Second Unions Now More Stable than First? A Comparison of Separation Risks by Union Order in France

The frequency of union dissolutions increased sharply over the past 40 years in Western Europe and North America, resulting in a rapid growth in the number of persons living with a second partner. In studies of the 1980s, primarily conducted within the context of marriage, second partnerships were generally found to be less stable than first unions, but more recent studies provide more conflicting evidence. Taking the example of France, we study whether the relationship between first and second union stability indeed reversed between the 1970s and the 2000s, and how union and individual characteristics contributed to changes over time. The analysis presented here is based on the French Generations and Gender Survey (2005). The article first provides an overview of the differences in marriage, childbearing and breakup behaviours in first and second unions. Second, a piecewise linear model for repeated events is used to compare women’s dissolution risks in first and second unions. The results show that over time, the higher instability of second compared to first unions disappeared. Further, women in second unions adopted unmarried cohabitation as a living arrangement more often across the whole period and were more likely to have stepchildren, which was associated with less stable unions. Taking into account this diversity of family situations, i.e. controlling for family form and children, second unions were more stable than first unions, even during the past. At both union orders, marriage breakup risks tended to stabilise despite a continuing increase in the prevalence of separation, which suggests that cohabitation increasingly acts as a filter for marriage.     

Ordinal models and generalized estimating equations to evaluate disease severity

Many assays have been carried out in Capsicum spp. in order to evaluate its resistance to Phytophthora capsici , which causes blight and considerable yield loss. An assay aiming at the selection of resistant pepper and bell pepper genotypes to P. capsici was jointly performed in the laboratory of the Phytopathological Clinic of Entomology, Phytopathology and Agricultural Zoology and in the experimental area of the Plant Production Department, both located at ESALQ, University of São Paulo, Brazil. The data set for this assay comes from ordinal categorized random variables, whose analysis does not generally take into account the ordinal nature of the responses, but instead, builds indexes, among other measures, in order to evaluate the resistance of the studied genotypes. This work presents ordinal generalized linear fits in order to evaluate blight severity as well as to identify and select new resources to the pathogen. It also analyses the estimating equations proposed by Liang & Zeger (1986a, b) in order to obtain an infection pattern for the disease. From the fit of the cumulative logit models, valuable genotypes are identified for genetic breeding programs.     

Response of wild bee communities to beekeeping,urbanization, and flower availability

Urban Ecosystems - Wild bees provide pollination services and are currently declining at the global scale. A potential cause for this decline is competitive interactions with domestic honey bees....     

Daily rhythm of salivary IL-1ß, cortisol and melatonin in day and night workers

Shiftwork-induced sleep deprivation and circadian disruption probably leads to an increase in the production of cytokines and dysregulation of innate immune system, respectively. This project aims evaluating changes in salivary IL-1 beta, cortisol, and melatonin in night workers. Method. Two day and three night healthy workers participated in this study. Sleep was evaluated by actimetry and activity protocols. Saliva was collected at waking and bedtime the last workday and the following two days-off and was analyzed by ELISA. Results. Neither sleep duration nor efficiency showed any association with salivary IL-1beta. IL-1beta levels were higher at waking than at bedtime during working days for all workers, but only one day and one night-worker maintained this pattern and hormone rhythms during days off. For this night worker, melatonin levels were shifted to daytime. A second one presented clear alterations in IL-1beta and hormone rhythms on days-off. Conclusions. Our preliminary results suggest that night work can disturb the variation pattern of salivary IL-1beta. No association of this variation with sleep was observed. It seems that disruption in hormone rhythms interfere with salivary IL-1beta production. IL- 1beta production pattern seems to be maintained when rhythms are present, in spite of a shift in melatonin secretion.     

Humor and Identity on Twitter: #muslimcandyheartrejects as a Digital Space for Identity Construction

Through examining the hashtag #muslimcandyheartrejects, a one-time, short-term, joke hashtag used on Twitter among a group of Muslim tweeters in 2012, we argue that members of Muslim digital diaspora communities use social media to construct and reinforce a Muslim diaspora identity. The architecture of Twitter provides the structure for these engagements, while humor serves meaning-making, cohesion building, and tension-relief functions within the conversation. The conversation itself combines a variety of topics to both describe Muslim identity in diaspora and to critique both Muslim community practices and conditions for Muslims in non-Muslim countries.     

A heterarchical generic discrete manufacturing simulation model and its application in a world class manufacturing environment

Current factory design and evaluation is very primitive. Factory components are designed in many cases independently. Product and process design are not well integrated. An encompassing framework is needed for iterating through a series of total factory designs, searching for optimal performance. In addition, a vehicle is needed for predicting the performance of a proposed advanced manufacturing system, so that engineers may have a sound means for evaluating such proposals. A heterarchical discrete manufacturing SIMNET II simulation model (SIMCELLS) was developed as a comprehensive methodology for designing and evaluating discrete manufacturing systems. SIMCELLS allows manufacturing systems engineers to experiment with alternative system structures and control strategies while seeking that combination of design features that will produce the desired overall system performance. The model in combination with a modernization programme is enabling a firm to successfully manufacture and sell trucks meeting international standards. The SIMNET II model     

Incidence des envois de fonds: une analyse à partir du cas de saisonniers mexicains employés au Canada

À partir d'une enquête menée auprès de saisonniers mexicains au Canada, les auteurs construisent un modèle à équations simultanées reposant sur la méthode des triples moindres carrés. Ils montrent que les envois de fonds ont un effet positif sur l'investissement agricole, et donc sur le revenu agricole au Mexique. Cet effet s'étend au revenu non agricole du fait d'une diversification des activités et des investissements des migrants. Ces résultats confirment la thèse de la nouvelle économie de la migration de travail: les envois de fonds contribuent effectivement au développement économique en donnant aux petits exploitants les liquidités qui leur manquent pour investir.     

Promising Practices of Nonprofit Organizations to Respond to the Challenges Faced in Countering the Mistreatment of Older Adults

VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - This article discusses promising practices used by employees and volunteers in nonprofit organizations (NPOs) in...