高校经济性腐败临界行为及机理研究

教育腐败危及公平和社会公信力，目前，高校腐败已经成为整个社会关注的热点。文章以博弈经济学的视角，分析了高校监督者和高校从业者之间的博弈关系，揭示了高校经济性腐败的临界行为，研究表明，高校从业者临界收益与监督概率、从业者收入、贴现因子及从业者任期正相关，与从业者风险好恶系数负相关，高校监督者临界监督成本与背德未被发现时收益、从业者收入、背德概率、贴现因子及从业者任期正相关，与监督者风险好恶系数负相关，在此基础上，提出应采取选择品德高尚的高校从业者、提高腐败成本、建立有效的监督和激励机制等预防高校腐败的措施。     

非常规灾害事件情景演化的概率性生长模式——基于台风莫拉克的探索性案例研究

使用探索性案例研究方法，对台风莫拉克在浙江的演化过程进行分析。研究发现，非常规灾害事件的情景演化过程与生物体的生长过程具有诸多相似之处，同时又具有明显的概率性。在案例研究基础上，进一步构建数学模型，给出了概率性生长模式的形式化表达，也为仿真模拟和计算实验提供了理论基础。     

An Analysis on What Role Population Factors Play for Water Resource Pressure in Beijing

How much water resource pressure is jointly determined by demand and water supply conditions? How much role and influence does the demographic factor play? What is the relationship between the demographic factor and the other driving factors? An in-depth study has a very important significance because the above issues directly related to the future policy formulation with population, economic and resources. Based upon analysis of water resource pressure changing trend in Beijing,the driving factors of the usage of water resources from 2001 to 2010 were analyzed using the LMDI decomposition method. Furthermore, the status and role of demographic factors (including population size,household size and so on) and other various driving factors were studied. The results are shown below: The water resource pressure is not only high, but also continually rising year by year; the greatest growth driving factor of the water usage is GDP per capita growth; the demographic factor (including population size,the amount of family and household size and so on) has some influences on the changes of water usage, but it is not the main factor. Improvement for the utilization of water resources in the productive sector and proper guidance for a rational consumption view are very important to alleviate the water pressure and improve the population carrying capacity.     

论特留份制度

规定特留份制度 ,目的在于保护缺乏劳动能力又没有生活来源的法定继承人的权益。我国继承法也规定了“必要的遗产份额” ,但存在着继承人范围过窄和份额规定不明的缺陷 ,因此作相应的修正非常必要。     

影响中医学现代化的因素浅析

目前中医学现代化的脚步十分缓慢 ,加快中医学现代化已成为刻不容缓的问题。从历史和现实等多方面探讨影响中医学现代化的外部因素和内部因素 ,为加快中医学现代化提供参考     

没有"主体间性"就没有"规则"--论哈贝马斯的规则观

尤根·哈贝马斯的规则观涉及三个理论问题:遵守规则的条件、规则意识的产生和规则正当性的辩护.他把主体间性看作是解决这三个问题的关键:离开了主体间性,就无法知道某人是不是在遵守一条规则;离开了主体间性,就既不能形成"规则意识",也不能从"规则意识"中发展出"原则意识"、分化出"价值意识".离开了主体间性,更无法为规则的正当性提供辩护.哈贝马斯之所以关注规则概念,是因为他关注这样三个实践问题:"区别于自然现象的社会现象的研究何以可能?"、"现代社会中真正自由的人格何以可能?"、"现代社会制度的合法性辩护何以可能?".为了回答这些问题,哈贝马斯用他的交往理性概念来扬弃康德的实践理性概念.把康德关于"无规则即是无理性"的观点和哈贝马斯的"没有主体间性就没有规则"的观点综合起来,可以得出"没有主体间性就没有理性"的结论.     

从清宫戏想到章太炎的“落伍”

基于对风行一时的清宫戏的思考,不禁联想到国学大师章太炎,在目前这个汉民族意识式微的年代,曾被当年革命者认为已经落伍的章太炎的民族主义思想,却很可能对汉民族意识的重新定位有着强烈的现实意义.     

“翻译腔”例析

因理解之误和表达之误所致,"翻译腔"表现各异.作者认为,在英汉翻译中,只有努力钻研原作,充分理解原文的深层含义,熟悉和掌握英汉语言的主要差异,表达符合译语语言习惯,才能使译文流畅自如,提高可接受性,消除"翻译腔".     

加强网络道德建设

随着计算机网络的发展,在21世纪将形成一个与当代工业社会具有不同特征的现代网络社会.现代网络社会作为一个"虚拟"的社会,也是一个充满问题与矛盾的真实社会.它同当代工业社会一样,需要道德建设的支撑.网络道德建设是一项复杂的系统工程.加强网络道德建设具有十分重要的现实意义.     

Regression Analysis of Left-truncated and Case I Interval-censored Data with the Additive Hazards Model

In recent years the analysis of interval-censored failure time data has attracted a great deal of attention and such data arise in many fields including demographical studies, economic and financial studies, epidemiological studies, social sciences, and tumorigenicity experiments. This is especially the case in medical studies such as clinical trials. In this article, we discuss regression analysis of one type of such data, Case I interval-censored data, in the presence of left-truncation. For the problem, the additive hazards model is employed and the maximum likelihood method is applied for estimations of unknown parameters. In particular, we adopt the sieve estimation approach that approximates the baseline cumulative hazard function by linear functions. The resulting estimates of regression parameters are shown to be consistent and efficient and have an asymptotic normal distribution. An illustrative example is provided.