Predictors of Regional Well-Being: A County Level Analysis

The current study takes a novel approach to studying the correlates of subjective well-being. Unlike previous studies, which typically examine group-level well-being at the state or national level, we analyzed correlates of well-being at the county level within the United States. Using nationally representative data, we found that reliable variance in well-being exists across counties. Furthermore, this variance was associated with a number of objective factors, including income, population density, health and education. Continued study of these factors at the regional level may have important implications for developing community programs and public policy.     

Tracing studies and analysis of the effect of loss to follow-up on mortality estimation from patient registry data

Summary. Before patient registries are used for studies of the long-term mortality that is associated with chronic medical conditions, the potential bias resulting from patients who become lost to follow-up must be investigated. A study design, used for a systemic lupus erythematosus patient registry, is described. The design involves tracing patients who are defined as 'lost to follow-up' according to specific criteria. This provides supplementary information on the mortality experience of patients who are lost to (regular) follow-up. Some methods of analysis are described, based on comparing the mortality experience of patients when under regular follow-up with the experience of patients after they are deemed to be lost to follow-up. The effect of loss to follow-up, death reporting and visits to the clinic on estimation procedures is illustrated and recommendations are made for patient registries which are to be used in mortality studies.     

Panel discussion by journal editors

The smooth PL quantile estimator is proposed and the analog of Bahadur-Kiefer type process is constructed based on the PL estimator and the smooth PL quantile estimator when the data are subject to censorship. Pointwise and uniform strong limit theorems for this process are established, The theorems are sharp and give the exact convergent rates of Bahadur type representation for the smooth PL quantile estimator.     

(Re)circulating Foreign Bodies

This paper situates Richard Fung's auto-ethnographic video Sea in the Blood within the context of the personal illness narrative as a mode of political resistance which emerged alongside the movements of feminist health activism and global HIV/AIDS activism. I argue that as a critical illness narrative, which reads the experiences of transnational travel and migration in and through a narrative of illness, race, and sexuality, Sea in the Blood disrupts the genres of both the personal illness narrative and the imperial travel narrative while resisting the assimilative pull of what Charles L. Briggs calls the “political economy of communicability.” Specifically, I argue that Fung resists cultural and political absorption using three primary strategies: the symbolics of blood, the juxtaposition of illness and travel narratives, and the tactics of misalignment, or the self-conscious use of contradictory narratives and competing modes of representation. Through these strategies, Sea in the Blood is installed as a form of revolutionary activism which comments on the historical pathologization of foreign bodies, and exposes the ways in which the medicalization of race underwrites the medicalized history of sexuality. Accordingly, Sea in the Blood inaugurates what might be thought of as a politics of incommunicability through the sensuous and metaphorical re/circulation of foreign bodies.     

Foreign worker dependence in the Gulf,and the international oil companies: 1910-50

"This article demonstrates that foreign worker dependence in the [Persian] Gulf dates from the establishment of the oil industry in the early twentieth century. The composition of labor inflows [was] mainly determined by political and strategic, rather than commercial, concerns. Contrasting patterns of labor force composition evolved between those areas under British control, which imported labor from the Indian sub-continent, and the independent Saudi Arabia where labor was drawn from more diverse sources including the Italian settlers in Eritrea."     

Bivariate location–scale models for regression analysis, with applications to lifetime data

Summary.  The literature on multivariate linear regression includes multivariate normal models, models that are used in survival analysis and a variety of models that are used in other areas such as econometrics. The paper considers the class of location–scale models, which includes a large proportion of the preceding models. It is shown that, for complete data, the maximum likelihood estimators for regression coefficients in a linear location–scale framework are consistent even when the joint distribution is misspecified. In addition, gains in efficiency arising from the use of a bivariate model, as opposed to separate univariate models, are studied. A major area of application for multivariate regression models is to clustered, 'parallel' lifetime data, so we also study the case of censored responses. Estimators of regression coefficients are no longer consistent under model misspecification, but we give simulation results that show that the bias is small in many practical situations. Gains in efficiency from bivariate models are also examined in the censored data setting. The methodology in the paper is illustrated by using lifetime data from the Diabetic Retinopathy Study.     

Managing Epistemic Risk in Forensic Science: Sociological Aspects and Issues

The last decades have seen a notable increase in the use of scientific evidence in criminal investigation, a development which has captured the imagination of the media, publics and policymakers alike. Yet behind the authoritative image of forensic science lies a highly fluid and indeterminate landscape which invites sociological interest. In what follows, I aim to provide a sense of why it holds appeal to sociology, and to also outline a more updated research agenda in the light of continuing developments and deliberation within both sociological and forensic scientific circles. This renewed agenda revolves around the topic of risk. I outline recent developments which represent new approaches to the problem of epistemic risk in forensic science. With reference to a specific example (the ‘Case Assessment and Interpretation’ method of evidence assessment), I argue for the importance of studying risk-aware practices in forensic investigation, and how these help to reveal further how forensic science can be regarded as a complicated, heterogeneous and highly socialised human activity, in stark contrast to the immutable and technologically sophisticated image often promulgated in popular accounts.     

Least-squares estimation of transition probabilities from aggregate data

Consider a population of n individuals that move independently among a finite set {1, 2,……, k} of states in a sequence of trials. t = 0. 1, 2,…, m. each according to a Markov chain with transition probability matrix P . This paper deals with the problem of estimating P on the basis of aggregate data which record only the numbers of individuals that occupy each of the k states at times t = 0. 1,2,……,m. Estimation is accomplished using conditional least squares, and asymptotic results are verified for the case n → ∞. A weighted least-squares estimator is introduced and compared with previous estimators. Some comments are made on estimability questions that arise when only aggregate data are available.     

Some new trends in Mediterranean labour migration: the Middle East connection

Changes in international labor migration in the Mediterranean region since the European economic recession of the early 1970s are examined. The authors note that labor migration to the oil-producing countries of the Middle East has increased and that this migration has differed from the previous movements to Europe, in that the migrants involved have been employed by contractors from their countries of origin or by other foreign companies. The probable future decline of this migration as infrastructure projects are completed is discussed, and the consequences are examined.