多层面引导宗教与社会主义社会相适应的途径

本文从不同层面探讨了宗教与社会主义社会相适应的途径,分析了正确对待宗教工作的方法和态度,着重论述了新时期应该突出宗教的伦理和文化功能的观点,从制度支持、信仰者个体自我约束与政府的管理相互促进、以保证信教者与不信教者拥有平等的地位等方面探讨了宗教与社会主义社会相适应的条件及途径。     

Efficient Competition Through Cheap Talk: The Case of Competing Auctions

We consider a large market where auctioneers with private reservation values compete for bidders by announcing cheap‐talk messages. If auctioneers run efficient first‐price auctions, then there always exists an equilibrium in which each auctioneer truthfully reveals her type. The equilibrium is constrained efficient, assigning more bidders to auctioneers with larger gains from trade. The choice of the trading mechanism is crucial for the result. Most notably, the use of second‐price auctions (equivalently, ex post bidding) leads to the nonexistence of any informative equilibrium. We examine the robustness of our finding in various dimensions, including finite markets and equilibrium selection.     

Information Sharing in a Manufacturer–Supplier Relationship: Suppliers' Incentive and Production Efficiency

While there have been vast discussions on the materialistic benefits of continuous improvement from the Toyota and Honda experiences, the academic literature pays little attention to information sharing. In this study, we construct a dynamic adverse selection model in which the supplier privately observes her production efficiency, and in the contractual duration the manufacturer obtains an informative but imprecise signal regarding this private efficiency. We show that despite the disclosure of proprietary information, information sharing may benefit the supplier; the supplier's voluntary participation is more likely to occur when the shared information is rather imprecise. On the other hand, our analysis also reveals that this information sharing unambiguously gives rise to an upward push of the production quantity, and may sometimes lead to an upward distortion that ultimately hurts the supply chain. We also document the non‐trivial impact of the timing of information sharing on the supplier's incentive to participate.     

Optimal Digital Rights Management with Uncertain Piracy

Many firms that sell digital copies of copyrighted materials online face a common dilemma: the use of digital rights management (DRM) to impede pirates can impose restrictions on legitimate use. We introduce a two‐period model in which the use of DRM in the first period affects the probability that a consumer finds a pirated copy in the second period; the threat of legal action reduces consumers’ consumption of pirated copies; and firms choose whether to sell, and at what prices, either strongly or weakly DRM‐protected products, or both. Furthermore, we incorporate the role of uncertainty concerning future levels of piracy. Using a two‐period model with uncertainty, we investigate a firm's optimal DRM strategies and present the optimal pricing strategy as well as product launch strategy under different market conditions. We find that one important characteristic of the optimal strategy is that it is optimal to maintain the same product line configuration strategy for both periods. We also characterize the conditions under which each strategy is optimal.     

Empirical likelihood based detection procedure for change point in mean residual life functions under random censorship

The mean residual life (MRL) function is one of the basic parameters of interest in survival analysis that describes the expected remaining time of an individual after a certain age. The study of changes in the MRL function is practical and interesting because it may help us to identify some factors such as age and gender that may influence the remaining lifetimes of patients after receiving a certain surgery. In this paper, we propose a detection procedure based on the empirical likelihood for the changes in MRL functions with right censored data. Two real examples are also given: Veterans' administration lung cancer study and Stanford heart transplant to illustrate the detecting procedure. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Statistical inference for homologous gene pairs between two circular genomes: a new circular–circular regression model

In this paper, we investigate the problem of determining the relationship, represented by similarity of the homologous gene configuration, between paired circular genomes using a regression analysis. We propose a new regression model for studying two circular genomes, where the Möbius transformation naturally arises and is taken as the link function, and propose the least circular distance estimation method, as an appropriate method for analyzing circular variables. The main utility of the new regression model is in identification of a new angular location of one of a homologous gene pair between two circular genomes, for various types of possible gene mutations, given that of the other gene. Furthermore, we demonstrate the utility of our new regression model for grouping of various genomes based on closeness of their relationship. Using angular locations of homologous genes from the five pairs of circular genomes (Horimoto et al. in Bioinformatics 14:789–802, 1998), the new model is compared with the existing models.     

A Necessary Condition for the Strong Oracle Property

A problem of using a non‐convex penalty for sparse regression is that there are multiple local minima of the penalized sum of squared residuals, and it is not known which one is a good estimator. The aim of this paper is to give a guide to design a non‐convex penalty that has the strong oracle property. Here, the strong oracle property means that the oracle estimator is the unique local minimum of the objective function. We summarize three definitions of the oracle property – the global, weak and strong oracle properties. Then, we give sufficient conditions for the weak oracle property, which means that the oracle estimator becomes a local minimum. We give an example of non‐convex penalties that possess the weak oracle property but not the strong oracle property. Finally, we give a necessary condition for the strong oracle property.     

A nonparametric hypothesis test for heteroscedasticity

In this paper, a hypothesis test for heteroscedasticity is proposed in a nonparametric regression model. The test statistic, which uses the residuals from a nonparametric fit of the mean function, is based on an adaptation of the well-known Levene's test. Using the recent theory for analysis of variance when the number of factor levels goes to infinity, the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is established under the null hypothesis of homocedasticity and under local alternatives. Simulations suggest that the proposed test performs well in several situations, especially when the variance is a nonlinear function of the predictor.     

从甲乳外科的运营分析到医院精细化管理的思考

通过对医改新形势下三级综合医院甲乳外科的运营分析,进行医院精细化管理的探讨。调研某三甲医院甲乳外科的运营情况,包括工作量、运行效率、损益情况等,分析其运营状况。结果显示,甲乳外科门诊、住院和超声检查患者较多,医师工作负荷重,通过计算该科室需要增加2名文员;损益分析发现甲乳外科属于“金牛科室”,且科室床位使用率较高,应适当扩大规模,新增10张床位。对医院各科室进行详细的运营分析,可为医院管理者提供决策依据,并逐步实现医院的精细化管理。