Uniform trade rules for uncleared markets

We analyze markets in which the price of a traded commodity is such that the supply and the demand are unequal. Under standard assumptions, the agents then have single peaked preferences on their consumption or production choices. For such markets, we propose a class of Uniform trade rules each of which determines the volume of trade as the median of total demand, total supply, and an exogenous constant. Then these rules allocate this volume “uniformly” on either side of the market. We evaluate these “trade rules” on the basis of some standard axioms in the literature. We show that they uniquely satisfy Pareto optimality, strategy proofness, no-envy, and an informational simplicity axiom that we introduce. We also analyze the implications of anonymity, renegotiation proofness, and voluntary trade on this domain.     

Number of Working Components in Consecutive k-out-of-n System While It Is Working

In this article we study the distribution and expected value of the number of working components at time t in a consecutive k-out-of-n system under the condition that it is working at time t. We provide the exact distribution of the corresponding conditional random variable and compute its expected value for the system consisting of exchangeable dependent components. The results are also extended to any coherent system by the aid of system signature. Finally, we present illustrative and computational results for some systems having Lomax components.     

Runs in a Bivariate Sequence Over the First Coordinate

Let (X ₁, Y ₁), (X ₂, Y ₂),… be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) pairs of random variables with two possible outcomes at each coordinate. Runs in the second coordinate are considered until the appearance of the first success in the first coordinate.     

On the distribution and expectation of success runs in nonhomogeneous Markov dependent trials

The number of success runs for nonhomogeneous markov dependent trials are represented as the sum of Bernoulli trials and the expected value of runs are obtained by using this representation. The distribution and bounds for the distribution of the longest run are derived for markov dependent trials.     

A Maximum Entropy Joint Demand Estimation and Capacity Control Policy

We propose a tractable, data‐driven demand estimation procedure based on the use of maximum entropy (ME) distributions, and apply it to a stochastic capacity control problem motivated from airline revenue management. Specifically, we study the two fare class “Littlewood” problem in a setting where the firm has access to only potentially censored sales observations; this is also known as the repeated newsvendor problem. We propose a heuristic that iteratively fits an ME distribution to all observed sales data, and in each iteration selects a protection level based on the estimated distribution. When the underlying demand distribution is discrete, we show that the sequence of protection levels converges to the optimal one almost surely, and that the ME demand forecast converges to the true demand distribution for all values below the optimal protection level. That is, the proposed heuristic avoids the “spiral down” effect, making it attractive for problems of joint forecasting and revenue optimization problems in the presence of censored observations.     

Life behavior of \delta -shock models for uniformly distributed interarrival times

In this paper we study the life behavior of \(\delta \) -shock models when the shocks occur according to a renewal process whose interarrival distribution is uniform. In particular, we obtain the first two moments of the corresponding lifetime random variables for general interarrival distribution, and survival functions when the interarrival distribution is uniform.     

A new class of bivariate lifetime distributions

This paper introduces a new class of bivariate lifetime distributions. Let {X_i}_{i ? 1} and {Y_i}_{i ? 1} be two independent sequences of independent and identically distributed positive valued random variables. Define T₁ = min?(X₁, …, X_M) and T₂ = min?(Y₁, …, Y_N), where (M, N) has a discrete bivariate phase-type distribution, independent of {X_i}_{i ? 1} and {Y_i}_{i ? 1}. The joint survival function of (T₁, T₂) is studied.     

Circular consecutive k-out-of-n systems with exchangeable dependent components

In this paper we study circular consecutive k-out-of-n systems consisting of exchangeable components. We derive explicit expressions for both unconditional and conditional survival functions for 2k+1≥n, while signature based mixture representations for general k are obtained. The applications and computational results concerned with mean residual life function and stochastic ordering are presented.     

On the first time of ruin in two-dimensional discrete time risk model with dependent claim occurrences

This article is concerned with a two-dimensional discrete time risk model based on exchangeable dependent claim occurrences. In particular, we obtain a recursive expression for the finite time non ruin probability under such a dependence among claim occurrences. For an illustration, we define a bivariate compound beta-binomial risk model and present numerical results on this model by comparing the corresponding results of the bivariate compound binomial risk model.