Optimal estimators for the importance sampling method

The Monte Carlo method gives some estimators to evaluate the expectation [ILM0001] based on samples from either the true density f or from some instrumental density. In this paper, we show that the Riemann estimators introduced by Philippe (1997) can be improved by using the importance sampling method. This approach produces a class of Monte Carlo estimators such that the variance is of order O(n ^?2). The choice of an optimal estimator among this class is discussed. Some simulations illustrate the improvement brought by this method. Moreover, we give a criterion to assess the convergence of our optimal estimator to the integral of interest.     

Nonparametric modelling for functional data: selected survey and tracks for future

Nonparametric functional data analysis is a field whose development started some 15 years ago and there is a very extensive literature on the topic (hundreds of papers published now). The first aim of this survey is to discuss the state of art in the field through a necessarily selected, bibliographical survey. The second aim is to present a wide scope of open questions in order to promote further discussions. Our main purpose is restricted to methodological contributions and also to emphasize on kernel functional regression analysis before extending discussions in two directions: alternative techniques to kernel methods for functional regression and other statistical problems besides regression.     

Bivariate censored regression relying on a new estimator of the joint distribution function

In this paper we study a class of M  -estimators in a regression model under bivariate random censoring and provide a set of sufficient conditions that ensure asymptotic n^1/2-convergence$n^{1/2}\mathrm{-}\mathrm{convergence}$. The cornerstone of our approach is a new estimator of the joint distribution function of the censored lifetimes. A copula approach is used to modelize the dependence structure between the bivariate censoring times. The resulting estimators present the advantage of being easily computable. A simulation study enlighten the finite sample behavior of this technique.     

Concepts de dépendance et ordres stochastiques pour des lois bidimensionnelles

Yanagimoto and Okamoto (1969) introduced a stochastic ordering that generalizes a concept of monotone regression dependence introduced by Lehmann (1966). In this paper, we define and examine the properties of three new orderings which imply that of Yanagimoto and Okamoto. One of these orderings is seen to extend Shaked's (1977) notion of DTP(0, 1), and another includes Lehmann's concept of positive likelihood-ratio dependence as a special case. The proposed orderings are also compared with the TP₂ positive-dependence ordering defined by Kimeldorf and Sampson (1987).     

On the influence of extreme parties in electoral competition with policy-motivated candidates

We study and compare equilibrium platforms in models of unidimensional electoral competition with two and four policy motivated parties. We first analyze the plurality game, where the party getting the most votes is elected and implements its proposed platform. Restrictions on the set of credible announcements are needed to get existence of equilibria. Comparing equilibria with two and four parties, we obtain that moderate parties react to the introduction of extreme parties by proposing the same or more extreme equilibrium platforms. We then study the proportional system, where the policy implemented is a weighted sum of the proposals, with the voting shares as weights. Here, the existence of extreme parties leads moderate ones to choose more centrist platforms. We finally test the robustness of our results with respect to, first, the enlargement of the strategy space to entry decisions and, second, to asymmetric distributions of voters' blisspoints.

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