Family structure and and fertility behavior in Taiwan

The present analysis is based on the 1990 Taiwan Human Resources Survey to study the relationships between family structure, women's complete fertility and birth spacing. Imputed family size, as measured by either the ideal number of children expressed by a married woman or the number of actual surviving children whichever is larger, is used as a proxy of a woman's complete fertility. The results indicate a majority of married couples in Taiwan begin married life living with the husband's parents and later move out to establish a nuclear unit. This limited experience in the extended family exerts an upward pressure on imputed family size even when other relevant variables are statistically controlled. Further, the effect of living with the husband's parents on shorter duration of birth spacing is only limited to the time when the parents provide free child- care for married couples.     

The effect of undercount on the accuracy of small-area population estimates: Implications for the use of administrative data for improving population enumeration

The effects of underenumeration on the accuracy of alternative methods of population estimation have not been sufficiently analyzed. Although the US Bureau of the Census has decided not to adjust either the counts or its estimates for underenumeration in 1990, the extent to which local population estimates may account for underenumeration is of importance both for those who may wish to adjust existing estimates and in anticipation of future census adjustments. This paper examines the accuracy of small-area population estimation methods with and without adjustment. Mean Percent Errors, Mean Absolute Percent Errors, and Mean Percent Absolute Differences between local estimates for 1990 and 1990 adjusted and unadjusted census counts are computed. Population estimates for 1990 made using housing unit, ratio correlation, and component methods are compared for 451 counties and 2,633 places in the states of California, Florida, Texas, and Wisconsin. An analysis of the data for counties shows little indication that local estimates more accurately estimate the adjusted than the unadjusted population counts. The results for places show clear improvements in accuracy for places in Florida and Texas. Implications of the findings for issues related to undercount adjustment and local population estimates are discussed.     

Nine-year psychiatric trajectories and substance use outcomes: an application of the group-based modeling approach

This study identifies longitudinal psychiatric trajectories of 934 adult individuals entering chemical dependency treatment in a private, managed care health plan and examines the relationship of these trajectories with substance use (SU) outcomes. The authors apply a group-based modeling approach to identify trajectory groups based on repeated measures of psychiatric severity for 9 years and identify four distinct groups. Results of multivariate logistic generalized estimating equation models find an association between psychiatric trajectories and long-term SU. Older cohorts and life course measures of marital status and employment status as individuals changed over time are related to drug and some alcohol outcomes.     

黄土泥岩接触面滑移机理的数值模拟

以晋陕蒙接壤区黄土泥岩接触地带滑坡为工程研究背景,分析研究黄土泥岩接触面的滑坡机理。研究方法主要是室内试验和FLAC2D数值模拟。室内试验确定了黄土的基本物理力学参数,以及黄土泥岩接触面摩擦特性,通过FLAC2D数值计算软件建模并对坡体稳定性进行数值模拟和分析,以接触面水平位移、剪应变及孔压发展等参数变化分析坡角、降雨以及人为活动引起的黄土泥岩接触面滑移机理。     

浅谈电影语言的修辞

电影语言通过图像、声音等手段,经过编剧、导演、演员、剪辑师等的艺术创造,达到传情达意的目的,而电影修辞使电影产生一种逼近于真实世界的存在感。文章通过对比电影语言与小说语言、电影修辞与小说修辞的差异,利用语言学的理论,探讨电影语言的修辞。     

采取有效措施发展成人教育

成人教育面临着非常好的形势,积极发展成人教育有着重要的意义,为此,提出了积极发展成人教育的三项有效措施:深化成人教育改革,促进成人教育向终身教育发展;积极推进现代远程教育,实现教育资源共享;大力发展继续教育特别是高层次的继续教育。     

关于高等院校教学督导工作的几点思考

实施教育督导,旨在确保教学质量,促进教学水平提高.课堂教学是学生荻取知识掌握理论的主渠道和主阵地.因而教师课堂教学的内容、方法和规范则是教学督导的关键所在.教学督导方式方法多样,最为重要的是搞好课堂教学评估,以评促改、以评促建,不断推进教学质量的持续提高.     

浅议集团客户财务管理模式与商业银行信贷风险

当前银行大型集团客户信贷资产占比较高,仍然是主要的盈利来源,集团客户的特殊性也对银行的信贷经营提出了更高的要求。银行要认真研究集团客户的经营管理模式,充分认识集团客户的信贷风险,提高风险预警和控制能力,实现收益与风险的匹配。     

西夏监察制度探析

西夏立国之后,已备一代典章制度,就监察法制而言,在吸收和继承汉民族监察法律制度的同时,又有大量结合自身实际进行调整的内容和保留了浓厚的民族法特征,在中国监察制度发展史上占有独特的地位。