剧变中的我国留守妻子及其学术与公共政策含义

针对被广泛使用的“留守妇女冶概念的歧义,文章首先提出了“留守妻子冶概念。 2000 年以来全国人口普查和 1% 人口抽样调查资料揭示,我国留守妻子在进入 21 世纪后发生了一系列重大变化:其规模由剧增到快速减少,农村留守妻子的规模减少更早更快,留守妻子的来源地构成正在经历快速城镇化,留守妻子的居住方式类型构成正在快速直系化等。 这些变化有着重要的学术研究和公共政策含义。     

Estimation of group means in generalized linear mixed models

In this study, we investigate the concept of the mean response for a treatment group mean as well as its estimation and prediction for generalized linear models with a subject‐wise random effect. Generalized linear models are commonly used to analyze categorical data. The model‐based mean for a treatment group usually estimates the response at the mean covariate. However, the mean response for the treatment group for studied population is at least equally important in the context of clinical trials. New methods were proposed to estimate such a mean response in generalized linear models; however, this has only been done when there are no random effects in the model. We suggest that, in a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM), there are at least two possible definitions of a treatment group mean response that can serve as estimation/prediction targets. The estimation of these treatment group means is important for healthcare professionals to be able to understand the absolute benefit vs risk. For both of these treatment group means, we propose a new set of methods that suggests how to estimate/predict both of them in a GLMMs with a univariate subject‐wise random effect. Our methods also suggest an easy way of constructing corresponding confidence and prediction intervals for both possible treatment group means. Simulations show that proposed confidence and prediction intervals provide correct empirical coverage probability under most circumstances. Proposed methods have also been applied to analyze hypoglycemia data from diabetes clinical trials.     

浅谈当代社会人文精神的培养

当代社会人文精神的培养,对于社会主义和谐社会的建设具有重大的现实意义。人文精神的培养,关键是抓好人文教育,其次是明确在全球视野中建设和谐家园的实践,特别是要加强科学精神与人文精神的培养教育。     

Investigating determinants of inter-regional technology transfer in China: a network analysis with provincial patent data

This study examines the determinants of trans-regional technology transfer within China with patent license data. The weighted exponential random graph model is employed for network analysis to investigate the potential impact factors. Our findings have two main streams: First, most technologies are transferred from provinces with greater R&D input, e.g., Beijing and Shanghai, to economically developed provinces, e.g., Guangdong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang. The economic gap between provinces, which is viewed by most researchers to be one of the keys for technology transfer, has insignificant effects. This finding may be because eastern and western provinces are making competing investments and east provinces are investing much less in the west, which is different from what we usually see between developed and developing countries. Because there are competing relationships between provinces, it is common to see repeated investment and similar industry structures between provinces in China, which impose barriers on technology transfer. Second, provinces with more technologies imported from overseas countries acquire more patents from other provinces within China, which indicates a complementary relationship between overseas and domestic technologies. This finding may be partly because provinces acquiring more overseas technology may be in greater demand of additional complementary technology and partly because of the reverse engineering of overseas technology, which may be conducted by provinces with greater R&D input. Our findings should resonate for policy makers seeking to encourage trans-regional technology interaction and boost innovation capabilities.     

和而不同智慧与和谐社会构建

中国传统文化中和而不同的古典智慧,可以作为构建和谐社会的思想资源,发掘其适应现代社会的新内涵。和而不同的实质,是强调矛盾的统一和均衡,承认差异,包容差异,尊重差异,在本质上达到相近或相似,在众多不同因素的对立统一、相互依存中求同存异、化解矛盾,实现差别共存,从而达到总体上的和谐。按照和而不同的理念,在改革开放、发展市场经济和全面建设小康社会过程中,注重社会激励,统筹兼顾各种利益关系,调节社会矛盾和问题,使社会达到适度、适时、适当的和谐状态。     

改革开放以来我们党在新疆工作的成功实践与启示

积极探索符合新疆特点的改革开放道路；牢牢把握当代新疆发展和稳定两大主趣；认真贯彻落实“稳疆兴疆、富民固边”的战略部署。坚持以人为本。造福新疆各族人民；牢牢把握第一要务，推动新疆经济社会又好又快发展；筑牢反分裂的钢铁长城，维护新疆的长治久安；调动一切积极因素，着力建设和谐新疆；切实加强党的建设，不断提高执政能力和领导水平。     

高校班主任队伍建设及对策初探

高校班主任是高校学生思想政治教育工作的骨干力量,在学生思想政治教育工作中发挥着重要作用。加强这支队伍建设,是大学生思想政治教育的组织保证。针对贵州大学20个学院辅导员、班主任队伍的问卷调查表明,高校辅导员、班主任队伍在年龄结构、学历结构等方面呈现出一定特点;要提高班主任队伍的整理素质,必须提供相应的政策、条件保障,切实加强这支队伍的建设。     

企业绩效考评体系创新

在世界经济一体化、市场竞争日益激烈的大趋势下,企业的经营环境发生了很大变化,这也给企业管理带来了更高难度的挑战。在这样的背景下,为有效把握企业发展的方向,从根本上改善企业的经营绩效,越来越多的企业开始