Discussion of “Nonparametric Bayesian Inference in Applications”: Bayesian nonparametric methods in econometrics

The use of Bayesian nonparametrics models has increased rapidly over the last few decades driven by increasing computational power and the development of efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We review some applications of these models in economic applications including: volatility modelling (using both stochastic volatility models and GARCH-type models) with Dirichlet process mixture models, uses in portfolio allocation problems, long memory models with flexible forms of time-dependence, flexible extension of the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model for interest rate yields and multivariate time series models used in macroeconometrics.     

A penalized likelihood method for nonseparable space–time generalized additive models

In this paper, we study space–time generalized additive models. We apply the penalyzed likelihood method to fit generalized additive models (GAMs) for nonseparable spatio-temporal correlated data in order to improve the estimation of the response and smooth terms of GAMs. The results show that our space–time generalized additive models estimated response and smooth terms reasonable well, and in addition, the mean squared error, mean absolute deviation and coverage intervals improved considerably compared to the classic GAM. An application on particulate matter concentration in the North-Italian region of Piemonte is also presented.     

日本漫画翻译技法初探——以特殊表记为中心

如所周知，特殊表记如今已经成为漫画不可或缺的部分。在创作漫画时加入英文表记和外来语表记能够丰富故事内容，使人物形象更为丰满，同时适当使用这些表记能够使漫画更加贴近年轻受众群体。但是在实际翻译漫画时，这些特殊的表记却极易被漫画的译者所忽视。通过从人物对白、特殊用语以及人名三方面入手，从实用角度结合具体案例探讨了日本漫画中英文表记、外来语表记的处理策略，认为应根据特殊表记出现的位置及作用来具体选择翻译方式，不应一概而论。     

应用型高校与企业共建产业学院的优势与困惑

产业学院是应用型高校为服务地方社会经济的发展而与企业深度合作形成的新型办学机构，由高校和企业共同投资，实行理事会领导、院长负责的管理体制，校企协同育人，重视实践教学，组织特征鲜明，办学优势突出。但是，产业学院在发展过程中面临诸多不足：独立法人地位尚未确立，进一步发展缺乏法律保障和依据；现代治理方式和结构尚未建立，具体工作受高校干扰较多，行政化色彩浓厚；运行成本大，缺乏市场化运行机制。为了促进产业学院发展，国家应确立其独立的法律地位，营造发展的政策环境和建立现代化的治理方式与结构；产业学院应建立市场化运行机制，激发面对市场的应变能力，最大限度地发挥自身优势，化解发展过程中的短板。     

Control or Autonomy? A Case Study of two Organizational Forms in the Zhangjiakou Internal Migrant Organization

Control often weakens autonomy in organizational theories. While many scholars focus on the paradox of control and autonomy, few pay attention to how an organization obtains both control and autonomy. By exploring Zhangjiakou Internal Immigrant Organization, this study finds two mechanisms can contribute to the balanced combination of control and autonomy. First, managers play ambidextrous official-merchant roles, which means superiors take both bureaucratic and autonomous management styles. Second, members have dual organizational goals for both political status and network support. In conclusion, the successful combination is shaped by the subjective interaction between the government, superior managers and subordinate members.     

Yes Academic Bias is a Problem and We Need to Address it: a Response to Larregue

Larregue argued that while there is an ideological imbalance among academics that this imbalance has not unfairly impacted our findings. He also implies that it is the activism of conservatives, rather than progressives, which has created real problems in academia. As such he disputes claims that activism among progressive academics has create a backlash from political conservatives. However, Larregue does not address the previous empirical work on the subject of academic bias. Furthermore, his argument of methodological rigor does not address the tendency of scholars to overlook alternate theories. His argument that progressive scholars are no more biased than conservative scholars fails to account for the sheer number of progressive scholars relative to conservative scholars as it concerns the possibly of institutional bias. I also find his focus on fraud to be misplaced since scholars do not have to engage in fraud to be in ideological silos that do not take alternative theories into account. As to his second major argument, I am unsure whether liberal academic activism leads to conservative mistrust and await further future research on this topic. I do commend Larregue in bringing the question of sources of conservative mistust to our attention.     

构建舟山群岛新区水资源安全保障体系研究

"新区发展水为先",这是舟山发展一贯经验的科学总结。水资源直接影响着舟山群岛新区建设的速度和质量,关系到人民生活水平的提高,对新区发展具有特殊重要的意义。文章在分析舟山群岛新区水源地环境基本状况的基础上,对水资源供求趋势进行了预测和分析,并从完善有偿使用和取水许可制度、建立水资源统一管理体制,完善增加蓄水资源的引导性政策、健全可持续开发利用的激励配套措施,强化水源与供水工程网络建设、优先开发利用好当地水资源阐释了构建舟山群岛新区水资源安全保障体系的对策。     

论“主体建构”的认识论来源及理论意义

本文着力解决的是主体建构在社会科学诸多范式与取向中的合法性问题。主体建构是一种视角、一个解释工具,也是一种方法论取向,同时也可以被理解为一种认识论倾向。主体建构以现象学关于主体意向性与意义建构的论断为认识论基础,以理解社会学为理论源泉,试图理解关于同一社会现象在不同主体的视角下的不同的意义。主体建构的目的是对这些不同的意义进行差异性理解、过程性理解与情境性理解,并以此解构垄断意义与固化意义,寻求社会现象的多元意义。     

基于消费者效用的生鲜农产品供应链生鲜度激励机制研究

生鲜供应链整体生鲜度的提升对减少浪费、提高供应链整体盈利水平及社会福利有重要意义。本文基于消费者效用理论研究了两供应商和单一零售商组成的供应链系统，构建了单周期下生鲜农产品生鲜度激励模型，模型以供应商为领导者，采用Stackelberg博弈方法求解得到了均衡状态下供应商、零售商的最优定价策略及供应商新鲜度努力选择。研究结果表明，供应商和零售商利润与消费者价格敏感系数呈反向变化，与新鲜度敏感系数呈同向变化。在价格竞争市场，供应商保鲜努力程度和利润与价格替代率呈反向变化；在生鲜度竞争市场，供应商保鲜努力程度和利润与新鲜度替代率呈同向变化。基于研究结论，厂商及政府应当联手引导消费者的消费观念，尽可能减少由于信息不对称引致的道德风险，在市场价格替代率不变甚至降低的情形下，提高生鲜度替代率，使得消费者的意愿支付价格上升，提高自身讨价还价能力，获取更多利润。     

Learning from others: conditioning versus averaging

How should we revise our beliefs in response to the expressed probabilistic opinions of experts on some proposition when these experts are in disagreement? In this paper I examine the suggestion that in such circumstances we should adopt a linear average of the experts’ opinions and consider whether such a belief revision policy is compatible with Bayesian conditionalisation. By looking at situations in which full or partial deference to the expressed opinions of others is required by Bayesianism I show that only in trivial circumstances are the requirements imposed by linear averaging compatible with it.