西方经济学“三一复合教学模式”探索

＂三一复合教学模式＂,是指以培养学生的专业素养与经济思维方式和综合适应能力为目标,以师生双向互动为中心,以拓展教学空间和加强实践活动为手段,在每一个教学单元中实施讲授一个基本理论,从事一次实践演练,进行一次主题研讨的教学环节,以综合整体效应提升教学实效的教学模式。该教学模式具有丰富听课体验、强化思考体验、增强实践体验三方面的功能。该模式具有易于操作、主体受益面大、师生互动性强、效果系统连贯等优点。     

基于建构主义学习理论的网络课程建设及其应用——以“经济法”课程为例

商科专业＂经济法＂网络课程的建设,应基于建构主义学习理论,以发挥学生学科优势为基础;以培养应用型、复合型人才为目标;遵循内容体系化、模块化原则和知识学习为手段、方法意识为目标原则,在具体应用中采取相应措施。如在网络课堂公布热点案例引起讨论,讲授难点、重点,提出分析问题的思路,创设学习情景,强化实践技能,并与职业考试接轨以拓宽学生的就业渠道等。这样可以保证网络课程的实际应用效果。     

浅谈东盟博览会英语口译

本文结合会展英语的语言特点,重点探讨东盟博览会英语口译的特点。     

Predictors of Treatment Outcome Among Asian Pathological Gamblers (PGs): Clinical,Behavioural, Demographic,and Treatment Process Factors

Research on predictors of treatment outcome among pathological gamblers (PGs) is inconclusive and dominated by studies from Western countries. Using a prospective longitudinal design, the current study examined demographic, clinical, behavioural and treatment programme predictors of gambling frequency at 3, 6 and 12-months, among PGs treated at an addiction clinic in Singapore. Measures included the Hospital anxiety and depression scale, gambling symptom assessment scale (GSAS), personal well-being index (PWI), treatment perception questionnaire and gambling readiness to change scale. Treatment response in relation to changes in symptom severity, personal wellbeing and abstinence were also assessed. Abstinence rates were 38.6, 46.0 and 44.4 % at 3, 6 and 12-months respectively. Significant reductions in gambling frequency, GSAS, and improvement in PWI were reported between baseline and subsequent outcome assessments, with the greatest change occurring in the initial three months. No demographic, clinical, behavioural or treatment programme variable consistently predicted outcome at all three assessments, though treatment satisfaction was the most frequent significant predictor. However, being unemployed, having larger than average debts, poor treatment satisfaction and attending fewer sessions at the later stages of treatment were associated with significantly poorer outcomes, up to 1-year after initiating treatment. These findings show promise for the effectiveness of a CBT-based treatment approach for the treatment of predominantly Chinese PGs. Clinical implications and suggestions for future research are discussed. Taken together, the findings suggest early treatment satisfaction is paramount in improving short-term outcomes, with baseline gambling behaviour and treatment intensity playing a more significant role in the longer term.     

建筑符号学与城市文化遗产的诠释——以重庆城市历史遗产展示为例

城市历史遗产作为城市特定时代历史与精神文化的载体,在对其进行展示与诠释的过程中必然面临与人的互动关系。本文从符号学的角度探索对作为城市符号实体的历史遗产的诠释过程与解读过程的差异,在认知主体对城市历史遗产符号的"再创造"的理解能力的基础上,将符号学的"共识性"与"模糊性"引入城市历史遗产展示与诠释的研究中。并以重庆渝中区城市历史遗产展示研究为例,探索该理念在城市历史遗产诠释研究中的可行性。     

China’s Demographic Future Under the New Two-Child Policy

China implemented the two-child policy in 2016, however, potential impacts of this new policy on its population reality have not been adequately understood. Using population census data and 1% population sampling data during the period of 1982–2015, this study develops a fertility simulation model to explore the effects of the two-child policy on women’s total fertility rate, and employs Cohort Component Method in population projections to examine China’s demographic future with different fertility regimes. The fertility simulation results reveal that the two-child policy will make significantly positive effects on China’s total fertility rate through increasing second births, leading to a sharp but temporary increase in the first 5 years after the implementation of the new policy. In addition, population projections using simulated total fertility rates show that the Chinese population would reach its peak value around the middle 2020s and be faced with the reduction of labor force supply and rapid aging process, featured with remarkable increases in both size and share of the elderly population. The findings suggest that the two-child policy would undoubtedly affect China’s fertility rates and demographic future; however, the effects are mild and temporary.

     

“沧浪之水”今何在?——文化生态系统视域下的文化生成、传播与实证研究

文化生态系统是特定文化生成、发展和传播的基础.文化内在的“生成性”特征决定了文化生成、发展和传播的基本规律.文化是特定“时间-历史”情境中的主体不断建构的结果,建构形成的“文化”又在新的“时间-历史”情境中得到继承、诠释和传播.纵观以“沧浪之水”为载体、以“有道则出、无道则隐”为核心的“沧浪文化”生成、发展和传播全过程, “沧浪文化”从文化的原始生长点出发,早期为扩展扩散,后期为迁移扩散;经由地理表征“升华”到经典文化中,又从经典文化“落实”到地理表征上的双向互动的生成和反身建构过程.就现实意义而言,不同地域的同类文化之间并非互相排斥而是互相联系、互相支持的关系,绝大多数地理性的“文化正宗”之争可以就此打住.     

Exploration and Firm Performance: The Moderating Impact of Competitive Strategy

In this study we examine the moderating effect of competitive strategy (including differentiation and cost‐leadership strategies) on the relationship between exploration and firm performance. We find that the moderating effect of differentiation strategy is positive while that of cost‐leadership strategy is negative. And, these moderating effects are stronger in a highly competitive context. This study offers an explanation for previous mixed findings on the linkage of exploration to firm performance and enriches the discipline's knowledge regarding the performance implications of exploration. Moreover, we respond directly to the appeal in research on competitive strategy to clarify the role played by competitive strategy in profiting from exploration.     

An adaptive-to-model test for partially parametric single-index models

Residual marked empirical process-based tests are commonly used in regression models. However, they suffer from data sparseness in high-dimensional space when there are many covariates. This paper has three purposes. First, we suggest a partial dimension reduction adaptive-to-model testing procedure that can be omnibus against general global alternative models although it fully use the dimension reduction structure under the null hypothesis. This feature is because that the procedure can automatically adapt to the null and alternative models, and thus greatly overcomes the dimensionality problem. Second, to achieve the above goal, we propose a ridge-type eigenvalue ratio estimate to automatically determine the number of linear combinations of the covariates under the null and alternative hypotheses. Third, a Monte-Carlo approximation to the sampling null distribution is suggested. Unlike existing bootstrap approximation methods, this gives an approximation as close to the sampling null distribution as possible by fully utilising the dimension reduction model structure under the null model. Simulation studies and real data analysis are then conducted to illustrate the performance of the new test and compare it with existing tests.     

交通基础设施对区域经济增长的空间溢出效应研究

文章利用探索性空间数据分析方法,发现2000-2014年我国区域经济发展存在显著的空间集群趋势以及正向空间自相关.利用2000年、2007年和2014年31个省份的数据,实证检验交通基础设施对区域经济增长的空间溢出效应.研究表明:资本、劳动力仍是区域经济增长的首要驱动要素,人力资本、政府支出、贸易开放度和交通基础设施发挥积极的协同作用.交通基础设施对区域经济增长的直接效应在总效应中仍占绝对优势,而传统研究未考虑空间溢出效应则将高估交通基础设施对经济增长的直接效应.