基于测井资料的低孔低渗储层产能预测研究

针对低孔低渗储层产能预测模型受敏感因素影响大，主次因素在低产情况下区别不明显，产能预测评价相对较困难等实际问题，以准噶尔盆地夏子街地区夏77井、夏79井为例，开展低孔低渗储层产能预测的前期试验研究，对多个产能预测模型及其适用条件进行了对比分析，从Darcy模型、Jones（1976）模型、Vogel/Harrison（1968）模型、裂缝模型中进行优选和调试。通过分析产能预测模型结果与测试结果在产量上的相关性，表明基于测井资料的预测结果与试油测试结果相当吻合，从而确认产能预测模型结果的可靠性。     

元代江西泰和词人曾允元流传辨

元代江西泰和词人曾允元一直是文学研究史上缺乏关注的对象，千百年来，除了史籍偶尔见栽一下，基本无人问津，以至于事迹湮灭，生平难考，有关“曾允元”的名字和个别词作在历史的流传变迁中较为不一，有必要对其做一些梳理和辨析，以补文人生平研究之空白。文章认为，曾允元与曾舜卿并非一人，而怀可才是曾允元之字，新元之际曾以儒学教授为职。     

Real-time part dispatching within manufacturing cells using fuzzy logic

A new fuzzy logic dispatching method is presented ff which o ers an improvement over certain existing common dispatching rules with respect to the performance measures, number of late parts, maximum part lateness, average producff tion times and machine bu er levels. The fuzzy logic dispatcher incorporates a wider range of scheduling issues than those considered by most dispatching rules, considers certain control ff issues that e ect scheduling, contains mechanisms for optimization and also allows for the addition of more control or scheduling rules.     

Does the sense of the geographic proximity of a requester influence donation? Three evaluations in field studies

It has been reported that familiarity or incidental similarities with a stranger influenced an individual’s behavior. However, the effect of the sense of geographical proximity believing that someone comes from the same area that somebody has never been examined. Three field experiments examined this effect on donations to humanitarian organizations. In the first study, participants were asked by a confederate to donate food products to a humanitarian organization. In Study 2, participants were asked by confederates to donate money for children. In Study 3, donation boxes were displayed in bakeries with a message that invited customers to donate money for children. In all the studies, participants were led to believe that they would be helping people in need or people who live in their national or local geographic area. Results showed that donations were higher in the geographical proximity condition. This “neighborhood effect” was discussed.     

畅通监督渠道强化过程监督——关于侦查监督的若干思考

最近,在中央政法委第十四次全体会议暨司法体制改革第六次专题汇报会上,周永康同志在讲话中谈到侦查监督问题时特别强调,要畅通监督渠道,强化过程监督,完善侦查监督制度①.这段话,应当说高屋建瓴,精辟深刻,既点中了当前我国侦查监督存在问题的要害,也指出了今后完善侦查监督制度的方向,引发了笔者对当前我国侦查监督的若干思考,现付诸文字,与同仁分享、交流.     

近代甘肃工商业发展的困境浅析

近代甘肃经济社会落后与工商业不发达有密切的关系.分析这一问题,就会发现在特定的历史背景下甘肃工商业发展的内外条件十分不利,在经济、政治、社会、生态各方面所遭遇的发展困境具体表现：缺乏人才、技术和市场;战乱给工商业的生存发展造成极大破坏;政治的腐败与各种苛捐杂税使企业难以生存;省内度量衡不统一;兵匪横行,国外商品的冲击,自然灾害也产生了明显的束缚作用.     

公交专用道对车辆间隔时间的影响分析

我国很多大城市都采用公交专用道的形式来缓解公交出行效率低，公交竞争力差的状况，主要研究公交专用道的设置对车辆间隔时间的影响程度。首先对有公交专用道的线路进行了调查取样，通过对样本数据的拟合与检验，并且对比无专用道的公交线路样本数据，得出结论：公交专用道的设置对车辆间隔时间有很大的影响作用。     

Women's Hair Color and Survey Response Rate: A Field Experiment

Previous research found that survey response rates were influenced by physical characteristics of the interviewer. However, the effect of hair color on compliance to a survey request has never been studied. Female confederates wearing blond, brown, black, or red wigs solicited 1,200 male and female pedestrians for a survey. It was found those male passersby, but not the female, agreed more frequently to the confederates wearing blond wigs whereas they agreed less to the same confederates wearing red wigs. Greater youth and healthiness associated with blond hair in women is used to explain these results. The practical interest in face-to-face surveys is addressed.     

日本原生数字化时代的出版规约

今天的出版物不仅仅包括被数字化了的纸媒体,比如书籍和杂志,而且还包括所谓的原生数字化出版物.而且在原生数字化出版物当中开始出现越来越多的未经过编辑程序的产品,即网民直接"上传"的内容.手机小说网站为了管理网民上传的作品采取"自我分级制",取得了较好的效果."信息商材"作为一种新生的网络广告信息产品存在着夸大失实的部分,如何加强对"信息商材"的规制成为一项新课题.移动通信业界建立了自主规约联盟,以"自我分级制"为代表的自主规约将为传统文化市场带来革命.     

Nonparametric regression with cross‐classified responses

In this article, we develop regression models with cross‐classified responses. Conditional independence structures can be explored/exploited through the selective inclusion/exclusion of terms in a certain functional ANOVA decomposition, and the estimation is done nonparametrically via the penalized likelihood method. A cohort of computational and data analytical tools are presented, which include cross‐validation for smoothing parameter selection, Kullback–Leibler projection for model selection, and Bayesian confidence intervals for odds ratios. Random effects are introduced to model possible correlations such as those found in longitudinal and clustered data. Empirical performances of the methods are explored in simulation studies of limited scales, and a real data example is presented using some eyetracking data from linguistic studies. The techniques are implemented in a suite of R functions, whose usage is briefly described in the appendix. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 39: 591–609; 2011. © 2011 Statistical Society of Canada