首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   5286篇
  免费   168篇
  国内免费   3篇
管理学   610篇
民族学   33篇
人才学   2篇
人口学   478篇
丛书文集   33篇
理论方法论   475篇
综合类   86篇
社会学   2354篇
统计学   1386篇
  2023年   38篇
  2021年   32篇
  2020年   88篇
  2019年   157篇
  2018年   141篇
  2017年   235篇
  2016年   153篇
  2015年   124篇
  2014年   148篇
  2013年   1075篇
  2012年   173篇
  2011年   150篇
  2010年   104篇
  2009年   127篇
  2008年   124篇
  2007年   119篇
  2006年   107篇
  2005年   104篇
  2004年   93篇
  2003年   83篇
  2002年   109篇
  2001年   117篇
  2000年   92篇
  1999年   109篇
  1998年   88篇
  1997年   81篇
  1996年   65篇
  1995年   89篇
  1994年   67篇
  1993年   81篇
  1992年   79篇
  1991年   77篇
  1990年   81篇
  1989年   66篇
  1988年   52篇
  1987年   54篇
  1986年   55篇
  1985年   62篇
  1984年   61篇
  1983年   49篇
  1982年   43篇
  1981年   40篇
  1980年   47篇
  1979年   59篇
  1978年   46篇
  1977年   38篇
  1976年   26篇
  1975年   34篇
  1974年   29篇
  1973年   24篇
排序方式: 共有5457条查询结果,搜索用时 718 毫秒
711.
In this article, we consider the product-limit quantile estimator of an unknown quantile function under a censored dependent model. This is a parallel problem to the estimation of the unknown distribution function by the product-limit estimator under the same model. Simultaneous strong Gaussian approximations of the product-limit process and product-limit quantile process are constructed with rate O[(log n)] for some λ > 0. The strong Gaussian approximation of the product-limit process is then applied to derive the laws of the iterated logarithm for product-limit process.  相似文献   
712.
In this article, we introduce a new distribution-free Shewhart-type control chart that takes into account the location of a single order statistic of the test sample (such as the median) as well as the number of observations in that test sample that lie between the control limits. Exact formulae for the alarm rate, the run length distribution, and the average run length (ARL) are all derived. A key advantage of the chart is that, due to its nonparametric nature, the false alarm rate and in-control run length distribution are the same for all continuous process distributions, and so will be naturally robust. Tables are provided for the implementation of the chart for some typical ARL values and false alarm rates. The empirical study carried out reveals that the new chart is preferable from a robustness point of view in comparison to a classical Shewhart-type chart and also the nonparametric chart of Chakraborti et al. (2004 Chakraborti , S. , van der Laan , P. , van de Wiel , M. A. ( 2004 ). A class of distribution-free control charts . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. C-Appl. Statist. 53 ( 3 ): 443462 .[Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]).  相似文献   
713.
In this article, we discuss some properties of Renyi entropy and Renyi information of order statistics. Some bounds for Renyi entropy of order statistics are obtained. Also, we relate Renyi entropy ordering of order statistics to Renyi entropy ordering and other well known orderings of parent random variables. Then it is proved that the Renyi information between order statistics and parent random variable is distribution free, and it is shown, as expected, the distance is minimum for the median.  相似文献   
714.
The B-spline representation is a common tool to improve the fitting of smooth nonlinear functions, it offers a fitting as a piecewise polynomial. The regions that define the pieces are separated by a sequence of knots. The main difficulty in this type of modeling is the choice of the number and the locations of these knots. The Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) algorithm provides a solution to simultaneously select these two parameters by considering the knots as free parameters. This algorithm belongs to the MCMC techniques that allow simulations from target distributions on spaces of varying dimension. The aim of the present investigation is to use this algorithm in the framework of the analysis of survival time, for the Cox model in particular. In fact, the relation between the hazard ratio function and the covariates being assumed to be log-linear, this assumption is too restrictive. Thus, we propose to use the RJMCMC algorithm to model the log hazard ratio function by a B-spline representation with an unknown number of knots at unknown locations. This method is illustrated with two real data sets: the Stanford heart transplant data and lung cancer survival data. Another application of the RJMCMC is selecting the significant covariates, and a simulation study is performed.  相似文献   
715.
In this article, we establish several recurrence relations for the single and product moments of progressively Type-II right censored order statistics from a log-logistic distribution. The use of these relations in a systematic recursive manner would enable the computation of all the means, variances and covariances of progressively Type-II right censored order statistics from the log-logistic distribution for all sample sizes n, effective sample sizes m, and all progressive censoring schemes (R 1,…, R m ). The results established here generalize the corresponding results for the usual order statistics due to Balakrishnan and Malik (1987 Balakrishnan , N. , Malik , H. J. ( 1987 ). Moments of order statistics from truncated log-logistic distribution . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 17 : 251267 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and Balakrishnan et al. (1987 Balakrishnan , N. , Malik , H. J. , Puthenpura , S. ( 1987 ). Best linear unbiased estimation of location and scale parameters of the log-logistic distribution . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 16 : 34773495 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). The moments so determined are then utilized to derive best linear unbiased estimators for the scale- and location-scale log-logistic distributions. A comparison of these estimates with the maximum likelihood estimates is made through Monte Carlo simulation. The best linear unbiased predictors of progressively censored failure times is then discussed briefly. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate all the methods of inference developed here.  相似文献   
716.
The present work is an attempt to study the estimation of the population mean on the current occasion in two-occasion successive (rotation) sampling under a superpopulation model. Six different estimators are proposed for estimating the current population mean in two-occasion successive (rotation) sampling. Optimum replacement policies and performances of the proposed estimators have been discussed. Results are interpreted via empirical studies.  相似文献   
717.
In this article, we consider the problem of best linear unbiased estimation and best linear invariant estimation of the scale parameter of a symmetric distribution using quasi-ranges is considered. We also prove a sufficient condition for the non negativity of the scale estimator obtained by the above method. Further, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the derived estimators to be constant multiple of the sample range.  相似文献   
718.
We reconsider the derivation of Blest’s (2003) skewness adjusted version of the classical moment-based coefficient of kurtosis and propose an adaptation of it which generally eliminates the effects of asymmetry a little more successfully. Lower bounds are provided for the two skewness adjusted kurtosis moment measures as functions of the classical coefficient of skewness. The results from a Monte Carlo experiment designed to investigate the sampling properties of numerous moment-based estimators of the two skewness adjusted kurtosis measures are used to identify those estimators with lowest mean squared error for small to medium sized samples drawn from distributions with varying levels of asymmetry and tailweight.  相似文献   
719.
We present a new test for the “continuous martingale hypothesis”. That is, a test for the hypothesis that observed data are from a process which is a continuous local martingale. The basis of the test is an embedded random walk at first passage times, obtained from the well-known representation of a continuous local martingale as a continuous time-change of Brownian motion. With a variety of simulated diffusion processes our new test shows higher power than existing tests using either the crossing tree or the quadratic variation, including the situation where non-negligible drift is present. The power of the test in the presence of jumps is also explored with a variety of simulated jump diffusion processes. The test is also applied to two sequences of high-frequency foreign exchange trade-by-trade data. In both cases the continuous martingale hypothesis is rejected at times less than hourly and we identify significant dependence in price movements at these small scales.  相似文献   
720.
This article intends to develop some effective rotation patterns with the aid of attractive imputation methods when the problems of non response occur in two-occasion successive sampling. Utilizing the information on p (p ??1) auxiliary variables regression methods of imputation have been considered and subsequently multiple linear regression type estimators are proposed to estimate the current population mean in two-occasion successive sampling. Proposed estimators are compared with the estimator for same situations but in the absence of non-response. Optimum replacement strategies of the respective estimators have been discussed and results are interpreted with the help of empirical studies. Conclusions and suitable recommendations are made.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号