Sensitivity analysis in ordered and restricted parameter models

This paper deals with the problem of local sensitivity analysis in ordered parameter models. In addition to order restrictions, some constraints imposed on the parameters by the model and/or the data are considered. Measures for assessing how much a change in the data modifies the results and conclusions of a statistical analysis of these models are presented. The sensitivity measures are derived using recent results in mathematical programming. The estimation problem is formulated as a primal nonlinear programming problem, and the sensitivities of the parameter estimates as well as the objective function sensitivities with respect to data are obtained. They are very effective in revealing the influential observations in this type of models and in evaluating the changes due to changes in data values. The methods are illustrated by their application to a wide variety of examples of order-restricted models including ordered exponential family parameters, ordered multinomial parameters, ordered linear model parameters, ordered and data constrained parameters, and ordered functions of parameters.     

Application of Different Techniques of Factor Analysis to Develop Neighborhood Social Capital Rating Scale

Composite indicators are widely used to determine the ranking of countries, organizations or individuals in terms of overall performance on multiple criteria. Their calculation requires standardization of the individual statistical criteria and aggregation of the standardized indicators. These operations introduce a potential propagation effect of extreme values on the calculation of the composite indicator of all entities. In this paper, we propose robust composite indicators for which this propagation effect is limited. The approach uses winsorization based on a robust estimate of the distribution of the sub-indicators. It is designed such that the winsorization affects only the composite indicator rank but has no effect on the entities ranking in each sub-indicator. The simulation study documents the benefits of distribution-based winsorization in the presence of outliers. It leads to a ranking that is closer to the clean data ranking when compared to the ranking obtained using either no winsorization or the traditional winsorization based on empirical quantiles. In the empirical application, we illustrate the use of winsorization for ranking countries based on the United Nations Industrial Development Organization’s Competitive Industrial Performance index. We show that even though the sub-indicator ranking does not change, the robust winsorization approach has a material impact on the ranking of the composite indicator for countries with large discrepancies in the scores of the sub-indicators.

     

An efficient correction to the density-based empirical likelihood ratio goodness-of-fit test for the inverse Gaussian distribution

The inverse Gaussian (IG) distribution is widely used to model positively skewed data. An important issue is to develop a powerful goodness-of-fit test for the IG distribution. We propose and examine novel test statistics for testing the IG goodness of fit based on the density-based empirical likelihood (EL) ratio concept. To construct the test statistics, we use a new approach that employs a method of the minimization of the discrimination information loss estimator to minimize Kullback–Leibler type information. The proposed tests are shown to be consistent against wide classes of alternatives. We show that the density-based EL ratio tests are more powerful than the corresponding classical goodness-of-fit tests. The practical efficiency of the tests is illustrated by using real data examples.     

Markov switch smooth transition HYGARCH model: Stability and estimation

Abstract

HYGARCH model is basically used to model long-range dependence in volatility. We propose Markov switch smooth-transition HYGARCH model, where the volatility in each state is a time-dependent convex combination of GARCH and FIGARCH. This model provides a flexible structure to capture different levels of volatilities and also short and long memory effects. The necessary and sufficient condition for the asymptotic stability is derived. Forecast of conditional variance is studied by using all past information through a parsimonious way. Bayesian estimations based on Gibbs sampling are provided. A simulation study has been given to evaluate the estimations and model stability. The competitive performance of the proposed model is shown by comparing it with the HYGARCH and smooth-transition HYGARCH models for some period of the S&P500 and Dow Jones industrial average indices based on volatility and value-at-risk forecasts.     

Tests of fit for the Gumbel distribution: EDF-based tests against entropy-based tests

In this article, we propose some tests of fit based on sample entropy for the composite Gumbel (Extreme Value) hypothesis. The proposed test statistics are constructed using different entropy estimates. Through a Monte Carlo simulation, critical values of the test statistics for various sample sizes are obtained. Since the tests based on the empirical distribution function (EDF) are commonly used in practice, the power values of the entropy-based tests with those of the EDF tests are compared against various alternatives and different sample sizes. Finally, two real data sets are modeled by the Gumbel distribution.KEYWORDS: Entropy estimator, Gumbel distribution, Monte Carlo simulation, test power     

The relationship between environmental exposures and hormonal abnormalities in pregnant women: An epidemiological study in Yazd,Iran

Problem

The process of industrialization and lifestyle changes have gradually exposed human ?societies to a larger number of environmental risk factors, which may cause hormonal ?abnormalities and congenital anomalies.

Identification of Multiple Outliers in Logistic Regression

The use of logistic regression modeling has seen a great deal of attention in the literature in recent years. This includes all aspects of the logistic regression model including the identification of outliers. A variety of methods for the identification of outliers, such as the standardized Pearson residuals, are now available in the literature. These methods, however, are successful only if the data contain a single outlier. In the presence of multiple outliers in the data, which is often the case in practice, these methods fail to detect the outliers. This is due to the well-known problems of masking (false negative) and swamping (false positive) effects. In this article, we propose a new method for the identification of multiple outliers in logistic regression. We develop a generalized version of standardized Pearson residuals based on group deletion and then propose a technique for identifying multiple outliers. The performance of the proposed method is then investigated through several examples.     

Two graphical displays for the detection of potentially influential subsets in regression

In the context of the general linear model Y=Xβ+ε, the matrix P_z =Z(Z^TZ)^?1 Z^T , where Z=(X: Y), plays an important role in determining least squares results. In this article we propose two graphical displays for the off-diagonal as well as the diagonal elements of P_Z . The two graphs are based on simple ideas and are useful in the detection of potentially influential subsets of observations in regression. Since P_Z is invariant with respect to permutations of the columns of Z, an added advantage of these graphs is that they can be used to detect outliers in multivariate data where the rows of Z are usually regarded as a random sample from a multivariate population. We also suggest two calibration points, one for the diagonal elements of P_Z and the other for the off-diagonal elements. The advantage of these calibration points is that they take into consideration the variability of the off-diagonal as well as the diagonal elements of P_Z . They also do not suffer from masking.     

Toward a Deep Insight into Employee Participation in Employer-Supported Volunteering in Iranian Organizations: A Grounded Theory

VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - Antecedents and consequences of employer-supported volunteering (ESV) have been widely studied. Yet, in the literature,...     

Generalized inferential procedures for generalized Lorenz curves under the Pareto distribution

This paper considers problems of interval estimation and hypotheses testing for the generalized Lorenz curve under the Pareto distribution. Our approach is based on the concepts of generalized test variables and generalized pivotal quantities. The merits of the proposed procedures are numerically carried out and compared with asymptotic and bootstrap methods. Empirical evidence shows that the coverage accuracy of the proposed confidence intervals and the type I error control of the proposed exact tests are satisfactory. For illustration purposes, a real data set on median income of the 20 occupations in the United States Census of Population is analysed.