全文获取类型
收费全文 | 29497篇 |
免费 | 752篇 |
国内免费 | 1篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 4268篇 |
民族学 | 130篇 |
人才学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 2973篇 |
丛书文集 | 136篇 |
教育普及 | 3篇 |
理论方法论 | 2687篇 |
现状及发展 | 2篇 |
综合类 | 400篇 |
社会学 | 14212篇 |
统计学 | 5437篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 165篇 |
2021年 | 186篇 |
2020年 | 442篇 |
2019年 | 614篇 |
2018年 | 712篇 |
2017年 | 943篇 |
2016年 | 786篇 |
2015年 | 537篇 |
2014年 | 716篇 |
2013年 | 4787篇 |
2012年 | 991篇 |
2011年 | 914篇 |
2010年 | 687篇 |
2009年 | 619篇 |
2008年 | 704篇 |
2007年 | 725篇 |
2006年 | 665篇 |
2005年 | 683篇 |
2004年 | 639篇 |
2003年 | 585篇 |
2002年 | 659篇 |
2001年 | 771篇 |
2000年 | 771篇 |
1999年 | 678篇 |
1998年 | 505篇 |
1997年 | 463篇 |
1996年 | 456篇 |
1995年 | 455篇 |
1994年 | 395篇 |
1993年 | 412篇 |
1992年 | 479篇 |
1991年 | 438篇 |
1990年 | 410篇 |
1989年 | 435篇 |
1988年 | 413篇 |
1987年 | 370篇 |
1986年 | 374篇 |
1985年 | 425篇 |
1984年 | 409篇 |
1983年 | 377篇 |
1982年 | 319篇 |
1981年 | 266篇 |
1980年 | 253篇 |
1979年 | 318篇 |
1978年 | 261篇 |
1977年 | 238篇 |
1976年 | 207篇 |
1975年 | 225篇 |
1974年 | 184篇 |
1973年 | 177篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
991.
This article proposes a classification of motivations for collective action based in three of Tetlock's (2002) metaphors of social functionalism (i.e., people as intuitive economists, politicians, and theologians). We use these metaphors to map individual- and group-based motivations for collective action from the literature onto the distinction between individuals who are strongly or weakly identified with their social group. We conclude that low identifiers can be best understood as intuitive economists (supported by both early and recent work on collective action), whereas high identifiers can be best thought of as intuitive politicians or theologians (as recent work on social identity has started to explore). Interestingly, our classification reveals a remarkable lack of attention for the intuitive theologian's motivation for collective action. We therefore develop new hypotheses for future research, and derive recommendations for policy and practice from our analysis. 相似文献
992.
The spread of an emerging infectious disease is a major public health threat. Given the uncertainties associated with vector-borne diseases, in terms of vector dynamics and disease transmission, it is critical to develop statistical models that address how and when such an infectious disease could spread throughout a region such as the USA. This paper considers a spatio-temporal statistical model for how an infectious disease could be carried into the USA by migratory waterfowl vectors during their seasonal migration and, ultimately, the risk of transmission of such a disease to domestic fowl. Modeling spatio-temporal data of this type is inherently difficult given the uncertainty associated with observations, complexity of the dynamics, high dimensionality of the underlying process, and the presence of excessive zeros. In particular, the spatio-temporal dynamics of the waterfowl migration are developed by way of a two-tiered functional temporal and spatial dimension reduction procedure that captures spatial and seasonal trends, as well as regional dynamics. Furthermore, the model relates the migration to a population of poultry farms that are known to be susceptible to such diseases, and is one of the possible avenues toward transmission to domestic poultry and humans. The result is a predictive distribution of those counties containing poultry farms that are at the greatest risk of having the infectious disease infiltrate their flocks assuming that the migratory population was infected. The model naturally fits into the hierarchical Bayesian framework. 相似文献
993.
AbstractWe propose a cure rate survival model by assuming that the number of competing causes of the event of interest follows the negative binomial distribution and the time to the event of interest has the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. Further, the new model includes as special cases some well-known cure rate models published recently. We consider a frequentist analysis for parameter estimation of the negative binomial Birnbaum-Saunders model with cure rate. Then, we derive the appropriate matrices for assessing local influence on the parameter estimates under different perturbation schemes. We illustrate the usefulness of the proposed model in the analysis of a real data set from the medical area. 相似文献
994.
We examine the relationship between vocational education and occupational burnout among workers in different forms of employment. Although the self‐employed enjoy higher levels of job autonomy and work‐related satisfaction, we do not know whether they experience lower rates of occupational burnout, and whether vocational education plays a role in this relationship. This latter consideration is important, given that vocational qualifications often lead to self‐employment and prior research demonstrated that formal training may reduce burnout. However, formal education was previously measured in years of schooling, without considering the distinction between academically‐oriented and vocational courses. Therefore, using data from a 2001 national survey of working Australians, we first establish that the self‐employed are significantly less likely to experience burnout. We then demonstrate that some resilience to burnout can be attributed to the attainment of skilled vocational training, net of employment characteristics which are also very important. 相似文献
995.
J. N. Lye 《Econometric Reviews》2013,32(2):217-234
This paper considers a general and computationally convenient method of evaluating the distribution function of statistics that are the ratio of a bilinear form to a quadratic form. Numerous Economemc applications of the method are given. 相似文献
996.
This article develops the locally uniformly most powerful unbiased Lagrange multiplier test of normality of regression disturbances within the family of power exponential distributions. The small sample power properties of the test are compared in a Monte Carlo study with 6 well-known tests across 12 alternative nonnormal distributions. In addition, the finite sample power properties for nonnormal alternatives within the power exponential family are summarized by estimating response surfaces. The results suggest that the proposed text is computationally convenient and possesses relatively attractive power properties even against alternatives outside the power exponential family. 相似文献
997.
J. Dianne Garner 《Journal of women & aging》2013,25(1):1-2
No abstract available for this article. 相似文献
998.
999.
1000.
A Diamond-Stiglitz approach to the demand for self-protection 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The existing research concerning the relationship between risk aversion and prudence and the demand for self-protection assumes
that the loss variable follows a Bernoulli distribution, and that changes in the level of self-protection are mean preserving.
The analysis here replaces these two very strong conditions with ones which are more general. When doing this, the method
of analysis is also significantly modified. This modification includes representing a change in the level of self-protection
using the procedure developed by Diamond and Stiglitz (Journal of Economic Theory 8:337-360, 1974) for representing a change in risk. This alternate representation allows the existing findings to be generalized considerably,
and also simplifies the analysis. 相似文献