Discrete time cold standby repairable system: Combinatorial analysis

ABSTRACT

In this article, we obtain exact expression for the distribution of the time to failure of discrete time cold standby repairable system under the classical assumptions that both working time and repair time of components are geometric. Our method is based on alternative representation of lifetime as a waiting time random variable on a binary sequence, and combinatorial arguments. Such an exact expression for the time to failure distribution is new in the literature. Furthermore, we obtain the probability generating function and the first two moments of the lifetime random variable.     

Phase type stress–strength models with reliability applications

The stress–strength model has attracted a great deal of attention in reliability analysis, and it has been studied under various modeling assumptions. In this article, the stress–strength reliability is studied for both single unit and multicomponent systems when stress and strength distributions are of phase type. Phase-type distributions, besides their analytical tractability, are a versatile tool for modeling a wide range of real life systems/processes. In particular, matrix-based expressions are obtained for the stress–strength reliability, and mean residual strength for an operating system. The results are illustrated for Erlang-type stress–strength distributions for a single unit system and a system having a general coherent structure. An example on the comparison of two multi-state units in stress–strength ordering is also presented.     

Challenges in Development and Implementation of Health‐Risk‐Based Soil Quality Guidelines: Turkey's Experience

Management of contaminated sites is a critical environmental issue around the world due to the human health risk involved for many sites and scarcity of funding. Moreover, clean‐up costs of all contaminated sites to their background levels with existing engineering technologies may be financially infeasible and demand extended periods of operation time. Given these constraints, to achieve optimal utilization of available funds and prioritization of contaminated sites that need immediate attention, health‐risk‐based soil quality guidelines should be preferred over the traditional soil quality standards. For these reasons, traditional soil quality standards are being replaced by health‐risk‐based ones in many countries and in Turkey as well. The need for health‐risk‐based guidelines is clear, but developing these guidelines and implementation of them in contaminated site management is not a straightforward process. The goal of this study is to highlight the problems that are encountered at various stages of the development process of risk‐based soil quality guidelines for Turkey and how they are dealt with. Utilization of different definitions and methodologies at different countries, existence of inconsistent risk assessment tools, difficulties in accessing relevant documents and reports, and lack of specific data required for Turkey are among these problems. We believe that Turkey's experience may help other countries that are planning to develop health‐risk‐based guidelines achieve their goals in a more efficient manner.     

System reliability under δ-shock model

δ-shock model is one of the widely studied shock models in reliability. Under this model, the system fails when the time between two consecutive shocks falls below a fixed threshold δ. In this paper, the survival function and the mean time to failure of the system are obtained when the times between successive shocks follow proportional hazard rate model.     

Dynamic Reliability Evaluation of Consecutive-k-Within-m-Out-of-n:F System

A consecutive k-within-m-out-of-n:F system consists of n linearly ordered components and fails if and only if there are m consecutive components which include among them at least k failed components. This system model generalizes both consecutive k-out-of-n:F and k-out-of-n:F systems. In this article, we study the dynamic reliability properties of consecutive k-within-m-out-of-n:F system consisting of exchangeable dependent components. We also obtain some stochastic ordering results and use them to get simple approximation formulae for the survival function and mean time to failure of this system.     

Modeling systems with two dependent components under bivariate shock models

Series and parallel systems consisting of two dependent components are studied under bivariate shock models. The random variables N₁ and N₂ that represent respectively the number of shocks until failure of component 1 and component 2 are assumed to be dependent and phase-type. The times between successive shocks are assumed to follow a continuous phase-type distribution, and survival functions and mean time to failure values of series and parallel systems are obtained in matrix forms. An upper bound for the joint survival function of the components is also provided under the particular case when the times between shocks follow exponential distribution.     

On residual lifetime of coherent systems after the rth failure

In this article we study the residual lifetime of a coherent system after the rth failure, i.e. the time elapsed from the rth failure until the system failure given that the system operates at the time of the rth failure. We provide a mixture representation for the corresponding residual lifetime distribution in terms of signature. We also obtain some stochastic ordering results for the residual lifetimes.     

Reliability Evaluation for a Multi-State System Under Stress-Strength Setup

The two most commonly used reliability models in engineering applications are binary k-out-of-n:G and consecutive k-out-of-n:G systems. Multi-state k-out-of-n:G and multi-state consecutive k-out-of-n:G systems have been proposed as an extension of these systems and they have been found to be more flexible tool for modeling engineering systems. In this article, multi-state systems, in particular, multi-state k-out-of-n:G and multi-state consecutive k-out-of-n:G, are considered in a stress-strength setup. The states of the system are classified considering the number of components whose strengths above (below) the multiple stresses available in an environment. The exact state probabilities are provided and the results are illustrated for various stress-strength distributions. Maximum likelihood estimators of state probabilities are also presented.     

Using Samples-of-Opportunity to Assess Gender Bias in Principal Evaluations of Teachers: A Cautionary Tale

This paper uses two “samples-of-opportunity” datasets to examine whether principal evaluations of teachers differ systematically across genders after controlling for arguably gender unbiased measures of teacher productivity---namely value-added student test scores calculated relative to other teachers in the same grade/school (where teachers are randomly allocated to classrooms within the same grade/school). While the two datasets appear to be quite similar in nature, both were samples-of-opportunity in that they were not representative of any particular population. Our findings differ substantially across datasets. This exercise reveals how results in the education and discrimination literature may be sensitive to the sample used.     

Uniform trade rules for uncleared markets

We analyze markets in which the price of a traded commodity is such that the supply and the demand are unequal. Under standard assumptions, the agents then have single peaked preferences on their consumption or production choices. For such markets, we propose a class of Uniform trade rules each of which determines the volume of trade as the median of total demand, total supply, and an exogenous constant. Then these rules allocate this volume “uniformly” on either side of the market. We evaluate these “trade rules” on the basis of some standard axioms in the literature. We show that they uniquely satisfy Pareto optimality, strategy proofness, no-envy, and an informational simplicity axiom that we introduce. We also analyze the implications of anonymity, renegotiation proofness, and voluntary trade on this domain.