OPTIMIRUS. Simulating Population Change in the Russian Far East

This article examines the population trends in the cities of the Russian Far East between the two census years 1989 and 2002. Three geographical models – Rank-Size Rule, Temperature per Capita and a simple gravity model – are used to describe the direction of these population trends. An economic efficiency function is constructed from the three models to simulate an ideal population distribution for the Russian Far East. The heart of the simulation is a conjugate gradient optimisation of the economic efficiency function. The results serve as an important backdrop to discussions of current population trends and serve as an important backdrop to discussions of current population trends and as basis for recommendations concerning future changes in the spatial distribution of population in the region.Mueller, K., et Bradshaw M. J., 2006. OPTIMIRUS. Une simulation des variations de population dans l’Extrême-Orient russe. Revue européenne de démographie, 22:105–126.     

Children's subjective well-being: International comparative perspectives

We are enjoined by the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child to take account of the views of children. One way this can be done is by asking children about their lives in sample surveys. This paper is a comparison of the results obtained to sample survey questions on subjective well-being of children at two contrasting levels of analysis—international macro (European Union 29) and national level micro (England). At both levels, children's well-being is accessed in terms of three subjective domains: (1) personal well-being, (2) relational well-being, and (3) well-being at school. At the micro level we also explore neighbourhood well-being.The results show that at the macro level personal well-being is associated with the material and housing circumstances but not family relationships or family structure. Well-being at school is not associated with any variable. Subjective health is only associated with family structure. At the micro level, although many of the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of children are found to be associated with their well-being in the four domains, these factors explain only a small amount of the variation in these well-being domains.     

Peer Nominations of Emotional Expressivity Among Urban Children: Social and Psychological Correlates

The current study examined associations between peer nominations of children's expression of negative emotions and psychological, social, and behavioral correlates in a sample of 523 first graders. Children (85 percent African‐American) completed a peer nomination measure for expressing negative emotions. In addition, three other domains of functioning were assessed using multiple raters: internalizing symptoms (self, parent), externalizing behavior (parent, teacher), and social competence (parent, teacher). Regression analyses indicated that peer nominations of negative emotions predicted higher levels of teacher‐rated externalizing behavior and lower levels of teacher‐rated social competence. Peer nominations of emotions were significantly associated with teacher ratings but unrelated to self‐ and parent‐report measures. Adding to a small but growing literature, our findings underscore the importance of assessing peer perceptions of children's emotional expressivity and their associations to social and psychological functioning in an urban, predominantly African‐American sample.     

Estimates of Survival of Diabetics from Repeated, Independent Sample Surveys

Little is known about death rates among diabetic populations. The few prior estimates have used two data systems, usually a registry or a survey to identify diabetics and death certificates to identify deaths. In this research, the diabetic population aged 18–94 in 1996–1998 and those surviving in 2001–2003 were estimated from repeated cross-sectional surveys, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Forward survival ratios were computed using a method developed for successive censuses and these were used to compute death rates. Nonlinear regression models for age-sex specific survival ratios were used to estimate parametric rates and thereby increase the accuracy of estimates. About 81.4 % (SE = 1.3 %) of diabetics survived 5 years, for an annual death rate of 41.1 per thousand (SE = 3.2). Among men survival was 84.7 % (SE = 2.1 %) with an annual death rate of 33.8 (SE = 4.9) per thousand; among women survival was 78.5 % (SE = 2.2 %) with an annual death rate of 48.1 (SE = 4.1) per thousand. Model estimates of mortality rates showed an odds ratio of 3.17 (95 % CI 2.64, 3.82) for each 10 year age interval and of 1.35 (95 % CI 1.02, 1.79) for women compared with men. Pooled annual samples, longer time intervals for survival, and parametric estimates of rates all help overcome the small numbers and large sampling variation of survey estimates of survival and mortality. Useful estimates of survival rates can be made from a single data system, a sample survey of the general population. This can be done for any condition where a respondent’s status at the earlier survey time is obtained at the later survey time. It could also be used to make estimates from periodic surveys for nations with limited information systems.     

Quality of life and charges in private old people's homes in Great Britain

Over half the residents in old people's homes in Britain have their fees wholly or partly paid from the public purse. Understandably, there is considerable concern that the fees charged should be reasonable in the light of the services and facilities provided. In a recent study, local authority registration officers attempted to relate important qualitative features of private homes to the fees they charged. Taken together, these features provide a measure of the quality of life in homes. Results indicate little relationship between the charges made by homes and the measures reflecting the quality of life for residents. On the other hand, however, it was evident that the quality of life was an important consideration when registration officers made an assessment of the reasonableness of charges in homes. In short, homes assessed as having reasonable charges received higher ratings on the qualitative features. Conversely, homes judged as charging too much were much more likely to be rated poorly.     

Addressing the School-to-Prison Pipeline: Examining Micro- and Macro-Level Variables that Affect School Disengagement and Subsequent Felonies

Abstract

This study examines the School-to-Prison Pipeline (STPP) by identifying individual legal and extra-legal variables and school-level factors that predict juvenile/criminal justice involvement using 2006–2012 matched data from education and justice systems (n?=?21,457). The role of school disengagement is also assessed, measuring unexcused absences that follow suspensions in the previous academic year. For the court-involved subsample (n?=?7349), after controlling for student behavior, demographic, and school-level factors; extra-legal racial differences remain a significant factor in determining higher counts of felonies with African American and Multi-racial students at increased likelihood (1.65 and 1.86 times, respectively for the higher latent class) of juvenile/criminal justice involvement as compared with White students. And, although White students were found to either be more disengaged or equally disengaged when compared with students of color, sharp differences in criminal justice involvement and outcomes exist by race/ethnicity. These findings suggest that addressing the STPP will require future research and focus on more than individual-level behaviors (school disengagement and school-based offenses) and attention to the impact of extra-legal variables and systemic implicit bias.     

Using Household Expenditure to Develop an Income Poverty Line

Income and expenditure measures are commonly used to establish poverty lines representing, respectively, the availability of cash resources and the standard of living approaches to measuring the extent and composition of poverty. Using UK data we compare these two measures and show how they might be combined. Although overall poverty rates are similar whichever measure is used, the relativities they imply for different types of household differ considerably. There is little overlap between income and expenditure poverty and very few households are both income–and expenditure–poor. The concept of poverty as constraint on choice or constrained expenditure is then defined as the absence of spending on durable goods and luxury items. Using logistic regression, income thresh–olds associated with the observed levels of constrained expenditure are derived for different types of household. Assuming all income is spent, these thresholds define a poverty line below which expenditure is severely constrained. The extent to which social assistance rates limit or prevent household expenditure is also estimated. The method and the estimates illustrate the value of exploring the links between income and expenditure in the measurement of poverty, drawing attention to the limitations of the data, and identifying future research needs.     

Fertility differences in Peru: A reconsideration

Abstract In a series of articles by Stycos, Heer and W. H. James, predominantly Indian areas of Peru were reported to have significantly lower levels of fertility than the economically better developed Spanish-speaking areas. Heer and James reported similar findings for Bolivia and Ecuador as well as Peru.     

A Different Sort of Doctor: The Police Surgeon in England and Wales

Police surgeons occupy a neglected and potentially influential role in the criminal justice system, falling between medical and legal functions. This article considers the implications of this role which operates at the interface of two major areas of social policy concern. Drawing evidence from a unique survey of police surgeons in England and Wales, it considers specifically, the professional background of police surgeons, the administration and management of the police surgeon service, surgeons' attitudes to aspects of their professional practice and the impact of this role on civil liberties. The paper concludes with a brief discussion of the possibilities for the reform of the police surgeon service.