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101.
    
Pesticide risk assessment for food products involves combining information from consumption and concentration data sets to estimate a distribution for the pesticide intake in a human population. Using this distribution one can obtain probabilities of individuals exceeding specified levels of pesticide intake. In this article, we present a probabilistic, Bayesian approach to modeling the daily consumptions of the pesticide Iprodione though multiple food products. Modeling data on food consumption and pesticide concentration poses a variety of problems, such as the large proportions of consumptions and concentrations that are recorded as zero, and correlation between the consumptions of different foods. We consider daily food consumption data from the Netherlands National Food Consumption Survey and concentration data collected by the Netherlands Ministry of Agriculture. We develop a multivariate latent‐Gaussian model for the consumption data that allows for correlated intakes between products. For the concentration data, we propose a univariate latent‐t model. We then combine predicted consumptions and concentrations from these models to obtain a distribution for individual daily Iprodione exposure. The latent‐variable models allow for both skewness and large numbers of zeros in the consumption and concentration data. The use of a probabilistic approach is intended to yield more robust estimates of high percentiles of the exposure distribution than an empirical approach. Bayesian inference is used to facilitate the treatment of data with a complex structure.  相似文献   
102.
    
Robust regression has not had a great impact on statistical practice, although all statisticians are convinced of its importance. The procedures for robust regression currently available are complex, and computer intensive. With a modification of the Gaussian paradigm, taking into consideration outliers and leverage points, we propose an iteratively weighted least squares method which gives robust fits. The procedure is illustrated by applying it on data sets which have been previously used to illustrate robust regression methods.It is hoped that this simple, effective and accessible method will find its use in statistical practice.  相似文献   
103.
    
We develop an entropy-based test for randomness of binary time series of finite length. The test uses the frequencies of contiguous blocks of different lengths. A simple condition ib the block lengths and the length of the time series enables one to estimate the entropy rate for the data, and this information is used to develop a statistic to test the hypothesis of randomness. This static measures the deviation of the estimated entropy of the observed data from the theoretical maximum under the randomness hypothesis. This test offers a real alternative to the conventional runs test. Critical percentage points, based on simulations, are provided for testing the hypothesis of randomness. Power calculations using dependent data show that the proposed test has higher power against the runs test for short series, and it is similar to the runs test for long series. The test is applied to two published data sets that wree investigated by others with respect to their randomness.  相似文献   
104.
A general successive substitutions' scheme is developed to estimate parameters in a finite mixture of distributions from the exponential family, based on censored data. It is assumed that the data can be grouped in the first class and the number of observations in each of the remaining classes are known Examples from Poisson Exponential and Normal distributions are given A small simulation exercise has also been carried out for the mixture of two one parameter exponential population.  相似文献   
105.
We investigate the relative performance of stratified bivariate ranked set sampling (SBVRSS), with respect to stratified simple random sampling (SSRS) for estimating the population mean with regression methods. The mean and variance of the proposed estimators are derived with the mean being shown to be unbiased. We perform a simulation study to compare the relative efficiency of SBVRSS to SSRS under various data-generating scenarios. We also compare the two sampling schemes on a real data set from trauma victims in a hospital setting. The results of our simulation study and the real data illustration indicate that using SBVRSS for regression estimation provides more efficiency than SSRS in most cases.  相似文献   
106.
For the problem of testing absence of x.egression under the p-variate nonparametric linear regression set-up involving m predictors, standard rank test criteria are in the form of a quadratic form in mp linear rank statistics. Different standard tests correspond to different choices of one system of scores for each variable. In this paper we propose two test criteria which are based on simultaneous choice of more than one system of scores for each variable. The criteria are obtained by applying the union-intersection technique in two different ways. It turns out that for either criterion the use of several systems of scores for each variable results in an improvement in the asymptotic power.  相似文献   
107.
    
VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - Most of the extant studies on social enterprises have taken a static view of institutional complexity and assumed conflict...  相似文献   
108.
    
This study examines the relationship between exogenous demand shock and market structure in India's influenza vaccine markets. Using a novel dataset of detailed purchasing information for vaccines in India, and exploiting the 2009–10 global H1N1 pandemic as an exogenous demand shock, we provide evidence of heterogeneous responses to the shock by domestic and multinational vaccine manufacturers in the influenza vaccine market relative to our control group of all other vaccine markets. We find that such a shock results in a reversal of the market structure for influenza vaccines in India, with a decline in the market share of multinational vaccine manufacturers and significant gains in the market share of domestic vaccine manufacturers. This reversal of the market structure is driven by increased efforts at new product introduction among domestic vaccine manufacturers, the effects of which persist even after the pandemic has ended. Our results remain robust to the use of alternative controls, synthetic control method, coarsened exact matching method, and other relevant estimation methodologies. These results provide new evidence on the role of a pandemic‐induced demand shock in the context of an emerging economy by creating differential incentives for domestic and multinational vaccine manufacturers to bring new products to market. We also conduct additional analysis to explore the impact of targeted policy instruments on the new product introduction efforts of domestic vaccine manufacturers. Finally, we discuss the implications of our findings and offer insights into the role of policy on pandemic preparedness in emerging markets facing adverse welfare effects from pandemics.  相似文献   
109.
Polynomial regression models have applications in the social sciences and in business research. Unfortunately, such models have a high degree of multicollinearity that creates problems with the statistical assessment of the model. In fact, the collinearity may be so severe that it could lead to an incorrect conclusion that some of the terms in the model are not statistically significant and should therefore be omitted from the model. This note provides a simple transformation to achieve orthogonality in polynomial models between the linear and quadratic terms, thereby eliminating the collinearity problem. It also shows that the same procedure does not achieve orthogonality for higher-order terms. An example data set is analyzed to show the benefits of such a procedure.  相似文献   
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