弗洛伊德民族心理学思想述论

心理学大师弗洛伊德也是西方民族心理学的奠基者之一,他的俄底普斯情结、图腾与禁忌和民族群体领袖等理论,打开了民族学和心理学交叉研究的大门,对宗教思想和民族心理密切关系的阐释,补充了民族心理学的研究内容。     

想起宋蜀华先生

前些天, 从教育部的网页上得知, 我们的民族学专业在全国高校的专业评比中又获得了第一名。高校进行这样的评比已经是第七个年头了, 我们已连续第七次夺冠。这代表了教育部对我们的肯定, 也是全国的同行们对我们的认可。看到这个消息, 在高兴的同时, 我心里又隐隐地泛起一丝丝又酸又苦的感觉。因为最该高兴的那个人已经走了, 三个月以前就走了; 因为我想起了十年来我们大家和我本人为此付出的代价和辛苦。十年来为了学院的发展, 曾领导我们的那个人, 曾始终和我们同甘共苦的那个人, 始终倾全力支持我们的那个人走了; 十年来最了解我的那…     

十九世纪蒙汉文化交流的一面镜子--《泣红亭》及其汉译本述评

本文就蒙古族古典文学名著<一层楼>的姊妹篇<泣红亭>的创作受汉文化及<镜花缘>等古典文学影响的情形进行了简略评述,并着重对<泣红亭>汉译本的得失进行了分析评论.     

古老的新课题:美国版反犹主义

本文考察了反犹主义在美国的发展史及特征,认为与“旧大陆”相比,“新大陆”的反犹主义有很大的不同虽然在美国社会中也存在反犹主义,但美国政府从未支持反犹主义,体制化的反犹主义从未在美国出现,美国的反犹主义从未达到欧洲国家的那种烈度;在美国,威胁犹太人生存的是同化程度的加深和犹太人内部派别之间的矛盾与冲突。     

试论第四次修宪对民族法制建设的积极影响

第四次修宪顺应时代发展的需要确立了一些新的理念和制度,对于我国的宪政建设具有重要的意义。《民族区域自治法》作为宪法关于民族区域自治制度具体化的规定以及援引宪法条文最多的基本法,宪法的这些修改必将对其产生影响。本文从“三个代表”思想、“三个文明”协调发展和保障人权入宪对民族区域自治理念和制度上影响的角度阐述了第四次修宪对《民族区域自治法》的指导性意义。     

Abundance estimation with a categorical covariate subject to missing in continuous-time capture-recapture studies

Abstract

In continuous-time capture-recapture experiments, individual heterogeneity has a large effect on the capture probability. To account for the heterogeneity, we consider an individual covariate, which is categorical and subject to missing. In this article, we develop a general model to summarize three kinds of missing mechanisms, and propose a maximum likelihood estimator of the abundance. A likelihood ratio confidence interval of the abundance is also proposed. We illustrate the proposed methods by simulation studies and a real data example of a bird species prinia subflava in Hong Kong.     

全球价值链嵌入与技术创新——基于生产分解模型的分析

基于增加值和最终产品的生产分解模型,本文对我国制造业前向与后向产业关联下的全球价值链嵌入进行测度,实证分析全球价值链嵌入对技术创新的作用机理,并在此基础上重点探讨了吸收能力与技术差距两个重要情境因素的调节作用,同时,运用双重差分、工具变量法以及GMM动态面板模型进行稳健性检验,以控制潜在的内生性问题。研究发现:①我国制造业通过嵌入全球价值链的国际间知识溢出效应促进技术创新能力的提升;②吸收能力能够强化这一正向影响关系;③技术差距在后向全球价值链嵌入对技术创新的影响关系中呈倒U 型调节作用,而在前向全球价值链嵌入对技术创新的影响关系中呈正向调节作用。本文推动了网络嵌入理论和知识溢出理论从组织网络向全球价值链领域的繁衍,丰富了全球价值链嵌入领域的研究成果,同时为我国制造业企业在参与国际分工过程中利用全球价值链嵌入实现技术创新能力提升提供重要的理论参考。     

简论古典戏曲中的“速配”现象

"速配"在古典戏曲中普遍存在,且其速度令人惊诧。究其原因,有以下几点:首先,古代礼教的严苛挤压了青年男女从容恋爱的空间,使得偶然的邂逅变成了千载难逢的旷世一遇。其次,本能压抑之后的非常方式的爆发也是促成速配的重要因素。再次,才色相倾的交往模式使得速配成为可能。同时,速配很容易构成剧情悬疑,引发观众的观赏兴趣。最后,速配作为"传奇"之"奇",在戏剧中往往可以形成"夺目"的艺术效果。     

A visualization method measuring the performance of biomarkers for guiding treatment decisions

Biomarkers that predict efficacy and safety for a given drug therapy become increasingly important for treatment strategy and drug evaluation in personalized medicine. Methodology for appropriately identifying and validating such biomarkers is critically needed, although it is very challenging to develop, especially in trials of terminal diseases with survival endpoints. The marker‐by‐treatment predictiveness curve serves this need by visualizing the treatment effect on survival as a function of biomarker for each treatment. In this article, we propose the weighted predictiveness curve (WPC). Based on the nature of the data, it generates predictiveness curves by utilizing either parametric or nonparametric approaches. Especially for nonparametric predictiveness curves, by incorporating local assessment techniques, it requires minimum model assumptions and provides great flexibility to visualize the marker‐by‐treatment relationship. WPC can be used to compare biomarkers and identify the one with the highest potential impact. Equally important, by simultaneously viewing several treatment‐specific predictiveness curves across the biomarker range, WPC can also guide the biomarker‐based treatment regimens. Simulations representing various scenarios are employed to evaluate the performance of WPC. Application on a well‐known liver cirrhosis trial sheds new light on the data and leads to discovery of novel patterns of treatment biomarker interactions. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Testing Serial Correlation in Partially Linear Additive Errors-in-variables Models

This article considers testing serial correlation in partially linear additive errors-in-variables model. Based on the empirical likelihood based approach, a test statistic was proposed, and it was shown to follow asymptotically a chi-square distribution under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation. Finally, some simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the performance of the proposed method.