavior for all Riemann-integrable densities on compact sets, and show that the expected number of random bits needed behaves optimally with respect to universal lower bounds. In particular, we introduce the notion of an oracle that evaluates the supremum and infimum of a function on any rectangle of \({\mathbb {R}}^{d}\), and develop a quadtree-style extension of the classical rejection method. 相似文献
949.
We formulate a prior distribution for the energy function of stationary binary Markov random fields (MRFs) defined on a rectangular lattice. In the prior we assign distributions to all parts of the energy function. In particular we define priors for the neighbourhood structure of the MRF, what interactions to include in the model, and for potential values. We define a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) procedure to simulate from the corresponding posterior distribution when conditioned to an observed scene. Thereby we are able to learn both the neighbourhood structure and the parametric form of the MRF from the observed scene. We circumvent evaluations of the intractable normalising constant of the MRF when running the RJMCMC algorithm by adopting a previously defined approximate auxiliary variable algorithm. We demonstrate the usefulness of our prior in two simulation examples and one real data example. 相似文献
950.
Georgios Karagiannis Bledar A. Konomi Guang Lin Faming Liang 《Statistics and Computing》2017,27(4):927-945
We present the parallel and interacting stochastic approximation annealing (PISAA) algorithm, a stochastic simulation procedure for global optimisation, that extends and improves the stochastic approximation annealing (SAA) by using population Monte Carlo ideas. The efficiency of standard SAA algorithm crucially depends on its self-adjusting mechanism which presents stability issues in high dimensional or rugged optimisation problems. The proposed algorithm involves simulating a population of SAA chains that interact each other in a manner that significantly improves the stability of the self-adjusting mechanism and the search for the global optimum in the sampling space, as well as it inherits SAA desired convergence properties when a square-root cooling schedule is used. It can be implemented in parallel computing environments in order to mitigate the computational overhead. As a result, PISAA can address complex optimisation problems that it would be difficult for SAA to satisfactory address. We demonstrate the good performance of the proposed algorithm on challenging applications including Bayesian network learning and protein folding. Our numerical comparisons suggest that PISAA outperforms the simulated annealing, stochastic approximation annealing, and annealing evolutionary stochastic approximation Monte Carlo. 相似文献