东北亚区域合作:一种新制度主义的解读

依据新制度主义的最新理论进展--"历史制度分析",可以将东北亚区域合作看作是历史进程中各种力量长期演化博弈的结果,是一个包括不同类型合作的内生的制度框架.现有的东北亚区域合作制度框架由三种不同类型的制度安排组成:自主型、合作型、协调型.     

一个“不可捉摸”的“网”——伊丽莎白·乔利作品“另类”主题初探

生活是一种态度,生存是一种状态.世界是一个有秩序的物体,社会是一个理性的环境.形形色色的人生活在大千世界中,寻找着方向,追求着目标.人需要关怀,需要理解,需要引导,需要和谐;但必须共同维护秩序,理性地生活,践踏他人换取的虚无的快乐是真实的痛苦.当代著名的澳大利亚作家伊丽莎白·乔利通过刻画"小人物"的故事,关注"另类"主题,旨在唤醒人们的良知,使其找回自我,找到理想的空间.     

东营沙四段古盐度对碳酸盐岩沉积的控制作用

以硼含量以及Sr/Ba、Sr/Ca 作为指标,计算了东营凹陷南坡沙四段各个沉积时期的古盐度值,盐度垂向上由下到上总体上变小,即湖侵初期盐度较高,湖侵后期盐度变低;平面上东部较高,北部较低,盐度分布受到古水深的控制。古盐度对不同类型的碳酸盐岩具有控制作用,碳酸盐岩所要求的古盐度范围为10.0 ‰ 35.0 ‰,其中白云岩主要分布在古盐度大于15.0 ‰的区域,石灰岩主要分布在古盐度小于20.0 ‰的区域。水体的高盐度为白云岩的形成及成岩转化提供了物质基础和介质条件,在古盐度较高的区域以白云岩沉积为主,或者将已经形成的石灰岩白云岩化;在古盐度较低的区域以石灰岩沉积为主。     

Global sensitivity analysis with dependence measures

Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we introduce a new class of sensitivity indices based on dependence measures which overcomes these insufficiencies. Our approach originates from the idea to compare the output distribution with its conditional counterpart when one of the input variables is fixed. We establish that this comparison yields previously proposed indices when it is performed with Csiszár f-divergences, as well as sensitivity indices which are well-known dependence measures between random variables. This leads us to investigate completely new sensitivity indices based on recent state-of-the-art dependence measures, such as distance correlation and the Hilbert–Schmidt independence criterion. We also emphasize the potential of feature selection techniques relying on such dependence measures as alternatives to screening in high dimension.     

基于DEA的城市科技投入产出相对效率分析与评价——以青岛市为例

提高科技投入产出效率是建设创新型城市需要认真研究的问题。利用数据包络分析（DEA）方法对青岛市2001—2011年科技投入产出相对效率进行实证分析,一方面证明了科技投入的增加对提升城市科技进步水平、增强城市科技创新能力具有重要作用,另一方面反映出青岛市科技投入规模、结构、绩效尚存在一些问题。科技政策的制订应在科技投入理念、宏观架构、科技投入方式创新、科技投资体系、科技经费管理体制改革等方面寻求突破。     

行政管理需要依法行政

我国依法行政虽然取得很大成绩,但还存在许多问题,主要表现在,行政管理法律、法规尚不完善,行政管理法律制度尚不健全,应加大行政立法,行政执法力度,需要尽快制定行政基本法,建立违法行政追究责任制度,加强司法诉讼和行政法宣传教育,才能进一步完善依法行政法律制度。     

The turn to optional familialism through the market: Long‐term care,cash‐for‐care,and caregiving policies in Europe

Cash‐for‐care (CfC) schemes are monetary transfers to people in need of care who can use them to organize their own care arrangements. Mostly introduced in the 1990s, these schemes combine different policy objectives, as they can aim at (implicitly or explicitly) supporting informal caregivers as well as increasing user choice in long‐term care or even foster the formalization of care relations and the creation of care markets. This article explores from a comparative perspective, how CfC schemes, within broader long‐term care policies, envision, frame, and aim to condition informal care, if different models of relationships between CfC and informal care exist and how these have persisted or changed over time and into which directions. Building on the scholarly debate on familialization vs. defamilialization policies, the paper proposes an analytical framework to investigate the trajectories of seven European countries over a period of 20 years. The results show that, far from being simply instruments of supported familialism, CfC schemes have contributed to a turn towards “optional familialism through the market,” according to which families are encouraged to provide family care and are (directly or indirectly) given alternatives through the provision of market care.     

于平的“泥人梦”

沈阳人于平第一次用“泥人”换钱是在2007年的春节,在那之前他下岗已经5年了,不惑之年依旧一事无成.“然后,我在北市庙会摆摊,三天时间,把自己捏的泥人全卖了,赚了2000元.”于平和妻子翟艺回忆着命运改变的时刻,那种兴奋填满了他们30平方米小屋的每一个角落.